Alessia Paccagnini
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Blog mentions
As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:- Paccagnini, Alessia, 2017.
"Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey,"
MPRA Paper
82914, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Mentioned in:
- Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey
by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2018-02-10 04:25:16
- Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014.
"Bayesian forecasting with small and medium scale factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE models,"
Open Access publications
10197/7322, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Bekiros, Stelios D. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2014. "Bayesian forecasting with small and medium scale factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 298-323.
Mentioned in:
- Bayesian forecasting with small and medium scale factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE models
by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2015-12-31 21:28:19
Working papers
- Alessia Paccagnini & Fabio Parla, 2021.
"Identifying high-frequency shocks with Bayesian mixed-frequency VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2021-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Alessia Paccagnini & Fabio Parla, 2021. "Identifying High-Frequency Shockswith Bayesian Mixed-Frequency VARs," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 97, Bank of Lithuania.
Cited by:
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Andrea Gazzani & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2023.
"Are the Effects of Uncertainty Shocks Big or Small?,"
Working Papers
244, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
- Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Gazzani, Andrea & Vicondoa, Alejandro, 2023. "Are the effects of uncertainty shocks big or small?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
- Alain Hecq & Marie Ternes & Ines Wilms, 2023. "Hierarchical Regularizers for Reverse Unrestricted Mixed Data Sampling Regressions," Papers 2301.10592, arXiv.org.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone & Alessia Paccagnini & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2021.
"Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts,"
CAMA Working Papers
2021-52, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Coroneo, Laura & Iacone, Fabrizio & Paccagnini, Alessia & Santos Monteiro, Paulo, 2023. "Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 606-622.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone & Alessia Paccagnini & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2020. "Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts," Discussion Papers 20/10, Department of Economics, University of York.
Cited by:
- Medeiros, Marcelo C. & Street, Alexandre & Valladão, Davi & Vasconcelos, Gabriel & Zilberman, Eduardo, 2022.
"Short-term Covid-19 forecast for latecomers,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 467-488.
- Marcelo Medeiros & Alexandre Street & Davi Vallad~ao & Gabriel Vasconcelos & Eduardo Zilberman, 2020. "Short-Term Covid-19 Forecast for Latecomers," Papers 2004.07977, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
Cited by:
- Janczura, Joanna & Wójcik, Edyta, 2022. "Dynamic short-term risk management strategies for the choice of electricity market based on probabilistic forecasts of profit and risk measures. The German and the Polish market case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Joanna Janczura & Andrzej Puć, 2023. "ARX-GARCH Probabilistic Price Forecasts for Diversification of Trade in Electricity Markets—Variance Stabilizing Transformation and Financial Risk-Minimizing Portfolio Allocation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-28, January.
- Jonathan Berrisch & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional modeling and forecasting of natural gas prices," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1065-1086, September.
- Heymann, Fabian & Milojevic, Tatjana & Covatariu, Andrei & Verma, Piyush, 2023. "Digitalization in decarbonizing electricity systems – Phenomena, regional aspects, stakeholders, use cases, challenges and policy options," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PB).
- Oscar Espinosa & Valeria Bejarano & Jeferson Ramos & Boris Martínez, 2023. "Statistical actuarial estimation of the Capitation Payment Unit from copula functions and deep learning: historical comparability analysis for the Colombian health system, 2015–2021," Health Economics Review, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 1-20, December.
- Amjad Almusaed & Ibrahim Yitmen & Asaad Almssad, 2023. "Enhancing Smart Home Design with AI Models: A Case Study of Living Spaces Implementation Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-23, March.
- Niklas Valentin Lehmann, 2023. "Forecasting skill of a crowd-prediction platform: A comparison of exchange rate forecasts," Papers 2312.09081, arXiv.org.
- Jozef Barunik & Lubos Hanus, 2023. "Learning Probability Distributions of Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2310.02867, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Xiaoqian Wang & Yanfei Kang & Rob J Hyndman & Feng Li, 2020.
"Distributed ARIMA Models for Ultra-long Time Series,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
29/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Wang, Xiaoqian & Kang, Yanfei & Hyndman, Rob J. & Li, Feng, 2023. "Distributed ARIMA models for ultra-long time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1163-1184.
- Bergsteinsson, Hjörleifur G. & Sørensen, Mikkel Lindstrøm & Møller, Jan Kloppenborg & Madsen, Henrik, 2023. "Heat load forecasting using adaptive spatial hierarchies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
- Wesley Marcos Almeida & Claudimar Pereira Veiga, 2023. "Does demand forecasting matter to retailing?," Journal of Marketing Analytics, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(2), pages 219-232, June.
- Elalem, Yara Kayyali & Maier, Sebastian & Seifert, Ralf W., 2023. "A machine learning-based framework for forecasting sales of new products with short life cycles using deep neural networks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1874-1894.
- Anna Sznajderska & Alfred A. Haug, 2023. "Bayesian VARs of the U.S. economy before and during the pandemic," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(2), pages 211-236, June.
- Silvia Golia & Luigi Grossi & Matteo Pelagatti, 2022. "Machine Learning Models and Intra-Daily Market Information for the Prediction of Italian Electricity Prices," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-21, December.
- Nghia Chu & Binh Dao & Nga Pham & Huy Nguyen & Hien Tran, 2022. "Predicting Mutual Funds' Performance using Deep Learning and Ensemble Techniques," Papers 2209.09649, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Jun Meng & Jingfang Fan & Uma S. Bhatt & Jürgen Kurths, 2023. "Arctic weather variability and connectivity," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
- Ramos, Paulo Vitor B. & Villela, Saulo Moraes & Silva, Walquiria N. & Dias, Bruno H., 2023. "Residential energy consumption forecasting using deep learning models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
- Li, Xishu & Zuidwijk, Rob & de Koster, M.B.M, 2023. "Optimal competitive capacity strategies: Evidence from the container shipping market," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
- Marek Kwas & Alessia Paccagnini & Michal Rubaszek, 2020.
"Common factors and the dynamics of cereal prices. A forecasting perspective,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-47, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kwas, Marek & Paccagnini, Alessia & Rubaszek, Michał, 2022. "Common factors and the dynamics of cereal prices. A forecasting perspective," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
- Alroomi, Azzam & Karamatzanis, Georgios & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos & Tilba, Anna & Xiao, Shujun, 2022. "Fathoming empirical forecasting competitions’ winners," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1519-1525.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Narajewski, Michał & Weron, Rafał & Ziel, Florian, 2023.
"Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Aitazaz Ali Raja & Pierre Pinson & Jalal Kazempour & Sergio Grammatico, 2022. "A Market for Trading Forecasts: A Wagering Mechanism," Papers 2205.02668, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
- Qi, Lingzhi & Li, Xixi & Wang, Qiang & Jia, Suling, 2023. "fETSmcs: Feature-based ETS model component selection," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1303-1317.
- Richard Bean, 2023. "Forecasting the Monash Microgrid for the IEEE-CIS Technical Challenge," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-23, January.
- Guo, Su & Zheng, Kun & He, Yi & Kurban, Aynur, 2023. "The artificial intelligence-assisted short-term optimal scheduling of a cascade hydro-photovoltaic complementary system with hybrid time steps," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 1169-1189.
- Rai, Amit & Shrivastava, Ashish & Jana, Kartick C., 2023. "Differential attention net: Multi-directed differential attention based hybrid deep learning model for solar power forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PC).
- Tetiana Zatonatska & Olena Liashenko & Yana Fareniuk & Oleksandr Dluhopolskyi & Artur Dmowski & Marzena Cichorzewska, 2022. "The Migration Influence on the Forecasting of Health Care Budget Expenditures in the Direction of Sustainability: Case of Ukraine," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-17, November.
- Anita M. Bunea & Mariangela Guidolin & Piero Manfredi & Pompeo Della Posta, 2022. "Diffusion of Solar PV Energy in the UK: A Comparison of Sectoral Patterns," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-21, April.
- Andrea Savio & Luigi De Giovanni & Mariangela Guidolin, 2022. "Modelling Energy Transition in Germany: An Analysis through Ordinary Differential Equations and System Dynamics," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-18, April.
- Fernández, Joaquín Delgado & Menci, Sergio Potenciano & Lee, Chul Min & Rieger, Alexander & Fridgen, Gilbert, 2022. "Privacy-preserving federated learning for residential short-term load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
- Emmanuel Senyo Fianu, 2022. "Analyzing and Forecasting Multi-Commodity Prices Using Variants of Mode Decomposition-Based Extreme Learning Machine Hybridization Approach," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-27, June.
- Ca’ Zorzi, Michele & Rubaszek, Michał, 2023. "How many fundamentals should we include in the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate model?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
- Radovan Šomplák & Veronika Smejkalová & Martin Rosecký & Lenka Szásziová & Vlastimír Nevrlý & Dušan Hrabec & Martin Pavlas, 2023. "Comprehensive Review on Waste Generation Modeling," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-29, February.
- Huang, Congzhi & Yang, Mengyuan, 2023. "Memory long and short term time series network for ultra-short-term photovoltaic power forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
- Fiszeder, Piotr & Fałdziński, Marcin & Molnár, Peter, 2023. "Modeling and forecasting dynamic conditional correlations with opening, high, low, and closing prices," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 308-321.
- Paul Ghelasi & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Hierarchical forecasting for aggregated curves with an application to day-ahead electricity price auctions," Papers 2305.16255, arXiv.org.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
- Jeroen Rombouts & Marie Ternes & Ines Wilms, 2024. "Cross-Temporal Forecast Reconciliation at Digital Platforms with Machine Learning," Papers 2402.09033, arXiv.org.
- V. Colombo & A. Paccagnini, 2020.
"Has the credit supply shock asymmetric effects on macroeconomic variables?,"
Working Papers
wp1140, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
Cited by:
- Philipp Meinen & Ana Cristina Soares, 2022.
"Markups and Financial Shocks,"
The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 132(647), pages 2471-2499.
- Ana Cristina Soares & Philipp Meinen, 2021. "Markups and Financial Shocks," Working Papers w202122, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Meinen, Philipp & Soares, Ana Cristina, 2021. "Markups and financial shocks," Discussion Papers 54/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Ozili, Peterson K & Oladipo, Olajide & Iorember, Paul, 2023. "Effect of abnormal increase in credit supply on economic growth in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 115988, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- David Finck & Paul Rudel, 2020. "Do Credit Supply Shocks Have Asymmetric Effects?," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202026, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Philipp Meinen & Ana Cristina Soares, 2022.
"Markups and Financial Shocks,"
The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 132(647), pages 2471-2499.
- Valentina Colombo & Alessia Paccagnini, 2020.
"The asymmetric effects of uncertainty shocks,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-72, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Cited by:
- Ravenna, Federico & Pellegrino, Giovanni & Züllig, Gabriel, 2020.
"The Impact of Pessimistic Expectations on the Effects of COVID-19-Induced Uncertainty in the Euro Area,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15321, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giovanni Pellegrino & Federico Ravenna & Gabriel Züllig, 2021. "The Impact of Pessimistic Expectations on the Effects of COVID‐19‐Induced Uncertainty in the Euro Area," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(4), pages 841-869, August.
- Giovanni Pellegrino & Federico Ravenna & Gabriel Züllig, 2020. "The Impact of Pessimistic Expectations on the Effects of COVID-19-Induced Uncertainty in the Euro Area," Economics Working Papers 2020-12, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Min Fang, 2021. "Lumpy Investment, Fluctuations in Volatility and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 002001, University of Florida, Department of Economics.
- Valentin Jouvanceau, 2023. "Consumer price rigidity in periods of low and high inflation: the case of Lithuania," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 34, Bank of Lithuania.
- Ravenna, Federico & Pellegrino, Giovanni & Züllig, Gabriel, 2020.
"The Impact of Pessimistic Expectations on the Effects of COVID-19-Induced Uncertainty in the Euro Area,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15321, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marek Kwas & Alessia Paccagnini & Michal Rubaszek, 2020.
"Common factors and the dynamics of cereal prices. A forecasting perspective,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-47, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kwas, Marek & Paccagnini, Alessia & Rubaszek, Michał, 2022. "Common factors and the dynamics of cereal prices. A forecasting perspective," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
Cited by:
- Marek Kwas & Michał Rubaszek, 2021. "Forecasting Commodity Prices: Looking for a Benchmark," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-13, June.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2019.
"Forecasting with instabilities: an application to DSGE models with financial frictions,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1234, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2019. "Forecasting with instabilities: An application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015. "Forecasting with Instabilities: an Application to DSGE Models with Financial Frictions," Working Papers 201523, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
Cited by:
- Erlan Konebayev, 2023.
"Forecasting a Commodity-Exporting Small Open Developing Economy Using DSGE and DSGE-BVAR,"
International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 39-70, January.
- Erlan Konebayev, 2022. "Forecasting a commodity-exporting small open developing economy using DSGE and DSGE-BVAR," NAC Analytica Working Paper 24, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised May 2022.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Concetta Rondinelli & Roberta Zizza, 2020. "Spend today or spend tomorrow? The role of inflation expectations in consumer behaviour," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1276, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2022. "Time-Varying Parameter Four-Equation DSGE Model," Working Papers 202234, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2018.
"Limited Asset Market Participation and the Euro Area Crisis. An Empirical DSGE Model,"
Working Papers
391, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2018.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2019. "Limited Asset Market Participation And The Euro Area Crisis: An Empirical Dsge Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(3), pages 1302-1323, July.
Cited by:
- Tervala, Juha & Watson, Timothy, 2022. "Hysteresis and fiscal stimulus in a recession," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Emilio Colombo & Davide Furceri & Pietro Pizzuto & Patrizio Tirelli, 2022.
"Fiscal Multipliers and Informality,"
DISEIS - Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo
dis2201, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo (DISEIS).
- Emilio Colombo & Davide Furceri & Pietro Pizzuto & Patrizio Tirelli, 2022. "Fiscal Multipliers and Informality," IMF Working Papers 2022/082, International Monetary Fund.
- Giovanni Melina & Stefania Villa, 2023.
"Drivers of large recessions and monetary policy responses,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1425, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Melina, Giovanni & Villa, Stefania, 2023. "Drivers of large recessions and monetary policy responses," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
- Giovanni Melina & Stefania Villa, 2023. "Drivers of Large Recessions and Monetary Policy Responses," CESifo Working Paper Series 10590, CESifo.
- Alice Albonico & Guido Ascari & Qazi Haque, 2020.
"The (Ir)Relevance of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers for U.S. Business Cycle Fluctuations,"
Economics Discussion / Working Papers
20-26, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
- Alice Albonico & Guido Ascari & Qazi Haque, 2020. "The (Ir)Relevance of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers for U.S. Business Cycle Fluctuations," Working Papers 453, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2022.
- Alice Albonico & Guido Ascari & Qazi Haque, 2020. "The (ir)relevance of rule-of-thumb consumers for US business cycle fluctuations," CAMA Working Papers 2020-102, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Germaschewski, Yin & Wang, Shu-Ling, 2022. "Fiscal stabilization in high-debt economies without monetary independence," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Marco Lorusso & Luca Pieroni, 2019. "Disentangling Civilian and Military Spending Shocks: A Bayesian DSGE Approach for the US Economy," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-41, September.
- Charalampidis, Nikolaos, 2020. "On unemployment cycles in the Euro Area, 1999–2018," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
- Paccagnini, Alessia, 2017.
"Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey,"
MPRA Paper
82914, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cited by:
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Den Haan, Wouter & Drechsel, Thomas, 2018.
"Agnostic Structural Disturbances (ASDs): Detecting and Reducing Misspecification in Empirical Macroeconomic Models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
13145, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Den Haan, Wouter J. & Drechsel, Thomas, 2021. "Agnostic Structural Disturbances (ASDs): Detecting and reducing misspecification in empirical macroeconomic models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 258-277.
- Wouter J. Den Haan & Thomas Drechsel, 2018. "Agnostic Structural Disturbances (ASDs): Detecting and Reducing Misspecification in Empirical Macroeconomic Models," Discussion Papers 1826, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Den Haan, Wouter J. & Drechsel, Thomas, 2020. "Agnostic structural disturbances (ASDs): detecting and reducing misspecification in empirical macroeconomic models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 103147, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Den Haan, Wouter J. & Drechsel, Thomas, 2018. "Agnostic structural disturbances (ASDs): detecting and reducing misspecification in empirical macroeconomic models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90384, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Marcin Kolasa & Michal Rubaszek, 2016.
"Does foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?,"
KAE Working Papers
2016-022, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
- Marcin Kolasa & Michal Rubaszek, 2016. "Does foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?," EcoMod2016 9393, EcoMod.
- Kolasa, Marcin & Rubaszek, Michał, 2018. "Does the foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 809-821.
- Marcin Kolasa & Michał Rubaszek, 2018. "Does the foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?," NBP Working Papers 282, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2017.
"PIIGS in the Euro area: An empirical DSGE model,"
Discussion Papers in Economics
economics:201710, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
- Alice, Albonico & Alessia, Paccagnini & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2016. "PIIGS in the Euro Area. An Empirical DSGE Model," Working Papers 331, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 11 Mar 2016.
Cited by:
- Tatiana Kirsanova & Celsa Machado & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2018.
"Should the ECB Coordinate EMU Fiscal Policies?,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 14(3), pages 237-280, June.
- Tatiana Kirsanova & Celsa Machado & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2017. "Should the ECB coordinate EMU fiscal policies?," Working Papers 2018_02, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Himmels, Christoph & Kirsanova, Tatiana, 2018. "Discretionary policy in a small open economy: Exchange rate regimes and multiple equilibria," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 53-64.
- Alessia Paccagnini, 2017.
"Forecasting with FAVAR: macroeconomic versus financial factors,"
NBP Working Papers
256, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Cited by:
- Szydlo, Jan, 2023. "Forecasting Credit Dynamics : VAR, VECM or modern Factor-Augmented VAR approach?," Warwick-Monash Economics Student Papers 63, Warwick Monash Economics Student Papers.
- Behera, Harendra & Gunadi, Iman & Rath, Badri Narayan, 2023. "COVID-19 uncertainty, financial markets and monetary policy effects in case of two emerging Asian countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 173-189.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2016.
"Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs,"
Open Access publications
10197/7323, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Bekiros, Stelios & Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2016. "Dealing with financial instability under a DSGE modeling approach with banking intermediation: A predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 216-227.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2016. "Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Working Papers 201611, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
Cited by:
- Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2018.
"Forecast heuristics, consumer expectations, and new-Keynesian macroeconomics: A horse race,"
Economics Working Papers
2018-09, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2021. "Forecast heuristics, consumer expectations, and New-Keynesian macroeconomics: A Horse race," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 493-511.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2019.
"Forecasting with instabilities: an application to DSGE models with financial frictions,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1234, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015. "Forecasting with Instabilities: an Application to DSGE Models with Financial Frictions," Working Papers 201523, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2019. "Forecasting with instabilities: An application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
- Paccagnini, Alessia, 2017. "Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey," MPRA Paper 82914, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Liu, Guangling & Molise, Thabang, 2019. "Housing and credit market shocks: Exploring the role of rule-based Basel III counter-cyclical capital requirements," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 264-279.
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- Caraiani, Petre & Luik, Marc-André & Wesselbaum, Dennis, 2020. "Credit policy and asset price bubbles," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
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- Eric Jondeau & Michael Rockinger, 2019. "Predicting Long‐Term Financial Returns: VAR versus DSGE Model—A Horse Race," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(8), pages 2239-2291, December.
- Lenhle Dlamini & Harold Ngalawa, 2022. "Macroprudential policy and house prices in an estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model for South Africa," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 304-336, June.
- Alice, Albonico & Alessia, Paccagnini & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2016.
"In search of the Euro Area Fiscal Stance,"
Working Papers
324, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 24 Feb 2016.
- Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2016. "In search of the Euro area fiscal stance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 254-264.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2016. "In search of the Euro area fiscal stance," Working Papers 201612, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
Cited by:
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2017.
"PIIGS in the Euro area: An empirical DSGE model,"
Discussion Papers in Economics
economics:201710, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
- Alice, Albonico & Alessia, Paccagnini & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2016. "PIIGS in the Euro Area. An Empirical DSGE Model," Working Papers 331, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 11 Mar 2016.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2016.
"Great Recession, Slow Recovery and Muted Fiscal Policies in the US,"
Working Papers
201602, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2017. "Great recession, slow recovery and muted fiscal policies in the US," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 140-161.
- Babecký, Jan & Franta, Michal & Ryšánek, Jakub, 2018. "Fiscal policy within the DSGE-VAR framework," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 23-37.
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"Disinflation, Inequality, And Welfare In A Tank Model,"
Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(3), pages 1297-1313, July.
- Maria, Ferrara & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2019. "Disinflation, Inequality and Welfare in a TANK Model," Working Papers 402, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2019.
- Piotr Krajewski & Agata Szymanska, 2019. "The effectiveness of fiscal policy within business cycle-Ricardians vs. non-Ricardians approach," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 19(2), pages 195-215.
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"Probably too Little, Certainly too Late. An Assessement of the Juncker Investment Plan,"
Documents de Travail de l'OFCE
2016-10, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
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- Mathilde Le Moigne & Francesco Saraceno & Sébastien Villemot, 2016. "Probably Too Little, Certainly Too Late. An Assessment of the Juncker Investment Plan," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03459360, HAL.
- Mathilde Le Moigne & Francesco Saraceno & Sébastien Villemot, 2016. "Probably Too Little, Certainly Too Late. An Assessment of the Juncker Investment Plan," Sciences Po publications 2016-10, Sciences Po.
- Mathilde Le Moigne & Francesco Saraceno & Sébastien Villemot, 2016. "Probably Too Little, Certainly Too Late. An Assessment of the Juncker Investment Plan," PSE Working Papers hal-03459360, HAL.
- Nicoletta Batini & Alessandro Cantelmo & Giovanni Melina & Stefania Villa, 2020.
"How Loose, how tight? A measure of monetary and fiscal stance for the euro area,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1295, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Nicoletta Batini & Mr. Alessandro Cantelmo & Mr. Giovanni Melina & Stefania Villa, 2020. "How Loose, How Tight? A Measure of Monetary and Fiscal Stance for the Euro Area," IMF Working Papers 2020/086, International Monetary Fund.
- Nicoletta Batini & Alessandro Cantelmo & Giovanni Melina & Stefania Villa, 2021. "How loose, how tight? A measure of monetary and fiscal stance for the euro area," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 73(4), pages 1536-1556.
- Paccagnini, Alessia, 2017. "Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey," MPRA Paper 82914, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Drygalla, Andrej & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kiesel, Konstantin, 2017.
"The effects of fiscal policy in an estimated DSGE model: The case of the German stimulus packages during the great recession,"
IWH Discussion Papers
34/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Drygalla, Andrej & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kiesel, Konstantin, 2020. "The Effects Of Fiscal Policy In An Estimated Dsge Model—The Case Of The German Stimulus Packages During The Great Recession," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(6), pages 1315-1345, September.
- Alice, Albonico & Roberta, Cardani & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2017. "Debunking the Myth of Southern Profligacy. A DSGE Analysis of Business Cycles in the EMU’s Big Four," Working Papers 373, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2018.
- Germaschewski, Yin & Wang, Shu-Ling, 2022. "Fiscal stabilization in high-debt economies without monetary independence," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Francisco de Castro & Francisco Martí & Antonio Montesinos & Javier J. Pérez & Antonio Jesús Sánchez Fuentes, 2018. "A Quarterly Fiscal Database Fit for Macroeconomic Analysis," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 224(1), pages 139-155, March.
- Albonico, Alice & Rossi, Lorenza, 2017.
"Inflation bias and markup shocks in a LAMP model with strategic interaction of monetary and fiscal policy,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 39-55.
- Alice Albonico & Lorenza Rossi, 2017. "Inflation Bias and Markup Shocks in a LAMP Model with Strategic Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Policy," DEM Working Papers Series 133, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
- Alice, Albonico & Lorenza, Rossi, 2017. "Inflation bias and markup shocks in a LAMP model with strategic interaction of monetary and fiscal policy," Working Papers 362, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 14 Feb 2017.
- Beqiraj Elton & Di Bartolomeo Giovanni & Di Pietro Marco, 2016. "Financial crises, limited asset market participation, and banks balance sheet constraints," wp.comunite 00127, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
- Ageliki Anagnostou & Piotr Krajewski & Katarzyna Pilat, 2020. "Regional Specific Idiosyncrasies and Fiscal Policy: Evidence from 47 Regions of the Central and Eastern European Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 1), pages 936-954.
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- Albonico, Alice & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2020. "Financial crises and sudden stops: Was the European monetary union crisis different?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 13-26.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2016.
"Great Recession, Slow Recovery and Muted Fiscal Policies in the US,"
Working Papers
201602, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2017. "Great recession, slow recovery and muted fiscal policies in the US," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 140-161.
Cited by:
- Emilio Colombo & Davide Furceri & Pietro Pizzuto & Patrizio Tirelli, 2022.
"Fiscal Multipliers and Informality,"
DISEIS - Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo
dis2201, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo (DISEIS).
- Emilio Colombo & Davide Furceri & Pietro Pizzuto & Patrizio Tirelli, 2022. "Fiscal Multipliers and Informality," IMF Working Papers 2022/082, International Monetary Fund.
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- Babecký, Jan & Franta, Michal & Ryšánek, Jakub, 2018. "Fiscal policy within the DSGE-VAR framework," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 23-37.
- Patrizio Tirelli & Maria Ferrara, 2020.
"Disinflation, Inequality, And Welfare In A Tank Model,"
Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(3), pages 1297-1313, July.
- Maria, Ferrara & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2019. "Disinflation, Inequality and Welfare in a TANK Model," Working Papers 402, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2019.
- Nicoletta Batini & Alessandro Cantelmo & Giovanni Melina & Stefania Villa, 2020.
"How Loose, how tight? A measure of monetary and fiscal stance for the euro area,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1295, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Nicoletta Batini & Mr. Alessandro Cantelmo & Mr. Giovanni Melina & Stefania Villa, 2020. "How Loose, How Tight? A Measure of Monetary and Fiscal Stance for the Euro Area," IMF Working Papers 2020/086, International Monetary Fund.
- Nicoletta Batini & Alessandro Cantelmo & Giovanni Melina & Stefania Villa, 2021. "How loose, how tight? A measure of monetary and fiscal stance for the euro area," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 73(4), pages 1536-1556.
- Acocella, Nicola & Beqiraj, Elton & Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni & Di Pietro, Marco & Felici, Francesco & Alleva, Giorgio & Di Dio, Fabio & Liseo, Brunero, 2020. "A stochastic estimated version of the Italian dynamic General Equilibrium Model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 339-357.
- Sergey Ivashchenko, 2022. "Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model with Multiple Trends and Structural Breaks," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(1), pages 46-72, March.
- Paccagnini, Alessia, 2017. "Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey," MPRA Paper 82914, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Funashima, Yoshito, 2020. "Monetary policy, financial uncertainty, and secular stagnation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Zhang, Wen, 2019. "Deciphering the causes for the post-1990 slow output recoveries," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 28-34.
- Albonico, Alice & Rossi, Lorenza, 2017.
"Inflation bias and markup shocks in a LAMP model with strategic interaction of monetary and fiscal policy,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 39-55.
- Alice Albonico & Lorenza Rossi, 2017. "Inflation Bias and Markup Shocks in a LAMP Model with Strategic Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Policy," DEM Working Papers Series 133, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
- Alice, Albonico & Lorenza, Rossi, 2017. "Inflation bias and markup shocks in a LAMP model with strategic interaction of monetary and fiscal policy," Working Papers 362, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 14 Feb 2017.
- Marco Lorusso & Luca Pieroni, 2019. "Disentangling Civilian and Military Spending Shocks: A Bayesian DSGE Approach for the US Economy," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-41, September.
- Beqiraj, Elton & Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni & Di Pietro, Marco & Serpieri, Carolina, 2018. "Comparing Central Europe and the Baltic macro-economies: A Bayesian approach," EconStor Preprints 175242, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Acocella, Nicola & Beqiraj, Elton & Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni & Di Pietro, Marco & Felici, Francesco, 2019.
"An evaluation of alternative fiscal adjustment plans,"
EconStor Preprints
209707, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Acocella Nicola & Beqiraj Elton & Di Bartolomeo Giovanni & Di Pietro Marco & Felici Francesco, 2020. "An evaluation of alternative fiscal adjustment plans," wp.comunite 00149, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
- Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015.
"Oil Price Forecastability and Economic Uncertainty,"
Working Papers
298, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2015.
- Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2015. "Oil price forecastability and economic uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 125-128.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Oil price forecastability and economic uncertainty," Open Access publications 10197/7345, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Oil Price Forecastability and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 201518, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
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"Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 62-69.
- Martijn Bos & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2017. "Oil Returns and Volatility: The Role of Mergers and Acquisitions," Working Papers 201775, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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"Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis,"
MPRA Paper
65667, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 805, Central Bank of Chile.
- Antonio Fernandois & Carlos A. Medel, 2020. "Geopolitical tensions, OPEC news, and the oil price: A granger causality analysis," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 35(2), pages 57-90, October.
- Gizem Uzuner & Sudeshna Ghosh, 2021. "Do pandemics have an asymmetric effect on tourism in Italy?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(5), pages 1561-1579, October.
- Yi‐Ting Peng & Tsangyao Chang & Omid Ranjbar, 2022. "Analyzing the degree of persistence of economic policy uncertainty using linear and non‐linear fourier quantile unit root tests," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(4), pages 453-471, July.
- Wen, Jun & Khalid, Samia & Mahmood, Hamid & Zakaria, Muhammad, 2021. "Symmetric and asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on food prices in China: A new evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Sofia Panagiotakopoulou, 2018.
"Oil Price Shocks and Uncertainty: How stable is their relationship over time?,"
BAFES Working Papers
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- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Panagiotakopoulou, Sofia, 2018. "Oil price shocks and uncertainty: How stable is their relationship over time?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 42-53.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Panagiotakopoulou, Sofia, 2018. "Oil Price Shocks and Uncertainty: How stable is their relationship over time?," MPRA Paper 96271, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Magnus Reif, 2018.
"Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates,"
ifo Working Paper Series
265, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
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- Jihoon Lee & Hong Chong Cho, 2021. "Impact of Structural Oil Price Shock Factors on the Gasoline Market and Macroeconomy in South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, February.
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"Oil price shocks and policy uncertainty: New evidence on the effects of US and non-US oil production,"
Working Papers
2017-02, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2017. "Oil price shocks and policy uncertainty: New evidence on the effects of US and non-US oil production," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 536-546.
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- Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2017. "Oil Price Shocks and Policy Uncertainty: New Evidence on the Effects of US and non-US Oil Production," Globalization Institute Working Papers 295, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
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"The Dynamic Impact of Uncertainty in Causing and Forecasting the Distribution of Oil Returns and Risk,"
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"The Role Of News-Based Uncertainty Indices In Predicting Oil Markets: A Hybrid Nonparametric Quantile Causality Method,"
Working Papers
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- Yanhong Feng & Dilong Xu & Pierre Failler & Tinghui Li, 2020. "Research on the Time-Varying Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Crude Oil Price Fluctuation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-24, August.
- Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
- Lin, Boqiang & Bai, Rui, 2021. "Oil prices and economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from global, oil importers, and exporters’ perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
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"Macroprudential policy and forecasting using Hybrid DSGE models with financial frictions and State space Markov-Switching TVP-VARs,"
Open Access publications
10197/7333, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Bekiros, Stelios D. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2015. "Macroprudential Policy And Forecasting Using Hybrid Dsge Models With Financial Frictions And State Space Markov-Switching Tvp-Vars," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(7), pages 1565-1592, October.
Cited by:
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2016.
"Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs,"
Open Access publications
10197/7323, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Bekiros, Stelios & Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2016. "Dealing with financial instability under a DSGE modeling approach with banking intermediation: A predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 216-227.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2016. "Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Working Papers 201611, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
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"The Informational Content of the Term-Spread in Forecasting the U.S. Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach,"
DUTH Research Papers in Economics
3-2016, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Informational Content of the Term Spread in Forecasting the US Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 109-121, March.
- Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Informational Content of the Term-Spread in Forecasting the U.S. Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach," Working Papers 201548, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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"Forecast heuristics, consumer expectations, and new-Keynesian macroeconomics: A horse race,"
Economics Working Papers
2018-09, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
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"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
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"Oil price forecastability and economic uncertainty,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 125-128.
- Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Oil Price Forecastability and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 298, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2015.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Oil price forecastability and economic uncertainty," Open Access publications 10197/7345, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Oil Price Forecastability and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 201518, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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"Financial Frictions In The Euro Area And The United States: A Bayesian Assessment,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(5), pages 1313-1340, July.
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"Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Forecasting US GNP Growth: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201667, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2018.
"Limited Asset Market Participation and the Euro Area Crisis. An Empirical DSGE Model,"
Working Papers
391, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2018.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2019. "Limited Asset Market Participation And The Euro Area Crisis: An Empirical Dsge Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(3), pages 1302-1323, July.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2014. "Estimating a DSGE model with Limited Asset Market Participation for the Euro Area," Working Papers 286, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2014.
- Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015.
"DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa,"
Open Access publications
10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
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Cited by:
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"The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach,"
School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series
2016-01, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.
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- Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2015. "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201531, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar & Mampho P. Modise & Rangan Gupta, 2015.
"Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa,"
Working Papers
201543, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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- Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Mampho P. Modise & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-08, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
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- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015.
"Forecasting in a DSGE Model with Banking Intermediation: Evidence from the US,"
Working Papers
292, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2015.
Cited by:
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2016.
"Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs,"
Open Access publications
10197/7323, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Bekiros, Stelios & Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2016. "Dealing with financial instability under a DSGE modeling approach with banking intermediation: A predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 216-227.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2016. "Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Working Papers 201611, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Giraitis, Liudas & Kapetanios, George & Petrova, Katerina, 2016.
"A time varying DSGE model with financial frictions,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 690-716.
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- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2019.
"Forecasting with instabilities: an application to DSGE models with financial frictions,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1234, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015. "Forecasting with Instabilities: an Application to DSGE Models with Financial Frictions," Working Papers 201523, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2019. "Forecasting with instabilities: An application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
- Stefan Gebauer, 2017. "The Use of Financial Market Variables in Forecasting," DIW Roundup: Politik im Fokus 115, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
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- Stelios D. Bekiros & Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2016.
"Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs,"
Open Access publications
10197/7323, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
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"Do Misperceptions about Demand Matter? Theory and Evidence,"
AMSE Working Papers
1717, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
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- Kenza Benhima & Céline Poilly, 2017. "Do Misperceptions about Demand Matter? Theory and Evidence," Working Papers halshs-01518467, HAL.
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"Animal spirits, fundamental factors and business cycle fluctuations,"
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hal-03285242, HAL.
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- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2019.
"Forecasting with instabilities: an application to DSGE models with financial frictions,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1234, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015. "Forecasting with Instabilities: an Application to DSGE Models with Financial Frictions," Working Papers 201523, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2019. "Forecasting with instabilities: An application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2014.
"Estimating a DSGE model with Limited Asset Market Participation for the Euro Area,"
Working Papers
286, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2014.
Cited by:
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2016.
"Great Recession, Slow Recovery and Muted Fiscal Policies in the US,"
Working Papers
201602, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2017. "Great recession, slow recovery and muted fiscal policies in the US," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 140-161.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2016.
"In search of the Euro area fiscal stance,"
Working Papers
201612, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2016. "In search of the Euro area fiscal stance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 254-264.
- Alice, Albonico & Alessia, Paccagnini & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2016. "In search of the Euro Area Fiscal Stance," Working Papers 324, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 24 Feb 2016.
- Alice, Albonico & Roberta, Cardani & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2017. "Debunking the Myth of Southern Profligacy. A DSGE Analysis of Business Cycles in the EMU’s Big Four," Working Papers 373, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2018.
- Ferrara, Maria & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2017. "Equitable fiscal consolidations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 207-223.
- Albonico, Alice & Rossi, Lorenza, 2017.
"Inflation bias and markup shocks in a LAMP model with strategic interaction of monetary and fiscal policy,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 39-55.
- Alice Albonico & Lorenza Rossi, 2017. "Inflation Bias and Markup Shocks in a LAMP Model with Strategic Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Policy," DEM Working Papers Series 133, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
- Alice, Albonico & Lorenza, Rossi, 2017. "Inflation bias and markup shocks in a LAMP model with strategic interaction of monetary and fiscal policy," Working Papers 362, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 14 Feb 2017.
- Roman Horvath & Lorant Kaszab, 2016.
"Equity Premium and Monetary Policy in a Model with Limited Asset Market Participation,"
Working Papers IES
2016/04, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Feb 2016.
- Roman Horvath & Lorant Kaszab & Ales Marsal, 2020. "Equity Premium and Monetary Policy in a Model with Limited Asset Market Participation," MNB Working Papers 2020/3, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
- Horvath, Roman & Kaszab, Lorant & Marsal, Ales, 2021. "Equity premium and monetary policy in a model with limited asset market participation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 430-440.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2018.
"Limited Asset Market Participation and the Euro Area Crisis. An Empirical DSGE Model,"
Working Papers
391, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2018.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2019. "Limited Asset Market Participation And The Euro Area Crisis: An Empirical Dsge Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(3), pages 1302-1323, July.
- Piergallini, Alessandro, 2017.
"Fiscal policy and liquidity traps with heterogeneous agents,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 103-106.
- Piergallini, Alessandro, 2017. "Fiscal Policy and Liquidity Traps with Heterogeneous Agents," MPRA Paper 88798, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2016.
"Great Recession, Slow Recovery and Muted Fiscal Policies in the US,"
Working Papers
201602, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014.
"Policy-oriented macroeconomic forecasting with hybrid DGSE and time-varying parameter VAR models,"
Working Papers
2014-426, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2016. "Policy‐Oriented Macroeconomic Forecasting with Hybrid DGSE and Time‐Varying Parameter VAR Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(7), pages 613-632, November.
- Stelios Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "Policy-oriented macroeconomic forecasting with hybrid DGSE and time-varying parameter VAR models," Working Papers 236, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2013.
Cited by:
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stelios D. Bekiros, 2017. "The Effectiveness of Forward Guidance in an Estimated DSGE Model for the Euro Area: the Role of Expectations," Working Papers 201701, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Lai, Hung-Cheng & Wang, Kuan-Min, 2014. "Relationship between the trading behavior of three institutional investors and Taiwan Stock Index futures returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 156-165.
- César Castro & Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez & Pilar Poncela & Eva Senra, 2017. "A new look at oil price pass-through into inflation: evidence from disaggregated European data," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 34(1), pages 55-82, April.
- Alessia Paccagnini, 2014.
"The Macroeconomic Determinants of the US Term-Structure during the Great Moderation,"
Working Papers
274, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2014.
- Paccagnini, Alessia, 2016. "The macroeconomic determinants of the US term structure during the Great Moderation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 216-225.
- Alessia Paccagnini, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Determinants of the US Term-Structure During The Great Moderation," Open Access publications 10197/7324, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
Cited by:
- Anupam Das & Tanweer Akram, 2020. "A Keynesian analysis of Canadian government securities yields," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 73(294), pages 241-260.
- Moreno, Manuel & Novales, Alfonso & Platania, Federico, 2018.
"A term structure model under cyclical fluctuations in interest rates,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 140-150.
- Manuel Moreno & Alfonso Novales & Federico Platania, 2019. "A term structure model under cyclical fluctuations in interest rates," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-31, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Akram, Tanweer & Li, Huiqing, 2017. "What keeps long-term U.S. interest rates so low?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 380-390.
- Oguzhan Cepni & Ibrahim Ethem Guney & Doruk Kucuksarac & M. Hasan Yilmaz, 2021.
"Do local and global factors impact the emerging markets' sovereign yield curves? Evidence from a data‐rich environment,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1214-1229, November.
- Oguzhan Cepni & Ibrahim Ethem Guney & Doruk Kucuksarac & Muhammed Hasan Yilmaz, 2020. "Do Local and Global Factors Impact the Emerging Markets’s Sovereign Yield Curves? Evidence from a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 2004, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Tanweer Akram & Huiqing Li, 2018. "The Dynamics of Japanese Government Bonds' Nominal Yields," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_906, Levy Economics Institute.
- Shang, Yuhuang & Zheng, Tingguo, 2018. "Fitting and forecasting yield curves with a mixed-frequency affine model: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 145-154.
- Tanweer Akram & Huiqing Li, 2020. "Some Empirical Models of Japanese Government Bond Yields Using Daily Data," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_962, Levy Economics Institute.
- Polat, Onur & Ozkan, Ibrahim, 2019. "Transmission mechanisms of financial stress into economic activity in Turkey," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 395-415.
- Tanweer Akram & Huiqing Li, 2020. "The Empirics of UK Gilts' Yields," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_969, Levy Economics Institute.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014.
"Estimating point and density forecasts for the US economy with a factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE model,"
Open Access publications
10197/7588, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Bekiros Stelios & Paccagnini Alessia, 2015. "Estimating point and density forecasts for the US economy with a factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE model," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 107-136, April.
Cited by:
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Magnus Reif, 2018.
"Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates,"
ifo Working Paper Series
265, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Reif Magnus, 2021. "Macroeconomic uncertainty and forecasting macroeconomic aggregates," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(2), pages 1-20, April.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018.
"Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Forecasting US GNP Growth: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201667, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
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"Forecasting the US Economy with a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive DSGE model,"
Working Papers
2014-183, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
Cited by:
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014.
"Bayesian forecasting with small and medium scale factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE models,"
Open Access publications
10197/7322, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Bekiros, Stelios D. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2014. "Bayesian forecasting with small and medium scale factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 298-323.
Cited by:
- Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2018.
"Forecast heuristics, consumer expectations, and new-Keynesian macroeconomics: A horse race,"
Economics Working Papers
2018-09, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2021. "Forecast heuristics, consumer expectations, and New-Keynesian macroeconomics: A Horse race," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 493-511.
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- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Babecký, Jan & Franta, Michal & Ryšánek, Jakub, 2018. "Fiscal policy within the DSGE-VAR framework," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 23-37.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stelios D. Bekiros, 2017. "The Effectiveness of Forward Guidance in an Estimated DSGE Model for the Euro Area: the Role of Expectations," Working Papers 201701, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Villa, Stefania, 2016.
"Financial Frictions In The Euro Area And The United States: A Bayesian Assessment,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(5), pages 1313-1340, July.
- Stefania Villa, 2014. "Financial frictions in the Euro Area and the United States: a Bayesian assessment," BCAM Working Papers 1407, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Paccagnini, Alessia, 2017. "Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey," MPRA Paper 82914, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gunter, Ulrich & Önder, Irem, 2016. "Forecasting city arrivals with Google Analytics," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 199-212.
- Franz Ramsauer & Aleksey Min & Michael Lingauer, 2019. "Estimation of FAVAR Models for Incomplete Data with a Kalman Filter for Factors with Observable Components," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-43, July.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018.
"Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Forecasting US GNP Growth: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201667, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Sofiane Aboura & Julien Chevallier, 2015.
"Cross-market volatility index with Factor-DCC,"
Post-Print
halshs-01348723, HAL.
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- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2018.
"Limited Asset Market Participation and the Euro Area Crisis. An Empirical DSGE Model,"
Working Papers
391, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2018.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2019. "Limited Asset Market Participation And The Euro Area Crisis: An Empirical Dsge Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(3), pages 1302-1323, July.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2014. "Estimating a DSGE model with Limited Asset Market Participation for the Euro Area," Working Papers 286, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2014.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013.
"On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models,"
Open Access publications
10197/7326, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Stelios Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 635-664, August.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7329, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
Cited by:
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2016.
"Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs,"
Open Access publications
10197/7323, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Bekiros, Stelios & Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2016. "Dealing with financial instability under a DSGE modeling approach with banking intermediation: A predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 216-227.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2016. "Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Working Papers 201611, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
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"The Informational Content of the Term-Spread in Forecasting the U.S. Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach,"
DUTH Research Papers in Economics
3-2016, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Informational Content of the Term Spread in Forecasting the US Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 109-121, March.
- Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Informational Content of the Term-Spread in Forecasting the U.S. Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach," Working Papers 201548, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Xiuying Ma & Yongjing Wang & Haiyan Song & Han Liu, 2020. "Time-varying mechanisms between foreign direct investment and tourism development under the new normal in China," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(2), pages 324-343, March.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Was the recent downturn in US real GDP predictable?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(28), pages 2985-3007, June.
- Babecký, Jan & Franta, Michal & Ryšánek, Jakub, 2018. "Fiscal policy within the DSGE-VAR framework," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 23-37.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2019.
"Forecasting with instabilities: an application to DSGE models with financial frictions,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1234, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015. "Forecasting with Instabilities: an Application to DSGE Models with Financial Frictions," Working Papers 201523, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2019. "Forecasting with instabilities: An application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Segnon, Mawuli, 2016.
"The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions: A mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach,"
Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-20.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli Segnon, 2015. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting U.S. Recessions: A Mixed-Frequency Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201558, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Segnon, Mawuli, 2016. "The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions: A mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach," Economics Discussion Papers 2016-14, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015. "Forecasting in a DSGE Model with Banking Intermediation: Evidence from the US," Working Papers 292, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2015.
- Paccagnini, Alessia, 2017. "Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey," MPRA Paper 82914, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Bekiros, Stelios D. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2015.
"Macroprudential Policy And Forecasting Using Hybrid Dsge Models With Financial Frictions And State Space Markov-Switching Tvp-Vars,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(7), pages 1565-1592, October.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Macroprudential policy and forecasting using Hybrid DSGE models with financial frictions and State space Markov-Switching TVP-VARs," Open Access publications 10197/7333, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- David Hudgins & Patrick M. Crowley, 2019. "Stress-Testing U.S. Macroeconomic Policy: A Computational Approach Using Stochastic and Robust Designs in a Wavelet-Based Optimal Control Framework," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(4), pages 1509-1546, April.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012.
"Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?,"
Working papers
2012-38, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2013.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working Papers 201230, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working Papers 1210, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
- Maddalena Cavicchioli, 2020. "Invertibility and VAR Representations of Time-Varying Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(1), pages 61-86, January.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018.
"Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Forecasting US GNP Growth: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201667, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Alessia Paccagnini, 2012. "Comparing Hybrid DSGE Models," Working Papers 228, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2012.
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"DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa,"
Working Papers
259, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.
- Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DSGE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 201374, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
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"The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach,"
School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series
2016-01, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.
- Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2017. "The role of oil prices in the forecasts of South African interest rates: A Bayesian approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 270-278.
- Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2015. "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201531, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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"Does Trade Foster Institutions?,"
Open Access publications
10197/7587, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
Cited by:
- Krenz, Astrid & Abeliansky, Ana, 2016.
"Democracy and International Trade: Differential Effects from a Panel Quantile Regression Framework,"
VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change
145788, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Abeliansky, Ana & Krenz, Astrid, 2015. "Democracy and international trade: Differential effects from a panel quantile regression framework," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 243, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Moon Jung Choi & Kee Hoon Chung, 2022. "Trade patterns and institutional change in East Asia," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(3), pages 567-595, July.
- Marcella Nicolini & Alessia Paccagnini, 2011.
"Does Trade Foster Institutions? An Empirical Assessment,"
Open Access publications
10197/7585, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Marcella Nicolini & Alessia Paccagnini, 2011. "Does Trade Foster Institutions? An Empirical Assessment," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 2(2).
- Astrid Krenz & Ana Abeliansky, 2015. "Democracy and Trade—Evidence along the Distribution of Trading Activity," EcoMod2015 8750, EcoMod.
- Krenz, Astrid, 2016. "Do political institutions influence international trade? Measurement of institutions and the Long-Run effects," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 276, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
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- Yanjun Ma & Churen Sun, 2023. "Trade liberalization, institutional quality, and social trust of Chinese residents," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(3), pages 1453-1486, September.
- Law, Siong Hook & Lim, Thong Cheen & Ismail, Normaz Wana, 2013. "Institutions and economic development: A Granger causality analysis of panel data evidence," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 610-624.
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"Democracy and International Trade: Differential Effects from a Panel Quantile Regression Framework,"
VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change
145788, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Marcella Nicolini & Alessia Paccagnini, 2011.
"Does Trade Foster Institutions? An Empirical Assessment,"
Open Access publications
10197/7585, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Marcella Nicolini & Alessia Paccagnini, 2011. "Does Trade Foster Institutions? An Empirical Assessment," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 2(2).
Cited by:
- Krenz, Astrid & Abeliansky, Ana, 2016.
"Democracy and International Trade: Differential Effects from a Panel Quantile Regression Framework,"
VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change
145788, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Abeliansky, Ana & Krenz, Astrid, 2015. "Democracy and international trade: Differential effects from a panel quantile regression framework," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 243, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Moon Jung Choi & Kee Hoon Chung, 2022. "Trade patterns and institutional change in East Asia," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(3), pages 567-595, July.
- Astrid Krenz & Ana Abeliansky, 2015. "Democracy and Trade—Evidence along the Distribution of Trading Activity," EcoMod2015 8750, EcoMod.
- Krenz, Astrid, 2016. "Do political institutions influence international trade? Measurement of institutions and the Long-Run effects," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 276, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Yanjun Ma & Churen Sun, 2023. "Trade liberalization, institutional quality, and social trust of Chinese residents," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(3), pages 1453-1486, September.
- Law, Siong Hook & Lim, Thong Cheen & Ismail, Normaz Wana, 2013. "Institutions and economic development: A Granger causality analysis of panel data evidence," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 610-624.
- Saad, Ayhab F., 2021. "Institutional change in the global economy: How trade reform can be detrimental to welfare," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 97-110.
- Khalid, Usman, 2015. "Why Trading with Dictators May Nevertheless Help the People: On the Interplay between Trade, Political Regimes and Economic Institutions," Working Papers 2015:15, Lund University, Department of Economics, revised 23 Jul 2015.
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"DSGE Model Validation in a Bayesian Framework: an Assessment,"
MPRA Paper
24509, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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"Validation of Agent-Based Models in Economics and Finance,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
halshs-02375423, HAL.
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- Giorgio Fagiolo & Mattia Guerini & Francesco Lamperti & Alessio Moneta & Andrea Roventini, 2019. "Validation of Agent-Based Models in Economics and Finance," Post-Print halshs-02375423, HAL.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stelios D. Bekiros, 2017. "The Effectiveness of Forward Guidance in an Estimated DSGE Model for the Euro Area: the Role of Expectations," Working Papers 201701, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Giorgio Fagiolo & Mattia Guerini & Francesco Lamperti & Alessio Moneta & Andrea Roventini, 2019.
"Validation of Agent-Based Models in Economics and Finance,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
halshs-02375423, HAL.
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CEPR Discussion Papers
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- Agostino Consolo & Carlo A. Favero & Alessia Paccagnini, 2007. "On the Statistical Identification of DSGE Models," Working Papers 324, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Agostino Consolo & Carlo A. Favero & Alessia Paccagnini, 2009. "On the statistical identification of DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7586, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
Cited by:
- Evren Caglar & Jagjit S. Chadha & Katsuyuki Shibayama, 2011.
"Bayesian Estimation of DSGE models: Is the Workhorse Model Identified?,"
Studies in Economics
1125, School of Economics, University of Kent.
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"Identification versus misspecification in New Keynesian monetary policy models,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 225-246.
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- Giovanni Angelini & Luca Fanelli Fanelli, 2015.
"Misspecification and Expectations Correction in New Keynesian DSGE Models,"
Quaderni di Dipartimento
1, Department of Statistics, University of Bologna.
- Giovanni Angelini & Luca Fanelli, 2016. "Misspecification and Expectations Correction in New Keynesian DSGE Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(5), pages 623-649, October.
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"Estimating point and density forecasts for the US economy with a factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE model,"
Open Access publications
10197/7588, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Bekiros Stelios & Paccagnini Alessia, 2015. "Estimating point and density forecasts for the US economy with a factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE model," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 107-136, April.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Was the recent downturn in US real GDP predictable?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(28), pages 2985-3007, June.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
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"Policy‐Oriented Macroeconomic Forecasting with Hybrid DGSE and Time‐Varying Parameter VAR Models,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(7), pages 613-632, November.
- Stelios Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "Policy-oriented macroeconomic forecasting with hybrid DGSE and time-varying parameter VAR models," Working Papers 236, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2013.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "Policy-oriented macroeconomic forecasting with hybrid DGSE and time-varying parameter VAR models," Working Papers 2014-426, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013.
"DSGE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa,"
Working Papers
201374, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mampho Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 259, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.
- Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(3), pages 207-221, January.
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"Bayesian forecasting with small and medium scale factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 298-323.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "Bayesian forecasting with small and medium scale factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7322, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
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- Bekiros, Stelios D. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2015.
"Macroprudential Policy And Forecasting Using Hybrid Dsge Models With Financial Frictions And State Space Markov-Switching Tvp-Vars,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(7), pages 1565-1592, October.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Macroprudential policy and forecasting using Hybrid DSGE models with financial frictions and State space Markov-Switching TVP-VARs," Open Access publications 10197/7333, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Claire A. Reicher, 2016. "A Note on the Identification of Dynamic Economic Models with Generalized Shock Processes," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(3), pages 412-423, June.
- Raffaella Giacomini, 2013. "The relationship between DSGE and VAR models," CeMMAP working papers CWP21/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Zhijian Wang & Bin Xu, 2014. "Cycling in stochastic general equilibrium," Papers 1410.8432, arXiv.org.
- McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2019.
"Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 580-600.
- McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2018. "Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions," Working Paper Series 2140, European Central Bank.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012.
"Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?,"
Working papers
2012-38, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2013.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working Papers 201230, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working Papers 1210, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
- Maddalena Cavicchioli, 2020. "Invertibility and VAR Representations of Time-Varying Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(1), pages 61-86, January.
- Muhammad Ali Nasir & Milton Yago & Alaa M. Soliman & Junjie Wu, 2016. "Financial stability, wealth effects and optimal macroeconomic policy combination in the United Kingdom: A new-Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1136098-113, December.
- Van Nguyen, Phuong, 2020. "Evaluating the forecasting accuracy of the closed- and open economy New Keynesian DSGE models," Dynare Working Papers 59, CEPREMAP.
- Stelios Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013.
"On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 635-664, August.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7326, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7329, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Paccagnini, Alessia, 2010. "DSGE Model Validation in a Bayesian Framework: an Assessment," MPRA Paper 24509, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Alessia Paccagnini, 2012. "Comparing Hybrid DSGE Models," Working Papers 228, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2012.
- Iiboshi, Hirokuni, 2016. "A multiple DSGE-VAR approach: Priors from a combination of DSGE models and evidence from Japan," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-8.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2018.
"Limited Asset Market Participation and the Euro Area Crisis. An Empirical DSGE Model,"
Working Papers
391, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2018.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2019. "Limited Asset Market Participation And The Euro Area Crisis: An Empirical Dsge Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(3), pages 1302-1323, July.
- Dufour, Jean-Marie & Khalaf, Lynda & Kichian, Maral, 2013. "Identification-robust analysis of DSGE and structural macroeconomic models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(3), pages 340-350.
- Reicher, Christopher Phillip, 2013. "A note on the identification of dynamic economic models with generalized shock processes," Kiel Working Papers 1821, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Roman Matkovskyy, 2019.
"Extremal Economic (Inter)Dependence Studies: A Case of the Eastern European Countries,"
Post-Print
hal-02332090, HAL.
- Roman Matkovskyy, 2019. "Extremal Economic (Inter)Dependence Studies: A Case of the Eastern European Countries," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(3), pages 667-698, September.
- Chunyeung Kwok, 2022. "Estimating Structural Shocks with the GVAR-DSGE Model: Pre- and Post-Pandemic," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-32, May.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Khalaf, Lynda, 2015. "Factor based identification-robust inference in IV regressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 10390, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Articles
- Coroneo, Laura & Iacone, Fabrizio & Paccagnini, Alessia & Santos Monteiro, Paulo, 2023.
"Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 606-622.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone & Alessia Paccagnini & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2021. "Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts," CAMA Working Papers 2021-52, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone & Alessia Paccagnini & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2020. "Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts," Discussion Papers 20/10, Department of Economics, University of York.
- Kwas, Marek & Paccagnini, Alessia & Rubaszek, Michał, 2022.
"Common factors and the dynamics of cereal prices. A forecasting perspective,"
Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
See citations under working paper version above.
- Marek Kwas & Alessia Paccagnini & Michal Rubaszek, 2020. "Common factors and the dynamics of cereal prices. A forecasting perspective," CAMA Working Papers 2020-47, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Kwas, Marek & Paccagnini, Alessia & Rubaszek, Michał, 2021.
"Common factors and the dynamics of industrial metal prices. A forecasting perspective,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
Cited by:
- Luo, Hongyuan & Wang, Deyun & Cheng, Jinhua & Wu, Qiaosheng, 2022. "Multi-step-ahead copper price forecasting using a two-phase architecture based on an improved LSTM with novel input strategy and error correction," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
- Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio, 2022. "Switching Coefficients or Automatic Variable Selection: An Application in Forecasting Commodity Returns," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-32, February.
- Colombo, Valentina & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2020.
"Does the credit supply shock have asymmetric effects on macroeconomic variables?,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
Cited by:
- David Finck & Paul Rudel, 2023. "Do credit supply shocks have asymmetric effects?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1559-1597, April.
- Philipp Meinen & Ana Cristina Soares, 2022.
"Markups and Financial Shocks,"
The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 132(647), pages 2471-2499.
- Ana Cristina Soares & Philipp Meinen, 2021. "Markups and Financial Shocks," Working Papers w202122, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Meinen, Philipp & Soares, Ana Cristina, 2021. "Markups and financial shocks," Discussion Papers 54/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Feng Min & Fenghua Wen & Jiayu Xu & Nan Wu, 2023. "Credit supply, house prices, and financial stability," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 2088-2108, April.
- Ozili, Peterson K & Oladipo, Olajide & Iorember, Paul, 2023. "Effect of abnormal increase in credit supply on economic growth in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 115988, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- David Finck & Paul Rudel, 2020. "Do Credit Supply Shocks Have Asymmetric Effects?," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202026, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Helmut Herwartz & Christian Ochsner & Hannes Rohloff, 2021. "Global Credit Shocks and Real Economies," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202116, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2019.
"Forecasting with instabilities: An application to DSGE models with financial frictions,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015. "Forecasting with Instabilities: an Application to DSGE Models with Financial Frictions," Working Papers 201523, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2019. "Forecasting with instabilities: an application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1234, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2019.
"Limited Asset Market Participation And The Euro Area Crisis: An Empirical Dsge Model,"
Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(3), pages 1302-1323, July.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2018. "Limited Asset Market Participation and the Euro Area Crisis. An Empirical DSGE Model," Working Papers 391, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2018.
- Paccagnini, Alessia, 2019.
"Did financial factors matter during the Great Recession?,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 26-30.
Cited by:
- Donato Ceci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2023.
"Nowcasting the state of the Italian economy: The role of financial markets,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1569-1593, November.
- Donato Ceci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2022. "Nowcasting the state of the Italian economy: the role of financial markets," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1362, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2019.
"Forecasting with instabilities: an application to DSGE models with financial frictions,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1234, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015. "Forecasting with Instabilities: an Application to DSGE Models with Financial Frictions," Working Papers 201523, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2019. "Forecasting with instabilities: An application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
- Kumar, Ankit & Dash, Pradyumna, 2020. "Changing transmission of monetary policy on disaggregate inflation in India," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 109-125.
- Claire Giordano & Marco Marinucci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2022. "Assessing the usefulness of survey‐based data in forecasting firms' capital formation: Evidence from Italy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 491-513, April.
- Claire Giordano & Marco Marinucci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2021. "Forecasting corporate capital accumulation in Italy: the role of survey-based information," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 596, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Bas Scheer, 2022. "Addressing Unemployment Rate Forecast Errors in Relation to the Business Cycle," CPB Discussion Paper 434, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
- Donato Ceci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2023.
"Nowcasting the state of the Italian economy: The role of financial markets,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1569-1593, November.
- Riccardo M. Masolo & Alessia Paccagnini, 2019.
"Identifying Noise Shocks: A VAR with Data Revisions,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(8), pages 2145-2172, December.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Masolo, Riccardo M. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2015. "Identifying noise shocks: a VAR with data revisions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86314, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Riccardo M. Masolo & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Identifying Noise Shocks: a VAR with Data Revisions," Discussion Papers 1510, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2017.
"Great recession, slow recovery and muted fiscal policies in the US,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 140-161.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2016. "Great Recession, Slow Recovery and Muted Fiscal Policies in the US," Working Papers 201602, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2016.
"Policy‐Oriented Macroeconomic Forecasting with Hybrid DGSE and Time‐Varying Parameter VAR Models,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(7), pages 613-632, November.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Stelios Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "Policy-oriented macroeconomic forecasting with hybrid DGSE and time-varying parameter VAR models," Working Papers 236, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2013.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "Policy-oriented macroeconomic forecasting with hybrid DGSE and time-varying parameter VAR models," Working Papers 2014-426, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Bekiros, Stelios & Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2016.
"Dealing with financial instability under a DSGE modeling approach with banking intermediation: A predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs,"
Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 216-227.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2016. "Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Working Papers 201611, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2016. "Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Open Access publications 10197/7323, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Paccagnini, Alessia, 2016.
"The macroeconomic determinants of the US term structure during the Great Moderation,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 216-225.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Alessia Paccagnini, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Determinants of the US Term-Structure During The Great Moderation," Open Access publications 10197/7324, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "The Macroeconomic Determinants of the US Term-Structure during the Great Moderation," Working Papers 274, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2014.
- Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2016.
"In search of the Euro area fiscal stance,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 254-264.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2016. "In search of the Euro area fiscal stance," Working Papers 201612, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Alice, Albonico & Alessia, Paccagnini & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2016. "In search of the Euro Area Fiscal Stance," Working Papers 324, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 24 Feb 2016.
- Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2015.
"Oil price forecastability and economic uncertainty,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 125-128.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Oil Price Forecastability and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 298, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2015.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Oil price forecastability and economic uncertainty," Open Access publications 10197/7345, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Oil Price Forecastability and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 201518, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015.
"DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(3), pages 207-221, January.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DSGE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 201374, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Bekiros Stelios & Paccagnini Alessia, 2015.
"Estimating point and density forecasts for the US economy with a factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE model,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 107-136, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "Estimating point and density forecasts for the US economy with a factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE model," Open Access publications 10197/7588, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Bekiros, Stelios D. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2015.
"Macroprudential Policy And Forecasting Using Hybrid Dsge Models With Financial Frictions And State Space Markov-Switching Tvp-Vars,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(7), pages 1565-1592, October.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Macroprudential policy and forecasting using Hybrid DSGE models with financial frictions and State space Markov-Switching TVP-VARs," Open Access publications 10197/7333, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Bekiros, Stelios D. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2014.
"Bayesian forecasting with small and medium scale factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 298-323.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "Bayesian forecasting with small and medium scale factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7322, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Stelios Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013.
"On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 635-664, August.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7326, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7329, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Marcella Nicolini & Alessia Paccagnini, 2011.
"Does Trade Foster Institutions? An Empirical Assessment,"
Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 2(2).
See citations under working paper version above.
- Marcella Nicolini & Alessia Paccagnini, 2011. "Does Trade Foster Institutions? An Empirical Assessment," Open Access publications 10197/7585, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Consolo, Agostino & Favero, Carlo A. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2009.
"On the statistical identification of DSGE models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(1), pages 99-115, May.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Favero, Carlo A. & Consolo, Agostino & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2009. "On the Statistical Identification of DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 7176, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Agostino Consolo & Carlo A. Favero & Alessia Paccagnini, 2007. "On the Statistical Identification of DSGE Models," Working Papers 324, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Agostino Consolo & Carlo A. Favero & Alessia Paccagnini, 2009. "On the statistical identification of DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7586, School of Economics, University College Dublin.