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Investment under Uncertainty - the Case of Repeated Investment Options

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Author Info
Nikolaj Malchow-Moeller
Bo Jellesmark Thorsen () (Department of Economics, University of Aarhus, Denmark)

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Abstract

This paper considers optimal investment behaviour when investment options evolve deterministically or stochastically over time and investments are irreversible and indivisible. It extends the standard investment-under-uncertainty set-up with a single investment option to the case of repeated options. Analytical solutions are derived for the deterministic case and for the case of a geometric Brownian motion. It is argued that when investment options are repeated, the simple net-present-value rule in general fares better as an investment criterion than the rule derived from the single-option approach. Furthermore, sensitivity analyses reveal that the effects of parameter changes are very different when using the repeated-options approach instead of the single-option approach.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus in its series Economics Working Papers with number 2000-15.

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Handle: RePEc:aah:aarhec:2000-15

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Related research
Keywords: Geometric Brownian motion; indivisibility; investment; irreversibility; repeated options; replacement; stochastic processes; technology; uncertainty;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior
D9 - Microeconomics - - Intertemporal Choice and Growth
O3 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change
Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets

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  6. Graham Elliott & Michael Jansson, . "Testing for Unit Roots with Stationary Covariates," Economics Working Papers 2000-6, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Rosholm, Michael & Svarer, Michael, 2001. "Structurally dependent competing risks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 169-173, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Licun Xue, . "A Notion of Consistent Rationalizability - Between Weak and Pearce's Extensive Form Rationalizability," Economics Working Papers 2000-4, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
  9. Caballero, Ricardo J, 1993. "Durable Goods: An Explanation for Their Slow Adjustment," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 101(2), pages 351-84, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Mauer, David C. & Ott, Steven H., 1995. "Investment under Uncertainty: The Case of Replacement Investment Decisions," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(04), pages 581-605, December. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Niels Haldrup & Peter Lildholdt, 2005. "Local power functions of tests for double unit roots," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 59(2), pages 159-179. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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