Articles
- Richard Ashley & Randal Verbrugge, 2009.
"Frequency Dependence in Regression Model Coefficients: An Alternative Approach for Modeling Nonlinear Dynamic Relationships in Time Series,"
Econometric Reviews,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 28(1-3), pages 4-20.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Ashley, Richard A. & Patterson, Douglas M., 2006.
"Evaluating the Effectiveness of State-Switching Time Series Models for U.S. Real Output,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 266-277, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Paul Alagidede & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2009.
"Modelling stock returns in Africa’s emerging equity markets,"
Discussion Paper Series
2009_01, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Jan 2009.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Alagidede, Paul & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2009.
"Modelling stock returns in Africa's emerging equity markets,"
International Review of Financial Analysis,
Elsevier, vol. 18(1-2), pages 1-11, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Alagidede, Paul & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2009.
"Modelling stock returns in Africa's emerging equity markets,"
Stirling Economics Discussion Papers
2009-04, University of Stirling, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Theodore Panagiotidis, 2008.
"Market Efficiency and the Euro: The case of the Athens Stock exchange,"
Discussion Paper Series
2008_14, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Dec 2008.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Theodore Panagiotidis, 2005.
"Market Efficiency and the Euro: The case of the Athens Stock Exchange,"
Finance
0507022, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Theodore Panagiotidis, 2003.
"Market Efficiency and the Euro:The case of the Athens Stock Exchange,"
Economics and Finance Discussion Papers
03-08, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
- Theodore Panagiotidis, 2003.
"Market Efficiency and the Euro:The case of the Athens Stock Exchange,"
Public Policy Discussion Papers
03-08, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
- Ashley, Richard, 2003.
"Statistically significant forecasting improvements: how much out-of-sample data is likely necessary?,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 229-239.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Thomas A. Knetsch, 2004.
"Evaluating the German Inventory Cycle – Using Data from the Ifo Business Survey,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Gabriel Moser & Fabio Rumler & Johann Scharler, 2004.
"Forecasting Austrian Inflation,"
Working Papers
91, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H., 2007.
"Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets,"
2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois
37577, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
[Downloadable!]
- Hilde Bjørnland & Leif Brubakk & Anne Jore, 2008.
"Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap,"
Empirical Economics,
Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 413-436, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:- Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif Brubakk & Anne Sofie Jore, 2006.
"Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap,"
Working Paper
2006/02, Norges Bank.
[Downloadable!]
- Bjørnland, Hilde C. & Brubakk, Leif & Jore, Anne Sofie, 2006.
"Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap,"
Memorandum
11/2006, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Manfredo, Mark R. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2004.
"Forecast Encompassing And Futures Market Efficiency: The Case Of Milk Futures,"
2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO
20267, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
[Downloadable!]
- Tan, Hui Boon & Ashley, Richard, 1999.
"Detection And Modeling Of Regression Parameter Variation Across Frequencies,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 3(01), pages 69-83, March.
[Downloadable!]
Cited by:
- R. Becker & W. Enders & S. Hurn, 2001.
"Modelling Structural Change in Money Demand Using a Fourier-Series Approximation,"
Research Paper Series
67, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
[Downloadable!]
- Ralf Becker & Walter Enders & A. Stan Hurn, 2001.
"Testing for Time Dependence in Parameters,"
Research Paper Series
58, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
[Downloadable!]
- Richard A. Ashley & Randall J. Verbrugge., 2006.
"Mis-Specification in Phillips Curve Regressions: Quantifying Frequency Dependence in This Relationship While Allowing for Feedback,"
Working Papers
e06-11, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Richard A. Ashley. & Randall J. Verbrugge., 2006.
"Mis-Specification and Frequency Dependence in a New Keynesian Phillips Curve,"
Working Papers
e06-12, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Richard A. Ashley. & Randall J. Verbrugge, 2006.
"Frequency Dependence in Regression Model Coefficients: An Alternative Approach for Modeling Nonlinear Dynamic Relationships in Time Series,"
Working Papers
e06-7, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Ashley, Richard, 1998.
"A new technique for postsample model selection and validation,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,
Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 647-665, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2008.
"Modelling Long-Run Trends and Cycles in Financial Time Series Data,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!]
- Norwood, F. Bailey & Lusk, Jayson L. & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2004.
"Model Selection for Discrete Dependent Variables: Better Statistics for Better Steaks,"
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics,
Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(03), December.
[Downloadable!]
- Lusk, Jayson & Norwood, Bailey & Brorsen, Wade, 2004.
"Forecasting Limited Dependent Variables: Better Statistics For Better Steaks,"
2004 Annual Meeting, February 14-18, 2004, Tulsa, Oklahoma
34612, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
[Downloadable!]
- Daniel Peña & Ismael Sánchez, 2001.
"New In-Sample Prediction Errors In Time Series With Applications,"
Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers
ws011107, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría.
[Downloadable!]
- Juncal Cuñado & Luis A. Gil-Alaña, .
"Tourism in the Canary Islands: Forecasting Using Several Seasonal Time Series Models,"
Faculty Working Papers
02/07, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Norman R. Swanson, 2000.
"An Out of Sample Test for Granger Causality,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
0362, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
- Todd E. Clark & Michael McCracken, 1999.
"Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy and Encompassing for Nested Models,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 1999
1241, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2001.
"Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 85-110, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2000.
"Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy and Encompassing for Nested Models,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
0319, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 1999.
"Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models,"
Research Working Paper
99-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!]
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2009.
"Multi-Factor Gegenbauer Processes and European Inflation Rates,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - George Kapetanios & Vincent Labhard & Simon Price, .
"Forecasting using Bayesian and information theoretic model averaging: an application to UK inflation,"
Bank of England working papers
268, Bank of England.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Kapetanios, George & Labhard, Vincent & Price, Simon, 2008.
"Forecasting Using Bayesian and Information-Theoretic Model Averaging: An Application to U.K. Inflation,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 26, pages 33-41, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- George Kapetanios & Vincent Labhard & Simon Price, 2007.
"Forecasting using Bayesian and information theoretic model averaging: an application to UK in flation,"
City University Economics Discussion Papers
07/15, Department of Economics, City University, London.
[Downloadable!]
- George Kapetanios & Vincent Labhard & Simon Price, 2006.
"Forecasting using Bayesian and Information Theoretic Model Averaging: An Application to UK Inflation,"
Working Papers
566, Queen Mary, University of London, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2007.
"Long Run and Cyclical Dynamics in the US Stock Market,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2004.
"Long-run and Cyclical Dynamics in the US Stock Market,"
Economics Series
155, Institute for Advanced Studies.
[Downloadable!]
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2005.
"Long Run And Cyclical Dynamics In The Us Stock Market,"
Economics and Finance Discussion Papers
05-09, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
- L.A. Gil-Alana & G.M. caporale, 2004.
"Long-run and Cyclical Dynamics in the US Stock Market,"
Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings
344, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
- Richard A. Ashley., 2006.
"Assessing the Credibility of Instrumental Variables Inference With Imperfect Instruments Via Sensitivity Analysis,"
Working Papers
e06-9, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Ashley, Richard, 1990.
"Shrinkage Estimation with General Loss Functions: An Application of Stochastic Dominance Theory,"
International Economic Review,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 31(2), pages 301-13, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Richard A. Ashley., 2006.
"Beyond Optimal Forecasting,"
Working Papers
e06-10, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Ashley, Richard A & Patterson, Douglas M, 1989.
"Linear versus Nonlinear Macroeconomies: A Statistical Test,"
International Economic Review,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 30(3), pages 685-704, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- William A. Barnett & A. Ronald Gallant & Melvin J. Hinich & Jochen A. Jungeilges & Daniel T. Kaplan & Mark J. Jensen, 1996.
"A Single-Blind Controlled Competition among Tests for Nonlinearity and Chaos,"
Econometrics
9602005, EconWPA, revised 20 Sep 1996.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Barnett, William A. & Gallant, A. Ronald & Hinich, Melvin J. & Jungeilges, Jochen A. & Kaplan, Daniel T. & Jensen, Mark J., 1997.
"A single-blind controlled competition among tests for nonlinearity and chaos,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 82(1), pages 157-192.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Diego Valderrama, 2002.
"Statistical nonlinearities in the business cycle: a challenge for the canonical RBC model,"
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory
2002-13, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Cornelis A. Los & Jeyanthi Karuppiah, 2004.
"Wavelet Multiresolution Analysis of High-Frequency Asian FX Rates, Summer 1997,"
Finance
0409037, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Elena Rusticelli & Richard A. Ashley & Estela Bee Dagum & Douglas M. Patterson, 2006.
"A New Bispectral Test for Nonlinear Serial Dependence,"
Working Papers
e06-6, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Maurice Peat & Max Stevenson, 1995.
"Testing for Nonlinearities in Economic and Financial Time Series,"
Working Paper Series
48, School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney.
[Downloadable!]
- David Chappell, Robert M. Eldridge, 1997.
"Non-linear characteristics of the sterling/European Currency Unit exchange rate: 19841992,"
European Journal of Finance,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 159-182, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- João Paulo Martin Faleiros & Denisard Cnéio de Oliveira Alves, 2006.
"Não Linearidade Nos Ciclos De Negócios: Modelo Auto-Regressivo “Smooth Transition” Para O Índice Geral De Produção Industrial Brasileiro E Bens De Capital,"
Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting]
10, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
[Downloadable!]
- Diego Valderrama, 2002.
"Nonlinearities in international business cycles,"
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory
2002-23, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
[Downloadable!]
- Diego Valderrama, 2003.
"Statistical Nonlinearities in the Business Cycle,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2003
219, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Ashley, Richard, 1988.
"On the relative worth of recent macroeconomic forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 363-376.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. & Carol T. West, 2004.
"Regional Econometric Housing Start Forecast Accuracy in Florida,"
Urban/Regional
0403004, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. & Juan Alberto Luevano & Carol Taylor West, 2004.
"Accuracy of Regional Single-Family Housing Start Forecasts,"
Urban/Regional
0404010, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. & Kelley, Brian W., 2008.
"El Paso Housing Sector Econometric Forecast Accuracy,"
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics,
Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(01), April.
[Downloadable!]
- Haiyan Song & Egon Smeral & Gang Li & Jason L. Chen, 2008.
"Tourism Forecasting: Accuracy of Alternative Econometric Models Revisited,"
WIFO Working Papers
326, WIFO.
[Downloadable!]
- Thomas M Fullerton Jr & Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, 2005.
"Maquiladora Employment Dynamics in Chihuahua City, Mexico,"
Development and Comp Systems
0501006, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Carol Taylor West & Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., 2004.
"Assessing the Historical Accuracy of Regional Economic Forecasts,"
Urban/Regional
0404009, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Ashley, Richard & Vaughan, David, 1986.
"Measuring Measurement Error in Economic Time Series,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 4(1), pages 95-103, January.
Cited by:
- Richard A. Ashley., 2006.
"Assessing the Credibility of Instrumental Variables Inference With Imperfect Instruments Via Sensitivity Analysis,"
Working Papers
e06-9, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Ashley, Richard, 1984.
"A Simple Test for Regression Parameter Instability,"
Economic Inquiry,
Oxford University Press, vol. 22(2), pages 253-68, April.
Cited by:
- Amir Kia, 1996.
"Overnight Covered Interest Parity: Theory And Practice,"
International Economic Journal,
Korean International Economic Association, vol. 10(1), pages 59-82, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- A. C. Arize, 1996.
"The Impact Of Exchange-Rate Uncertainty On Export Growth: Evidence From Korean Data,"
International Economic Journal,
Korean International Economic Association, vol. 10(3), pages 49-60, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Richard A. Ashley & Randall J. Verbrugge., 2006.
"Mis-Specification in Phillips Curve Regressions: Quantifying Frequency Dependence in This Relationship While Allowing for Feedback,"
Working Papers
e06-11, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Richard A. Ashley. & Randall J. Verbrugge., 2006.
"Mis-Specification and Frequency Dependence in a New Keynesian Phillips Curve,"
Working Papers
e06-12, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Richard A. Ashley. & Randall J. Verbrugge, 2006.
"Frequency Dependence in Regression Model Coefficients: An Alternative Approach for Modeling Nonlinear Dynamic Relationships in Time Series,"
Working Papers
e06-7, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Augustine C. Arize, 1990.
"Effects Of Financial Innovations On The Money Demand Function: Evidence From Japan,"
International Economic Journal,
Korean International Economic Association, vol. 4(1), pages 59-70, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Augustine C. Arize & Jan Walker, 1992.
"A Reexamination Of Japan'S Aggregate Import Demand Function: An Application Of The Engle And Granger Two-Step Procedure,"
International Economic Journal,
Korean International Economic Association, vol. 6(2), pages 41-55, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Ashley, Richard, 1981.
"Inflation and the Distribution of Price Changes across Markets: A Causal Analysis,"
Economic Inquiry,
Oxford University Press, vol. 19(4), pages 650-60, October.
Cited by:
- David FIELDING & Paul MIZEN, 2001.
"The Relationship between Price Dispersion and Inflation: A Reassessment,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2001/10, European University Institute.
[Downloadable!]
- Ashley, R & Granger, C W J & Schmalensee, R, 1980.
"Advertising and Aggregate Consumption: An Analysis of Causality,"
Econometrica,
Econometric Society, vol. 48(5), pages 1149-67, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- D. Sornette & W. -X. Zhou, 2004.
"Non-parametric Determination of Real-Time Lag Structure between Two Time Series: the "Optimal Thermal Causal Path" Method,"
Quantitative Finance Papers
cond-mat/0408166, arXiv.org.
[Downloadable!]
- Pardey, Philip G. & Craig, Barbara, 1987.
"Dynamics Of The Agricultural Research And Output Relationship,"
Staff Papers
13515, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Marc-André Gosselin & Greg Tkacz, 2001.
"Evaluating Factor Models: An Application to Forecasting Inflation in Canada,"
Working Papers
01-18, Bank of Canada.
[Downloadable!]
- Nai-fu Chen & Thomas Copeland & David Mayers, 1987.
"A Comparison of Single and Multifactor Portfolio Performance Methodologies (formerly WP #13-83),"
University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management
1196, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
[Downloadable!]
- McCrorie, J.R. & Chambers, M.J., 2004.
"Granger causality and the sampling of economic processes,"
Discussion Paper
39, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Jones, Rodney & Kastens, Terry, 1999.
"Predicting Feeding Cost Of Gain With More Precision,"
1999 Annual meeting, August 8-11, Nashville, TN
21506, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
[Downloadable!]
- David Hauner & Kornélia Krajnyák & Martin Mühleisen & Bennett Sutton & Stephan Danninger, 2005.
"How Do Canadian Budget Forecasts Compare with Those of Other Industrial Countries?,"
IMF Working Papers
05/66, International Monetary Fund.
[Downloadable!]
- Francisco F. R. Ramos, 1996.
"Causality Among Sales,Advertising and Prices: New Evidence from a Multivariate Cointegrated System,"
Econometrics
9612004, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2008.
"Forecast Evaluation of Small Nested Model Sets,"
NBER Working Papers
14601, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Stuart Fraser & David Paton, 2003.
"Does advertising increase labour supply? Time series evidence from the UK,"
Applied Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 35(11), pages 1357-1368, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Golinelli, Roberto & Parigi, Giuseppe, 2005.
"Short-Run Italian GDP Forecasting and Real-Time Data,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5302, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Goodwin, Barry K., 1992.
"Forecasting Cattle Prices In The Presence Of Structural Change,"
Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics,
Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(02), December.
[Downloadable!]
- Lusk, Jayson & Norwood, Bailey & Brorsen, Wade, 2004.
"Forecasting Limited Dependent Variables: Better Statistics For Better Steaks,"
2004 Annual Meeting, February 14-18, 2004, Tulsa, Oklahoma
34612, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
[Downloadable!]
- Kenneth D. West & Todd Clark, 2006.
"Approximately Normal Tests for Equal Predictive Accuracy in Nested Models,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:- Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2005.
"Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 05-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!]
- Clark, Todd E. & West, Kenneth D., 2007.
"Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 291-311, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Óscar Bajo Rubio & Simón Sosvilla Rivero & Fernando Fernández Rodríguez, 2000.
"Asymmetry In The Ems: New Evidence Based On Non-Linear Forecasts,"
Documentos de Trabajo - Lan Gaiak Departamento de EconomÃa - Universidad Pública de Navarra
0001, Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Bajo-Rubio, Oscar & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simon & Fernandez-Rodriguez, Fernando, 2001.
"Asymmetry in the EMS: New evidence based on non-linear forecasts,"
European Economic Review,
Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 451-473, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Oscar Bajo-Rubio & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & Fernado Fernández-Rodríguez, .
"Asymmetry in the EMS: New evidence based on non-linear forecasts,"
Working Papers
97-24, FEDEA.
[Downloadable!]
- Daniel Peña & Ismael Sánchez, 2001.
"New In-Sample Prediction Errors In Time Series With Applications,"
Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers
ws011107, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría.
[Downloadable!]
- Brorsen, B. Wade & Irwin, Scott H., 1996.
"Improving The Relevance Of Research On Price Forecasting And Marketing Strategies,"
Agricultural and Resource Economics Review,
Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 25(1), April.
[Downloadable!]
- Kenneth D. West & Michael W. McCracken, 1998.
"Regression-Based Tests of Predictive Ability,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0226, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Norwood, Bailey & Schroeder, Ted C., 2000.
"Usefulness Of Placement – Weight Data In Forecasting Fed Cattle Marketings And Prices,"
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics,
Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(01), April.
[Downloadable!]
- Didier Sornette & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2005.
"Non-parametric determination of real-time lag structure between two time series: the 'optimal thermal causal path’ method,"
Quantitative Finance,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 5(6), pages 577-591, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2004.
"Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the Martingale difference hypothesis,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 04-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Raymond Y.C. Tse, Sivaguru Ganesan, 1997.
"Causal relationship between construction flows and GDP: evidence from Hong Kong,"
Construction Management & Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 371-376, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Österholm, Pär, 2009.
"Improving Unemployment Rate Forecasts Using Survey Data,"
Working Paper
112, National Institute of Economic Research.
[Downloadable!]
- Shroeder, Ted C. & Mintert, James, 1988.
"Hedging Feeder Steers And Heifers In The Cash-Settled Feeder Cattle Futures Market,"
Western Journal of Agricultural Economics,
Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(02), December.
[Downloadable!]
- Helge Berger & Thomas Harjes, 2009.
"Does Global Liquidity Matter for Monetary Policy in the Euro Area?,"
IMF Working Papers
09/17, International Monetary Fund.
[Downloadable!]
- Jae H. Kim, 2005.
"Investigating the advertising-sales relationship in the Lydia Pinkham data: a bootstrap approach,"
Applied Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 347-354, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Ekaterini Panopoulou, 2006.
"The predictive content of financial variables: Evidence from the euro area,"
The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series
iiisdp178, IIIS.
[Downloadable!]
- Khosrow Doroodian & Barry J. Seldon, 1991.
"Advertising and Cigarette Consumption,"
Eastern Economic Journal,
Eastern Economic Association, vol. 17(3), pages 359-366, Jul-Sep.
[Downloadable!]
- Edgar Weissenberger & J. Thomas, 1983.
"The causal role of money in West Germany,"
Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv),
Springer, vol. 119(1), pages 64-83, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2002.
"In-Sample or Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability: Which One Should We Use?,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3671, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Bryant, Henry & Haigh, Michael, 2001.
"Estimating Actual Bid-Ask Spreads In Commodity Futures Markets,"
2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL
20707, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
[Downloadable!]
- Norman R. Swanson, 2000.
"An Out of Sample Test for Granger Causality,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
0362, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
- Raymond Y.C. Tse, John Raftery, 2001.
"The effects of money supply on construction flows,"
Construction Management & Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 9-17, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Anne Péguin-Feissolle & Birgit Strikholm & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008.
"Testing the Granger noncausality hypothesis in stationary nonlinear models of unknown functional form,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-19, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. & Kelley, Brian W., 2008.
"El Paso Housing Sector Econometric Forecast Accuracy,"
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics,
Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(01), April.
[Downloadable!]
- R.W. Hafer & Scott E. Hein, 1989.
"Comparing futures and survey forecasts of near-term Treasury bill rates,"
Review,
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 33-42.
[Downloadable!]
- Todd E. Clark, 2000.
"Can out-of-sample forecast comparisons help prevent overfitting?,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 00-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Todd E. Clark & Michael McCracken, 1999.
"Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy and Encompassing for Nested Models,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 1999
1241, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2001.
"Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 85-110, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2000.
"Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy and Encompassing for Nested Models,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
0319, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 1999.
"Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models,"
Research Working Paper
99-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
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- Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2003.
"Some Recent Developments in Predictive Accuracy Testing With Nested Models and (Generic) Nonlinear Alternatives,"
Departmental Working Papers
200316, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
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Other versions: - Goddard, Ellen & Shank, Ben & Panter, Chris & Nilsson, Tomas & Cash, Sean, 2007.
"Canadian Chicken Industry: Consumer Preferences, Industry Structure and Producer Benefits from Investment in Research and Advertising,"
Project Report Series
52088, University of Alberta, Department of Rural Economy.
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- R.W. Hafer & Scott E. Hein, 1988.
"Forecasting inflation using interest rate and time-series models: some international evidence,"
Working Papers
1988-001, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
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Other versions: - Bradshaw, Girard W. & Orden, David, 1990.
"Granger Causality From The Exchange Rate To Agricultural Prices And Export Sales,"
Western Journal of Agricultural Economics,
Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 15(01), July.
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- Matthias R. Greuner, David R. Kamerschen, Peter G. Klein, 2000.
"The Competitive Effects of Advertising in the US Automobile Industry, 197094,"
International Journal of the Economics of Business,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 7(3), pages 245-261, November.
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- Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2005.
"Using Out-of-Sample Mean Squared Prediction Errors to Test the Martingale Difference,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0305, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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- Khurshid Kiani & Terry Kastens, 2008.
"Testing Forecast Accuracy of Foreign Exchange Rates: Predictions from Feed Forward and Various Recurrent Neural Network Architectures,"
Computational Economics,
Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 383-406, November.
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- Kastens, Terry & Schroeder, Ted C., 1994.
"Cattle Feeder Behavior And Feeder Cattle Placements,"
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics,
Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(02), December.
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- Brorsen, B. Wade & Akridge, Jay T. & Boland, Michael A. & Mauney, Sean & Forrest, John C., 1998.
"Performance Of Alternative Component Pricing Systems For Pork,"
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics,
Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 30(02), December.
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- Jonas Dovern & Christina Ziegler, 2008.
"Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators Under Real-Time Conditions,"
Kiel Working Papers
1397, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
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Other versions: - Kastens, Terry L. & Schroeder, Ted C., 1996.
"Efficiency Tests Of July Kansas City Wheat Futures,"
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics,
Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 21(02), December.
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- Schumacher, Sara K. & Marsh, Thomas L., 2002.
"Economies Of Scale In The Greenhouse Floriculture Industry,"
2002 Annual Meeting, July 28-31, 2002, Long Beach, California
36577, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
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- R. D. Brooks & R. W. Faff & M. McKenzie, 2002.
"Time varying country risk: an assessment of alternative modelling techniques,"
European Journal of Finance,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 249-274, September.
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- Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2007.
"Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out-of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs,"
Working Paper Series
2007:30, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
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Other versions: - Elam, Emmett W. & Holder, Shelby H., 1985.
"An Evaluation Of The Rice Outlook And Situation Price Forecasts,"
Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics,
Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 17(02), December.
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- Francis X. Diebold & Robert S. Mariano, 1994.
"Comparing Predictive Accuracy,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0169, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Other versions:- Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002.
"Comparing Predictive Accuracy,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-44, January.
- Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 1995.
"Comparing Predictive Accuracy,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 13(3), pages 253-63, July.
- Henry L. Bryant & Michael S. Haigh, 2004.
"Bid-ask spreads in commodity futures markets,"
Applied Financial Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(13), pages 923-936, September.
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- McIntosh, Christopher S. & Bessler, David A., 1988.
"Forecasting Agricultural Prices Using A Bayesian Composite Approach,"
Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics,
Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 20(02), December.
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- Palm, F.C., 1981.
"Structural econometric modelling and time series analysis towards an integrated approach,"
Serie Research Memoranda
0004, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
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- Leo Krippner, 1998.
"Testing the predictive power of New Zealand bank bill futures rates,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
G98/8, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
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- Thomas Fullerton & Roberto Tinajero & Jorge Mendoza Cota, 2007.
"An Empirical Analysis of Tijuana Water Consumption,"
Atlantic Economic Journal,
International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 35(3), pages 357-369, September.
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- Joseph H. Haslag & Scott E. Hein, 1988.
"Evidence on the two monetary base measures and economic activity,"
Research Paper
8810, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
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- Thomas Fullerton & Roberto Tinajero & Martha Barraza de Anda, 2006.
"Short-Term Water Consumption Patterns in Ciudad Juárez, Mexico,"
Atlantic Economic Journal,
International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 34(4), pages 467-479, December.
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- Günther Rehme & Sara-Frederike Weisser, 2007.
"Advertising, Consumption and Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation,"
Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics
178, Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre (Department of Economics), Technische Universität Darmstadt (Darmstadt University of Technology).
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- Bryant, Henry L. & Haigh, Michael S., 2002.
"Bid-Ask Spreads In Commodity Futures Markets,"
Working Papers
28587, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
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- Wohlgenant, Michael K. & Mullen, John D., 1987.
"Modeling The Farm-Retail Price Spread For Beef,"
Western Journal of Agricultural Economics,
Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 12(02), December.
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- Francisco F. R. Ramos, 1996.
"Forecasting market shares using VAR and BVAR models: A comparison of their forecasting performance,"
Econometrics
9601003, EconWPA.
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- Khurshid M. Kiani & Prasad V. Bidarkota & Terry L. Kastens, 2005.
"Forecast performance of neural networks and business cycle asymmetries,"
Applied Financial Economics Letters,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 1(4), pages 205-210, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
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