- Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Ornthanalai, Chayawat & Wang, Yintian, 2008.
"Option valuation with long-run and short-run volatility components,"
Journal of Financial Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 90(3), pages 272-297, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Christoffersen, Peter & Heston, Steve & Jacobs, Kris, 2006.
"Option valuation with conditional skewness,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 253-284.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris, 2004.
"The importance of the loss function in option valuation,"
Journal of Financial Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 291-318, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Peter Christoffersen, 2004.
"Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Duration-Based Approach,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics,
Oxford University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 84-108.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Christoffersen, Peter & Ghysels, Eric & Swanson, Norman R., 2002.
"Let's get "real" about using economic data,"
Journal of Empirical Finance,
Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 343-360, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
- Peter Christoffersen & Eric Ghysels & Norman R. Swanson, 2001.
"Let's Get "Real" about Using Economic Data,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2001s-44, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter Christoffersen & Eric Ghysels & Norman Swanson, 2000.
"Let's Get "Real" About Using Economic Data,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
1004, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter Christoffersen & Eric Ghysels & Norman R. Swanson, .
"Let's Get "Real" about Using Economic Data,"
EPRU Working Paper Series
01-15, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
See citations under working paper version above.
- Peter Christoffersen & Torsten Sløk & Robert Wescott, 2001.
"Is inflation targeting feasible in Poland?,"
The Economics of Transition,
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 9(1), pages 153-174, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Bartosz Mackowiak, 2005.
"How much of the Macroeconomic Variation in Eastern Europe is Attributable to External Shocks?,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
SFB649DP2005-061, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Ekaterina Vostroknutova, 2003.
"Polish Stabilization: What can we learn from the I(2) Cointegration Analysis?,"
Economic Change and Restructuring,
Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 177-198, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Kim, Byung-Yeon, 2001.
"Determinants of Inflation in Poland: A Structural Cointegration Approach,"
BOFIT Discussion Papers
16/2001, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
[Downloadable!]
- Ekaterina VOSTROKNUTOVA, 2003.
"Shock Therapy? An I (2) Cointegration Analysis of the Russian Stabilization,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2003/16, European University Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- Fabrizio Iacone & Renzo Orsi, 2002.
"Exchange Rate Management and Inflation Targeting in the CEE Accession Countries,"
Eastward Enlargement of the Euro-zone Working Papers
wp08, Free University Berlin, Jean Monnet Centre of Excellence, revised 01 Aug 2002.
[Downloadable!]
- Jérôme Héricourt, 2005.
"Monetary policy transmission in the CEECs : revisited results using alternative econometrics,"
Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques
bla05020, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1).
[Downloadable!]
- Frömmel, Michael & Schobert, Franziska, 2006.
"Monetary Policy Rules in Central and Eastern Europe,"
Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover
dp-341, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
[Downloadable!]
- Balazs Egert & Doris Ritzberger-Gruenwald & Maria Antoinette Silgoner, 2004.
"Inflation Differentials in Europe: Past Experience and Future Prospects,"
Monetary Policy & the Economy,
Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 47-72, May.
[Downloadable!]
- OROS, Cornel & ROMOCEA-TURCU, Camelia, 2009.
"The Monetary Transmission Mechanisms In The Ceecs: A Structural Var Approach,"
Applied Econometrics and International Development,
Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 9(2).
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Roberto Golinelli & Riccardo Rovelli, 2002.
"Monetary Policy Transmission, Interest Rate Rules and Inflation Targeting in Three Transition Countries,"
Eastward Enlargement of the Euro-zone Working Papers
wp10, Free University Berlin, Jean Monnet Centre of Excellence, revised 01 Aug 2002.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Christoffersen, Peter & Hahn, Jinyong & Inoue, Atsushi, 2001.
"Testing and comparing Value-at-Risk measures,"
Journal of Empirical Finance,
Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 325-342, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2000.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics,
MIT Press, vol. 82(1), pages 12-22, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
97-45, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1998.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?,"
New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires
98-080, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1998.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?,"
NBER Working Papers
6844, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
See citations under working paper version above.
- Peter Christoffersen & Peter Doyle, 2000.
"From Inflation to Growth,"
The Economics of Transition,
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 8(2), pages 421-451, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Ekaterina Vostroknutova, 2003.
"Polish Stabilization: What can we learn from the I(2) Cointegration Analysis?,"
Economic Change and Restructuring,
Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 177-198, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Domac, Ilker & Peters, Kyle & Yuzefovich, Yevgeny, 2001.
"Does the exchange rate regime affect macroeconomic performance : evidence from transition economics,"
Policy Research Working Paper Series
2642, The World Bank.
[Downloadable!]
- Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Maria Antoinette Silgoner, 2004.
"Groth effects of inflation in Europe: How low is too low, how high is too high?,"
Vienna Economics Papers
0411, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Gillman, Max & Nakov, Anton, 2005.
"Granger Causality of the Inflation-Growth Mirror in Accession Countries,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4845, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Ekaterina VOSTROKNUTOVA, 2003.
"Shock Therapy? An I (2) Cointegration Analysis of the Russian Stabilization,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2003/16, European University Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- Tomasz Mickiewicz & Anna Zalewska, 2002.
"Deindustrialisation. Lessons from the StructuralOutcomes of Post-Communist Transition,"
William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series
463, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School.
[Downloadable!]
- Richard C.K. Burdekin & Arthur T. Denzau & Manfred W. Keil & Thitithep Sitthiyot & Thomas D. Willett, .
"When Does Inflation Hurt Economic Growth? Different Nonlinearities for Different Economies,"
Claremont Colleges Working Papers
2000-22, Claremont Colleges.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Burdekin, Richard C.K. & Denzau, Arthur T. & Keil, Manfred W. & Sitthiyot, Thitithep & Willett, Thomas D., 2004.
"When does inflation hurt economic growth? Different nonlinearities for different economies,"
Journal of Macroeconomics,
Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 519-532, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Marcelo Ochoa & Walter Orellana, 2002.
"Una Aproximación No Lineal A La Relación Inflación– Crecimiento Económico: Un Estudio Para América Latina,"
GE, Growth, Math methods
0211003, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Ichiro Iwasaki, 2003.
"Transition Strategies and Economic Performances in the Former Soviet States: A Comparative Institutional View,"
Discussion Paper Series
a433, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
[Downloadable!]
- Christoffersen, Peter F & Giorgianni, Lorenzo, 2000.
"Interest-Rate Arbitrage in Currency Baskets: Forecasting Weights and Measuring Risk,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 18(2), pages 242-53, April.
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Christoffersen, Peter F & Diebold, Francis X, 1998.
"Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 16(4), pages 450-58, October.
Other versions:
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting,"
IMF Working Papers
97/61, International Monetary Fund.
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"Cointegration and long-horizon forecasting,"
Working Papers
97-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0217, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
See citations under working paper version above.
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold & Til Schuermann, 1998.
"Horizon problems and extreme events in financial risk management,"
Economic Policy Review,
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Oct, pages 109-118.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Christoffersen, Peter F, 1998.
"Evaluating Interval Forecasts,"
International Economic Review,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 841-62, November.
Cited by:
- Maria Rosa Nieto & Esther Ruiz, 2008.
"Measuring financial risk : comparison of alternative procedures to estimate VaR and ES,"
Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers
ws087326, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría.
[Downloadable!]
- Raffaella Giacomini & Ivana Komunjer, 2003.
"Evaluation and Combination of Conditional Quantile Forecasts,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
571, Boston College Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Raffaella Giacomini & Ivana Komunjer, 2002.
"Evaluation and Combination of Conditional Quantile Forecasts,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
2002-11, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!]
- Giacomini, Raffaella & Komunjer, Ivana, 2005.
"Evaluation and Combination of Conditional Quantile Forecasts,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 416-431, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Dick van Dijk & Timo Teräsvirta & Philip Hans Franses, 2002.
"Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models - A Survey Of Recent Developments,"
Econometric Reviews,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 1-47.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:- Dijk, D.J.C. van & Terasvirta, T. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2000.
"Smooth transition autoregressive models - A survey of recent developments,"
Econometric Institute Report
EI 2000-23/A Revision_Dat, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- D. van Dijk & T. Terasvirta & P.H. Franses, 2000.
"Smooth transition autoregressive models - A survey of recent developments,"
Econometric Institute Report
200, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- van Dijk, Dick & Teräsvirta, Timo & Franses, Philip Hans, 2000.
"Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models - A Survey of Recent Developments,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
380, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 17 Jan 2001.
[Downloadable!]
- Shamiri, Ahmed & Shaari, Abu Hassan & Isa, Zaidi, 2007.
"Practical Volatility Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management,"
MPRA Paper
9790, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 May 2008.
[Downloadable!]
- Clements, Michael P., 2008.
"Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents'forecasts,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
870, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Bruce Mizrach, 2002.
"When Did The Smart Money in Enron Lose Its' Smirk?,"
Departmental Working Papers
200224, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Charles S. Bos & Ronald J. Mahieu & Herman K. van Dijk, 2001.
"Daily Exchange Rate Behaviour and Hedging of Currency Risk,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
01-017/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- C.S. Bos & R.J. Mahieu & H.K. Van Dijk, 2000.
"Daily exchange rate behaviour and hedging of currency risk,"
Econometric Institute Report
201, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- C.S. Bos & R.J. Mahieu & H.K. van Dijk, 1999.
"Daily exchange rate behaviour and hedging of currency risk,"
Econometric Institute Report
164, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- Charles S. Bos & Ronald J. Mahieu & Herman K. Van Dijk, 2000.
"Daily exchange rate behaviour and hedging of currency risk,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(6), pages 671-696.
[Downloadable!]
- Bos, C.S. & Mahieu, R.J. & Dijk, H.K. van, 1999.
"Daily exchange rate behaviour and hedging of currency risk,"
Econometric Institute Report
EI 9936/A Revision_Date: , Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- Charles S. Bos & Ronald J. Mahieu & Herman K. van Dijk, 2000.
"Daily Exchange Rate Behaviour and Hedging of Currency Risk,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
0504, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
- Bos, C.S. & Mahieu, R.J. & van Dijk, H.K., 1999.
"Daily Exchange Rate Behaviour and Hedging of Currency Risk,"
Papers
9936/a, Erasmus University of Rotterdam - Econometric Institute.
- Charles S. Bos & Ronald J. Mahieu & Herman K. van Dijk, 1999.
"Daily Exchange Rate Behaviour and Hedging of Currency Risk,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
99-078/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- Bos, C.S. & Mahieu, R.J. & Dijk, H.K. van, 2000.
"Daily exchange rate behaviour and hedging of currency risk,"
Econometric Institute Report
EI 2000-25/A Revision_Dat, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- Andrew J. Patton, 2001.
"Modelling Time-Varying Exchange Rate Dependence Using the Conditional Copula,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
2001-09, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!]
- Sean D. Campbell, 2005.
"A review of backtesting and backtesting procedures,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2005-21, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
- M.P. Clements & Ph.H.B.F. Franses & J. Smith, 1999.
"On SETAR non-linearity and forecasting,"
Econometric Institute Report
141, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Clements, M.P. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Smith, J., 1999.
"On SETAR non- linearity and forecasting,"
Econometric Institute Report
EI 9914-/A Revision_Date:, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- Dick van Dijk & Philip Hans Franses & Michael P. Clements & Jeremy Smith, 2003.
"On SETAR non-linearity and forecasting,"
Journal of Forecasting,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(5), pages 359-375.
[Downloadable!]
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2005.
"Roughing it Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling and Forecasting of Return Volatility,"
NBER Working Papers
11775, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2007.
"Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling and Forecasting of Return Volatility,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-18, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!]
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2007.
"Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling, and Forecasting of Return Volatility,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics,
MIT Press, vol. 89(4), pages 701-720, 04.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Timotheos Angelidis & Stavros Degiannakis, 2007.
"Backtesting VaR Models: An Expected Shortfall Approach,"
Working Papers
0701, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Candelon Bertrand & Colletaz Gilberg & Hurlin Christophe & Tokpavi Sessi, 2009.
"Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-based Test,"
Research Memoranda
051, Maastricht : METEOR, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003.
"Bootstrap Conditional Distribution Tests In the Presence of Dynamic Misspecification,"
Departmental Working Papers
200311, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Jose A. Lopez, 1996.
"Regulatory Evaluation of Value-at-Risk Models,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
96-51, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2003.
"Some Recent Developments in Predictive Accuracy Testing With Nested Models and (Generic) Nonlinear Alternatives,"
Departmental Working Papers
200316, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Memmel, Christoph & Wehn, Carsten, 2005.
"The supervisor's portfolio: the market price risk of German banks from 2001 to 2003 - Analysis and models for risk aggregation,"
Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies
2005,02, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!]
- Kenneth F. Wallis, 2001.
"Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts and the Bank of England's fan charts,"
Working Paper Series
083, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Wallis, Kenneth F., 2003.
"Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England's fan charts,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 165-175.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Wallis, Kenneth F., 2002.
"Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England's fan charts,"
Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002
181, Royal Economic Society.
[Downloadable!]
- Pesaran, B. & Pesaran, M.H., 2007.
"Modelling Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate t Distribution,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0734, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Bredin, Don & Hyde, Stuart, 2002.
"Forex Risk: Measurement and Evaluation using Value-at-Risk,"
Research Technical Papers
6/RT/02, Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Kulp-Tåg, Sofie, 2007.
"An Empirical Investigation of Value-at-Risk in Long and Short Trading Positions,"
Working Papers
526, Hanken School of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Jeremy Berkowitz, 1999.
"A coherent framework for stress-testing,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
1999-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
- Kyungchul Song, 2009.
"Testing Predictive Ability and Power Robustification,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
09-035, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
- GIOT, Pierre & PETITJEAN, Mikael, 2006.
"The information content of the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio: better than a random walk?,"
CORE Discussion Papers
2006089, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Jeremy Berkowitz & James O'Brien, 2001.
"How accurate are Value-at-Risk models at commercial banks?,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2001-31, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
- Marcel Scharth & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2006.
"Asymmetric effects and long memory in the volatility of Dow Jones stocks,"
Textos para discussão
532, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
[Downloadable!]
- Michael P. Clements & Philip Hans Franses & Norman R. Swanson, 2003.
"Forecasting economic and financial time-series with non-linear models,"
Departmental Working Papers
200309, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Michael P. Clements & Nick Taylor, 2003.
"Evaluating interval forecasts of high-frequency financial data,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(4), pages 445-456.
[Downloadable!]
- Giacomo Bormetti & Maria Elena De Giuli & Danilo Delpini & Claudia Tarantola, 2008.
"Bayesian Analysis of Value-at-Risk with Product Partition Models,"
Quantitative Finance Papers
0809.0241, arXiv.org, revised May 2009.
[Downloadable!]
- Jose A. Lopez, 1999.
"Methods for evaluating value-at-risk estimates,"
Economic Review,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 3-17.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold & Til Schuermann, 1998.
"Horizon Problems and Extreme Events in Financial Risk Management,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
98-16, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Jeremy Berkowitz, 1999.
"Evaluating the forecasts of risk models,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
1999-11, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
- Wai Yan Cheng & Michael Chak Sham Wong & Clement Yuk Pang Wong, 2003.
"Market risk management of banks: implications from the accuracy of Value-at-Risk forecasts,"
Journal of Forecasting,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 23-33.
[Downloadable!]
- Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003.
"A Test for Comparing Multiple Misspecified Conditional Distributions,"
Departmental Working Papers
200314, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter Christoffersen & Denis Pelletier, 2003.
"Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Duration-Based Approach,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2003s-05, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Boero, Gianna & Marrocu, Emanuela, 2003.
"The Performance Of Setar Models : A Regime Conditional Evaluation Of Point, Interval And Density Forecasts,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
663, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Gianna Boero & Emanuela Marrocu, 2002.
"The performance of Setar Models: a regime conditional evaluation of point, interval and density forecasts,"
Working Paper CRENoS
200208, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
[Downloadable!]
- Boero, Gianna & Marrocu, Emanuela, 2004.
"The performance of SETAR models: a regime conditional evaluation of point, interval and density forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 305-320.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- GIOT, Pierre & PETITJEAN, Mikael, 2005.
"Dynamic asset allocation between stocks and bonds using the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio,"
CORE Discussion Papers
2005010, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
[Downloadable!]
- Giordani, Paolo & Söderlind, Paul, 2003.
"Is There Evidence of Pessimism and Doubt in Subjective Distributions? A Comment on Abel,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4068, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:- Giordani, Paolo & Söderlind, Paul, 2002.
"Is there Evidence of Pessimism and Doubt in Subjective Distributions? A Comment on Abel,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
519, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 15 Aug 2003.
[Downloadable!]
- Giordani, Paolo & Söderlind, Paul, 2003.
"Is There Evidence of Pessimism and Doubt in Subjective Distributions? A Comment on Abel,"
SIFR Research Report Series
19, Institute for Financial Research.
[Downloadable!]
- J. Baixauli & Susana Alvarez, 2006.
"Evaluating effects of excess kurtosis on VaR estimates: Evidence for international stock indices,"
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting,
Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 27-46, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Francis X. Diebold & Jinyong Hahn & Anthony S. Tay, 1998.
"Real-Time Multivariate Density Forecast Evaluation and Calibration: Monitoring the Risk of High-Frequency Returns on Foreign Exchange,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
99-05, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Carol Alexander & Elizabeth Sheedy, 2007.
"Model-Based Stress Tests: Linking Stress Tests to VaR for Market Risk,"
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance
icma-dp2007-02, Henley Business School, Reading University.
[Downloadable!]
- David Hendry & Michael P. Clements, 2001.
"Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research,"
Economics Papers
2002-W11, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- David F. Hendry & Michael P. Clements, 2001.
"Economic forecasting: some lessons from recent research,"
Working Paper Series
082, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
- Hendry, David F. & Clements, Michael P., 2003.
"Economic forecasting: some lessons from recent research,"
Economic Modelling,
Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 301-329, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Hendry, David F & Michael P. Clements, 2002.
"Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research,"
Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002
99, Royal Economic Society.
[Downloadable!]
- David Hendry & Michael Clements, 2001.
"Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research,"
Economics Series Working Papers
078, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Dinghai Xu, 2009.
"The Applications of Mixtures of Normal Distributions in Empirical Finance: A Selected Survey,"
Working Papers
0904, University of Waterloo, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2009.
[Downloadable!]
- Dinghai Xu & Tony S. Wirjanto, 2008.
"An Empirical Characteristic Function Approach to VaR under a Mixture of Normal Distribution with Time-Varying Volatility,"
Working Papers
08008, University of Waterloo, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Burkhard Raunig, 2003.
"Testing for Longer Horizon Predictability of Return Volatility with an Application to the German DAX,"
Working Papers
86, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
[Downloadable!]
- Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2002.
"Testing Normality: A GMM Approach,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2002s-63, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!]
- M. Marzo & P. Zagaglia, 2007.
"Volatility Forecasting for Crude Oil Futures,"
Working Papers
599, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Caporin Massimiliano & Paruolo Paolo, 2005.
"Multivariate ARCH with spatial effects for stock sector and size,"
Economics and Quantitative Methods
qf0509, Department of Economics, University of Insubria.
[Downloadable!]
- Lucio Sarno, 2003.
"Nonlinear Exchange Rate Models: A Selective Overview,"
IMF Working Papers
03/111, International Monetary Fund.
[Downloadable!]
- Juan Carlos Escanciano & Carlos Velasco, 2008.
"Specification Tests of Parametric Dynamic Conditional Quantiles,"
Caepr Working Papers
2008-021, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Economics Department, Indiana University Bloomington.
[Downloadable!]
- Ozun, Alper & Cifter, Atilla & Yilmazer, Sait, 2007.
"Filtered Extreme Value Theory for Value-At-Risk Estimation,"
MPRA Paper
3302, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
- Cees Diks & Valentyn Panchenko & Dick van Dijk, 2008.
"Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
08-050/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Cees Diks & Valentyn Panchenko & Dick van Dijk, 2008.
"Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails,"
Discussion Papers
2008-10, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
[Downloadable!]
- Dijk, D. van & Diks, C.G.H. & Panchenko, V., 2008.
"Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails,"
CeNDEF Working Papers
08-03, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
[Downloadable!]
- Siem Jan Koopman & Charles S. Bos, 2002.
"Time Series Models with a Common Stochastic Variance for Analysing Economic Time Series,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
02-113/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- John Geweke & Gianni Amisano, 2008.
"Optimal Prediction Pools,"
Working Paper Series
22-08, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Jan 2008.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Robert Engle & Simone Manganelli, 2000.
"CAViaR: Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
0841, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Robert Engle & Simone Manganelli, 1999.
"CAViaR: Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
1999-20, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!]
- Robert F. Engle & Simone Manganelli, 1999.
"CAViaR: Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
99-20, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!]
- Robert F. Engle & Simone Manganelli, 2004.
"CAViaR: Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 367-381, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Robert F. Engle & Simone Manganelli, 1999.
"CAViaR: Conditional Value at Risk by Quantile Regression,"
NBER Working Papers
7341, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Peter Christoffersen & Jinyong Hahn & Atsushi Inoue, 2001.
"Testing and Comparing Value-at-Risk Measures,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2001s-03, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Lutz Kilian & Atsushi Inoue, 2003.
"On the selection of forecasting models,"
Working Paper Series
214, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2003.
"On the Selection of Forecasting Models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3809, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2006.
"On the selection of forecasting models,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 130(2), pages 273-306, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Gianna Boero & Emanuela Marrocu, 2001.
"Evaluating non-linear models on point and interval forecasts: an application with exchange rate returns,"
Working Paper CRENoS
200110, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
[Downloadable!]
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H., 2006.
"Quantile Forecasts of Daily Exchange Rate Returns from Forecasts of Realized Volatility,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
777, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Jean-Marie Dufour & Abderrahim Taamouti, 2008.
"Exact optimal and adaptive inference in regression models under heteroskedasticity and non-normality of unknown forms,"
Economics Working Papers
we086027, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía.
[Downloadable!]
- Ozun, Alper & Cifter, Atilla, 2007.
"Portfolio Value-at-Risk with Time-Varying Copula: Evidence from the Americas,"
MPRA Paper
2711, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
- Christian T. Brownlees & Giampiero Gallo, 2008.
"Comparison of Volatility Measures: a Risk Management Perspective,"
Econometrics Working Papers Archive
wp2008_03, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica "G. Parenti".
[Downloadable!]
- Bahram Pesaran & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2007.
"Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate t Distribution,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!]
- Francis X. Diebold & Todd A. Gunther & Anthony S. Tay, 1997.
"Evaluating Density Forecasts,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
97-37, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Francis X. Diebold & Todd A. Gunther & Anthony S. Tay, 1997.
"Evaluating density forecasts,"
Working Papers
97-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
- Francis X. Diebold & Todd A. Gunther & Anthony S. Tay, 1997.
"Evaluating Density Forecasts,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0215, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Francis X. Diebold & Todd A. Gunther & Anthony S. Tay, .
"Evaluating Density Forecasts,"
CARESS Working Papres
97-18, University of Pennsylvania Center for Analytic Research and Economics in the Social Sciences.
[Downloadable!]
- Jose A. Lopez & Christian A. Walter, 2000.
"Evaluating covariance matrix forecasts in a value-at-risk framework,"
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory
2000-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
[Downloadable!]
- Jae H. Kim & Haiyang Song & Kevin Wong & George Athanasopoulos & Shen Liu, 2008.
"Beyond point forecasting: evaluation of alternative prediction intervals for tourist arrivals,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
11/08, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, revised Oct 2009.
[Downloadable!]
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Linton, Oliver & Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira, 2008.
"Evaluating Value-at-Risk models via Quantile regressions,"
Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
679, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Jacob A. Bikker & Laura Spierdijk & Pieter Jelle van der Sluis, 2005.
"Cheap versus Expensive Trades: Assessing the Determinants of Market Impact Costs,"
DNB Working Papers
069, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
[Downloadable!]
- Philip Hans Franses & Henk Kranendonk & Debby Lanser, 2007.
"On the optimality of expert-adjusted forecasts,"
CPB Discussion Papers
92, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
[Downloadable!]
- George Kouretas & Leonidas Zarangas, 2005.
"Conditional autoregressive valu at risk by regression quantile: Estimatingmarket risk for major stock markets,"
Working Papers
0521, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- BONTEMPS, Christian & MEDDAHI, Nour, 2002.
"Testing Normality : A GMM Approach,"
Cahiers de recherche
2002-14, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
[Downloadable!]
- Santosh Mishra & Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Tae-Hwy Lee, 2004.
"Jumps in Rank and Expected Returns. Introducing Varying Cross-sectional Risk,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings
356, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
- Wong, Woon K & Copeland, Laurence, 2008.
"Risk Measurement and Management in a Crisis-Prone World,"
Cardiff Economics Working Papers
E2008/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
[Downloadable!]
- Anthony Tay & Kenneth F. Wallis, 2000.
"Density Forecasting: A Survey,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
0370, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
- B. Siliverstovs & D.J. Van Dijk, 2003.
"Forecasting industrial production with linear, nonlinear and structural change models,"
Econometric Institute Report
321, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Francis X. Diebold & Jose A. Lopez, 1996.
"Forecast Evaluation and Combination,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0192, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
97-45, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1998.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?,"
New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires
98-080, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1998.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?,"
NBER Working Papers
6844, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2000.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics,
MIT Press, vol. 82(1), pages 12-22, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008.
"Quantile Regression Methods of Estimating Confidence Intervals for WASDE Price Forecasts,"
2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida
6409, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
[Downloadable!]
- David E. Rapach & Jack K. Strauss, 2008.
"Structural breaks and GARCH models of exchange rate volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 65-90.
[Downloadable!]
- D.J. Van Dijk & P.H. Franses, 2003.
"Selecting a nonlinear time series model using weighted tests of equal forecast accuracy,"
Econometric Institute Report
315, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- Timotheos Angelidis & Alexandros Benos, 2006.
"Liquidity adjusted value-at-risk based on the components of the bid-ask spread,"
Applied Financial Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 16(11), pages 835-851, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Timotheos Angelidis & Alexandros Benos & Stavros Degiannakis, 2007.
"A robust VaR model under different time periods and weighting schemes,"
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting,
Springer, vol. 28(2), pages 187-201, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Wolfgang Härdle & Julius Mungo, 2008.
"Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall when there is long range dependence,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
SFB649DP2008-006, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
- Bruce Mizrach, 2007.
"Recovering Probabilistic Information From Options Prices and the Underlying,"
Departmental Working Papers
200702, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Charles S. Bos & Philip Hans Franses & Marius Ooms, 2001.
"Inflation, Forecast Intervals and Long Memory Regression Models,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
01-029/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Álvaro Veiga & Leonardo Souza, 2006.
"Using Irregularly Spaced Returns to Estimate Multi-factor Models: Application to Brazilian Equity Data,"
European Journal of Finance,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(6-7), pages 605-626, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2008.
"How informative are macroeconomic risk forecasts? An examination of the Bank of England's inflation forecasts,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2008,14, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!]
- David Ardia, 2007.
"Bayesian Estimation of a Markov-Switching Threshold Asymmetric GARCH Model with Student-t Innovations,"
DQE Working Papers
6, Department of Quantitative Economics, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland, revised 08 Jul 2008.
[Downloadable!]
- Gabriela De Raaij & Burkhard Raunig, 2005.
"Evaluating density forecasts from models of stock market returns,"
European Journal of Finance,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 151-166, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Jian Wang & Jason J. Wu, 2008.
"The Taylor rule and forecast intervals for exchange rates,"
Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute Working Paper
22, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Pesaran, M Hashem & Zaffaroni, Paolo, 2005.
"Model Averaging and Value-at-Risk Based Evaluation of Large Multi-Asset Volatility Models for Risk Management,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5279, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Weron, Rafal & Misiorek, Adam, 2008.
"Forecasting spot electricity prices: A comparison of parametric and semiparametric time series models,"
MPRA Paper
10428, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2000.
"Inflation Forecast Uncertainty,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
384, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 09 Oct 2000.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Söderlind, Paul, 2000.
"Inflation Forecast Uncertainty,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
2499, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2003.
"Inflation forecast uncertainty,"
European Economic Review,
Elsevier, vol. 47(6), pages 1037-1059, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Jeremy Berkowitz & Peter Christoffersen & Denis Pelletier, 2005.
"Evaluating Value-at-Risk models with desk-level data,"
Working Paper Series
010, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2006.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - GIOT, Pierre, 2003.
"The information content of implied volatility indexes for forecasting volatility and market risk,"
CORE Discussion Papers
2003027, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
[Downloadable!]
- Francisco Peñaranda, 2004.
"Are Vector Autoregressions And Accurate Model For Dynamic Asset Allocation?,"
Working Papers
wp2004_0419, CEMFI.
[Downloadable!]
- Andrew J. Patton & Allan Timmermann, 2005.
"Testable Implications of Forecast Optimality,"
STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series
/2005/485, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
[Downloadable!]
- Geetesh Bhardwaj & Norman Swanson, 2004.
"An Empirical Investigation of the Usefulness of ARFIMA Models for Predicting Macroeconomic and Financial Time Series,"
Departmental Working Papers
200422, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2004.
"Predective Density and Conditional Confidence Interval Accuracy Tests,"
Departmental Working Papers
200423, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2003.
"The Block Bootstrap for Parameter Estimation Error In Recursive Estimation Schemes, With Applications to Predictive Evaluation,"
Departmental Working Papers
200313, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Dimitrios Thomakos & Tao Wang, 2007.
"'Optimal' Probabilistic Predictions for Financial Returns,"
Working Papers
0006, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Martin Martens & Dick van Dijk & Michiel de Pooter, 2004.
"Modeling and Forecasting S&P 500 Volatility: Long Memory, Structural Breaks and Nonlinearity,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
04-067/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- Mohammed Bouaddi & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts, 2007.
"Mixed Exponential Power Asymmetric Conditional Heteroskedasticity,"
Cahiers de recherche
0749, CIRPEE.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- BOUADDI, Mohammed & ROMBOUTS, Jeroen V.K., 2007.
"Mixed exponential power asymmetric conditional heteroskedasticity,"
CORE Discussion Papers
2007097, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
[Downloadable!]
- Mohammed Bouaddi & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts, 2007.
"Mixed Exponential Power Asymmetric Conditional Heteroskedasticity,"
Cahiers de recherche
07-15, HEC Montréal, Institut d'économie appliquée.
[Downloadable!]
- Matthew Pritsker, 2001.
"The hidden dangers of historical simulation,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2001-27, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
- John Geweke & Gianni Amisano, 2008.
"Comparing and evaluating Bayesian predictive distributions of asset returns,"
Working Paper Series
969, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
- Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 1997.
"Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss,"
Econometric Theory,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(06), pages 808-817, December.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Christoffersen & Diebold, .
"Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss,"
Home Pages
167, 1996., University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"Optimal prediction under asymmetric loss,"
Working Papers
97-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, .
"Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss,"
CARESS Working Papres
97-20, University of Pennsylvania Center for Analytic Research and Economics in the Social Sciences.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1994.
"Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
See citations under working paper version above.
- Christoffersen, Peter F & Diebold, Francis X, 1996.
"Further Results on Forecasting and Model Selection under Asymmetric Loss,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(5), pages 561-71, Sept.-Oct.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Cited by:
- Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2004.
"Bootstrap Procedures for Recursive Estimation Schemes With Applications to Forecast Model Selection,"
Departmental Working Papers
200418, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Pesaran, M. H., 1999.
"On Aggregation of Linear Dynamic Models,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
9919, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!]
- Rosario Dell'Aquila & Elvezio Ronchetti, 2004.
"Stock and Bond Return Predictability : The Discrimination Power of Model Selection Criteria,"
Cahiers du Département d'Econométrie
2004.05, Département d'Econométrie, Université de Genève.
[Downloadable!]
- Francis X. Diebold & Todd A. Gunther & Anthony S. Tay, 1997.
"Evaluating Density Forecasts,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0215, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:- Francis X. Diebold & Todd A. Gunther & Anthony S. Tay, 1997.
"Evaluating density forecasts,"
Working Papers
97-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
- Francis X. Diebold & Todd A. Gunther & Anthony S. Tay, 1997.
"Evaluating Density Forecasts,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
97-37, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
- Francis X. Diebold & Todd A. Gunther & Anthony S. Tay, .
"Evaluating Density Forecasts,"
CARESS Working Papres
97-18, University of Pennsylvania Center for Analytic Research and Economics in the Social Sciences.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter Pope & David Peel & Mark Clatworthy, 2006.
"Are analysts’ loss functions asymmetric?,"
Working Papers
003094, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0217, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:- Christoffersen, Peter F & Diebold, Francis X, 1998.
"Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 16(4), pages 450-58, October.
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"Cointegration and long-horizon forecasting,"
Working Papers
97-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting,"
IMF Working Papers
97/61, International Monetary Fund.
- Michael P. Clements & Philip Hans Franses & Norman R. Swanson, 2003.
"Forecasting economic and financial time-series with non-linear models,"
Departmental Working Papers
200309, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - María Clara Aristizábal Restrepo, .
"Evaluación asimétrica de una red neuronal artificial:Aplicación al caso de la inflación en Colombia,"
Borradores de Economia
377, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
[Downloadable!]
- Francis X. Diebold & Lutz Kilian, 1997.
"Measuring Predictability: Theory and Macroeconomic Applications,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0213, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:- Francis X. Diebold & Lutz Kilian, 1997.
"Measuring predictability: theory and macroeconomic applications,"
Working Papers
97-23, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
- Francis X. Diebold & Lutz Kilian, 2001.
"Measuring predictability: theory and macroeconomic applications,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(6), pages 657-669.
[Downloadable!]
- Diebold, Francis X & Kilian, Lutz, 2000.
"Measuring Predictability: Theory And Macroeconomic Applications,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
2424, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Francis X. Diebold & Lutz Kilian, 1998.
"Measuring Predictability: Theory and Macroeconomic Applications,"
Working Papers
98-16, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"Optimal prediction under asymmetric loss,"
Working Papers
97-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 1997.
"Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss,"
Econometric Theory,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(06), pages 808-817, December.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1994.
"Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Christoffersen & Diebold, .
"Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss,"
Home Pages
167, 1996., University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, .
"Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss,"
CARESS Working Papres
97-20, University of Pennsylvania Center for Analytic Research and Economics in the Social Sciences.
[Downloadable!]
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2004.
"Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2004/08, Center for Financial Studies.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2003.
"Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics,"
NBER Working Papers
10009, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X.Diebold, 2003.
"Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
04-009, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
- Stanislav Anatolyev, 2006.
"Dynamic modeling under linear-exponential loss,"
Working Papers
w0092, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Sean D. Campbell & Francis X. Diebold, 2002.
"Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
02-42, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Sean D. Campbell & Francis X. Diebold, 2005.
"Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives,"
Journal of the American Statistical Association,
American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 6-16, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Sean D. Campbell & Francis X. Diebold, 2004.
"Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2004/10, Center for Financial Studies.
[Downloadable!]
- Sean D. Campbell & Francis X. Diebold, 2003.
"Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives,"
NBER Working Papers
10141, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Francis X. Diebold & Jose A. Lopez, 1996.
"Forecast Evaluation and Combination,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0192, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Peter Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2002.
"Financial Asset Returns, Market Timing, and Volatility Dynamics,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2002s-02, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!]
- Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2008.
"Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-56, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2006.
"Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
3, Society for Computational Economics.
- Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2006.
"Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations,"
Working Papers
2006-07, Banco de México.
[Downloadable!]
- Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2009.
"Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 365-396, 03.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- María Clara Aristizábal Restrepo, 2006.
"Evaluación asimétrica de una red neuronal: aplicación al caso de la inflación en Colombia,"
Lecturas de Economía,
Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 65, pages 73-116, Julio-Dic.
[Downloadable!]
- Diebold, F.X. & Kilian, L. & Nerlove, M., 2006.
"Time Series Analysis,"
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[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Spyros Skouras, 1998.
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9808001, EconWPA, revised 24 Aug 1998.
[Downloadable!]
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"On The Informational Content Of Asset Prices,"
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[Downloadable!]
- Marcella Niglio, 2007.
"Multi-step forecasts from threshold ARMA models using asymmetric loss functions,"
Statistical Methods and Applications,
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[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2003.
"The Block Bootstrap for Parameter Estimation Error In Recursive Estimation Schemes, With Applications to Predictive Evaluation,"
Departmental Working Papers
200313, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
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- Granger, C.W.J. & Pesaran, M. H., 1999.
"Economic and Statistical Measures of Forecast Accuracy,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
9910, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!]