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Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimation in Two Classes of Semiparametric Diffusion Models

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Author Info
Dennis Kristensen () (Columbia University and CREATES)

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Abstract

A novel estimation method for two classes of semiparametric scalar diffusion models is proposed: In the first class, the diffusion term is parameterised and the drift is left unspecified, while in the second class only the drift term is specified. Under the assumption of stationarity, the unspecified term can be identified as a functional of the parametric component and the stationary density. Given a discrete sample with a fixed time distance, the parametric compo- nent is then estimated by maximizing the associated likelihood with a preliminary estimator of the unspecified term plugged in. It is shown that this Pseudo-MLE (PMLE) is root n-consistent and asymptotically normally distributed under regularity conditions, and demonstrate how the models and estimators can be used in a two-step specification testing strategy of fully parametric models. Since the likelihood function is not available on closed form, the practical implementa- tion of our estimator and tests will rely on simulated or approximate PMLE's. Under regularity conditions, it is verified that approximate/simulated versions of the PMLE inherits the prop- erties of the actual but infeasible estimator. A simulation study investigates the finite-sample performance of the PMLE, and finds that it performs well and is comparable to parametric MLE both in terms of bias and variance.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus in its series CREATES Research Papers with number 2009-41.

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Length: 47
Date of creation: 18 Sep 2009
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Handle: RePEc:aah:create:2009-41

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Web page: http://www.econ.au.dk/afn/

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Related research
Keywords: Diffusion process; fixed-time distance asymptotics; kernel estimation; pseudo-likelihood; semiparametric;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Hypothesis Testing
C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation
C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-16.


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