- Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2009.
"Selecting nonlinear time series models using information criteria,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 30(4), pages 369-394, 07.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Michael Dueker & Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2009.
"Multivariate Contemporaneous Threshold Autoregressive Models,"
Department of Economics Working Papers
2009-03, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Dueker, Michael J. & Sola, Martin & Spagnolo, Fabio, 2007.
"Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: Estimation, testing and forecasting,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 517-547, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
- Michael J. Dueker & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2006.
"Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: estimation, testing and forecasting,"
Working Papers
2003-024, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
- Michael Dueker & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2006.
"Contemporaneous Threshold Autoregressive Models: Estimation, Testing and Forecasting,"
Department of Economics Working Papers
2006-04, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
[Downloadable!]
- Michael Dueker & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2007.
"Contemporaneous Threshold Autoregressive Models: Estimation, Testing and Forecasting,"
Discussion Papers
5_2007, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
[Downloadable!]
See citations under working paper version above.
- Driffill, John & Sola, Martin, 2006.
"Target zones for exchange rates and policy changes,"
Journal of International Money and Finance,
Elsevier, vol. 25(6), pages 912-931, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Morten O. Ravn & Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola, 2005.
"Markov switching causality and the money-output relationship,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(5), pages 665-683.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Morten O. Ravn & Martin Sola, 2004.
"Asymmetric effects of monetary policy in the United States,"
Review,
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Sep, pages 41-60.
[Downloadable!]
Cited by:
- Karadi, Peter & Reiff, Adam, 2007.
"Menu Costs and Inflation Asymmetries - Some Micro Data Evidence,"
MPRA Paper
7102, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
- Babutsidze, Zakaria, 2006.
"(S,s) Pricing: Does the Heterogeneity Wipe Out the Asymmetry on Micro Level?,"
UNU-MERIT Working Paper Series
033, United Nations University, Maastricht Economic and social Research and training centre on Innovation and Technology.
[Downloadable!]
- Troy Davig & Eric Leeper, 2006.
"Endogenous monetary policy regime change,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 06-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper, 2006.
"Endogenous Monetary Policy Regime Change,"
Caepr Working Papers
2006-002, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Economics Department, Indiana University Bloomington.
[Downloadable!]
- Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper, 2006.
"Endogenous Monetary Policy Regime Change,"
NBER Working Papers
12405, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper, 2008.
"Endogenous Monetary Policy Regime Change,"
NBER Chapters,
in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2006, pages 345-391
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!]
- Matteo Modena, 2008.
"The Term Structure and the Expectations Hypothesis: a Threshold Model,"
Working Papers
2008_36, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Carles Ibanez, 2007.
"The Asymmetric Outcome of Sticky Price Models,"
Discussion Papers
07/19, Department of Economics, University of York.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter Karadi & Adam Reiff, 2007.
"Menu Costs and Inflation Asymmetries Some Micro Data Evidence,"
IEHAS Discussion Papers
0706, Institute of Economics, Hungarian Academy of Sciences.
[Downloadable!]
- Raybaudi, Marzia & Sola, Martin & Spagnolo, Fabio, 2004.
"Red signals: current account deficits and sustainability,"
Economics Letters,
Elsevier, vol. 84(2), pages 217-223, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Mark J. Holmes & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2009.
"Cointegration and asymmetric adjustment: Some new evidence concerning the behaviour of the US current account,"
Discussion Paper Series
2009_11, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised May 2009.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Theo Panagiotidis & Mark J Holmes, 2005.
"Sustainability and Asymmetric Adjustment: Some New Evidence Concerning Behaviour of the US Current Account,"
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005
29, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
[Downloadable!]
- Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2004.
"On Markov error-correction models, with an application to stock prices and dividends,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(1), pages 69-88.
[Downloadable!]
Cited by:
- Manzan, S., 2003.
"Nonlinear Mean Reversion in Stock Prices,"
CeNDEF Working Papers
03-02, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
[Downloadable!]
- Ihle, Rico & Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan von, 2008.
"A Comparison of Threshold Cointegration and Markov-Switching Vector Error Correction Models in Price Transmission Analysis,"
2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri
37603, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
[Downloadable!]
- marzia raybaudi & martin sola & fabio spagnolod, 2003.
"Red Signals: Trade Deficits and the Current Account,"
Public Policy Discussion Papers
03-14, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Fernando Alexandre & Vasco J. Gabriel & Pedro Bação, 2007.
"The Consumption-Wealth Ratio Under Asymmetric Adjustment,"
NIPE Working Papers
15/2007, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Myung Hwan Seo, 2007.
"Estimation of Nonlinear Error CorrectionModels,"
STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series
/2007/517, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
[Downloadable!]
- Dennis Kristensen & Anders Rahbek, 2007.
"Likelihood-Based Inference in Nonlinear Error-Correction Models,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-38, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!]
- Vasco Gabriel & Pataaree Sangduan, 2009.
"Assessing Fiscal Sustainability Subject to Policy Changes: a Markov Switching Cointegration Approach,"
Department of Economics Discussion Papers
0309, Department of Economics, University of Surrey.
[Downloadable!]
- Frömmel, Michael & Schmidt, Torsten, 2006.
"Bank Lending and Asset Prices in the Euro Area,"
Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover
dp-342, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Ihle, R. & von Cramon-Taubadel, S., 2008.
"Nonlinear Vector Error Correction Models in Price Transmission Analysis: Threshold Models vs. Markov-Switching Models,"
2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium
44198, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
[Downloadable!]
- Jose Eduardo de A. Ferreira, 2006.
"Effects of Fundamentals on the Exchange Rate: A Panel Analysis for a Sample of Industrialised and Emerging Economies,"
Studies in Economics
0603, Department of Economics, University of Kent.
[Downloadable!]
- Menelaos Karanasos & Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola, 2004.
"On the Autocorrelation Properties of Long-Memory GARCH Processes,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 25(2), pages 265-282, 03.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola, 2003.
"On detrending and cyclical asymmetry,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(3), pages 271-289.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Tronzano, Marco & Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin, 2003.
"Target zone credibility and economic fundamentals,"
Economic Modelling,
Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 791-807, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Rodríguez López, Mª A., 2002.
"Crisis de credibilidad de la peseta en las bandas del SME. Una aplicación del Modelo de Markov con saltos de régimen,"
Estudios de Economía Aplicada,
Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 20, pages 599-626, Diciembre.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- M. Araceli Rodríguez López, .
"Variables fundamentales o ataques "Self-fulfilling"? Una explicación a las crisis de credibilidad de la peseta española,"
Studies on the Spanish Economy
90, FEDEA.
[Downloadable!]
- Spronk, Jaap & Segovia, Trinidad & Evangelista, Juan, 2005.
"Más de medio siglo en busca de una teoría sobre los mercados de capitales/More than half century looking for a capital markets theory,"
Estudios de Economía Aplicada,
Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 23, pages 29-44, Abril.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- M. Isabel Campos & M. Araceli Rodríguez, .
"Crises and Credibility in a Target Zone: A Logit From a Markov-Switching Model,"
Working Papers on International Economics and Finance
00-05, FEDEA.
[Downloadable!]
- John Driffill & Marzia Raybaudi & Martin Sola, 2003.
"Investment Under Uncertainty with Stochastically Switching Profit Streams: Entry and Exit over the Business Cycle,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics,
Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 7(1).
[Downloadable!]
Cited by:
- Yu-Fu Chen & Michael Funke, 2009.
"Booms, Recessions and Financial Turmoil: A Fresh Look at Investment Decisions under Cyclical Uncertainty,"
Discussion Papers
225, University of Dundee, Economic Studies.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Francisco Ruiz-Aliseda & Jianjun Wu, 2007.
"Irreversible Investment in Stochastically Cyclical Markets,"
Economics Working Papers
1018, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
[Downloadable!]
- Yu-Fu Chen & Michael Funke, 2004.
"Cyclical Uncertainty And Physical Investment Decisions,"
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004
89, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
[Downloadable!]
- Sola, Martin & Spagnolo, Fabio & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2002.
"A test for volatility spillovers,"
Economics Letters,
Elsevier, vol. 76(1), pages 77-84, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
- Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2002.
"A Test for Volatility Spillovers,"
Public Policy Discussion Papers
02-04, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
- Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2002.
"A Test for Volatility Spillovers,"
Economics and Finance Discussion Papers
02-04, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
See citations under working paper version above.
- Gabriel, Vasco J. & Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin, 2002.
"A simple method of testing for cointegration subject to multiple regime changes,"
Economics Letters,
Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 213-221, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Vasco Gabriel & Pataaree Sangduan, 2009.
"Assessing Fiscal Sustainability Subject to Policy Changes: a Markov Switching Cointegration Approach,"
Department of Economics Discussion Papers
0309, Department of Economics, University of Surrey.
[Downloadable!]
- Juan M. Londoño & Marta Regulez & Jesús Vázquez, 2008.
"Another Look to the Price-Dividend Ratio: A Markov-Switching Approach,"
DFAEII Working Papers
200809, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II.
[Downloadable!]
- Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin & Spagnolo, Fabio, 2001.
"A simple procedure for detecting periodically collapsing rational bubbles,"
Economics Letters,
Elsevier, vol. 72(3), pages 317-323, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Brendan McCabe & Stephen Leybourne & David Harris, 2003.
"Testing for Stochastic Cointegration and Evidence for Present Value Models,"
Econometrics
0311009, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Garratt, Anthony & Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin, 2001.
"An empirical reassessment of target-zone nonlinearities,"
Journal of International Money and Finance,
Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 533-548, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Tronzano, Marco & Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin, 2000.
"Assessing the Credibility of a Target Zone: Evidence from EMS Countries,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 5(2), pages 107-20, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Gianni Amisano & Marco Tronzano, 2005.
"Assessing ECB?s Credibility During the First Years of the Eurosystem: A Bayesian Empirical Investigation,"
Working Papers
ubs0512, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter Tillmann, 2001.
"The Regime-Dependent Determination of Credibility: A New Look at European Interest Rate Differentials,"
IWP Discussion Paper Series
02/2001, Institute for Economic Policy, Cologne, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Laurence Fung & Ip-wing Yu, 2007.
"Assessing the Credibility of The Convertibility Zone of The Hong Kong Dollar,"
Working Papers
0719, Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
[Downloadable!]
- Hall, Stephen G & Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin, 1999.
"Detecting Periodically Collapsing Bubbles: A Markov-Switching Unit Root Test,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(2), pages 143-54, March-Apr.
[Downloadable!]
Cited by:
- Angelos Kanas, 2009.
"Real exchange rate, stationarity, and economic fundamentals,"
Journal of Economics and Finance,
Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 393-409, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Refet S. Gürkaynak, 2005.
"Econometric tests of asset price bubbles: taking stock,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2005-04, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Yunus Aksoy & Miguel A. Leon-Ledesma, 2007.
"Non-linearities and Unit Roots in G7 Macroeconomic Variables,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
0710, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Peter C.B. Phillips & Yangru Wu & Jun Yu, 2009.
"Explosive Behavior in the 1990s Nasdaq: When Did Exuberance Escalate Asset Values?,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
1699, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Anders Rahbek & Neil Shephard, 2001.
"Autoregressive conditional root model,"
Economics Papers
2002-W7, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, revised 01 Feb 2002.
[Downloadable!]
- marzia raybaudi & martin sola & fabio spagnolod, 2003.
"Red Signals: Trade Deficits and the Current Account,"
Public Policy Discussion Papers
03-14, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Randolph & Xiao Qin & Tan Gee Kwang, 2004.
"Unit Root Tests with Markov-Switching,"
Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings
145, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2004.
"On Markov error-correction models, with an application to stock prices and dividends,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(1), pages 69-88.
[Downloadable!]
- Shyh-Wei Chen, 2008.
"Non-stationarity and Non-linearity in Stock Prices: Evidence from the OECD Countries,"
Economics Bulletin,
Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(11), pages 1-11.
[Downloadable!]
- T.-W. Ho, 2003.
"Regime-switching properties of the optimal seigniorage hypothesis: the case of Taiwan,"
Applied Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 485-494, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Angelos Kanas, 2009.
"Real exchange rates and developing countries,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(3), pages 280-299.
[Downloadable!]
- Herrera, Santiago & Perry, Guillermo, 2001.
"Tropical bubbles : asset prices in Latin America, 1980-2001,"
Policy Research Working Paper Series
2724, The World Bank.
[Downloadable!]
- Driffill, John & Sola, Martin, 1998.
"Intrinsic bubbles and regime-switching,"
Journal of Monetary Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 357-373, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Refet S. Gürkaynak, 2005.
"Econometric tests of asset price bubbles: taking stock,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2005-04, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Esteban Gómez & sandra Rozo, 2007.
"Beyond Bubbles:The role of asset prices in early-warning indicators,"
BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA
004050, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
[Downloadable!]
- Manzan, S., 2003.
"Nonlinear Mean Reversion in Stock Prices,"
CeNDEF Working Papers
03-02, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
[Downloadable!]
- John Driffill & Martin Sola & Turalay Kenc, 2009.
"Real Options with Priced Regime-Switching Risk,"
Department of Economics Working Papers
2009-09, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
[Downloadable!]
- Oreste Napolitano, 2006.
"Is the Impact of ECB Monetary Policy on EMU Stock Market Returns asymmetric?,"
Discussion Papers
1_2006, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Lucy F. Ackert & William C. Hunter, 1999.
"Intrinsic Bubbles: The Case of Stock Prices: Comment,"
American Economic Review,
American Economic Association, vol. 89(5), pages 1372-1376, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Angelos Kanas, 2003.
"Non-linear forecasts of stock returns,"
Journal of Forecasting,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(4), pages 299-315.
[Downloadable!]
- Fernando Alexandre & Pedro Bação & Vasco Gabriel, 2008.
"Taylor-type rules versus optimal policy in a Markov-switching economy,"
GEMF Working Papers
2008-02, GEMF - Faculdade de Economia, Universidade de Coimbra.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Fernando Alexandre & Vasco J. Gabriel & Pedro Bação, 2007.
"The Consumption-Wealth Ratio Under Asymmetric Adjustment,"
NIPE Working Papers
15/2007, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Esteban Gómez & Sandra Rozo, 2007.
"Beyond Bubbles: The role of asset prices in early-warning indicators,"
BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA
004245, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
[Downloadable!]
- Prasad Bidarkota, 2003.
"Intrinsic Bubbles and Fat Tails in Stock Prices,"
Working Papers
0306, Florida International University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Mª Jose Gutierrez & Jesús Vazquez, 2003.
"Switching equilibria. The Present Value Model for Stock Prices Revisited,"
DFAEII Working Papers
200226, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Gutierrez, Maria-Jose & Vazquez, Jesus, 2004.
"Switching equilibria: the present value model for stock prices revisited,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,
Elsevier, vol. 28(11), pages 2297-2325, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Maria Jose Gutierrez & Jesus Vazquez, 2000.
"SWITCHING EQUILIBRIA. The Present Value Model for Stock Prices Revisited,"
BILTOKI
200006, Universidad del País Vasco - Departamento de Economía Aplicada III (Econometría y Estadística).
[Downloadable!]
- Maria-Josée Gutierrez & Jésus Vasquez, 2002.
"Present Value Models with Feedback: Dynamic Properties of Alternative RE Equilibria,"
Annales d'Economie et de Statistique,
ADRES, issue 67-68, pages 06, Juillet-D.
[Downloadable!]
- Denise R. Osborn & Paul W. Simpson, 2000.
"Forecasting UK Industrial Production Over the Business Cycle,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
1059, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Simpson, Paul W & Osborn, Denise R & Sensier, Marianne, 2001.
"Forecasting UK Industrial Production over the Business Cycle,"
Journal of Forecasting,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(6), pages 405-24, September.
- John Driffill (Birkbeck College) & Martin Sola (UTDT), 2005.
"Target Zones for Exchange Rates and Policy Changes,"
Department of Economics Working Papers
2005-03, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Marcus Miller & Paul Weller & Lei Zhang, 2000.
"Moral Hazard and the US Stock Market: Has Mr. Greenspan Created a Bubble?,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
1902, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
- Vasco J. Gabriel & Martin Sola & Zacharias Psaradakis, 2001.
"A simple method for testing cointegration subject to regime changes,"
NIPE Working Papers
15/2001, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
[Downloadable!]
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2007.
"Rational and near-rational bubbles without drift,"
Working Paper Series
2007-10, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
[Downloadable!]
- Charles R. Nelson & Jeremy Piger & Eric Zivot, 2000.
"Markov regime-switching and unit root tests,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
683, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Charles Nelson & Eric Zivot & Jeremy M. Piger, 2001.
"Markov regime switching and unit root tests,"
Working Papers
2001-013, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
- Nelson, Charles R & Piger, Jeremy & Zivot, Eric, 2001.
"Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 19(4), pages 404-15, October.
- Nielsen, Steen & Olesen, Jan Overgaard, 2001.
"Modeling The Dividend-Price Ratio: The Role Of Fundamentals Using A Regime-Switching Approach,"
Working Papers
12-2000, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Charles Nelson & Jeremy Piger & Eric Zivot, 1999.
"Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching,"
Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington
0040, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Vasco J. Gabriel & Martin Sola & Zacharias Psaradakis, 2002.
"Residual-based tests for cointegration and multiple regime shifts,"
NIPE Working Papers
7/2002, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
[Downloadable!]
- Juan M. Londoño & Marta Regulez & Jesús Vázquez, 2008.
"Another Look to the Price-Dividend Ratio: A Markov-Switching Approach,"
DFAEII Working Papers
200809, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II.
[Downloadable!]
- Driffill, John & Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin, 1998.
"Testing the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure Using Instrumental Variables,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(4), pages 321-25, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Bredin, Don, 2001.
"Alternative Tests of the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates,"
Research Technical Papers
2/RT/01, Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI).
[Downloadable!]
- Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin, 1998.
"Finite-sample properties of the maximum likelihood estimator in autoregressive models with Markov switching,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 86(2), pages 369-386, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Rodríguez López, Mª A., 2002.
"Crisis de credibilidad de la peseta en las bandas del SME. Una aplicación del Modelo de Markov con saltos de régimen,"
Estudios de Economía Aplicada,
Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 20, pages 599-626, Diciembre.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- fabio spagnolod & Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola, 2003.
"Testing the Unbiased Forward Exchange Rate Hypothesis Using a Markov Switching Model and Instrumental Variables,"
Economics and Finance Discussion Papers
03-15, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- fabio spagnolod & Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola, 2003.
"Testing the Unbiased Forward Exchange Rate Hypothesis Using a Markov Switching Model and Instrumental Variables,"
Public Policy Discussion Papers
03-15, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
- Martin Sola & Zacharias Psaradakis & Fabio Spagnolo, 2005.
"Testing the unbiased forward exchange rate hypothesis using a Markov switching model and instrumental variables,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(3), pages 423-437.
[Downloadable!]
- M. Araceli Rodríguez López, .
"Variables fundamentales o ataques "Self-fulfilling"? Una explicación a las crisis de credibilidad de la peseta española,"
Studies on the Spanish Economy
90, FEDEA.
[Downloadable!]
- Smith, Aaron & Naik, Prasad A. & Tsai, Chih-Ling, 2005.
"Markov-Switching Model Selection Using Kullback-Leibler Divergence,"
Working Papers
11976, University of California, Davis, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Tsung-Wu Ho, 2001.
"Finite-sample properties of the bootstrap estimator in a Markov-switching model,"
Journal of Applied Statistics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 28(7), pages 835-842, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Driffill, John & Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin, 1997.
"A Reconciliation of Some Paradoxical Empirical Results on the Expectations Model of the Term Structure,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 59(1), pages 29-42, February.
Cited by:
- Bredin, Don, 2001.
"Alternative Tests of the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates,"
Research Technical Papers
2/RT/01, Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI).
[Downloadable!]
- Iglesias Vázquez, E.M. & Arranz Pérez, M., 2001.
"Análisis de las relaciones entre el tipo de interés a corto plazo y su incertidumbre en Alemania, España y Suiza,"
Estudios de Economía Aplicada,
Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 19, pages 37-47, Diciembre.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Eric Jondeau, 2001.
"La théorie des anticipations de la structure par terme permet-elle de rendre compte de l'évolution des taux d'intérêt sur euro-devise ?,"
Annales d'Economie et de Statistique,
ADRES, issue 62, pages 08, Avril-Jui.
[Downloadable!]
- Daniel L. Thornton, 2004.
"Tests of the expectations hypothesis: resolving the Campbell-Shiller paradox,"
Working Papers
2003-022, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Petko S. Kalev & Brett A. Inder, 2006.
"The information content of the term structure of interest rates,"
Applied Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 33-45, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Hall, Stephen & Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin, 1997.
"Switching error-correction models of house prices in the United Kingdom,"
Economic Modelling,
Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 517-527, October.
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Cited by:
- Marie Bessec, 2000.
"Mean-Reversion versus PPP Adjustment: The Two Regimes of Exchange Rate Dynamics Under the EMS, 1979-1998,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
1305, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
- Ihle, Rico & Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan von, 2008.
"A Comparison of Threshold Cointegration and Markov-Switching Vector Error Correction Models in Price Transmission Analysis,"
2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri
37603, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
[Downloadable!]
- Maurice J. Roche, 1999.
"Irish house prices: will the roof fall in?,"
Economics, Finance and Accounting Department Working Paper Series
n890699, Department of Economics, Finance and Accounting, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
[Downloadable!]
- Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2004.
"On Markov error-correction models, with an application to stock prices and dividends,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(1), pages 69-88.
[Downloadable!]
- Maurice J. Roche, 1999.
"Irish House Prices - Will the Roof Cave In?,"
The Economic and Social Review,
Economic and Social Studies, vol. 30(4), pages 343-362.
[Downloadable!]
- Frömmel, Michael & Schmidt, Torsten, 2006.
"Bank Lending and Asset Prices in the Euro Area,"
Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover
dp-342, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Charles Nelson & Jeremy Piger & Eric Zivot, 1999.
"Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching,"
Working Papers
0040, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Hany Guirguis & Christos Giannikos & Randy Anderson, 2004.
"The US Housing Market: Asset Pricing Forecasts Using Time Varying Coefficients,"
The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics,
Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 33-53, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Kenny, Geoff, 1998.
"The Housing Market and the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Ireland,"
Research Technical Papers
1/RT/98, Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI).
[Downloadable!]
- Hall, Stephen G & Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin, 1997.
"Cointegration and Changes in Regime: The Japanese Consumption Function,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(2), pages 151-68, March-Apr.
[Downloadable!]
Cited by:
- Sylvia Kaufmann & Peter Kugler, 2006.
"Expected Money Growth, Markov Trends and the Instability of Money Demand in the Euro Area,"
Working Papers
131, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
[Downloadable!]
- Charles Nelson & Eric Zivot & Jeremy M. Piger, 2001.
"Markov regime switching and unit root tests,"
Working Papers
2001-013, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Charles R. Nelson & Jeremy Piger & Eric Zivot, 2000.
"Markov regime-switching and unit root tests,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
683, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
- Nelson, Charles R & Piger, Jeremy & Zivot, Eric, 2001.
"Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 19(4), pages 404-15, October.
- Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang, 2004.
"Monetary policy in a Markov-switching VECM: implications for the cost of disinflation and the price puzzle,"
Working Papers
2003-001, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
- Vasco J. Gabriel & Luis F. Martins, 2000.
"The Properties of Cointegration Tests in Models with Structural Change,"
NIPE Working Papers
1/2000, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
[Downloadable!]
- fabio spagnolod & Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola, 2003.
"Testing the Unbiased Forward Exchange Rate Hypothesis Using a Markov Switching Model and Instrumental Variables,"
Economics and Finance Discussion Papers
03-15, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- fabio spagnolod & Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola, 2003.
"Testing the Unbiased Forward Exchange Rate Hypothesis Using a Markov Switching Model and Instrumental Variables,"
Public Policy Discussion Papers
03-15, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
- Martin Sola & Zacharias Psaradakis & Fabio Spagnolo, 2005.
"Testing the unbiased forward exchange rate hypothesis using a Markov switching model and instrumental variables,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(3), pages 423-437.
[Downloadable!]
- Fernando Alexandre & Pedro Bação & Vasco J. Gabriel, 2005.
"On the Stablity of the Wealth Effect,"
NIPE Working Papers
14/2005, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Fernando Alexandre & Pedro Bação & Vasco Gabriel, 2005.
"On the Stability of the Wealth Effect,"
GEMF Working Papers
2005-17, GEMF - Faculdade de Economia, Universidade de Coimbra.
[Downloadable!]
- Pedro Bação & Fernando Alexandre & Vasco J. Gabriel, 2006.
"On the stability of the wealth effect,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
281, Society for Computational Economics.
- Fernando Alexandre & Pedro Bação & Vasco J. Gabriel, 2005.
"On the Stability of the Wealth Effect,"
Department of Economics Discussion Papers
1405, Department of Economics, University of Surrey.
[Downloadable!]
- R. Paap & H.K. van Dijk, 2002.
"Bayes estimates of Markov trends in possibly cointegrated series,"
Econometric Institute Report
295, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- Vasco Gabriel & Pataaree Sangduan, 2009.
"Assessing Fiscal Sustainability Subject to Policy Changes: a Markov Switching Cointegration Approach,"
Department of Economics Discussion Papers
0309, Department of Economics, University of Surrey.
[Downloadable!]
- Vasco J. Gabriel & Martin Sola & Zacharias Psaradakis, 2001.
"A simple method for testing cointegration subject to regime changes,"
NIPE Working Papers
15/2001, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
[Downloadable!]
- R. Paap & H.K. van Dijk, 1999.
"Bayes estimates of Markov trends in possibly cointegrated series - an application to US consumption and income,"
Econometric Institute Report
111, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Paap, Richard & van Dijk, Herman K, 2003.
"Bayes Estimates of Markov Trends in Possibly Cointegrated Series: An Application to U.S. Consumption and Income,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 21(4), pages 547-63, October.
- Richard Paap & Herman K. van Dijk, 1999.
"Bayes Estimates of Markov Trends in Possibly Cointegrated Series: An Application to US Consumption and Income,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
99-024/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- Paap, R. & Dijk, H.K. van, 2002.
"Bayes estimates of Markov trends in possibly cointegrated series: an application to US consumption and income,"
Econometric Institute Report
EI 2002-42 Revision_Date:, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- Vasco J. Gabriel & Martin Sola & Zacharias Psaradakis, 2002.
"Residual-based tests for cointegration and multiple regime shifts,"
NIPE Working Papers
7/2002, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
[Downloadable!]
- Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin, 1996.
"On the power of tests for superexogeneity and structural invariance,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 72(1-2), pages 151-175.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Blackburn, Keith & Sola, Martin, 1996.
"Market Fundamentals versus Speculative Bubbles: A New Test Applied to the German Hyperinflation,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 1(4), pages 303-17, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Ravn, Morten O. & Sola, Martin, 1995.
"Stylized facts and regime changes: Are prices procyclical?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 497-526, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Dick van Dijk & Timo Teräsvirta & Philip Hans Franses, 2002.
"Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models - A Survey Of Recent Developments,"
Econometric Reviews,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 1-47.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:- Dijk, D.J.C. van & Terasvirta, T. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2000.
"Smooth transition autoregressive models - A survey of recent developments,"
Econometric Institute Report
EI 2000-23/A Revision_Dat, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- D. van Dijk & T. Terasvirta & P.H. Franses, 2000.
"Smooth transition autoregressive models - A survey of recent developments,"
Econometric Institute Report
200, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- van Dijk, Dick & Teräsvirta, Timo & Franses, Philip Hans, 2000.
"Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models - A Survey of Recent Developments,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
380, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 17 Jan 2001.
[Downloadable!]
- James Hamilton, 1999.
"A Parametric Approach to Flexible Nonlinear Inference,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
1999-03, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Hamilton, James D, 2001.
"A Parametric Approach to Flexible Nonlinear Inference,"
Econometrica,
Econometric Society, vol. 69(3), pages 537-73, May.
- James D. Hamilton, 1999.
"A Parametric Approach to Flexible Nonlinear Inference,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
99-03, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!]
- den Haan, Wouter J. & Sumner, Steven W., 2004.
"The comovement between real activity and prices in the G7,"
European Economic Review,
Elsevier, vol. 48(6), pages 1333-1347, December.
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- Haroon Mumtaz & Saverio Simonelli & Paolo Surico, 2009.
"International Comovements, Business Cycle and Inflation: a Historical Perspective,"
CSEF Working Papers
233, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
[Downloadable!]
- Morten O. Ravn & Harald Uhlig, 2001.
"On Adjusting the HP-Filter for the Frequency of Observations,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Ravn, Morten O. & Uhlig, Harald, 2001.
"On Adjusting the HP-Filter for the Frequency of Observations,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
2858, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Ravn, M.O. & Uhlig, H., 1997.
"On adjusting the hp-filter for the frequency of observations,"
Discussion Paper
50, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
[Downloadable!]
- Marlene Amstad & Andreas M. Fischer, 2009.
"Do macroeconomic announcements move inflation forecasts?,"
Review,
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Sep, pages 507-518.
[Downloadable!]
- Serwa, Dobromił, 2007.
"Banking crises and nonlinear linkages between credit and output,"
MPRA Paper
5946, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
- Amstad, Marlene & Fischer, Andreas M, 2005.
"Shock Identification of Macroeconomic Forecasts Based on Daily Panels,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5008, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2002.
"A Test for Volatility Spillovers,"
Economics and Finance Discussion Papers
02-04, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Sola, Martin & Spagnolo, Fabio & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2002.
"A test for volatility spillovers,"
Economics Letters,
Elsevier, vol. 76(1), pages 77-84, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2002.
"A Test for Volatility Spillovers,"
Public Policy Discussion Papers
02-04, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
- Hans-Martin Krolzig & Michael Clements, 2001.
"Modelling Business Cycle Features Using Switching Regime Models,"
Economics Series Working Papers
058, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Kostas Mouratidis & Nicola Spagnolo, 2004.
"Evaluating currency crises: the case of the European Monetary System,"
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003
69, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
[Downloadable!]
- Clements, M.P. & Krolzig, H-M., 1999.
"Business Cycle Asymmetries: Characterisationand Testing Based on Markov-Switching Autoregression,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
522, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Sola, Martin & Driffill, John, 1994.
"Testing the term structure of interest rates using a stationary vector autoregression with regime switching,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,
Elsevier, vol. 18(3-4), pages 601-628.
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Cited by:
- PeterTillmann, 2004.
"Cointegration and Regime-Switching Risk Premia in the U.S. Term Structure of Interest Rates,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2004
53, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert, 2004.
"The term structure of real rates and expected inflation,"
Proceedings,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei, 2008.
"The Term Structure of Real Rates and Expected Inflation,"
Journal of Finance,
American Finance Association, vol. 63(2), pages 797-849, 04.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Ang, Andrew & Bekaert, Geert, 2004.
"The Term Structure of Real Rates and Expected Inflation,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4518, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei, 2007.
"The Term Structure of Real Rates and Expected Inflation,"
NBER Working Papers
12930, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Lanne, Markku, 1999.
"Testing the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in the Presence of a Potential Regime Shift,"
Research Discussion Papers
20/1999, Bank of Finland.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Bredin, Don, 2001.
"Alternative Tests of the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates,"
Research Technical Papers
2/RT/01, Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI).
[Downloadable!]
- Pami Dua & Nishita Raje & Satyananda Sahoo, 2004.
"Interest Rate Modeling and Forecasting in India,"
Occasional papers
3, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Jesús Vazquez, 2003.
"Switching regimes in the term structure of interest rates furing US post-war,"
DFAEII Working Papers
200233, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter Tillmann, 2003.
"Cointegration and Regime-Switching Risk Premia in the U.S. Term Structure of Interest Rates,"
Bonn Econ Discussion Papers
bgse27_2003, University of Bonn, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Michael Dueker & Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2009.
"Multivariate Contemporaneous Threshold Autoregressive Models,"
Department of Economics Working Papers
2009-03, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Michael J. Dueker & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2006.
"Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: estimation, testing and forecasting,"
Working Papers
2003-024, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Michael Dueker & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2007.
"Contemporaneous Threshold Autoregressive Models: Estimation, Testing and Forecasting,"
Discussion Papers
5_2007, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
[Downloadable!]
- Michael Dueker & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2006.
"Contemporaneous Threshold Autoregressive Models: Estimation, Testing and Forecasting,"
Department of Economics Working Papers
2006-04, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
[Downloadable!]
- Dueker, Michael J. & Sola, Martin & Spagnolo, Fabio, 2007.
"Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: Estimation, testing and forecasting,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 517-547, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert, 1998.
"Regime Switches in Interest Rates,"
NBER Working Papers
6508, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Arielle Beyaert, Juan J. P rez-Castej, 2000.
"Switching regime models in the Spanish inter-bank market,"
European Journal of Finance,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 93-112, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Jesús Vázquez, 2004.
"Switching Regimes in the Term Structure of Interest Rates During U.S. Post-War: A case for the Lucas proof equilibrium?,"
Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces
E2004/11, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Massimo Guidolin & Carrie Fangzhou Na, 2007.
"The economic and statistical value of forecast combinations under regime switching: an application to predictable U.S. returns,"
Working Papers
2006-059, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
- Massimo Guidolin & Sadayuki Ono, 2005.
"Are the dynamic linkages between the macroeconomy and asset prices time-varying?,"
Working Papers
2005-056, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Martin Evans, 1998.
"Looking Behind the U. K.Term Structure: Were there Peso Problems in Inflation?,"
Finance
9809001, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Jääskelä, Jarkko & Vilmunen, Jouko, 1999.
"Anticipated Monetary Policy and the Dynamic Behaviour of the Term Structure of Interest Rates,"
Research Discussion Papers
12/1999, Bank of Finland.
[Downloadable!]
- Sharon Kozicki & P.A.Tinsley, 2001.
"What do you expect? : imperfect policy credibility and tests of the expectations hypothesis?,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 01-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Magdalena Massot Perelló & Juan M. Nave Pineda, 2003.
"La hipótesis de las expectativas en el largo plazo: evidencia en el mercado español de deuda pública,"
Investigaciones Economicas,
Fundación SEPI, vol. 27(3), pages 533-564, September.
[Downloadable!]
- Morten O. Ravn & Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola, 2005.
"Markov switching causality and the money-output relationship,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(5), pages 665-683.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - José Luis Fernández Serrano & Lola Robles Fernández, 2002.
"Política Monetaria y Cambios de Régimen en los tipos de Interés del Mercado Interbancario,"
Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico
0209, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales.
[Downloadable!]
- Zeno Rotondi, 2006.
"The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Review of the Literature with Some New Evidence,"
Giornale degli Economisti,
GDE (Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia), Bocconi University, vol. 65(2), pages 193-224, November.
[Downloadable!]
- Guidolin, Massimo & Timmermann, Allan G, 2007.
"Forecasts of US Short-term Interest Rates: A Flexible Forecast Combination Approach,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6188, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:- Massimo Guidolin & Allan Timmerman, 2007.
"Forecasts of U.S. short-term interest rates: a flexible forecast combination approach,"
Working Papers
2005-059, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
- Guidolin, Massimo & Timmermann, Allan, 2009.
"Forecasts of US short-term interest rates: A flexible forecast combination approach,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 297-311, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & Benjamin M. Tabak?, 2007.
"Characterizing The Brazilian Term Structure Of Interest Rates,"
Anais do XXXV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 35th Brazilian Economics Meeting]
108, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Osmani T. Guillen & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2008.
"Characterizing the Brazilian Term Structure of Interest Rates,"
Working Papers Series
158, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
[Downloadable!]
- Osmani Teixeira De Carvalho Guillen & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2009.
"Characterising the Brazilian term structure of interest rates,"
International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance,
Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(2), pages 103-114, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- José Luis Fernández-Serrano & M. Dolores Robles Fernández, 2004.
"Política monetaria y cambios de régimen en los tipos de interés del mercado interbancario español,"
Investigaciones Economicas,
Fundación SEPI, vol. 28(2), pages 349-376, May.
[Downloadable!]
- Blix, Mårten, 1997.
"Rational Expectations in a VAR with Markov Switching,"
Seminar Papers
627, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
[Downloadable!]
- Nelson C. Mark & Young-Kyu Moh, 2005.
"The real exchange rate and real interest differentials: the role of nonlinearities,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(4), pages 323-335.
[Downloadable!]
- Monfort, A. & Pegoraro, F., 2007.
"Switching VARMA Term Structure Models - Extended Version,"
Documents de Travail
191, Banque de France.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Nicolas Million, 2006.
"Changements de régime pour la persistance et la dynamique du taux d'intérêt réel américain,"
Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques
v06067, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1).
[Downloadable!]
- Funke, Michael & Hall, Stephen & Sola, Martin, 1994.
"Rational bubbles during Poland's hyperinflation: Implications and empirical evidence,"
European Economic Review,
Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 1257-1276, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Blackburn, Keith & Sola, Martin, 1993.
" Speculative Currency Attacks and Balance of Payments Crises,"
Journal of Economic Surveys,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 7(2), pages 119-44, June.
Cited by:
- Thomson Fontaine, 2005.
"Currency Crises in Developed and Emerging Market Economies: A Comparative Empirical Treatment,"
IMF Working Papers
05/13, International Monetary Fund.
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- Kruger, Mark & Osakwe, Patrick N. & Page, Jennifer, 1998.
"Fundamentals, Contagion and Currency Crises: An Empirical Analysis,"
Working Papers
98-10, Bank of Canada.
[Downloadable!]
- Barry Eichengreen & Andrew K. Rose & Charles Wyplosz, 1994.
"Speculative Attacks on Pegged Exchange Rates: An Empirical Exploration with Special Reference to the European Monetary System,"
NBER Working Papers
4898, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:- Eichengreen, Barry & Rose, Andrew K & Wyplosz, Charles, 1994.
"Speculative Attacks on Pegged Exchange Rates: An Empirical Exploration with Special Reference to the European Monetary System,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
1060, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Barry Eichengreen & Andrew K. Rose & Charles Wyplosz, 1995.
"Speculative attacks on pegged exchange rates: an empirical exploration with special reference to the European Monetary System,"
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory
95-04, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Barry Eichengreen, Andrew K. Rose, and Charles Wyplosz., 1995.
"Speculative Attacks on Pegged Exchange Rates: An Empirical Exploration with Special Reference to the European Monetary System,"
Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers
C95-046, University of California at Berkeley.
- M. Araceli Rodríguez López, .
"Variables fundamentales o ataques "Self-fulfilling"? Una explicación a las crisis de credibilidad de la peseta española,"
Studies on the Spanish Economy
90, FEDEA.
[Downloadable!]
- Mundaca,B.G. & Strand,J., 1999.
"Speculative attacks in the exchange market with a band policy : a sequential game analysis,"
Memorandum
01/1999, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Panagiotis Liargovas & Dimitrios Dapontas, 2007.
"Currency crises in transition economies: some further evidence,"
Working Papers
0011, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Alberto Carrasquilla, .
"Demanda por Reservas bajo Bandas Cambiarias,"
Borradores de Economia
029, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
[Downloadable!]
- Maurice Obstfeld, 1994.
"The Logic of Currency Crises,"
NBER Working Papers
4640, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Barry Eichengreen & Andrew K. Rose & Charles Wyplosz, 1996.
"Contagious Currency Crises,"
NBER Working Papers
5681, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Kaminsky, Graciela & Lizondo, Saul & Reinhart, Carmen M., 1997.
"Leading indicators of currency crises,"
Policy Research Working Paper Series
1852, The World Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Reinhart, Carmen & Kaminsky, Graciela & Lizondo, Saul, 1998.
"Leading Indicators of Currency Crises,"
MPRA Paper
6981, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
- Graciela Kaminsky & Saul Lizondo & Carmen Reinhart, 1998.
"Leading Indicators of Currency Crisis,"
IMF Staff Papers,
Palgrave Macmillan Journals, vol. 45(1), pages 1.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Graciela Laura Kaminsky, 1997.
"Leading Indicators of Currency Crises,"
IMF Working Papers
97/79, International Monetary Fund.
- Pastine, Ivan, 2001.
"Speculation and the Decision to Abandon a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
2893, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:- Ivan Pastine, 2000.
"Speculation and the Decision to Abandon a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
0931, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
- Pastine, Ivan, 2002.
"Speculation and the decision to abandon a fixed exchange rate regime,"
Journal of International Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 197-229, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- John Driffill (Birkbeck College) & Martin Sola (UTDT), 2005.
"Target Zones for Exchange Rates and Policy Changes,"
Department of Economics Working Papers
2005-03, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Massacci, D., 2007.
"Identification and Estimation in an Incoherent Model of Contagion,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0744, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!]
- Inci Ötker & Ceyla PazarbaÅŸioÄlu, 1996.
"Speculative attacks and currency crises: The Mexican experience,"
Open Economies Review,
Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 535-552, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Joseph Aschheim & Costas Christou & P. Swamy & George Tavlas, 1996.
"A random coefficient model of speculative attacks: The case of the Mexican peso,"
Open Economies Review,
Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 553-571, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Fausto Hernández Trillo & Alejandro Villagómez Amezcua, 2000.
"La estructura de la deuda pública en México: Lecciones y perspectivas,"
RES Working Papers
3104, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
[Downloadable!]
- Partha Sen, 2000.
"Non-Uniqueness in the First Generation Balance of Payments Crisis Model,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
1182, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]