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Aleksander Welfe

Personal Details

First Name:Aleksander
Middle Name:
Last Name:Welfe
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pwe261
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
http://econometrics.uni.lodz.pl
Chair of Econometric Models and Forecasts 41, Rewolucji 1905r. Str. 90-214 Lodz Poland

Affiliation

(50%) Katedra Modeli i Prognoz Ekonometrycznych
Wydział Ekonomiczno-Socjologiczny
Uniwersytet Łódzki

Łódź, Poland
http://www.econometrics.uni.lodz.pl/
RePEc:edi:kmlodpl (more details at EDIRC)

(50%) Zakład Ekonometrii Stosowanej
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie

Warszawa, Poland
http://www.sgh.waw.pl/instytuty/zes
RePEc:edi:dxwawpl (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles Chapters

Working papers

  1. Piotr Keblowski & Aleksander Welfe, 2011. "A Risk-Driven Approach to Exchange-Rate Modelling," Working Papers 57, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.
  2. Aleksander Welfe & Piotr Keblowski, 2006. "Price-Wage System with Taxation: Multivariate Cointegration Analysis," Working Papers 13, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.
  3. Janusz Brzeszczynski & Aleksander Welfe, 2004. "Determinants of Short-term Volatility at the Warsaw Stock Exchange: In-sample vs. Out-of-sample Forecasts from Factor and Predictive GARCH Models," CERT Discussion Papers 0408, Centre for Economic Reform and Transformation, Heriot Watt University.
  4. Welfe, Aleksander, 1994. "The price-wage inflationary spiral: The mixed economic case," Discussion Papers 13, University of Konstanz, Center for International Labor Economics (CILE).
  5. Jacek Osiewalski & Aleksander Welfe, "undated". "The Price-Wage Mechanism in Poland: An Endogenous Switching Model," Ace Project Memoranda 96/2, Department of Economics, University of Leicester.

Articles

  1. Lukasz T. Gatarek & Aleksander Welfe, 2023. "Forecasting nonstationary time series," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1930-1949, November.
  2. Moenke Anna & Welfe Aleksander, 2022. "A Tripolar Model of Gas Price Formation in Germany. Does the Shale Revolution in the US Matter?," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 242(4), pages 501-520, August.
  3. Emilia Gosińska & Aleksander Welfe, 2022. "The Cointegrated VAR Model with Deterministic Structural Breaks," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 14(3), pages 335-350, September.
  4. Grabowski, Wojciech & Welfe, Aleksander, 2020. "The Tobit cointegrated vector autoregressive model: An application to the currency market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 88-100.
  5. Emilia Gosińska & Katarzyna Leszkiewicz-Kędzior & Aleksander Welfe, 2020. "Who is responsible for asymmetric fuel price adjustments? An application of the threshold cointegrated VAR model," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 20(1), pages 59-73.
  6. Piotr Kębłowski & Katarzyna Leszkiewicz-Kędzior & Aleksander Welfe, 2020. "Real Exchange Rates, Oil Price Spillover Effects, and Tripolarity," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(5), pages 415-435, September.
  7. Aleksander Welfe & Piotr Karp, 2018. "Wpływ potencjalnych zmian składników popytu finalnego na gospodarkę Polski. Analiza na podstawie modelu WM-1," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 35-50.
  8. Konopczak, Karolina & Welfe, Aleksander, 2017. "Convergence-driven inflation and the channels of its absorption," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1019-1034.
  9. Aleksander Welfe & Piotr Karp, 2017. "Makroekonometryczny miesięczny model gospodarki Polski WM-1," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 5-38.
  10. Wojciech Grabowski & Aleksander Welfe, 2016. "An Exchange Rate Model with Market Pressures and a Contagion Effect," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(12), pages 2706-2720, December.
  11. Katarzyna Leszkiewicz-Kędzior & Aleksander Welfe, 2014. "Asymmetric Price Adjustments in the Fuel Market," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 6(2), pages 105-127, June.
  12. Kębłowski, Piotr & Welfe, Aleksander, 2012. "A risk-driven approach to exchange rate modelling," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1473-1482.
  13. Michał Majsterek & Aleksander Welfe, 2012. "Price-wage nexus and the role of a tax system," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 121-133, February.
  14. Grabowski, Wojciech & Welfe, Aleksander, 2011. "Global stability of dynamic models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 782-784, May.
  15. Keblowski, Piotr & Welfe, Aleksander, 2010. "Estimation of the equilibrium exchange rate: The CHEER approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(7), pages 1385-1397, November.
  16. Janusz Brzeszczynski & Aleksander Welfe, 2007. "Are There Benefits from Trading Strategy Based on the Returns Spillovers to the Emerging Stock Markets?: Evidence from Poland," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(4), pages 74-92, August.
  17. Keblowski, Piotr & Welfe, Aleksander, 2004. "The ADF-KPSS test of the joint confirmation hypothesis of unit autoregressive root," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(2), pages 257-263, November.
  18. Welfe, Aleksander & Majsterek, Michal, 2002. "Wage and Price Inflation in Poland in the Period of Transition: The Cointegration Analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 205-219.
  19. Welfe, Aleksander, 2000. "Modeling inflation in Poland," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 375-385, August.
  20. Hall, Stephen & Mizon, Grayham E. & Welfe, Aleksander, 2000. "Modelling economies in transition: an introduction," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 339-357, August.
  21. Osiewalski, Jacek & Welfe, Aleksander, 1998. "The price-wage mechanism: An endogenous switching model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 365-374, February.
  22. Osiewalski, Jacek & Welfe, Aleksander, 1997. "The Price-Wage Mechanism in Poland: An Endogenous Switching Model," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 30(2-3), pages 205-220.
  23. Welfe, Aleksander, 1996. "The Price-Wage Inflationary Spiral in Poland," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 33-50.
  24. Welfe, Aleksander, 1991. "Modelling Wages in Centrally Planned Economies: The Case of Poland," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 47-58.
  25. Welfe, Aleksander, 1990. "State budget and inflation processes : Estimates for Poland," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 161-180, November.

Chapters

  1. Aleksander Welfe & Piotr Karp & Piotr Keblowski, 2004. "Modelling Polish Economy," Contributions to Economic Analysis, in: New Directions in Macromodelling, pages 197-211, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    RePEc:eme:cea111:s0573-8555(04)69008-0 is not listed on IDEAS

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Piotr Keblowski & Aleksander Welfe, 2011. "A Risk-Driven Approach to Exchange-Rate Modelling," Working Papers 57, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Rashid, Abdul & Saedan, Mashael, 2013. "Financial Crisis and Exchange Rates in Emerging Economics: An Empirical Analysis using PPP-UIP-Framework," MPRA Paper 49832, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Robert Kelm, 2017. "The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle and Imperfect Knowledge: The Case of the Polish Zloty," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, March.
    3. Ibhagui, Oyakhilome, 2020. "Sovereign Risk, Cross-Currency Basis and Equity Markets: A Cross-Market Dynamic Interaction," MPRA Paper 100946, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Kerstin Bernoth & Helmut Herwartz, 2019. "Exchange Rates, Foreign Currency Exposure and Sovereign Risk," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1792, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    5. Piotr Karp, 2015. "Asymetryczny wpływ zmian kursu walutowego na gospodarkę Polski," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 6, pages 29-49.
    6. Piotr Kębłowski, 2011. "The Behaviour of Exchange Rates in the Central European Countries and Credit Default Risk Premiums," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 3(4), pages 221-236, December.
    7. Ojeda-Joya, Jair N. & Sarmiento, Gloria, 2018. "Sovereign risk and the real exchange rate: A non-linear approach," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 1-14.
    8. Ca' Zorzi, Michele & Kocięcki, Andrzej & Rubaszek, Michał, 2015. "Bayesian forecasting of real exchange rates with a Dornbusch prior," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 53-60.
    9. Ibhagui, Oyakhilome, 2021. "How do sovereign risk, equity and foreign exchange derivatives markets interact?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 58-78.
    10. Aleksander Welfe & Piotr Karp, 2017. "Makroekonometryczny miesięczny model gospodarki Polski WM-1," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 5-38.
    11. Adrian Marek Burda, 2022. "How Well Do Contemporary Theories Explain Floating Exchange Rate Changes in an Emerging Economy: The Case of EUR/PLN," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-20, November.
    12. Ur Koumba & Calvin Mudzingiri & Jules Mba, 2020. "Does uncertainty predict cryptocurrency returns? A copula-based approach," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 67-88, January.
    13. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Kofi Agyarko Ababio & Jules Mba & Ur Koumba & Makgale Molepo, 2018. "Risk, Uncertainty and Exchange Rate Behavior in South Africa," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 262-278, April.

  2. Welfe, Aleksander, 1994. "The price-wage inflationary spiral: The mixed economic case," Discussion Papers 13, University of Konstanz, Center for International Labor Economics (CILE).

    Cited by:

    1. Franz, Wolfgang, 1995. "Central and East European Labour Markets in Transition: Developments, Causes, and Cures," CEPR Discussion Papers 1132, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Micha³ Majsterek, 2018. "Stock and Flows in the Countegration Context," Lodz Economics Working Papers 3/2018, University of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology.

  3. Jacek Osiewalski & Aleksander Welfe, "undated". "The Price-Wage Mechanism in Poland: An Endogenous Switching Model," Ace Project Memoranda 96/2, Department of Economics, University of Leicester.

    Cited by:

    1. Welfe, Aleksander, 2000. "Modeling inflation in Poland," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 375-385, August.
    2. Osiewalski, Jacek & Welfe, Aleksander, 1998. "The price-wage mechanism: An endogenous switching model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 365-374, February.
    3. Tihomir Enev & Kenneth Koford, 2000. "The Effect of Incomes Policies on Inflation in Bulgaria and Poland," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 141-169, October.

Articles

  1. Grabowski, Wojciech & Welfe, Aleksander, 2020. "The Tobit cointegrated vector autoregressive model: An application to the currency market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 88-100.

    Cited by:

    1. Grabowski, Wojciech & Janus, Jakub & Stawasz-Grabowska, Ewa, 2023. "The COVID-19 pandemic and financial markets in Central Europe: Macroeconomic measures and international policy spillovers," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    2. Piotr Dybka, 2020. "One model or many? Exchange rates determinants and their predictive capabilities," KAE Working Papers 2020-053, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    3. Zuzana Rowland & George Lazaroiu & Ivana Podhorská, 2020. "Use of Neural Networks to Accommodate Seasonal Fluctuations When Equalizing Time Series for the CZK/RMB Exchange Rate," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.
    4. Wojciech Grabowski, 2019. "Givers or Recipients? Co-Movements between Stock Markets of CEE-3 and Developed Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-24, November.

  2. Piotr Kębłowski & Katarzyna Leszkiewicz-Kędzior & Aleksander Welfe, 2020. "Real Exchange Rates, Oil Price Spillover Effects, and Tripolarity," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(5), pages 415-435, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Anna Pajor & Justyna Wróblewska, 2022. "Forecasting performance of Bayesian VEC-MSF models for financial data in the presence of long-run relationships," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 427-448, September.
    2. Zhu, Huiming & Li, Shuang & Huang, Zishan, 2023. "Frequency domain quantile dependence and connectedness between crude oil and exchange rates: Evidence from oil-importing and exporting countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 1-30.
    3. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Janus, Jakub, 2021. "Does the interest parity puzzle hold for Central and Eastern European economies?," MPRA Paper 107558, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Financial stress, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).

  3. Konopczak, Karolina & Welfe, Aleksander, 2017. "Convergence-driven inflation and the channels of its absorption," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1019-1034.

    Cited by:

    1. Alexandre Ripamonti, 2019. "Capital Structure Adjustments and Asymmetric Information," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(12), pages 1-1, December.
    2. Ripamonti, Alexandre & Silva, Diego & Moreira Neto, Eurico, 2018. "Asset Pricing and Asymmetric Information," MPRA Paper 87403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Liu, Tie-Ying & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2021. "Global convergence of inflation rates," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    4. Ripamonti, Alexandre, 2019. "Capital Structure Adjustments and Asymmetric Information," MPRA Paper 96936, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Grabowski, Wojciech & Welfe, Aleksander, 2020. "The Tobit cointegrated vector autoregressive model: An application to the currency market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 88-100.

  4. Aleksander Welfe & Piotr Karp, 2017. "Makroekonometryczny miesięczny model gospodarki Polski WM-1," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 5-38.

    Cited by:

    1. Magdalena Ulrichs & Emilia Gosińska, 2020. "Sektorowe funkcje produkcji - wnioski z modeli panelowych dla Polski," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 2, pages 71-94.
    2. Piotr Karp, 2015. "Asymetryczny wpływ zmian kursu walutowego na gospodarkę Polski," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 6, pages 29-49.
    3. Robert Socha & Piotr Wdowiński, 2018. "Crude oil price and speculative activity: a cointegration analysis," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 10(3), pages 263-304, September.

  5. Wojciech Grabowski & Aleksander Welfe, 2016. "An Exchange Rate Model with Market Pressures and a Contagion Effect," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(12), pages 2706-2720, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Robert Kelm, 2017. "The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle and Imperfect Knowledge: The Case of the Polish Zloty," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, March.
    2. Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Rojas-Espinosa, Wilmer, 2019. "Detecting contagion in Asian exchange rate markets using asymmetric DCC-GARCH and R-vine copulas," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(3).
    3. Grabowski, Wojciech & Welfe, Aleksander, 2020. "The Tobit cointegrated vector autoregressive model: An application to the currency market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 88-100.
    4. Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Saeed, Tareq & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Extreme spillovers across Asian-Pacific currencies: A quantile-based analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    5. Wojciech Grabowski, 2019. "Givers or Recipients? Co-Movements between Stock Markets of CEE-3 and Developed Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-24, November.

  6. Katarzyna Leszkiewicz-Kędzior & Aleksander Welfe, 2014. "Asymmetric Price Adjustments in the Fuel Market," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 6(2), pages 105-127, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Utku Özmen, Mustafa & Akçelik, Fatih, 2017. "Asymmetric exchange rate and oil price pass-through in motor fuel market: A microeconometric approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 64-75.
    2. Sylwester Bejger, 2019. "Wholesale fuel price adjustment in Poland: examination of competi-tive performance," Ekonomia i Prawo, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 18(4), pages 385-412, December.
    3. Piotr Karp, 2015. "Asymetryczny wpływ zmian kursu walutowego na gospodarkę Polski," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 6, pages 29-49.
    4. Robert Socha & Piotr Wdowiński, 2018. "Tendencje zmian cen na światowym rynku ropy naftowej po 2000 roku," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 1, pages 103-135.
    5. Aleksander Welfe & Piotr Karp, 2017. "Makroekonometryczny miesięczny model gospodarki Polski WM-1," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 5-38.
    6. Robert Socha & Piotr Wdowiński, 2018. "Crude oil price and speculative activity: a cointegration analysis," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 10(3), pages 263-304, September.

  7. Kębłowski, Piotr & Welfe, Aleksander, 2012. "A risk-driven approach to exchange rate modelling," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1473-1482.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Michał Majsterek & Aleksander Welfe, 2012. "Price-wage nexus and the role of a tax system," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 121-133, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Piotr Kębłowski, 2011. "The Behaviour of Exchange Rates in the Central European Countries and Credit Default Risk Premiums," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 3(4), pages 221-236, December.
    2. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Andrea Mervar & James E. Payne, 2017. "The stationarity of inflation in Croatia: anti-inflation stabilization program and the change in persistence," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 50(1), pages 45-58, February.
    3. Robert Kelm & Izabela Sobiech Pellegrini, 2023. "Import inflacji i sprzężenie płacowo-cenowe w Polsce," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 3, pages 48-70.
    4. Krzysztof DRACHAL, 2020. "Forecasting the Inflation Rate in Poland and U.S. Using Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA) and Google Queries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 18-34, July.

  9. Grabowski, Wojciech & Welfe, Aleksander, 2011. "Global stability of dynamic models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 782-784, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Piotr Karp, 2015. "Asymetryczny wpływ zmian kursu walutowego na gospodarkę Polski," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 6, pages 29-49.
    2. Michał Majsterek & Aleksander Welfe, 2012. "Price-wage nexus and the role of a tax system," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 121-133, February.
    3. Robert Kelm, 2016. "Eksport, import i kurs złotego: 2000−2014," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 47(6), pages 585-620.
    4. Konopczak, Karolina & Welfe, Aleksander, 2017. "Convergence-driven inflation and the channels of its absorption," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1019-1034.
    5. Aleksander Welfe & Piotr Karp, 2017. "Makroekonometryczny miesięczny model gospodarki Polski WM-1," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 5-38.
    6. Katarzyna Leszkiewicz-Kędzior, 2011. "Modelling Fuel Prices. An I(1) Analysis," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 3(2), pages 75-95, June.

  10. Keblowski, Piotr & Welfe, Aleksander, 2010. "Estimation of the equilibrium exchange rate: The CHEER approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(7), pages 1385-1397, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Grzegorz Masik, 2014. "Economic Resilience To Crisis. The Case Study Of The Pomorskie Region In Poland," Economy & Business Journal, International Scientific Publications, Bulgaria, vol. 8(1), pages 72-83.
    2. Roszkowski, Piotr & Sławińska, Kamila & Torój, Andrzej, 2014. "BEER tastes better in a panel of neighbours. On equilibrium exchange rates in CEE countries," MF Working Papers 20, Ministry of Finance in Poland.
    3. Piotr Karp, 2015. "Asymetryczny wpływ zmian kursu walutowego na gospodarkę Polski," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 6, pages 29-49.
    4. Piotr Kębłowski, 2011. "The Behaviour of Exchange Rates in the Central European Countries and Credit Default Risk Premiums," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 3(4), pages 221-236, December.
    5. Kębłowski, Piotr & Welfe, Aleksander, 2012. "A risk-driven approach to exchange rate modelling," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1473-1482.
    6. Aleksander Welfe & Piotr Karp, 2017. "Makroekonometryczny miesięczny model gospodarki Polski WM-1," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 5-38.
    7. Adrian Marek Burda, 2022. "How Well Do Contemporary Theories Explain Floating Exchange Rate Changes in an Emerging Economy: The Case of EUR/PLN," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-20, November.
    8. Giannellis, Nikolaos & Koukouritakis, Minoas, 2013. "Exchange rate misalignment and inflation rate persistence: Evidence from Latin American countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 202-218.
    9. Grabowski, Wojciech & Welfe, Aleksander, 2020. "The Tobit cointegrated vector autoregressive model: An application to the currency market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 88-100.
    10. Katarzyna Leszkiewicz-Kędzior, 2011. "Modelling Fuel Prices. An I(1) Analysis," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 3(2), pages 75-95, June.
    11. Robert Kelm, 2010. "The Exchange Rate and Two Price Inflations in Poland in the Period 1999-2009. Do Globalization and Balassa-Samuelson Effect Matter?," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 2(4), pages 315-349, September.

  11. Janusz Brzeszczynski & Aleksander Welfe, 2007. "Are There Benefits from Trading Strategy Based on the Returns Spillovers to the Emerging Stock Markets?: Evidence from Poland," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(4), pages 74-92, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Joanna Olbrys, 2013. "Price and Volatility Spillovers in the Case of Stock Markets Located in Different Time Zones," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(S2), pages 145-157, March.
    2. Yan-Ting Lin & Shang-Chi Gong & Sou-Shan Wu & Tsung-Pei Lee, 2012. "E/P Mean Reversion-Based Strategies for Investment Practice: Evidence from the Taiwan Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 117-131, January.
    3. Grabowski, Wojciech & Janus, Jakub & Stawasz-Grabowska, Ewa, 2023. "The COVID-19 pandemic and financial markets in Central Europe: Macroeconomic measures and international policy spillovers," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    4. Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Gajdka, Jerzy & Kutan, Ali M., 2015. "Investor response to public news, sentiment and institutional trading in emerging markets: A review," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 338-352.
    5. Francisco Jareño & Ana Escribano & Monika W. Koczar, 2020. "Non-Linear Interdependencies between International Stock Markets: The Polish and Spanish Case," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.
    6. Joanna Olbryś & Elżbieta Majewska, 2014. "Implications of market frictions: serial correlations in indexes on the emerging stock markets in Central and Eastern Europe," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 24(1), pages 51-70.
    7. Wojciech Grabowski, 2019. "Givers or Recipients? Co-Movements between Stock Markets of CEE-3 and Developed Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-24, November.

  12. Keblowski, Piotr & Welfe, Aleksander, 2004. "The ADF-KPSS test of the joint confirmation hypothesis of unit autoregressive root," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(2), pages 257-263, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Aleksander Welfe & Piotr Keblowski, 2006. "Price-Wage System with Taxation: Multivariate Cointegration Analysis," Working Papers 13, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.
    2. Roe, Terry L. & Shane, Mathew & Somwaru, Agapi, 2006. "Exchange Rates, Foreign Income and U.S. Agriculture," Bulletins 12975, University of Minnesota, Economic Development Center.
    3. Keblowski, Piotr & Welfe, Aleksander, 2010. "Estimation of the equilibrium exchange rate: The CHEER approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(7), pages 1385-1397, November.
    4. Canêdo-Pinheiro, Mauricio, 2012. "Assimetrias na transmissão dos preços dos combustíveis: O caso do óleo diesel no Brasil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 66(4), December.
    5. Michał Majsterek & Aleksander Welfe, 2012. "Price-wage nexus and the role of a tax system," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 121-133, February.
    6. Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre & Andreu Sansó, 2005. "The KPSS Test with Two Structural Breaks," DEA Working Papers 13, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada.
    7. Myriam Nourry, 2009. "Re-Examining the Empirical Evidence for Stochastic Convergence of Two Air Pollutants with a Pair-Wise Approach," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 44(4), pages 555-570, December.
    8. Kunst, Robert M., 2005. "Approaches for the Joint Evaluation of Hypothesis Tests: Classical Testing, Bayes Testing, and Joint Confirmation," Economics Series 177, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    9. Arnade, Carlos Anthony, 2006. "Shock Absorbing Prices, a Look at Cattle and Feed," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21408, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    10. Marta Skrzypczyńska, 2014. "Cyclical Processes in the Polish Economy," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 6(3), pages 153-192, September.
    11. Peter Sephton, 2017. "Finite Sample Critical Values of the Generalized KPSS Stationarity Test," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 50(1), pages 161-172, June.
    12. Cavalcante, Mileno, 2010. "An Analysis of the relationship between WTI term structure and oil market fundamentals in 2002-2009," MPRA Paper 24263, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  13. Welfe, Aleksander & Majsterek, Michal, 2002. "Wage and Price Inflation in Poland in the Period of Transition: The Cointegration Analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 205-219.

    Cited by:

    1. Melike Bildirici & Elçin Aykaç Alp, 2012. "Minimum wage is efficient wage in Turkish labor market: TAR–cointegration analysis," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 1261-1270, June.
    2. Micha³ Majsterek, 2018. "Stock and Flows in the Countegration Context," Lodz Economics Working Papers 3/2018, University of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology.
    3. Krzysztof DRACHAL, 2020. "Forecasting the Inflation Rate in Poland and U.S. Using Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA) and Google Queries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 18-34, July.
    4. Justyna Wróblewska, 2009. "Bayesian Model Selection in the Analysis of Cointegration," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 1(1), pages 57-69, March.

  14. Welfe, Aleksander, 2000. "Modeling inflation in Poland," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 375-385, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Aleksander Welfe & Piotr Keblowski, 2006. "Price-Wage System with Taxation: Multivariate Cointegration Analysis," Working Papers 13, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.
    2. Onishchenko Kateryna, 2011. "Can a pure real business cycle model explain the real exchange rate: the case of Ukraine," EERC Working Paper Series 11/04e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
    3. Nurudeen Abu, 2019. "Inflation and Unemployment Trade-off: A Re-examination of the Phillips Curve and its Stability in Nigeria," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 13(1), March.
    4. Erjavec, Natasa, 2003. "Applied macroeconometrics in transition economy: Croatian experience," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 23444, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Raghbendra Jha, 2008. "Inflation targeting in India: issues and prospects," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(2), pages 259-270.
    6. Moller Andersen, Frits & Celov, Dmitry & Grinderslev, Dorte & Kazlauskas, Arvydas, 2005. "A macro-econometric model of Lithuania LITMOD," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 707-719, July.
    7. Koskinen, Juha-Pekka & Koivu, Tuuli & Chowdhury, Abdur, 2004. "Selecting inflation indicators under an inflation targeting regime: evidence from the MCL method," BOFIT Discussion Papers 16/2004, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    8. Vesna BUCEVSKA, 2010. "A Macroeconometric Model for the Republic of Macedonia," EcoMod2004 330600030, EcoMod.
    9. van Aarle, Bas & de Jong, Eelke & Sosoian, Robert, 2006. "Exchange rate management in Ukraine: Is there a case for more flexibility?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 282-305, October.
    10. Ranjith Bandara, 2011. "The Determinants of Inflation in Sri Lanka," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 12(2), pages 271-286, September.
    11. Krzysztof DRACHAL, 2020. "Forecasting the Inflation Rate in Poland and U.S. Using Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA) and Google Queries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 18-34, July.

  15. Hall, Stephen & Mizon, Grayham E. & Welfe, Aleksander, 2000. "Modelling economies in transition: an introduction," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 339-357, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Onishchenko Kateryna, 2011. "Can a pure real business cycle model explain the real exchange rate: the case of Ukraine," EERC Working Paper Series 11/04e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
    2. Erjavec, Natasa, 2003. "Applied macroeconometrics in transition economy: Croatian experience," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 23444, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Julian Ramajo & Miguel A. Marquez, 1998. "Structural change in regional economies: A varying coefficients econometric modeling approach," ERSA conference papers ersa98p189, European Regional Science Association.
    4. Bruno Merlevede & Joseph Plasmans & Bas van Aarle, 2003. "A Small Macroeconomic Model of the EU-Accession Countries," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 221-250, July.
    5. Moller Andersen, Frits & Celov, Dmitry & Grinderslev, Dorte & Kazlauskas, Arvydas, 2005. "A macro-econometric model of Lithuania LITMOD," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 707-719, July.
    6. Vesna BUCEVSKA, 2010. "A Macroeconometric Model for the Republic of Macedonia," EcoMod2004 330600030, EcoMod.
    7. van Aarle, Bas & de Jong, Eelke & Sosoian, Robert, 2006. "Exchange rate management in Ukraine: Is there a case for more flexibility?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 282-305, October.
    8. Michał Greszta & Wojciech Maciejewski, 2005. "Kombinowanie prognoz gospodarki Polski," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 5-6, pages 49-61.
    9. David F. Hendry & Massimiliano Marcellino & Chiara Monfardini, 2008. "Foreword," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 711-714, December.
    10. Peeters, Marga, 2011. "Demographic pressure, excess labour supply and public-private sector employment in Egypt - Modelling labour supply to analyse the response of unemployment, public finances and welfare," MPRA Paper 31101, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Ivan Baboucek & Martin Jancar, 2005. "Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks to the Quality of the Aggregate Loan Portfolio," Working Papers 2005/01, Czech National Bank.
    12. Cheong, ChongCheul, 2003. "Regime changes and econometric modeling of the demand for money in Korea," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 437-453, May.

  16. Osiewalski, Jacek & Welfe, Aleksander, 1998. "The price-wage mechanism: An endogenous switching model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 365-374, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Welfe, Aleksander, 2000. "Modeling inflation in Poland," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 375-385, August.
    2. LUBRANO, Michel, 1998. "Smooth transition GARCH models: a Bayesian perspective," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 1998066, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    3. Uctum, Remzi, 2007. "Économétrie des modèles à changement de régimes : un essai de synthèse," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 83(4), pages 447-482, décembre.
    4. Sylwia Roszkowska & Aleksandra Rogut, 2010. "Wages, Prices and Unemployment in Poland," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 7-8, pages 21-43.
    5. Justyna Wróblewska, 2009. "Bayesian Model Selection in the Analysis of Cointegration," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 1(1), pages 57-69, March.

  17. Osiewalski, Jacek & Welfe, Aleksander, 1997. "The Price-Wage Mechanism in Poland: An Endogenous Switching Model," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 30(2-3), pages 205-220.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  18. Welfe, Aleksander, 1996. "The Price-Wage Inflationary Spiral in Poland," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 33-50.

    Cited by:

    1. Welfe, Aleksander, 2000. "Modeling inflation in Poland," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 375-385, August.
    2. Jacek Osiewalski & Aleksander Welfe, 1997. "The Price-Wage Mechanism in Poland: An Endogenous Switching Model," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 205-220, May.
    3. Franz, Wolfgang, 1995. "Central and East European Labour Markets in Transition: Developments, Causes, and Cures," CEPR Discussion Papers 1132, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mizon, Grayham E., 2000. "Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland and the UK," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 387-413, August.
    5. Osiewalski, Jacek & Welfe, Aleksander, 1998. "The price-wage mechanism: An endogenous switching model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 365-374, February.
    6. ter Horst, H.A.F., 1996. "Socialism, Capitalism, and Transition with Special Reference to Poland," Other publications TiSEM 58e2e881-80c1-45a0-8ce8-7, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    7. Tihomir Enev & Kenneth Koford, 2000. "The Effect of Incomes Policies on Inflation in Bulgaria and Poland," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 141-169, October.

  19. Welfe, Aleksander, 1991. "Modelling Wages in Centrally Planned Economies: The Case of Poland," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 47-58.

    Cited by:

    1. Welfe, Aleksander, 2000. "Modeling inflation in Poland," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 375-385, August.
    2. Welfe, Aleksander, 1994. "The price-wage inflationary spiral: The mixed economic case," Discussion Papers 13, University of Konstanz, Center for International Labor Economics (CILE).
    3. Jacek Osiewalski & Aleksander Welfe, 1997. "The Price-Wage Mechanism in Poland: An Endogenous Switching Model," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 205-220, May.
    4. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mizon, Grayham E., 2000. "Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland and the UK," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 387-413, August.
    5. Osiewalski, Jacek & Welfe, Aleksander, 1998. "The price-wage mechanism: An endogenous switching model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 365-374, February.
    6. Welfe, Aleksander, 1996. "The Price-Wage Inflationary Spiral in Poland," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 33-50.

  20. Welfe, Aleksander, 1990. "State budget and inflation processes : Estimates for Poland," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 161-180, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Welfe, Aleksander, 1994. "The price-wage inflationary spiral: The mixed economic case," Discussion Papers 13, University of Konstanz, Center for International Labor Economics (CILE).
    2. Liu, Tie-Ying & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2021. "Global convergence of inflation rates," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    3. Welfe, Aleksander, 1996. "The Price-Wage Inflationary Spiral in Poland," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 33-50.

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NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 2 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-TRA: Transition Economics (2) 2004-10-21 2011-10-09
  2. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (1) 2011-10-09
  3. NEP-IFN: International Finance (1) 2011-10-09
  4. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (1) 2011-10-09
  5. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (1) 2004-10-21

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