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Publications

by members of

Türkiye Ekonomi Politikaları Araştırma Vakfı (TEPAV)
Ankara, Turkey

(Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey))

These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institutions, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. This page is updated in the first days of each month.
| Working papers | Journal articles | Chapters |

Working papers

2013

  1. Fatih Ozatay, 2013. "Likely Candidates: Next BRICs? Turkey," Working Papers 1305, TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2013.
  2. Fatih Ozatay, 2013. "Turkey's Distressing Dance with Capital Flows," Working Papers 1306, TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2013.

2012

  1. Fatih Özatay, 2012. "Mali Disiplin ve Büyüme: Türkiye Deneyimi," Working Papers 2012/110, Turkish Economic Association.

2010

  1. Serdar Sayan & B. Onur Tas & Yasemin Yalta, 2010. "Cyclical Behavior of Mexican Remittances over the Mexican and the US Business Cycles," Working Papers 1008, TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Department of Economics.

2009

  1. Hasan Ersel & Fatih Ozatay, 2009. "The EU or National Reform Program for Turkey: Does the Political Feasibility Depend on the EU's Absorption Capacity?," Working Papers 0902, TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Department of Economics.

2008

  1. Ceyhun Bora Durdu & Serdar Sayan, 2008. "Emerging market business cycles with remittance fluctuations," International Finance Discussion Papers 946, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  2. Hasan Erseli & Fatih Ozatay, 2008. "Inflation Targeting in Turkey," Working Papers 445, Economic Research Forum, revised Oct 2008.
  3. Fatih Ozatay, 2008. "Expansionary Fiscal Consolidations: New Evidence from Turkey," Working Papers 0805, TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Department of Economics.
  4. Fatih Ozatay & Erdal Ozmen & Gulbin Sahinbeyoglu, 2008. "Emerging Market Sovereign Spreads, Global Financial Conditions and US Macroeconomic News," Working Papers 400, Economic Research Forum, revised May 2008.

2007

  1. Sayan, Serdar & Tekin-Koru, Ayca, 2007. "Business Cycles and Remittances: A Comparison of the Cases of Turkish Workers in Germany and Mexican Workers in the US," MPRA Paper 6030, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Sayan, Serdar & Tekin-Koru, Ayca, 2007. "Remittances, Business Cycles and Poverty: The Recent Turkish Experience," MPRA Paper 6029, University Library of Munich, Germany.

2006

  1. Serdar Sayan, 2006. "Differential Population Dynamics and Trade between Large and Small Countries," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 408, Society for Computational Economics.
  2. Serdar Sayan, 2006. "Business Cycles and Workers' Remittances," IMF Working Papers 06/52, International Monetary Fund.
  3. Olcay Yucel Culha & Fatih Ozatay & Gulbin Sahinbeyoglu, 2006. "The Determinants of Sovereign Spreads in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 0604, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

2005

  1. Serdar Sayan & Mehdi Jelassi, 2005. "LESSONS ABOUT GROWTH, CONVERGENCE AND TRADE FROM ANALYTICAL AND NUMERICAL SOLUTIONS OF A 2x2 OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS MODEL FOR A GROWING-POPULATION ECONOMY," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 286, Society for Computational Economics.
  2. Celik, Gorkem & Sayan, Serdar, 2005. "To Give In or Not To Give In To Bribery? Setting the Optimal Fines for Violations of Rules when the Enforcers are Likely to Ask for Bribes," Microeconomics.ca working papers celik-05-08-03-12-50-26, Vancouver School of Economics, revised 06 Aug 2008.
  3. Fatih Ozatay, 2005. "Monetary Policy Challenges for Turkey in European Union Accession Process," Working Papers 0511, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  4. Fatih Ozatay, 2005. "Public Sector Price Controls and Electoral Cycles," Working Papers 0509, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  5. Olcay Yucel Emir & Fatih Ozatay & Gulbin Sahinbeyoglu, 2005. "Effects of US Interest Rates and News on the Daily Interest Rates of a Highly Indebted Emerging Country : Evidence from Turkey," Working Papers 0508, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

2004

  1. Gonul Turhan-Sayan & Serdar Sayan, 2004. "Time Series Filtering through Chebyshev Polynomials," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 287, Society for Computational Economics.
  2. Mehdi Jelassi & Serdar Sayan, 2004. "Implications of Unequal Rates of Population Growth for Trade Revisited : Lessons from Closed Form Solutions to an Overlapping Generations General Equilibrium Model under Autarky and Trade Scenarios," Departmental Working Papers 0401, Bilkent University, Department of Economics.
  3. Olcay Yucel Emir & Fatih Ozatay & Gulbin Sahinbeyoglu, 2004. "High Public Debt and Effects of News on Interest Rates," Working Papers 0403, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

2003

  1. Mehdi Jelassi & Serdar Sayan, 2003. "Implications of Unequal Rates of Population Growth for Trade," Departmental Working Papers 0302, Bilkent University, Department of Economics.
  2. Fatih Ozatay & Guven Sak, 2003. "Banking Sector Fragility and Turkey’s 2000–01 Financial Crisis," Working Papers 0308, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

2002

  1. Serdar Sayan, 2002. "Dynamic Heckscher-Ohlin Results from a 2x2x2x2 Overlapping Generations Model with Unequal Population Growth Rates," GE, Growth, Math methods 0203002, EconWPA, revised 14 Mar 2002.
  2. Serdar Sayan & Ali Emre Uyar, 2002. "Directions of Trade Flows and Labor Movements between High- And Low-Population Growth Countries: An Overlapping Generations General Equilibrium Analysis," GE, Growth, Math methods 0203003, EconWPA.
  3. Serdar Sayan, 2002. "Simulation of Dynamic Trade Equilibrium with a 2x2x2x2 Overlapping Generations General Equilibrium Model when Savings and Population Growth Rates Differ across Countries," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 287, Society for Computational Economics.

2001

  1. Serdar Sayan, 2001. "Patterns of Trade between Countries with Differing Age Compositions of Populations: An Overlapping Generations General Equilibrium Analysis," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001 252, Society for Computational Economics.
  2. Gonul Turhan-Sayan * and Serdar Sayan**, 2001. "A Comparative Evaluation of the Performances of Different Filtering Techniques in Business Cycle Identification," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001 227, Society for Computational Economics.
  3. Zelal Kotan & Serdar Sayan, 2001. "A Comparison Of The Price Competitiveness Of Turkish And South East Asian Exports In The European Union Market In The 1990s," Discussion Papers 0102, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

2000

  1. Serdar Sayan & Gonul Turhan-Sayan, 2000. "Social Security Reform Through Increases In The Statutory Entitlement Ages For Old Age Insurance: Optimal Magnitude And Timing," Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 311, Society for Computational Economics.

1999

  1. Serdar Sayan & Arzdar Kiraci, 1999. "A Numerical Optimization Algorithm for Identification of Policy Options to Rehabilitate a Publicly Managed, Pay-As-You-Go Based Pension System," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 932, Society for Computational Economics.
  2. Serdar Sayan & Turalay Kenc, 1999. "Long-term Consequences of Rehabilitating a Financially Troubled Pension System: An Analysis for Turkey," Working Papers 9914, Economic Research Forum, revised May 1999.

1998

  1. Turalay Kenc & Serdar Sayan, 1998. "Transmission of Demographic Shock Effects from Large to Small," GE, Growth, Math methods 9804001, EconWPA.
  2. Serdar Sayan & Faruk Selcuk & R.Gencay, 1998. "A Visual Test for Noise Filtering in Nonlinear Time Series," Departmental Working Papers 986, Bilkent University, Department of Economics.
  3. Serdar Sayan & Turalay Kenc, 1998. "Transmission of Demographic Shock Effects from Large to Small Countries : An Overlapping Generations CGE Analysis," Departmental Working Papers 985, Bilkent University, Department of Economics.
  4. Serdar Sayan, 1998. "Could Regional Economic Cooperation Generate Trade Creation and Trade Diversion Effects without Altering Trade Policies of Members? Preliminary Results from a Gravity Application to BSEC," Departmental Working Papers 9810, Bilkent University, Department of Economics.
  5. Sayan, Serdar & Tin, Ela, 1998. ""Green Box" Measures For Agricultural Support: How Decoupled Can They Really Be? An Investigation Within Sam And Cge Frameworks," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20852, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  6. Serdar Sayan, 1998. "The Black Sea Economic Cooperation Project: A Substitute or a Complement to Globalization for the Middle East and the Balkans?," Working Papers 9806, Economic Research Forum, revised May 1998.

1997

  1. Haluk I. Ergin & Serdar Sayan, 1997. "A Microeconomic Analysis of Slavery in Comparison to Free Labor Economies," Economic History 9710001, EconWPA.

1995

  1. Serdar Sayan & L. G. Tweeten & L. J. Hushak, 1995. "A CGE Analysis of Farm Program Expenditures in the US : Micro and Macroeconomic Aspects," Departmental Working Papers 956, Bilkent University, Department of Economics.
  2. S. Sayan & S. Durgun, 1995. "Some Technological Aspects of an Environmentally Sustainable Policy for Turkey," Working Papers 9520, Economic Research Forum, revised Sep 1995.

1993

  1. Fatih Ozatay, 1993. "Forecasting Contemporaneously Aggregated Variables Using Granger-Causal Variables," Discussion Papers 9302, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

1992

  1. Fatih Ozatay, 1992. "Monetary Policy and Inflation Stabilization in Turkey," Discussion Papers 9209, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  2. Fatih Ozatay, 1992. "The Role of Public Sector Prices in Price Dynamics in Turkey and the Lucas Critique," Discussion Papers 9208, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  3. Fatih Ozatay, 1992. "The Price Dynamics in Turkey," Discussion Papers 9202, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

1990

  1. Fatih Ozatay, 1990. "Merkez Bankasi Uc Aylik Makroekonometrik Modeli," Discussion Papers 9018, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  2. Ercan Uygur & Fatih Ozatay & Haluk R. Tukel, 1990. "DIE'nin Imalat Sanayi Uretim Indekslerine iliskin Not : Nitelikleri, Kullanimlarinda Yanlislar," Discussion Papers 9017, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

1988

  1. Melike Altinkemer & Lerzan Iskenderoglu & Fatih Ozatay, 1988. "Sanayi Uretim Endeksi," Discussion Papers 8805, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

Journal articles

2012

  1. Fatih ÖZATAY, 2012. "Para politikasında yeni arayışlar," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 27(315), pages 51-75.

2011

  1. Fatih Özatay, 2011. "Merkez Bankası’nın yeni para politikası:İki hedef-üç ara hedef-üç araç," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 26(302), pages 27-43.

2010

  1. Ceyhun Bora Durdu & Serdar Sayan, 2010. "Emerging Market Business Cycles with Remittance Fluctuations," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 57(2), pages 303-325, June.
  2. Ozatay Fatih, 2010. "Europe: Counter-Cyclical Policies in Light of the Global Financial Crisis: The Case of Turkey," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 1-15, January.

2009

  1. Fatih ÖZATAY, 2009. "Türkiye’de 2000-2008 döneminde para politikası," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 24(275), pages 37-65.
  2. Hasan ERSEL & Fatih ÖZATAY, 2009. "The EU or national reform program for Turkey: Does the political feasibility depend on the EU’s absorption capacity?," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 24(285), pages 9-31.
  3. Özatay, Fatih & Özmen, Erdal & Sahinbeyoglu, Gülbin, 2009. "Emerging market sovereign spreads, global financial conditions and U.S. macroeconomic news," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 526-531, March.

2008

  1. Gorkem Celik & Serdar Sayan, 2008. "On the optimality of nonmaximal fines in the presence of corruptible law enforcers," Review of Economic Design, Springer, vol. 12(3), pages 209-227, September.
  2. Hasan Ersel & Fatih Özatay, 2008. "Fiscal Dominance and Inflation Targeting: Lessons from Turkey," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 44(6), pages 38-51, November.

2007

  1. Olcay Yucel Emir & Fatih Ozatay & Gulbin Sahinbeyoğlu, 2007. "Effects of US interest rates and news on the daily interest rates of a highly indebted emerging economy: evidence from Turkey," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(3), pages 329-342.
  2. Fatih Ozatay, 2007. "Public sector price controls and electoral cycles," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 527-539.

2006

  1. Serdar Sayan, 2006. "Empirics of corruption and crime: Symposium editor’s introduction," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 205-207, June.

2005

  1. Sayan, Serdar, 2005. "Heckscher-Ohlin revisited: implications of differential population dynamics for trade within an overlapping generations framework," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 29(9), pages 1471-1493, September.

2004

  1. Serdar Sayan & M. Ayhan Kose, 2004. "Guest Editors' Introduction," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 40(6), pages 3-6, November.
  2. Serdar Sayan, 2004. "Guest Workers' Remittances and Output Fluctuations in Host and Home Countries : The Case of Remittances from Turkish Workers in Germany," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 40(6), pages 68-81, November.
  3. İbrahim H. ÇANAKÇI & Fatih ÖZATAY & Faik ÖZTRAK, 2004. "Sürdürülebilir Yüksek Büyüme Ve Makroekenomik İstikrar," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 19(221), pages 21-37.

2003

  1. Sayan Serdar, 2003. "H-O for H2O: Can the Heckscher-Ohlin Framework Explain the Role of Free Trade in Distributing Scarce Water Resources Around the Middle East?," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 1(3), pages 21-36, December.
  2. Servet MUTLU & Güven SAK & Erinç YELDAN & Fatih ÖZATAY & Ferhat EMİL, 2003. "Türkiye Ekonomisi Ve Imf Politikaları," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 18(207), pages 5-37.

2002

  1. Bülent MİRAN & Canan ABAY & Serdar SAYAN, 2002. "Türkiye’de Tarımsal Destek Harcamalarının Enflasyonist Etkileri: Ekonometrik Bir İnceleme," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 17(199), pages 49-60.
  2. Serdar SAYAN, 2002. "Dünya Bankasının Yıllık Kalkınma İktisadi Konferansından İzlenimler," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 17(198), pages 44-47.
  3. Zelal Kotan & Serdar Sayan, 2002. "A Comparative Investigation of the Price Competitiveness of Turkish and Southeast Asian Exports in the European Union Market, 1990-1997," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 38(4), pages 59-85, August.
  4. Ahmet Tuncay Teksoz & Serdar Sayan, 2002. "Simulation of Benefits and Risks after the Planned Privatization of the Pension System in Turkey: Is the Expected Boost to Financial Markets Feasible?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 38(5), pages 23-45, October.
  5. Fatith Ozatay, 2002. "Effects of contemporaneous aggregation on the predictive power of information variables," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(5), pages 339-342.
  6. Fatih Özatay & Güven Sak, 2002. "Financial Liberalization in Turkey: Why Was the Impact on Growth Limited?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 38(5), pages 6-22, October.

2001

  1. Sayan, Serdar & Kiraci, Arzdar, 2001. "Parametric pension reform with higher retirement ages: A computational investigation of alternatives for a pay-as-you-go-based pension system," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 25(6-7), pages 951-966, June.
  2. Serdar Sayan & Arzdar Kiraci, 2001. "Identification of parametric policy options for rehabilitating a pay-as-you-go based pension system: an optimization analysis for Turkey," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 89-93.
  3. Kenc, Turalay & Sayan, Serdar, 2001. "Demographic shock transmission from large to small countries: An overlapping generations CGE analysis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 23(6), pages 677-702, August.
  4. Güven SAK & Oktar TÜREL & Erdal ÖZMEN & Fatih ÖZATAY & Nazım Kadri EKİNCİ, 2001. "Kriz Üzerine," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 16(180), pages 7-30.

2000

  1. Ozatay, Fatih, 2000. "A quarterly macroeconometric model for a highly inflationary and indebted country: Turkey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 1-11, January.
  2. Ali BİLGE & Erinç YELDAN & Güven SAK & Fatih ÖZATAY & Ercan ERKUL & Nazim Kadri EKİNCİ, 2000. "İstikrar Programı Ve Türkiye Ekonomisinin Geleceği," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 15(169), pages 7-41.
  3. Çelik ARUOBA & Fatih ÖZATAY & Yahya Sezai TEZEL & Zafer YÜKSELER & Güven SAK & Korkut BORATAV, 2000. "2000-2002 Yıllarında Türkiye Ekonomisi Sorunlar, Makroekonomik Politikalar Ve Beklentiler," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 15(166), pages 7-44.
  4. Fatih Ozatay, 2000. "The 1994 currency crisis in Turkey," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(4), pages 327-352.

1998

  1. Serdar Sayan & Nazmi Demir, 1998. "Measuring the degree of block interdependence between agricultural and non-agricultural sectors in Turkey," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(5), pages 329-332.

1997

  1. Ozatay, Fatih, 1997. "Sustainability of fiscal deficits, monetary policy, and inflation stabilization: The case of Turkey," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 661-681, December.

1996

  1. Fatih ÖZATAY, 1996. "Ortodoks Bir İstikrar Programı Yeterli mi?," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 11(124), pages 19-29.

1995

  1. Fatih ÖZATAY, 1995. "1994 Krizinden Alınacak Dersler: Kamu İç Borç Yönetiminde Yapılan Yanlışlıklar Ve Güven Bunalımı," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 10(109), pages 17-33.

Chapters

2005

  1. Fatih Özatay, 2005. "Monetary and exchange rate policies in the post-crisis period in Turkey," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Foreign exchange market intervention in emerging markets: motives, techniques and implications, volume 24, pages 283-91 Bank for International Settlements.
  2. Fatih Özatay, 2005. "High public debt, multiple equilibria and inflation targeting in Turkey," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation and monetary policy in emerging markets, volume 23, pages 275-79 Bank for International Settlements.