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Publications

by members of

Institut für Statistik und Ökonometrie
Christian-Albrechts-Universität Kiel
Kiel, Germany

(Institute for Statistics and Econometrics, University of Kiel)

These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institution, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. Citation analysis. Find also a compilation of publications from alumni here.

This page is updated in the first days of each month.

| Working papers | Journal articles |

Working papers

2023

  1. Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2023. "Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: Evidence from Germany," Discussion Papers 34/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.

2021

  1. Ruediger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Stefan Lautenbacher & Martin Schneider, 2021. "Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms' Subjective Beliefs," NBER Working Papers 29430, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

2019

  1. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Carstensen, Kai & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Rossian, Thies & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2019. "Schätzung von Produktionspotenzial und -lücke: Eine Analyse des EU-Verfahrens und mögliche Verbesserungen," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 19, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2018

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Bachmann, Rüdiger & Schneider, Martin & Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2018. "Uncertainty is Change," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181572, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

2017

  1. Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 6457, CESifo.
  2. Martin Schneider & Kai Carstensen & Ruediger Bachmann, 2017. "Firms’ Uncertainty and Ambiguity," 2017 Meeting Papers 681, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  3. Carstensen, Kai & Wolters, Maik H., 2017. "Normaler Abschwung oder schwere Rezession? Ein neues Modell für die Prognose der Konjunkturphasen in Deutschland," Kiel Insight 2017.14, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2016

  1. Kai Carstensen & Leonard Salzmann, 2016. "The G7 Business Cycle in a Globalized World," CESifo Working Paper Series 5980, CESifo.

2013

  1. Elsas, Ralf & Carstensen, Kai, 2013. "EBDC Business Investment Panel (2012)," Munich Reprints in Economics 20565, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  2. Elsas, Ralf & Carstensen, Kai, 2013. "EBDC Business Expectations Panel (2012)," Munich Reprints in Economics 20557, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  3. Elsas, Ralf & Carstensen, Kai, 2013. "EBDC Business Innovation Panel (2012)," Munich Reprints in Economics 20556, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  4. Carstensen, Kai & Elstner, Steffen & Paula, Georg, 2013. "How much did oil market developments contribute to the 2009 recession in Germany?," Munich Reprints in Economics 19935, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  5. Floro, Danvee & Tesfaselassie, Mewael F., 2013. "Can forward guidance be ambiguous yet effective?," Kiel Policy Brief 65, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2012

  1. Berg, Tim O. & Carstensen, Kai & Horn, Gustav A. & Lamla, Michael J. & Sturm, Jan-Egbert & Schnabl, Gunther & Weizsäcker, Carl C. von, 2012. "Funktionswandel der EZB?," Munich Reprints in Economics 20266, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    • Tim Berg & Kai Carstensen & Gustav Horn & Michael Lamla & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Gunther Schnabl & Carl Weizsäcker, 2012. "Funktionswandel der EZB?," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 92(2), pages 79-94, February.

2011

  1. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Elstner & Georg Paula, 2011. "How Strongly Did the 2007/08 Oil Price Hike Contribute to the Subsequent Recession?," CESifo Working Paper Series 3357, CESifo.
  2. Carstensen, Kai & Schenkelberg, Heike, 2011. "Time- or State-Dependence? An Analysis of Inflation Dynamics using German Business Survey Data," Discussion Papers in Economics 12170, University of Munich, Department of Economics.

2010

  1. Buchen, Teresa & Carstensen, Kai & Henzel, Steffen & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2010. "Was kostet die Krise? Mittelfristige Wachstumsperspektiven in Deutschland, 2010 - 2014," Discussion Papers in Economics 11438, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  2. Carstensen, Kai & Wohlrabe, Klaus & Ziegler, Christina, 2010. "Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test: A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production," Discussion Papers in Economics 11442, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  3. Carstensen, Kai, 2010. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2010: Deutschland im Aufschwung," Munich Reprints in Economics 19937, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  4. Buch, Claudia M. & Carstensen, Kai & Schertler, Andrea, 2010. "Macroeconomic shocks and banks’ foreign assets," Munich Reprints in Economics 19988, University of Munich, Department of Economics.

2009

  1. Kai Carstensen & Oliver Hülsewig & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2009. "Monetary Policy Transmission and House Prices: European Cross-country Evidence," CESifo Working Paper Series 2750, CESifo.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Oliver Hülsewig & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2009. "Price Dispersion in the Euro Area: The Case of a Symmetric Oil Price Shock," CESifo Working Paper Series 2718, CESifo.
  3. Carstensen, Kai & Gundlach, Erich & Hartmann, Susanne, 2009. "The augmented Solow model with Mincerian schooling and externalities," Munich Reprints in Economics 19927, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  4. Carstensen, Kai, 2009. "Im Sog der Weltrezession," Munich Reprints in Economics 19938, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  5. Broda, Simon & Carstensen, Kai & Paolella, Marc S., 2009. "Assessing and improving the performance of nearly efficient unit root tests in small samples," Munich Reprints in Economics 20017, University of Munich, Department of Economics.

2008

  1. Kai Carstensen & Jan Hagen & Oliver Hossfeld & Abelardo Salazar Neaves, 2008. "Money Demand Stability and Inflation Prediction in the Four Largest EMU Countries," ifo Working Paper Series 61, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  2. Büttner, Thiess & Carstensen, Kai, 2008. "Stabilisierungsbeitrag der Finanzpolitik," Munich Reprints in Economics 19973, University of Munich, Department of Economics.

2007

  1. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Carstensen, Kai & Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2007. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2007," Kiel Discussion Papers 439/440, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  2. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Scheide, Joachim, 2007. "Konjunktur im Euroraum außerhalb Deutschlands bleibt aufwärts gerichtet," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 4002, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  3. Broda, Simon & Paolella, Marc S. & Carstensen, Kai, 2007. "Bias-adjusted estimation in the ARX(1) model," Munich Reprints in Economics 19992, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  4. Carstensen, Kai, 2007. "Is core money growth a good and stable inflation predictor in the euro area?," Kiel Working Papers 1318, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  5. Carstensen, Kai, 2007. "Is core money growth a good and stable inflation predictor in the euro area?," Kiel Working Papers 1318, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2006

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Gundlach, Erich, 2006. "The primacy of institutions reconsidered: Direct income effects of malaria prevalence," Munich Reprints in Economics 19929, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  2. Carstensen, Kai, 2006. "Estimating the ECB policy reaction function," Munich Reprints in Economics 19941, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  3. Carstensen, Kai, 2006. "Stock market downswing and the stability of European monetary union money demand," Munich Reprints in Economics 19940, University of Munich, Department of Economics.

2005

  1. Buch, Claudia M. & Carstensen, Kai & Schertler, Andrea, 2005. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Foreign Bank Assets," Kiel Working Papers 1254, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  2. Carstensen, Kai & Gundlach, Erich, 2005. "The primacy of institutions reconsidered: The effects of malaria prevalence in the empirics of development," Kiel Working Papers 1210, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2004

  1. Benner, Joachim & Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2004. "Euroland: Recovery will slow down," Kiel Discussion Papers 415, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  2. Benner, Joachim & Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2004. "Euroland: Konjunktur verliert wieder an Fahrt," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3371, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  3. Carstensen, Kai & Toubal, Farid, 2004. "Foreign direct investment in Central and Eastern European countries: A dynamic panel analysis," Munich Reprints in Economics 19965, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  4. Carstensen, Kai & Hansen, Gerd, 2004. "Inflationary shocks in Germany: A common trends analysis [Inflationäre Schocks in Deutschland: Eine Common Trends Analyse]," Munich Reprints in Economics 19948, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  5. Colavecchio, Roberta & Carstensen, Kai, 2004. "Did the Revision of the ECB Monetary Policy Strategy Affect the Reaction Function?," Kiel Working Papers 1221, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  6. Carstensen, Kai, 2004. "Is European Money Demand Still Stable?," Kiel Working Papers 1179, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  7. Colavecchio, Roberta & Carstensen, Kai, 2004. "Did the Revision of the ECB Monetary Policy Strategy Affect the Reaction Function?," Kiel Working Papers 1221, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  8. Carstensen, Kai, 2004. "Is European Money Demand Still Stable?," Kiel Working Papers 1179, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2003

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2003. "Gradual recovery in Euroland," Kiel Discussion Papers 405, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  2. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2003. "Euroland: Stagnation wird allmählich überwunden," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3081, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  3. Carstensen, Kai, 2003. "Forecasting Inflation from the Term Structure," Munich Reprints in Economics 19945, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  4. Carstensen, Kai, 2003. "Nonstationary term premia and cointegration of the term structure," Munich Reprints in Economics 19944, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  5. Carstensen, Kai, 2003. "The finite-sample performance of robust unit root tests," Munich Reprints in Economics 19943, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  6. Carstensen, Kai & Toubal, Farid, 2003. "Foreign Direct Investment in Central and Eastern European Countries: A Dynamic Panel Analysis," Kiel Working Papers 1143, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2002

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2002. "Euroland: Upswing postponed," Kiel Discussion Papers 396, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  2. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2002. "Euroland: Aufschwung verzögert sich," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 2854, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2000

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Hansen, Gerd, 2000. "Cointegration and common trends on the West German labour market," Munich Reprints in Economics 19947, University of Munich, Department of Economics.

Journal articles

2020

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 829-850.

2019

  1. Kai Carstensen & Magnus Reif & Maik Wolters, 2019. "Risk of recession for the German economy significantly higher," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(05), pages 28-31, March.

2017

  1. Carstensen, K. & Salzmann, L., 2017. "The G7 business cycle in a globalized world," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA), pages 134-161.

2013

  1. Kai Carstensen & Elisabeth Wieland & Gert G. Wagner & Bruno S. Frey & Martin Zeil & Ludger Wößmann & Edelgard Bulmahn & Ottmar Edenhofer & Michael Jakob & Jan Steckel & Carl Christian von Weizsäcker &, 2013. "Prosperity and Growth," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(15), pages 03-32, August.
  2. Steffen Henzel & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Kai Carstensen & Christian Grimme & Oliver Hülsewig & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wolfgang Meister &, 2013. "Ifo Economic Forecast 2013/2014: German Economy Picks Up Steam," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(24), pages 20-67, December.
  3. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wolfgang Meister & Johanna Garnitz &, 2013. "Ifo Economic Forecast 2013/2014: Favourable Perspectives for the German Economy," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(13), pages 17-64, July.
  4. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Elstner & Georg Paula, 2013. "How Much Did Oil Market Developments Contribute to the 2009 Recession in Germany?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 115(3), pages 695-721, July.
  5. Tim Oliver Berg & Kai Carstensen, 2013. "Does Germany Benefit from the Monetary Union?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(10), pages 50-54, May.

2012

  1. Tim Berg & Kai Carstensen & Gustav Horn & Michael Lamla & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Gunther Schnabl & Carl Weizsäcker, 2012. "Funktionswandel der EZB?," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 92(2), pages 79-94, February.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Benjamin Born & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wol, 2012. "Ifo Economic Forecast 2012/2013: Increased Uncertainty Continues to Curb German Economy," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(13), pages 15-68, July.
  3. Benjamin Born & Teresa Buchen & Kai Carstensen & Christian Grimme & Michael Kleemann & Klaus Wohlrabe & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2012. "Withdrawal of Greece from the European Monetary Union: Historical experience, macroeconomic consequences and organisational implementation," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(10), pages 09-37, May.
  4. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Buchen,Teresa & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wo, 2012. "Ifo Economic Forecast 2012/2013: Euro Crisis Delays Upturn," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(24), pages 15-65, December.

2011

  1. Carstensen Kai & Wohlrabe Klaus & Ziegler Christina, 2011. "Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test: A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(1), pages 82-106, February.
  2. Tim Oliver Berg & Kai Carstensen & Hans-Werner Sinn, 2011. "What will eurobonds cost?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(17), pages 25-33, September.
  3. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wo, 2011. "Ifo Economic Forecast 2011/2012: Upswing Proceeds at a Slower Pace," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(13), pages 16-62, July.
  4. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Tim Oliver Berg & Benjamin Born & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Micha, 2011. "Ifo Economic Forecast 2011/2012: Debt Crisis Curbs German Economy," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(24), pages 26-72, December.

2010

  1. Claudia M. Buch & Kai Carstensen & Andrea Schertler, 2010. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Banks' Foreign Assets," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(1), pages 171-188, February.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Johannes Mayr & Wolf, 2010. "Ifo Economic Forecast 2010/2011:Growth forces shift to Germany," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(12), pages 12-63, June.
  3. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Tim Oliver Berg & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Jo, 2010. "Ifo Economic Forecast 2011: Upswing continues at a slower pace," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(24), pages 18-68, December.
  4. Kai Carstensen, 2010. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2010: Deutschland im aufschwung," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 90(11), pages 772-774, November.
  5. Hans-Werner Sinn & Kai Carstensen, 2010. "Ein Krisenmechanismus für die Eurozone," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(1), pages 01-17, November.

2009

  1. Kai Carstensen & Jan Hagen & Oliver Hossfeld & Abelardo Salazar Neaves, 2009. "Money Demand Stability And Inflation Prediction In The Four Largest Emu Countries," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 56(1), pages 73-93, February.
  2. Simon Broda & Kai Carstensen & Marc Paolella, 2009. "Assessing and Improving the Performance of Nearly Efficient Unit Root Tests in Small Samples," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(5), pages 468-494.
  3. Kai Carstensen, 2009. "Im Sog der Weltrezession," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 89(5), pages 284-284, May.
  4. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oliver Hülsewig & Klaus Abberger & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Georg Paula & Anna Wolf & Timo Wollmers, 2009. "Ifo Economic Forecast 2009/2010: Downturn continues," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(12), pages 11-57, June.
  5. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oliver Hülsewig & Klaus Abberger & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Johannes Mayr & Wolfg, 2009. "Ifo Economic Forecast 2010 - The Lacklustre German Economy," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(24), pages 17-64, December.
  6. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009. "IFOCAST: Methods of the Ifo short-term forecast," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(23), pages 15-28, December.
  7. Kai Carstensen & Erich Gundlach & Susanne Hartmann, 2009. "The Augmented Solow Model with Mincerian Schooling and Externalities," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 10(4), pages 448-463, November.

2008

  1. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oliver Hülsewig & Klaus Abberger & Christian Breuer & Thiess Büttner & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & R. Hild & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Timo Wollmer, 2008. "Ifo Economic Forecast 2009: German Economy in Recession," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(24), pages 21-69, December.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Dirk Ulbricht & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2008. "Ifo Economic Forecast 2008/2009: Upswing comes to a halt," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(12), pages 09-54, June.

2007

  1. Broda, Simon & Carstensen, Kai & Paolella, Marc S., 2007. "Bias-adjusted estimation in the ARX(1) model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 3355-3367, April.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Erich Langmantel & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Monika Ruschinski & Hans-Werner Sinn & Anna Wolf & Dirk Ulbricht & Timo Wo, 2007. "Ifo Economic Forecast for 2008: Economy to lose momentum," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 60(24), pages 09-58, December.

2006

  1. Kai Carstensen & Erich Gundlach, 2006. "The Primacy of Institutions Reconsidered: Direct Income Effects of Malaria Prevalence," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 20(3), pages 309-339.
  2. Carstensen, Kai, 2006. "Stock Market Downswing and the Stability of European Monetary Union Money Demand," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 395-402, October.
  3. Kai Carstensen & Roberta Colavecchio, 2006. "The EBC Monetary Policy and its Taylor-type Reaction Function," Rivista italiana degli economisti, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 51-86.
  4. Kai Carstensen, 2006. "Estimating the ECB Policy Reaction Function," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 7(1), pages 1-34, February.

2004

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Toubal, Farid, 2004. "Foreign direct investment in Central and Eastern European countries: a dynamic panel analysis," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 3-22, March.
  2. Carstensen Kai & Hansen Gerd, 2004. "Inflationäre Schocks in Deutschland: Eine Common Trends Analyse / Inflationary Shocks in Germany: A Common Trends Analysis," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 224(3), pages 271-291, June.

2003

  1. Carstensen, Kai, 2003. "Nonstationary term premia and cointegration of the term structure," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 80(3), pages 409-413, September.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Julia Hawellek, 2003. "Forecasting inflation from the term structure," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 139(2), pages 306-323, June.
  3. Kai Carstensen, 2003. "The finite-sample performance of robust unit root tests," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 44(4), pages 469-482, October.

2000

  1. Kai Carstensen & Gerd Hansen, 2000. "Cointegration and common trends on the West German labour market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 475-493.

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