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Publications

by members of

Institut für Statistik und Ökonometrie
Christian-Albrechts-Universität Kiel
Kiel, Germany

(Institute for Statistics and Econometrics, University of Kiel))

These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institutions, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. This page is updated in the first days of each month.
| Working papers | Journal articles |

Working papers

2011

  1. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Elstner & Georg Paula, 2011. "How Strongly Did the 2007/08 Oil Price Hike Contribute to the Subsequent Recession?," CESifo Working Paper Series 3357, CESifo Group Munich.
  2. Carstensen, Kai & Schenkelberg, Heike, 2011. "Time- or State-Dependence? An Analysis of Inflation Dynamics using German Business Survey Data," Discussion Papers in Economics 12170, University of Munich, Department of Economics.

2010

  1. Buchen, Teresa & Carstensen, Kai & Henzel, Steffen & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2010. "Was kostet die Krise? Mittelfristige Wachstumsperspektiven in Deutschland, 2010 - 2014," Discussion Papers in Economics 11438, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  2. Carstensen, Kai & Wohlrabe, Klaus & Ziegler, Christina, 2010. "Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test: A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production," Discussion Papers in Economics 11442, University of Munich, Department of Economics.

2009

  1. Kai Carstensen & Oliver Hülsewig & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2009. "Monetary Policy Transmission and House Prices: European Cross-country Evidence," CESifo Working Paper Series 2750, CESifo Group Munich.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Oliver Hülsewig & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2009. "Price Dispersion in the Euro Area: The Case of a Symmetric Oil Price Shock," CESifo Working Paper Series 2718, CESifo Group Munich.

2008

  1. Kai Carstensen & Erich Gundlach & Susanne Hartmann, 2008. "The Augmented Solow Model with Mincerian Schooling and Externalities," Kiel Working Papers 1408, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Jan Hagen & Oliver Hossfeld & Abelardo Salazar Neaves, 2008. "Money Demand Stability and Inflation Prediction in the Four Largest EMU Countries," Ifo Working Paper Series Ifo Working Paper No. 61, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.

2007

  1. Kai Carstensen, 2007. "Is core money growth a good and stable inflation predictor in the euro area?," Kiel Working Papers 1318, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  2. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Carstensen, Kai & Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2007. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2007," Kiel Discussion Papers 439/440, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  3. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Scheide, Joachim, 2007. "Konjunktur im Euroraum außerhalb Deutschlands bleibt aufwärts gerichtet," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 4002, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

2005

  1. Claudia M. Buch & Kai Carstensen & Andrea Schertler, 2005. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Foreign Bank Assets," Kiel Working Papers 1254, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

2004

  1. Kai Carstensen & Roberta Colavecchio, 2004. "Did the Revision of the ECB Monetary Policy Strategy Affect the Reaction Function?," Kiel Working Papers 1221, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  2. Benner, Joachim & Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2004. "Euroland: Recovery will slow down," Kiel Discussion Papers 415, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  3. Benner, Joachim & Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2004. "Euroland: Konjunktur verliert wieder an Fahrt," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3371, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

2003

  1. Kai Carstensen, 2003. "Is European Money Demand Still Stable?," Kiel Working Papers 1179, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Farid Toubal, 2003. "Foreign Direct Investment in Central and Eastern European Countries: A Dynamic Panel Analysis," Kiel Working Papers 1143, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  3. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2003. "Gradual recovery in Euroland," Kiel Discussion Papers 405, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  4. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2003. "Euroland: Stagnation wird allmählich überwunden," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3081, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

2002

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2002. "Euroland: Upswing postponed," Kiel Discussion Papers 396, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  2. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2002. "Euroland: Aufschwung verzögert sich," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 2854, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

Journal articles

2013

  1. Kai Carstensen & Elisabeth Wieland & Gert G. Wagner & Bruno S. Frey & Martin Zeil & Ludger Wößmann & Edelgard Bulmahn & Ottmar Edenhofer & Michael Jakob & Jan Steckel & Carl Christian von Weizsäcke, 2013. "Wohlstand und Wachstum," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(15), pages 03-32, 08.
  2. Steffen Henzel & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Kai Carstensen & Christian Grimme & Oliver Hülsewig & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wolfgang Meister , 2013. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2013/2014: Deutsche Konjunkturlokomotive kommt unter Dampf," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(24), pages 20-67, December.
  3. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wolfgang Meister & Johanna Plenk & L, 2013. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2013/2014: Günstige Perspektiven für die deutsche Konjunktur," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(13), pages 17-64, 07.
  4. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Elstner & Georg Paula, 2013. "How Much Did Oil Market Developments Contribute to the 2009 Recession in Germany?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 115(3), pages 695-721, 07.
  5. Tim Oliver Berg & Kai Carstensen, 2013. "Vorteile Deutschlands durch die Währungsunion?," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(10), pages 50-54, 05.

2012

  1. Tim Berg & Kai Carstensen & Gustav Horn & Michael Lamla & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Gunther Schnabl & Carl Weizsäcker, 2012. "Funktionswandel der EZB?," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer, vol. 92(2), pages 79-94, February.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Benjamin Born & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wol, 2012. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2012/2013: Erhöhte Unsicherheit dämpft deutsche Konjunktur erneut," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(13), pages 15-68, 07.
  3. Benjamin Born & Teresa Buchen & Kai Carstensen & Christian Grimme & Michael Kleemann & Klaus Wohlrabe & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2012. "Austritt Griechenlands aus der Europäischen Währungsunion: Historische Erfahrungen, makroökonomische Konsequenzen und organisatorische Umsetzung," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(10), pages 09-37, 05.
  4. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wo, 2012. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2012/2013: Eurokrise verzögert Aufschwung," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(24), pages 15-65, December.

2011

  1. Kai Carstensen & Klaus Wohlrabe & Christina Ziegler, 2011. "Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test - A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), Justus-Liebig University Giessen, Department of Statistics and Economics, vol. 231(1), pages 82-106, February.
  2. Tim Oliver Berg & Kai Carstensen & Hans-Werner Sinn, 2011. "Was kosten Eurobonds?," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(17), pages 25-33, 09.
  3. K. Carstensen & W. Nierhaus & K. Abberger & T. O. Berg & C. Breuer & T. Buchen & S. Elstner & C. Grimme & S. Henzel & N. Hristov & M. Kleemann & W. Meister & G. Paula & J. Plenk & K. Wohlrabe & A. Wol, 2011. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Aufschwung geht langsamer voran," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(13), pages 16-62, 07.
  4. K. Carstensen & W. Nierhaus & K. Abberger & T. O. Berg & B. Born & T. Buchen & C. Breuer & S. Elstner & C. Grimme & S. Henzel & N. Hristov & M. Kleemann & W. Meister & J. Plenk & K. Wohlrabe & T. Woll, 2011. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Schuldenkrise bremst deutsche Wirtschaft aus," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(24), pages 26-72, December.

2010

  1. Claudia M. Buch & Kai Carstensen & Andrea Schertler, 2010. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Banks' Foreign Assets," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(1), pages 171-188, 02.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Johannes Mayr & Wolf, 2010. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010/2011: Auftriebskräfte verlagern sich nach Deutschland," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(12), pages 12-63, 06.
  3. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Tim O. Berg & T. Buchen & Chr. Breuer & St. Elstner & Chr. Grimme & St. Henzel & N. Hristov & M. Kleemann & J. Mayr & W. Meister & G. Paula & J. P, 2010. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011: Aufschwung setzt sich verlangsamt fort," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(24), pages 18-68, December.
  4. Kai Carstensen, 2010. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2010: Deutschland im aufschwung," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer, vol. 90(11), pages 772-774, November.
  5. Hans-Werner Sinn & Kai Carstensen, 2010. "Ein Krisenmechanismus für die Eurozone," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63, pages 01-17, November.

2009

  1. Kai Carstensen & Jan Hagen & Oliver Hossfeld & Abelardo Salazar Neaves, 2009. "Money Demand Stability And Inflation Prediction In The Four Largest Emu Countries," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 56(1), pages 73-93, 02.
  2. Simon Broda & Kai Carstensen & Marc Paolella, 2009. "Assessing and Improving the Performance of Nearly Efficient Unit Root Tests in Small Samples," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(5), pages 468-494.
  3. Kai Carstensen, 2009. "Im Sog der Weltrezession," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer, vol. 89(5), pages 284-284, May.
  4. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oliver Hülsewig & Klaus Abberger & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Georg Paula & Anna Stangl & Timo Wollm, 2009. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2009/2010: Abschwung setzt sich fort," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(12), pages 11-57, 06.
  5. Kai Carstensen & Erich Gundlach & Susanne Hartmann, 2009. "The Augmented Solow Model with Mincerian Schooling and Externalities," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 10, pages 448-463, November.
  6. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oliver Hülsewig & Klaus Abberger & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Johannes Mayr & Wolf, 2009. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010: Deutsche Wirtschaft ohne Dynamik," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(24), pages 17-64, December.
  7. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009. "IFOCAST: Methoden der ifo-Kurzfristprognose," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(23), pages 15-28, December.

2008

  1. K. Carstensen & W. Nierhaus & O. Hülsewig & K. Abberger & Chr. Breuer & T. Büttner & S. Elstner & S. Henzel & R. Hild & J. Mayr & W. Meister & T. Wollmershäuser, 2008. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2009: Deutsche Wirtschaft in der Rezession," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(24), pages 21-69, December.
  2. K. Carstensen & W. Nierhaus & K. Abberger & S. Elstner & S. Henzel & O. Hülsewig & J. Mayr & W. Meister & D. Ulbricht & T. Wollmershäuser, 2008. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2008/2009: Aufschwung geht zu Ende," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(12), pages 09-54, 06.

2007

  1. Broda, Simon & Carstensen, Kai & Paolella, Marc S., 2007. "Bias-adjusted estimation in the ARX(1) model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 3355-3367, April.
  2. K. Carstensen & W. Nierhaus & S. Henzel & O. Hülsewig & E. Langmantel & J. Mayr & W. Meister & M. Ruschinski & H.-W. Sinn & A. Stangl & D. Ulbricht & T. Wollmershäuser, 2007. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2008: Konjunktur verliert an Fahrt," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 60(24), pages 09-58, December.

2006

  1. Kai Carstensen, 2006. "Estimating the ECB Policy Reaction Function," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 7, pages 1-34, 02.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Erich Gundlach, 2006. "The Primacy of Institutions Reconsidered: Direct Income Effects of Malaria Prevalence," World Bank Economic Review, World Bank Group, vol. 20(3), pages 309-339.
  3. Carstensen, Kai, 2006. "Stock Market Downswing and the Stability of European Monetary Union Money Demand," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 395-402, October.
  4. Kai CARSTENSEN & Roberta COLAVECCHIO, 2006. "The ECB Monetary Policy and its Taylor-type Reaction Function," Rivista Italiana degli Economisti, SIE - Societa' Italiana degli Economisti (I), vol. 11(1), pages 51-86, April.
  5. Carstensen Kai & Colavecchio Roberta, 2006. "The EBC Monetary Policy and its Taylor-type Reaction Function," Rivista italiana degli economisti, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 51-86.

2004

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Toubal, Farid, 2004. "Foreign direct investment in Central and Eastern European countries: a dynamic panel analysis," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 3-22, March.

2003

  1. Carstensen, Kai, 2003. "Nonstationary term premia and cointegration of the term structure," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 80(3), pages 409-413, September.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Julia Hawellek, 2003. "Forecasting inflation from the term structure," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 139(2), pages 306-323, June.
  3. Kai Carstensen, 2003. "The finite-sample performance of robust unit root tests," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 44(4), pages 469-482, October.

2000

  1. Kai Carstensen & Gerd Hansen, 2000. "Cointegration and common trends on the West German labour market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 475-493.