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Adding and Subtracting Black-Scholes: A New Approach to Approximating Derivative Prices in Continuous Time Models

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  • Dennis Kristensen

    (Columbia University and CREATES)

  • Antonio Mele

    (London School of Economics)

Abstract

This paper develops a new systematic approach to implement approximate solutions to asset pricing models within multi-factor diffusion environments. For any model lacking a closed-form solution, we provide a solution obtained by expanding the analytically intractable model around a known auxiliary pricing function. We derive power series expansions, which provide increasingly improved refinements to the initial mispricing arising from the use of the auxiliary model. In practice, the expansions can be truncated to include only a few terms to generate extremely accurate approximations. We illustrate our methodology in a variety of contexts, including option pricing with stochastic volatility, volatility contracts and the term-structure of interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Dennis Kristensen & Antonio Mele, 2009. "Adding and Subtracting Black-Scholes: A New Approach to Approximating Derivative Prices in Continuous Time Models," CREATES Research Papers 2009-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  • Handle: RePEc:aah:create:2009-14
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    Cited by:

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    2. João Pedro Vidal Nunes & Pedro Miguel Silva Prazeres, 2014. "Pricing Swaptions Under Multifactor Gaussian Hjm Models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(4), pages 762-789, October.
    3. Dong Hwan Oh & Andrew J. Patton, 2021. "Better the Devil You Know: Improved Forecasts from Imperfect Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-071, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Arismendi, Juan & Genaro, Alan De, 2016. "A Monte Carlo multi-asset option pricing approximation for general stochastic processes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 75-99.
    5. Jarno Talponen, 2018. "Matching distributions: Recovery of implied physical densities from option prices," Papers 1803.03996, arXiv.org.
    6. Antonio Cosma & Stefano Galluccio & Paola Pederzoli & O. Scaillet, 2012. "Valuing American Options Using Fast Recursive Projections," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 12-26, Swiss Finance Institute.
    7. Kailin Ding & Zhenyu Cui & Xiaoguang Yang, 2023. "Pricing arithmetic Asian and Amerasian options: A diffusion operator integral expansion approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 217-241, February.
    8. Juan Arismendi, 2014. "A Multi-Asset Option Approximation for General Stochastic Processes," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2014-03, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    9. Filipović, Damir & Mayerhofer, Eberhard & Schneider, Paul, 2013. "Density approximations for multivariate affine jump-diffusion processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(2), pages 93-111.
    10. Azusa Takeyama & Nick Constantinou & Dmitri Vinogradov, 2012. "A Framework for Extracting the Probability of Default from Stock Option Prices," IMES Discussion Paper Series 12-E-14, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    11. Liexin Cheng & Xue Cheng, 2024. "Decomposing Smiles: A Time Change Approach," Papers 2401.03776, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    12. Dennis Kristensen & Young Jun Lee & Antonio Mele, 2023. "Closed-form approximations of moments and densities of continuous-time Markov models," Papers 2308.09009, arXiv.org.
    13. Choi, Seungmoon, 2015. "Explicit form of approximate transition probability density functions of diffusion processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 57-73.
    14. Cosma, Antonio & Galluccio, Stefano & Pederzoli, Paola & Scaillet, Olivier, 2020. "Early Exercise Decision in American Options with Dividends, Stochastic Volatility, and Jumps," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 55(1), pages 331-356, February.
    15. Wan, Xiangwei & Yang, Nian, 2021. "Hermite expansion of transition densities and European option prices for multivariate diffusions with jumps," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    16. Xiu, Dacheng, 2014. "Hermite polynomial based expansion of European option prices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 179(2), pages 158-177.
    17. Pagliarani, Stefano & Pascucci, Andrea, 2011. "Analytical approximation of the transition density in a local volatility model," MPRA Paper 31107, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Recchioni, Maria Cristina & Iori, Giulia & Tedeschi, Gabriele & Ouellette, Michelle S., 2021. "The complete Gaussian kernel in the multi-factor Heston model: Option pricing and implied volatility applications," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(1), pages 336-360.
    19. Michael Kurz, 2018. "Closed-form approximations in derivatives pricing: The Kristensen-Mele approach," Papers 1804.08904, arXiv.org.
    20. Yang, Nian & Chen, Nan & Wan, Xiangwei, 2019. "A new delta expansion for multivariate diffusions via the Itô-Taylor expansion," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 209(2), pages 256-288.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset pricing; stochastic volatility; the term-structure of interest rates; closed-form approximations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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