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Local Whittle Analysis of Stationary Fractional Cointegration

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Author Info

  • Morten Oerregaard Nielsen

    ()
    (Department of Economics, University of Aarhus, Denmark)

Abstract

We consider a local Whittle analysis of a stationary fractionally cointegrated model. A two step estimator equivalent to the local Whittle QMLE is proposed to jointly estimate the integration orders of the regressors, the integration order of the errors, and the cointegration vector. The estimator is semiparametric in the sense that it employs local assumptions on the joint spectral density matrix of the regressors and the errors near the zero frequency. We show that, for the entire stationary region of the integration orders, the estimator is asymptotically normal with block diagonal covariance matrix. Thus, the estimates of the integration orders are asymptotically independent of the estimate of the cointegration vector. Furthermore, our estimator of the cointegrating vector is asymptotically normal for a wider range of integration orders than the narrow band frequency domain least squares estimator and is superior with respect to asymptotic variance. An application to financial volatility series is offered.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus in its series Economics Working Papers with number 2002-8.

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Length: 27
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Handle: RePEc:aah:aarhec:2002-8

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Web page: http://www.econ.au.dk/afn/

Related research

Keywords: Fractional Cointegration; Fractional Integration; Whittle Likelihood; Long Memory; Realized Volatility; Semiparametric Estimation;

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References

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  1. D Marinucci & Peter M Robinson, 2001. "Semiparametric Fractional Cointegration Analysis," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2001/420, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
  2. Robinson, Peter M. & Yajima, Yoshihiro, 2002. "Determination of cointegrating rank in fractional systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 106(2), pages 217-241, February.
  3. Lobato, Ignacio N., 1999. "A semiparametric two-step estimator in a multivariate long memory model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 129-153, May.
  4. Michael Dueker & Richard Startz, 1998. "Maximum-Likelihood Estimation Of Fractional Cointegration With An Application To U.S. And Canadian Bond Rates," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 80(3), pages 420-426, August.
  5. Hassler, U. & Marmol, F. & Velasco, C., 2006. "Residual log-periodogram inference for long-run relationships," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 130(1), pages 165-207, January.
  6. Granger, C. W. J., 1981. "Some properties of time series data and their use in econometric model specification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 121-130, May.
  7. Carlos Velasco, 2003. "Gaussian Semi-parametric Estimation of Fractional Cointegration," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(3), pages 345-378, 05.
  8. Lobato, Ignacio N & Velasco, Carlos, 2000. "Long Memory in Stock-Market Trading Volume," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 18(4), pages 410-27, October.
  9. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Diebold, Francis X. & Ebens, Heiko, 2001. "The distribution of realized stock return volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 43-76, July.
  10. Lobato, I. & Robinson, P. M., 1996. "Averaged periodogram estimation of long memory," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 303-324, July.
  11. D Marinucci & Peter M. Robinson, 1998. "Semiparametric frequency domain analysis of fractional cointegration," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2258, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  12. D Marinucci & Peter M. Robinson, 2001. "Semiparametric fractional cointegration analysis," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2269, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  13. Christensen, B. J. & Prabhala, N. R., 1998. "The relation between implied and realized volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 125-150, November.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2004. "Spectral analysis of fractionally cointegrated systems," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 225-231, May.
  2. Shimotsu, Katsumi, 2012. "Exact local Whittle estimation of fractionally cointegrated systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 266-278.
  3. Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2005. "Noncontemporaneous cointegration and the importance of timing," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 113-119, January.
  4. Peter M Robinson, 2007. "Multiple Local Whittle Estimation in StationarySystems," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2007/525, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.

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