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Estimates Of Technology And Convergence: Simulation Results

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Author Info
Graeme Wells ()
Thanasis Stengos

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Abstract

Using a Solow-Swan model with a stochastic saving rate and stochastic productivity we analyse the distributions of parameter estimates that emerge under various choices of technology, and of the dimension of the panel on which cross-section regressions are based. There are distinct asymmetries that characterize these distributions. These asymmetries become more pronounced when the effects of a near-unit root in the productivity shock become magnified over a longer time horizon and when the underlying production function is not Cobb-Douglas. Consequently, relying on traditional econometric transformations of these parameter estimates based on symmetric distributions, such as t-ratios, will be quite misleading if one tries to assess technology parameters and b-convergence.

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File URL: http://cama.anu.edu.au/Working%20Papers/Papers/2006/Wells_Stengos_72006.pdf
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Paper provided by Australian National University, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis in its series CAMA Working Papers with number 2006-07.

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Length: 18 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2006
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Handle: RePEc:acb:camaaa:2006-07

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  6. Mankiw, N Gregory & Romer, David & Weil, David N, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 107(2), pages 407-37, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Koenker Roger, 1982. "Robust methods in econometrics," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 213-255. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Lee, Kevin & Pesaran, M Hashem & Smith, Ron, 1997. "Growth and Convergence in Multi-country Empirical Stochastic Solow Model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(4), pages 357-92, July-Aug.. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Quah, Danny T., 1996. "Empirics for economic growth and convergence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1353-1375, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Cellini, Roberto, 1997. "Implications of Solow's Growth Model in the Presence of a Stochastic Steady State," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 135-153, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Mirman, Leonard J, 1972. "On the Existence of Steady State Measures for One Sector Growth Models with Uncertain Technology," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 13(2), pages 271-86, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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