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The "great moderation" and the monetary transmission mechanism in Chile

In: Transmission mechanisms for monetary policy in emerging market economies

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  • Cristina Betancour

    (Central Bank of Chile)

  • José De Gregorio

    (Central Bank of Chile)

  • Juan Pablo Medina

    (Central Bank of Chile)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the significant reduction in the volatility of output growth and inflation seen in the Chilean economy in the present decade. This reduced volatility, sometimes called the “great moderation,” coincides with several important changes to the Chilean macroeconomic framework, including the establishment of a full-fledged inflation targeting regime for monetary policy and a rule based on a target for the structural fiscal surplus. The paper examines the impact of these changes on the monetary transmission mechanism and explores how the “great moderation” has been affected by economic shocks and by the endogenous response of policy as reflected in the monetary transmission mechanism. The paper also reports results of a monetary vector autoregression model that finds important changes in the way shocks are transmitted to the Chilean economy.
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Suggested Citation

  • Cristina Betancour & José De Gregorio & Juan Pablo Medina, 2008. "The "great moderation" and the monetary transmission mechanism in Chile," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Transmission mechanisms for monetary policy in emerging market economies, volume 35, pages 159-178, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:bisbpc:35-07
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bank for International Settlements & Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, 2008. "New financing trends in Latin America: a bumpy road towards stability," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 36.
    2. James L Butkiewicz & Zeliha Ozdogan, 2014. "Financial crisis, monetary policy reform and the monetary transmission mechanism in Turkey," Middle East Development Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 66-83, January.
    3. Serge Jeanneau & Camilo E Tovar, 2008. "Domestic securities markets and monetary policy in Latin America: overview and implications," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), New financing trends in Latin America: a bumpy road towards stability, volume 36, pages 140-163, Bank for International Settlements.
    4. Jorge David Quintero Otero, 2015. "Impactos de la política monetaria y canales de transmisión en países de América Latina con esquema de inflación objetivo," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 33(76), pages 61-75, April.
    5. Mr. Donal McGettigan & Mr. Kenji Moriyama & Mr. Jean F Noah Ndela Ntsama & Mr. Francois Painchaud & Mr. Haonan Qu & Mr. Chad Steinberg, 2013. "Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets: Taming the Cycle," IMF Working Papers 2013/096, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Gamber, Edward N. & Smith, Julie K. & Weiss, Matthew A., 2011. "Forecast errors before and during the Great Moderation," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 63(4), pages 278-289, July.
    7. José De Gregorio, 2008. "The Great Moderation and the Risk of Inflation: A View From Developing Countries," Economic Policy Papers Central Bank of Chile 24, Central Bank of Chile.

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