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The Effects of Interest Rate Movements on Assets’ Conditional Second Moments

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Author Info
Alessandro Palandri () (University of Copenhagen and CREATES)

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Abstract

This paper investigates whether the short term interest rate may explain the movements observed in the conditional second moments of asset returns. The theoretical connections between these seemingly unrelated quantities are studied within the C-CAPM framework. Under the assumption that the product of the relative risk aversion coefficient and the marginal utility is monotonic in consumption, original results are derived that attest the existence of a relation between the risk-free rate and the conditional second moments. The empirical findings, involving 165 stock returns quoted at the NYSE, confirm that, at low frequencies, the interest rate is a determinant of the 165 conditional variances and 13530 conditional correlations.

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Paper provided by School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus in its series CREATES Research Papers with number 2009-32.

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Length: 37
Date of creation: 27 Jul 2009
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Handle: RePEc:aah:create:2009-32

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Related research
Keywords: Conditional Variance; Conditional Correlations; Interest Rate; Capital Asset Pricing Model; Sequential Conditional Correlations;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other
C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General

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    Other versions:
  2. Schwert, G William, 1989. " Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change over Time?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 44(5), pages 1115-53, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Robert F. Engle & Jose Gonzalo Rangel, 2008. "The Spline-GARCH Model for Low-Frequency Volatility and Its Global Macroeconomic Causes," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(3), pages 1187-1222, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. James D. Hamilton & Gang Lin, 1996. "Stock Market Volatility and The Business Cycle," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 96-18, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Balduzzi, Pierluigi & Elton, Edwin J. & Green, T. Clifton, 2001. "Economic News and Bond Prices: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury Market," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(04), pages 523-543, December. [Downloadable!]
  6. Ederington, Louis H & Lee, Jae Ha, 1993. " How Markets Process Information: News Releases and Volatility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(4), pages 1161-91, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Michael J. Fleming & Eli M. Remolona, 1999. "Price Formation and Liquidity in the U.S. Treasury Market: The Response to Public Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(5), pages 1901-1915, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-27.


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