Publications

by members of

Center for Research in Econometric Analysis of Time Series (CREATES)
Aarhus Universitet
Aarhus, Denmark

Working papers

2008

1. Cristina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008. "Modelling Conditional and Unconditional Heteroskedasticity with Smoothly Time-Varying Structure," NIPE Working Papers 03/2008, NIPE - Universidade do Minho. [Downloadable!]
2. Amado, Cristina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2008. "Modelling Conditional and Unconditional Heteroskedasticity with Smoothly Time-Varying Structure," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 691, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
3. Per Frederiksen & Frank S. Nielsen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008. "Local polynomial Whittle estimation of perturbed fractional processes," CREATES Research Papers 2008-29, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
4. Per Frederiksen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008. "Bias-reduced estimation of long memory stochastic volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2008-35, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]

2007

1. Nakatani, Tomoaki & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007. "Testing for Volatility Interactions in the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH Model," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 649, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 24 Jan 2007. [Downloadable!]
2. Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007. "Modelling Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with the Double Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation GARCH model," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 0652, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
3. Teräsvirta, Timo & Zhao, Zhenfang, 2007. "Stylized Facts of Return Series, Robust Estimates, and Three Popular Models of Volatility," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 662, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 05 Jun 2007. [Downloadable!]
4. Péguin-Feissolle, Anne & Strikholm, Birgit & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007. "Testing the Granger noncausality hypothesis in stationary nonlinear models of unknown functional form," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 672, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
5. Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007. "Multivariate GARCH models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 669, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 18 Jan 2008. [Downloadable!]
6. Nakatani, Tomoaki & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007. "Positivity Constraints on the Conditional Variances in the Family of Conditional Correlation GARCH Models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 675, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 15 Nov 1007.
7. Barnett, Richard & Bhattacharya, Joydeep & Bunzel, Helle, 2007. "Resurrecting Equilibria Through Cycles," Staff General Research Papers 12834, Iowa State University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
8. Bhattacharya, Joydeep & Bunzel, Helle & Qiao, Xue, 2007. "UNSAFE SEX, AIDS, and DEVELOPMENT," Staff General Research Papers 12832, Iowa State University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
9. Dennis Kristensen & Anders Rahbek, 2007. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Nonlinear Error-Correction Models," Economics Working Papers 2007-38, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
10. Dennis Kristensen, 2007. "Nonparametric Estimation and Misspecification Testing of Diffusion Models," CREATES Research Papers 2007-01, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
11. Dennis Kristensen & Anders Rahbek, 2007. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Nonlinear Error-Correction Models," CREATES Research Papers 2007-38, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
12. Dennis Kristensen, 2007. "Nonparametric Filtering of the Realised Spot Volatility: A Kernel-based Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2007-02, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
13. Charlotte Christiansen & Angelo Ranaldo, 2007. "Extreme Coexceedances in New EU Member States’ Stock Markets," Economics Working Papers 2007-34, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
14. Søren Johansen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007. "Likelihood Inference for a Nonstationary Fractional Autoregressive Model," Discussion Papers 07-27, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
15. Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007. "The Effect of Long Memory in Volatility on Stock Market Fluctuations," CREATES Research Papers 2007-03, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
16. Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen & Jie Zhu, 2007. "Long Memory in Stock Market Volatility and the Volatility-in-Mean Effect: The FIEGARCH-M Model," CREATES Research Papers 2007-10, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
17. Thomas Busch & Thomas Busch & Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007. "The Role of Implied Volatility in Forecasting Future Realized Volatility and Jumps in Foreign Exchange, Stock, and Bond Markets," CREATES Research Papers 2007-09, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
18. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Per Houmann Frederiksen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007. "Continuous-Time Models, Realized Volatilities, and Testable Distributional Implications for Daily Stock Returns," CREATES Research Papers 2007-21, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
19. Søren Johansen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007. "Likelihood inference for a nonstationary fractional autoregressive model," CREATES Research Papers 2007-33, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
20. Niels Haldrup & Frank S. Nielsen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007. "A Vector Autoregressive Model for Electricity Prices Subject to Long Memory and Regime Switching," CREATES Research Papers 2007-29, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
21. Ingmar Nolte & Valeri Voev, 2007. "Panel Intensity Models with Latent Factors: An Application to the Trading Dynamics on the Foreign Exchange Market¤," CoFE Discussion Paper 07-02, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]
22. Valeri Voev, 2007. "Dynamic Modeling of Large Dimensional Covariance Matrices," CoFE Discussion Paper 07-01, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]
23. Ingmar Nolte & Valeri Voev, 2007. "Estimating High-Frequency Based (Co-) Variances: A Unified Approach," CoFE Discussion Paper 07-07, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]

2006

1. González, Andrés & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2006. "Modelling autoregressive processes with a shifting mean," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 637, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 22 May 2007.
2. Teräsvirta, Timo, 2006. "An introduction to univariate GARCH models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 646, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
3. Timo Terasvirta & Andrés González, 2006. "Modelling autoregressive processes with a shifting mean," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003230, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
4. Neil Shephard & Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2006. "Designing realised kernels to measure the ex-post variation of equity prices in the presence of noise," Economics Series Working Papers 264, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
5. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2006. "Designing realised kernels to measure the ex-post variation of equity prices in the presence of noise," Economics Papers 2006-W03, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
6. Ole E Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2006. "Designing realised kernels to measure the ex-post variation of equity prices in the presence of noise," OFRC Working Papers Series 2006fe05, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
7. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter R. Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2006. "Subsampling realised kernels," OFRC Working Papers Series 2006fe06, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
8. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2006. "Subsampling realised kernels," Economics Papers 2006-W10, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
9. Bunzel, Helle & Iglesias, Emma M., 2006. "Testing for Breaks Using Alternating Observations," Staff General Research Papers 12694, Iowa State University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
10. Charlotte Christiansen & Juanna Schröter Joensen, 2006. "The Risk-Return Trade-Off in Human Capital Investment," Economics Working Papers 2006-02, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
11. Charlotte Christiansen & Juanna Schröter Joensen & Helena Skyt Nielsen, 2006. "The Risk-Return Trade-Off in Human Capital Investment," IZA Discussion Papers 1962, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
12. Christiansen, Charlotte & Ranaldo, Angelo, 2006. "Realized Bond-Stock Correlation: Macroeconomic Announcement Effects," Working Papers 2006-2, Swiss National Bank. [Downloadable!]
13. Niels Haldrup & Andreu Sansó, 2006. "A Note on the Vogelsang Test for Additive Outliers," Economics Working Papers 2006-01, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
14. Gunnar Bårdsen & Niels Haldrup, 2006. "A Gaussian IV estimator of cointegrating relations," Economics Working Papers 2006-03, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
15. Katsumi Shimotsu & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2006. "Determining the Cointegrating Rank in Nonstationary Fractional Systems by the Exact Local Whittle Approach," Working Papers 1029, Queen's University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
16. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold & Roberto S. Mariano & Anthony S. Tay & Yiu Kuen Tse, 2006. "Direction-of-Change Forecasts Based on Conditional Variance, Skewness and Kurtosis Dynamics: International Evidence," PIER Working Paper Archive 06-016, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
17. Olaf Posch & Klaus Wälde, 2006. "Natural Volatility, Welfare and Taxation," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo GmbH. [Downloadable!]
18. Olaf Posch & Klaus Wälde, 2006. "Natural volatility, welfare and taxation," Working Papers 2007_33, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
19. Valeri Voev, 2006. "A Trade-by-Trade Surprise Measure and Its Relation to Observed Spreadson the NYSE," CoFE Discussion Paper 06-03, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]

2005

1. Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005. "Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Smooth Transitions in Conditional Correlations," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 577, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 01 Oct 2005. [Downloadable!]
2. Strikholm, Birgit & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005. "Determining the Number of Regimes in a Threshold Autoregressive Model Using Smooth Transition Autoregressions," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 578, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 11 Feb 2005. [Downloadable!]
3. Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005. "Forecasting economic variables with nonlinear models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 598, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 29 Dec 2005. [Downloadable!]
4. Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005. "Univariate nonlinear time series models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 593, Stockholm School of Economics.
5. González, Andrés & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005. "Simulation-based finite-sample linearity test against smooth transition models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 603, Stockholm School of Economics.
6. González, Andrés & Teräsvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick, 2005. "Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 604, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
7. Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2005. "Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Smooth Transitions in Conditional Correlations," Research Paper Series 168, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
8. Changli He & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2005. "Parameterizing Unconditional Skewness in Models for Financial Time Series," Research Paper Series 169, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
9. Andres Gonzalez & Timo Terasvirta & Dick van Dijk, 2005. "Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models," Research Paper Series 165, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
10. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2005. "Model confidence sets for forecasting models," Working Paper 2005-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. [Downloadable!]
11. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2005. "Testing the significance of calendar effects," Working Paper 2005-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. [Downloadable!]
12. Niels Haldrup & Michael Jansson, 2005. "Improving Size and Power in Unit Root Testing," Economics Working Papers 2005-2, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
13. Bunzel, Helle & Marcoul, Philippe, 2005. "On the Use of Racial Profiling as a Law Enforcement Tool," Staff General Research Papers 12397, Iowa State University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
14. Bunzel, Helle & Enders, Walter, 2005. "Is the Taylor Rule Missing? A Statistical Investigation," Staff General Research Papers 12301, Iowa State University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
15. Bunzel, Helle, 2005. "Habit Persistence, Money, and Overlapping Generations," Staff General Research Papers 12405, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
16. Charlotte Christiansen & Juanna Shröter Joensen & Jesper Rangvid, 2005. "Do More Economists HOld Stocks?," Economics Working Papers 2005-6, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
17. Christiansen, Charlotte, 2005. "Level-ARCH Short Rate Models with Regime Switching: Bivariate Modeling of US and European Short Rates," Finance Research Group Working Papers F-2005-03, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
18. Christiansen, Charlotte & Ranaldo, Angelo, 2005. "Realized Bond-Stock Correlation: Macroeconomic Announcement Effects," Finance Research Group Working Papers F-2005-05, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
19. Christiansen, Charlotte & Joensen, Juanna Schröter & Rangvid, Jesper, 2005. "Do More Economists Hold Stocks?," Finance Research Group Working Papers F-2005-02, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
20. Christiansen, Charlotte, 2005. "Decomposing European bond and equity volatility," Finance Research Group Working Papers F-2004-01, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
21. Niels Haldrup & Peter Mollgaard & Claus Kastberg Nielsen, 2005. "Sequential Versus Simultaneous Market Delineation: The Relevant Antitrust Market for Salmon," Working Papers 05-2, Centre for Competition Policy, University of East Anglia. [Downloadable!]
22. Niels Haldrup & Peter Møllgaard & Claus Kastberg Nielslen, 2005. "Sequential versus simultaneous market delineation: The relevant antitrust market for salmon," Economics Working Papers 2005-5, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
23. Niels Haldrup & Antonio Montañés & Andreu Sansó, 2005. "Testing for Additive Outliers in Seasonally Integrated Time Series," DEA Working Papers 15, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada. [Downloadable!]
24. Haldrup, Niels & Møllgaard, Peter & Nielsen, Claus Kastberg, 2005. "Sequential versus simultaneous market," Working Papers 02-2005, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
25. Niels Haldrup & Svend Hylleberg & Gabriel Pons & Jaume Rosselló & Andreu Sansó, 2005. "Common Periodic Correlation Features and the Interaction of Stocks and Flows in Daily Airport Data," Economics Working Papers 2005-3, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
26. Haldrup; Niels & Morten Oerregaard Nielsen, 2005. "Directional Congestion and Regime Switching in a Long Memory Model for Electricity Prices," Economics Working Papers 2005-18, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
27. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Volatility Forecasting," PIER Working Paper Archive 05-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
28. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management," NBER Working Papers 11069, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
29. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management," PIER Working Paper Archive 05-007, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
30. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Volatility Forecasting," CFS Working Paper Series 2005/08, Center for Financial Studies. [Downloadable!]
31. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Volatility Forecasting," NBER Working Papers 11188, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
32. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management," CFS Working Paper Series 2005/02, Center for Financial Studies. [Downloadable!]
33. Jeremy Berkowitz & Peter Christoffersen & Denis Pelletier, 2005. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk models with desk-level data," Working Paper Series 010, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2006. [Downloadable!]
34. Olaf, POSCH & Klaus, WAELDE, 2005. "Natural volatility, welfare and taxation," Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques Working Paper 2005009, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques. [Downloadable!]

2004

1. Meitz, Mika & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004. "Evaluating models of autoregressive conditional duration," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 557, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 13 Dec 2004. [Downloadable!]
2. Timo Teräsvirta & Dick van Dijk & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2004. "Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A reexamination," Textos para discussão 485, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
3. Teräsvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick & Medeiros, Marcelo, 2004. "Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 561, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 04 Nov 2004.
4. Malmsten, Hans & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004. "Stylized Facts of Financial Time Series and Three Popular Models of Volatility," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 563, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 03 Sep 2004. [Downloadable!]
5. Timo Terasvirta, 2004. "A Time Series Model for an Exchange Rate in a Target Zone with Applications," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 340, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
6. Asger Lunde & Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2004. "Realized Variance and IID Market Microstructure Noise," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 526, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
7. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Regular and Modified Kernel-Based Estimators of Integrated Variance: The Case with Independent Noise," Economics Papers 2004-W28, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
8. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Regular and Modified Kernel-Based Estimators of Integrated Variance: The Case with Independent Noise," OFRC Working Papers Series 2004fe20, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
9. Michael Jansson & Marcelo J. Moreira, 2004. "Optimal Inference in Regression Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors," NBER Technical Working Papers 0303, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
10. Michael Jansson & Marcelo J. Moreira, 2004. "Optimal Inference in Regression Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 2047, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
11. Graham Elliott & Michael Jansson & Elena Pesavento, 2004. "Optimal Power for Testing Potential Cointegrating Vectors with Known," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2004-08, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
12. Bunzel, Helle & Qiao, Xue, 2004. "Endogenous lifetime and economic growth revisited," Staff General Research Papers 12197, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
13. Helle Bunzel, 2004. "Fixed Bandwidth Asymptotics in Single Equation Models of Cointegration with an Application to Money Demand," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 219, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
14. Dennis Kristensen, 2004. "Estimation in Two Classes of Semiparametric Diffusion Models," FMG Discussion Papers dp500, Financial Markets Group. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
15. Dennis Kristensen, 2004. "A Semiparametric Single-Factor Model of the Term Structure," FMG Discussion Papers dp501, Financial Markets Group. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
16. Niels Haldrup & Morten O. Nielsen, 2004. "A Regime Switching Long Memory Model for Electricity Prices," Economics Working Papers 2004-2, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
17. Niels Haldrup & Antonio Montañés & Andreu Sansó, 2004. "Testing for Additive Outliers in Seasonally Integrated Time Series," Economics Working Papers 2004-14, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
18. Peter Christoffersen & Jeremy Berkowitz, 2004. "Martingale Tests of Value-at-Risk," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 236, Econometric Society.
19. Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs & Yintian Wang, 2004. "Option Valuation with Long-run and Short-run Volatility Components," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-56, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
20. Peter Christoffersen & Sílvia Gonçalves, 2004. "Estimation Risk in Financial Risk Management," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-15, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
21. Peter Christoffersen & Stefano Mazzotta, 2004. "The Informational Content of Over-the-Counter Currency Options," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-16, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
22. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2004. "Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics," CFS Working Paper Series 2004/08, Center for Financial Studies. [Downloadable!]
23. Peter Christoffersen & Stefano Mazzotta, 2004. "The information content of over-the-counter currency options," Working Paper Series 366, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
24. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold & Roberto S. Mariano & Anthony S. Tay & Yiu Kuen Tse, 2004. "Direction-of-Change Forecasts for Asian Equity Markets Based on Conditional Variance, Skewness and Kurtosis Dynamics: Evidence from Hong Kong and Singapore," Working Papers 02-2005, Singapore Management University, School of Economics, revised Jan 2005. [Downloadable!]

2003

1. Timo Terasvirta & Clive W.J Granger & Andrew Patton, 2003. "Common factors in conditional distributions for Bivariate time series," FMG Discussion Papers dp455, Financial Markets Group. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
2. Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2003. "A time series model for an exchange rate in a target zone with applications," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 533, Stockholm School of Economics.
3. Eklund, Bruno & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2003. "Testing constancy of the error covariance matrix in vector models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 549, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 18 Jan 2006. [Downloadable!]
4. Peter Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2003. "Consistent Preordering with an Estimated Criterion Function, with an Application to the Evaluation and Comparison of Volatility Models," Working Papers 2003-01, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
5. Peter Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2003. "Testing the Significance of Calendar Effects," Working Papers 2003-03, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
6. Peter Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2003. "Choosing the Best Volatility Models:The Model Confidence Set Approach," Working Papers 2003-05, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
7. Peter Hansen, 2003. "Asymptotic Tests of Composite Hypotheses," Working Papers 2003-09, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
8. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2003. "Choosing the best volatility models: the model confidence set approach," Working Paper 2003-28, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. [Downloadable!]
9. Graham Elliott & Michael Jansson & Elena Pesavento, 2003. "Optimal Power For Testing Potential Cointegrating Vectors with Known Parameters for Nonstationarity," Emory Economics 0303, Department of Economics, Emory University (Atlanta). [Downloadable!]
10. Bhattacharya, Joydeep & Bunzel, Helle, 2003. "Dynamics of the planning solution in the discrete−time textbook model of labor market search and matching," Staff General Research Papers 10253, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
11. Bunzel, Helle & Marcoul, Philippe, 2003. "Can Racially Unbiased Police Perpetuate Long-Run Discrimination?," Staff General Research Papers 10200, Iowa State University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
12. Bunzel, Helle, 2003. "Fixed-b Asymptotics in Single Equation Cointegration Models with Endogenous Regressors," Staff General Research Papers 10685, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
13. Bunzel, Helle & Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2003. "Powerful Trend Function Tests That are Robust to Strong Serial Correlation with an Application to the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis," Staff General Research Papers 10353, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
14. Bhattacharya, Joydeep & Bunzel, Helle & Haslag, J., 2003. "The Non-Monotonic Relationship Between Seigniorage and Inequality," Staff General Research Papers 10252, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
15. Bunzel, H & Marcoul, P., 2003. "Can racially unbiased police perpetuate long-run discrimination?," Discussion Paper 16, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
16. Helle Bunzel & Timothy Vogelsang, 2003. "Powerful Trend Function Tests That are Robust to Strong Serial Correlation with an Application to the Prebisch Singer Hypothesis," Econometrics 0304002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
17. Richard Blundell & Xiaohong Chen & Dennis Kristensen, 2003. "Nonparametric IV estimation of shape-invariant Engel curves," CeMMAP working papers CWP15/03, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies. [Downloadable!]
18. Christiansen, Charlotte, 2003. "Multivariate Term Structure Models with Level and Heteroskedasticity Effects," Finance Working Papers 02-19, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
19. Christiansen, Charlotte, 2003. "Volatility-Spillover E ffects in European Bond Markets," Finance Working Papers 03-8, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
20. Christiansen, Charlotte & Engsted, Tom & Jakobsen, Svend & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2003. "Denmark - A chapter on the Danish Bond Market," Finance Working Papers 03-3, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
21. Christiansen, Charlotte & Nielsen, Helena Skyt, 2003. "The Educational Asset Market: A Finance Perspective on Human Capital Investment," Finance Working Papers 02-9, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
22. Christiansen, Charlotte & Engsted, Tom & Jakobsen, Svend & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2003. "An Empirical Study of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Denmark, 1993 – 2002," Finance Working Papers 03-2, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
23. Boriss Siliverstovs & Tom Engsted & Niels Haldrup, 2003. "Long-Run Forecasting in Multicointegrated Systems," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 381, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
24. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2003. "Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 10009, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
25. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X.Diebold, 2003. "Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics," PIER Working Paper Archive 04-009, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
26. Peter Christoffersen & Hyunchul Chung & Vihang Errunza, 2003. "Size Matters: The Impact of Capital Market Liberalization on Individual Firms," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-13, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
27. Marcel Boyer & Peter Christoffersen & Pierre Lasserre & Andrey Pavlov, 2003. "Value creation, risk management, and real options," CIRANO Burgundy Reports 2003rb-02, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
28. Peter Christoffersen & Steve Heston & Kris Jacobs, 2003. "Option Valuation with Conditional Skewness," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-50, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
29. Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs, 2003. "The Importance of the Loss Function in Option Valuation," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-52, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
30. Peter Christoffersen & Denis Pelletier, 2003. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Duration-Based Approach," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-05, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
31. Peter Christoffersen & Andrey Pavlov, 2003. "Company Flexibility, the Value of Management and Managerial Compensation," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-06, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
32. Marcel Boyer & Peter Christoffersen & Pierre Lasserre & Andrey Pavlov, 2003. "Création de valeur, gestion de risque et options réelles," CIRANO Burgundy Reports 2003rb-01, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]

2002

1. Clive W. J. Granger & Timo Terasvirta & Andrew J. Patton, 2002. "Common Factors in Conditional Distributions," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2002-19, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
2. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo & González, Andres, 2002. "Testing parameter constancy in stationary vector autoregressive models against continuous change," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 507, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 06 May 2004. [Downloadable!]
3. Medeiros, Marcelo C. & Teräsvirta, Timo & Rech, Gianluigi, 2002. "Building neural network models for time series: A statistical approach," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 508, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
4. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2002. "An Extended Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH Model and Its Fourth-Moment Structure," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 509, Stockholm School of Economics.
5. Granger, Clive W.J. & Teräsvirta, Timo & Patton, Andrew J., 2002. "Common factors in conditional distributions," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 515, Stockholm School of Economics.
6. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2002. "An application of the analogy between vector ARCH and vector random coefficient autoregressive models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 516, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
7. Eliasson, Ann-Charlotte & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2002. "Error correction in DHSY," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 517, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
8. Marcelo C. Medeiros & Timo Terasvirta & Gianluigi Rech, 2002. "Building Neural Network Models for Time Series: A Statistical Approach," Textos para discussão 461, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
9. Peter Hansen, 2002. "Generalized Reduced Rank Regression," Working Papers 2002-02, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
10. Peter Hansen, 2002. "On the Estimation of Reduced Rank Regressions," Working Papers 2002-08, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
11. Graham Elliott & Michael Jansson, 2002. "Testing for Unit Roots with Stationary Covariates," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2000-06r, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
12. Christiansen, Charlotte & Lund, Jesper, 2002. "Revisiting the shape of the yield curve: the effect of interest rate volatility," Finance Working Papers 02-3, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
13. Christiansen, Charlotte & Nielsen, Helena Skyt, 2002. "The Educational Asset Market: A Finance Perspective on Human Capital Investment," Working Papers 02-10, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
14. Christiansen, Charlotte, 2002. "Regime Switching in the Yield Curve," Finance Working Papers 02-13, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
15. Siliverstovs, Boriss & Engsted, Tom & Haldrup, Niels, 2002. "Long-Run Forecasting in Multicointegrated Systems," Finance Working Papers 02-14, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
16. Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs, 2002. "Which Volatility Model for Option Valuation?," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-33, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
17. Peter Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2002. "Financial Asset Returns, Market Timing, and Volatility Dynamics," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-02, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]

2001

1. D. Van Dijk & D. Strikholm & T. Terasvirta, 2001. "The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctiations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series," Econometric Institute Report 220, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
2. van Dijk, Dick & Strikholm, Birgit & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2001. "The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctuations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 0429, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 16 May 2002. [Downloadable!]
3. Marcelo C. Medeiros & Timo Terasvirta, 2001. "Statistical methods for modelling neural networks," Textos para discussão 445, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
4. Asger Lunde & Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2001. "A Forecast Comparison of Volatility Models: Does Anything Beat a GARCH(1,1)?," Working Papers 2001-04, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
5. Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2001. "An Unbiased and Powerful Test for Superior Predictive Ability," Working Papers 2001-06, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
6. Christiansen, Charlotte, 2001. "Long Maturity Forward Rates," Finance Working Papers 01-12, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
7. Marcel Boyer & Peter Christoffersen & Pierre Lasserre & Andrey Pavlov, 2001. "Value Creation through Real Options Management," CIRANO Project Reports 2001rp-04, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
8. Peter Christoffersen & Jinyong Hahn & Atsushi Inoue, 2001. "Testing and Comparing Value-at-Risk Measures," CIRANO Working Papers 2001s-03, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
9. Peter Christoffersen & Eric Ghysels & Norman R. Swanson, 2001. "Let's Get "Real" about Using Economic Data," CIRANO Working Papers 2001s-44, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
10. Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs, 2001. "The Importance of the Loss Function in Option Pricing," CIRANO Working Papers 2001s-45, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]

2000

1. D. van Dijk & T. Terasvirta & P.H. Franses, 2000. "Smooth transition autoregressive models - A survey of recent developments," Econometric Institute Report 200, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
2. Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick, 2000. "Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 376, Stockholm School of Economics.
3. van Dijk, Dick & Teräsvirta, Timo & Franses, Philip Hans, 2000. "Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models - A Survey of Recent Developments," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 380, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 17 Jan 2001. [Downloadable!]
4. Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2000. "Forecasting with smooth transition autoregressive models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 390, Stockholm School of Economics.
5. Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2000. "Structural Changes in the Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 2000-20, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
6. Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2000. "The Johansen-Granger Representation Theorem: An Explicit Expression for I(1) Processes," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2000-17, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
7. Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2000. "Structural Breaks in the Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Model," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1240, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
8. Graham Elliott & Michael Jansson, 2000. "Testing for Unit Roots with Stationary Covariates," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2000-06, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
9. Michael Jansson & Niels Haldrup, 2000. "Spurious Regression, Cointegration, and Near Cointegration: A Unifying Approach," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2000-14, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
10. Christiansen, Charlotte & Strunk Hansen, Charlotte, 2000. "Implied Volatility of Interest Rate Options: An Empirical Investigation of the Market Model," Finance Working Papers 00-1, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
11. Christiansen, Charlotte, 2000. "Credit Spreads and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Finance Working Papers 00-14, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
12. Niels Haldrup & Peter Lildholdt, 2000. "On the Robustness of Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Double Unit Roots," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2000-13, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
13. Niels Haldrup & Peter Lildholdt, 2000. "Local Power Functions of Tests for Double Unit Roots," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2000-12, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
14. Niel Haldrup & Antonio MontanŽs & Andreu Sanso, 2000. "Measurement Errors and Outliers in Seasonal Unit Root Testing," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2000-15, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
15. Peter Christoffersen & Eric Ghysels & Norman Swanson, 2000. "Let's Get "Real" About Using Economic Data," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1004, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
16. Torsten Sløk & Peter F. Christoffersen, 2000. "Do Asset Prices in Transition Countries Contain Information About Future Economic Activity?," IMF Working Papers 00/103, International Monetary Fund.

1999

1. Stefan Lundbergh & Timo Teräsvirta, 1999. "Evaluating GARCH Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 99-008/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
2. Stefan Lundbergh & Timo Teräsvirta, 1999. "Modelling Economic High-Frequency Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 99-009/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
3. Peguin-Feissolle, A. & Terasvirta, T., 1999. "A General Framework for Testing the Granger Noncausality Hypothesis," G.R.E.Q.A.M. 99a42, Universite Aix-Marseille III.
4. Rech, Gianluigi & Teräsvirta, Timo & Tschernig, Rolf, 1999. "A simple variable selection technique for nonlinear models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 296, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 06 Apr 2000.
5. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1999. "Higher-order dependence in the general Power ARCH process and a special case," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 315, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
6. Persson, Anna & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1999. "The Net Barter Terms Of Trade : A Smooth Transition Approach," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 335, Stockholm School of Economics.
7. Péguin-Feissolle, Anne & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1999. "A general framework for testing the Granger noncausality hypothesis," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 343, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
8. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo & Malmsten, Hans, 1999. "Fourth Moment Structure of a Family of First-Order Exponential GARCH Models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 345, Stockholm School of Economics.
9. C. He & Timo Terasvirta & H. Malmsten, 1999. "Fourth Moment Structure of a Family of First-Order Exponential GARCH Models," Research Paper Series 29, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
10. Niels Haldrup & Michael Jansson, 1999. "Spurious Regression, Cointegration, and Near Cointegration: A Unifying Approach," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 99-005/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
11. Hell Bunzel & Nicholas M. Kiefer & Timothy J. Vogelsang, 1999. "Simple Robust Testing of Hypotheses in Non-Linear Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 99-017/4, Tinbergen Institute.
12. Peter Christoffersen & Jinyong Hahn & Atsushi Inoue, 1999. "Testing, Comparing, and Combining Value at Risk Measures," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 99-44, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
13. Robert F. Westcott & Peter F. Christoffersen, 1999. "Is Poland Ready for Inflation Targeting?," IMF Working Papers 99/41, International Monetary Fund.
14. Lorenzo Giorgiani & Peter F. Christoffersen, 1999. "Interest Rate Arbitrage in Currency Baskets--Forecasting Weights and Measuring Risk," IMF Working Papers 99/16, International Monetary Fund.

1998

1. Granger, Clive W.J. & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998. "A simple nonlinear time series model with misleading linear properties," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 237, Stockholm School of Economics.
2. Skalin, Joakim & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998. "Modelling asymmetries and moving equilibria in unemployment rates," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 262, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 05 Oct 1998.
3. Hall, Anthony D. & Skalin, Joakim & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998. "A nonlinear time series model of El Niño," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 263, Stockholm School of Economics.
4. Teräsvirta, Timo & Eliasson, Ann-Charlotte, 1998. "Nonlinear error-correction and the UK demand for broad money, 1878-1993," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 265, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 30 Nov 1998.
5. Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998. "Modelling economic high-frequency time series with STAR-STGARCH models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 291, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
6. Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998. "Evaluating GARCH models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 292, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 03 May 1999.
7. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1998. "How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?," NBER Working Papers 6844, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
8. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1998. "How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 98-080, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-. [Downloadable!]
9. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold & Til Schuermann, 1998. "Horizon Problems and Extreme Events in Financial Risk Management," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 98-16, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
10. Peter Doyle & Peter F. Christoffersen, 1998. "From Inflation to Growth - Eight Years of Transition," IMF Working Papers 98/100, International Monetary Fund.

1997

1. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997. "Fourth Moment Structure of the GARCH (p, q) Process," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 168, Stockholm School of Economics.
2. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997. "Properties of the Autocorrelation Function of Squared Observations for Second Order GARCH Processes under Two Sets of Parameter Constraints," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 169, Stockholm School of Economics.
3. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997. "Properties of Moments of a Family of GARCH Processes," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 198, Stockholm School of Economics.
4. He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997. "Statistical Properties of the Asymmetric Power ARCH Process," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 199, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 30 Sep 1997.
5. Brännäs, Kurt & de Gooijer, Jan G. & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997. "Testing Linearity against Nonlinear Moving Average Models," UmeÃ¥ Economic Studies 405, Umeå University, Department of Economics.
6. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997. "Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting," NBER Technical Working Papers 0217, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
7. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997. "How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 97-45, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
8. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997. "Optimal prediction under asymmetric loss," Working Papers 97-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. [Downloadable!]
9. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997. "Cointegration and long-horizon forecasting," Working Papers 97-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. [Downloadable!]
10. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997. "Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting," IMF Working Papers 97/61, International Monetary Fund.

1996

1. Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Power Properties of Linearity Tests for Time Series," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 94, Stockholm School of Economics.
2. Brännäs, Kurt & Gooijer, Jan G. de & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Testing Linearity against Nonlinear Moving Average Models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 95, Stockholm School of Economics.
3. Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Two Stylized Facts and the Garch (1,1) Model," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 96, Stockholm School of Economics.
4. Wolters, Jürgen & Teräsvirta, Timo & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 1996. "Modelling the Demand for M3 in the unified Germany," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 113, Stockholm School of Economics.
5. Rydén, Tobias & Teräsvirta, Timo & Åsbrink, Stefan, 1996. "Stylized Facts of Daily Return Series and the Hidden Markov Model," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 117, Stockholm School of Economics.
6. Skalin, Joakim & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Another Look at Swedish Business Cycles, 1861-1988," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 130, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
7. Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Modelling Economic Relationships with Smooth Transition Regressions," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 131, Stockholm School of Economics.
8. Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Smooth Transition Models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 132, Stockholm School of Economics.
9. Boswijk,P. & Franses,P.H. & Haldrup,N., 1996. "Multiple Unit Roots in Periodic Autoregression," Economics Working Papers 1996-2, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
10. Granger,C.W.J. & Haldrup,N., 1996. "Separation in Cointegrated Systems,Long Memory Components and Common Stochastic Trends," Economics Working Papers 1996-3, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
11. Engsted,T. & Haldrup,N., 1996. "Estimating the LQAC model with I(2) Variables," Economics Working Papers 1996-1, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.

1995

1. Jansen, Eilev S. & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1995. "Testing Parameter Constancy and super Exogeneity in Econometric Equations," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 53, Stockholm School of Economics.
2. Lin, Chien-Fu & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1995. "Testing Parameter Constancy in Linear Models against Stochastic Stationary Parameters," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 54, Stockholm School of Economics.
3. Eitrheim, Øyvind & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1995. "Testing the Adequacy of Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 56, Stockholm School of Economics.
4. Lütkepohl, Helmut & Teräsvirta, Timo & Wolters, Jürgen, 1995. "Investigating Stability and Linearity of a German M1 Money Demand Function," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 64, Stockholm School of Economics.
5. Clive W.J. Granger & Niels Haldrup, 1995. "Separation in Cointegrated Systems, Long Memory Components and Common Stochastic Trends," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 95-43, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
6. Peter Boswijk & Philip Hans Franses & Niels Haldrup, 1995. "Multiple Unit Roots in Periodic Autoregression," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 95-44, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
7. Tom Engsted & Niels Haldrup, 1995. "Estimating the LQAC Model with I(2) Variables," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 95-45, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.

1994

1. Engest, T. & Gonzalo, J. & Haldrup, N., 1994. "Multicointegration and Present Value Relations," Economics Working Papers 1995-13, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
2. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1994. "Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss," NBER Technical Working Papers 0167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

1993

1. Haldrup, N. & Salmon, M., 1993. "Polynomially Cointegrated Systems and their Representation; A Synthesis," Economics Working Papers 1993-22, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
2. Engsted, T. & Haldrup, N., 1993. "Money Demand, Expectations and the Foreward Looking Model: A Comment," Economics Working Papers 1993-23, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.

1992

1. Engested, T. & Haldrup, N., 1992. "Testing Quadriatic Adjustment Cost Models within a Cointegrated VAR," Economics Working Papers 1992-9, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
2. Haldrup, N., 1992. "Heteroscedasticity in Non-Stationary Time Series, Some Monte Carlo Evidence," Economics Working Papers 1992-8, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
3. Franses, P.H. & Haldrup, N., 1992. "The Effects of Additive Outliers on Tests for Unit Roots and Cointegration," Economics Working Papers 1993-12, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.

1991

1. Timo TerŠsvirta & Chien-Fu Lin & Clive W.J. Granger, 1991. "Power of the Neural Network Linearity Test," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 91-01, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
2. Timo TerŠsvirta & Heather M. Anderson, 1991. "Modelling Nonlinearities in Business Cycles Using Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 91-24, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
3. Chien-Fu Jeff Lin & Timo Terasvirta, 1991. "Testing the Constancy of Regression Parameters Against Continuous Structural Change," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 91-26, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
4. Haldrup, N., 1991. "Testing for Double Unit Roots," Economics Working Papers 1991-20, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.

1990

1. Timo TerŠsvirta, 1990. "Power Properties of Linearity Tests for Time Series," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 90-15, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
2. Timo TerŠsvirta, 1990. "Specification, Estimation, and Evaluation of Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 90-39, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
3. Timo TerŠsvirta, 1990. "Generalizing Threshold Autoregressive Models," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 90-44, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
4. Haldrup, N., 1990. "Tests For Unit Roots With A Maintained Trend When The True Data Generating Process In A Random Walk With Drift," Economics Working Papers 1990-22, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.

1989

1. Haldrup, N. & Hylleberg, S., 1989. "Unit Roots And Deterministic Trends, With Yet Another Comment On The Existence And Interpretation Of A Unit Root In U.S. Gnp," Economics Working Papers 1989-3, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.

Undated

1. H. L"Utkepohl & T. Ter"Asvirta & J. Wolters, . "Investigating Stability and Linearity of a German M1 Money Demand Function," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1995-57, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
2. J. Wolters & T. Ter"Asvirta & H. L"Utkepohl, . "Modelling the Demand for M3 in the Unified Germany," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1996-24, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
3. J. Skalin & T. Ter"Asvirta, . "Another Look at Swedish Business Cycles, 1861-1988," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1996-96, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
4. G. Rech & T. Teräsvirta & R. Tschernig, . "A Simple variable selection technique for nonlinear models," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1999-26, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
5. Timo Terasvirta & Andrés González, . "Modelling autoregressive processes with a shifting mean," Borradores de Economia 420, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
6. Peter Reinhard Hansen, . "The Johansen-Granger Representation Theorem: A Closed Form Expression for I(1)Processes Creation-Date: 2000," Working Papers 2000-19, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
7. Niels Kleis Frederiksen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Henrik Jacobsen & Peter Birch Soerensen, . "Consumer Services, Employment and the Informal Economy," EPRU Working Paper Series 94-13, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
8. Niels Haldrup & Michael Jansson, . "Spurious Regression, Cointegration, and Near Cointegration: A Unifying Approach," Economics Working Papers 1999-3, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
9. Graham Elliott & Michael Jansson, . "Testing for Unit Roots with Stationary Covariates," Economics Working Papers 2000-6, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
10. Boris Siliverstovs & Tom Engsted & Niels Haldrup, . "Long-run forecasting in multicointegrated systems," Economics Working Papers 2002-15, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
11. Haldrup, Niels, . "Empirical analysis of price data in the delineation of the relevant geographical market in competition analysis," Economics Working Papers 2003-9, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
12. Tom Engsted & Niels Haldrup, . "Multicointegration in Stock-Flow Models," Economics Working Papers 1997-18, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
13. Haldrup, N., . "A Review of the Econometric Analysis of I(2) Variables," Economics Working Papers 1997-12, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
14. Tom Engsted & Jesus Gonzalo & Niels Haldrup, . "Testing for Multicointegration," Economics Working Papers 1997-1, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
15. Niels Haldrup & Peter Lildholdt, . "On the Robustness of Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Double Unit Roots," Economics Working Papers 2000-1, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
16. Niels Haldrup & Antonio Montanés & Andreu Sanso, . "Measurement Errors and Outliers in Seasonal Unit Root Testing," Economics Working Papers 2000-8, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
17. Henning Bunzel & Bent Jesper Christensen & Niels Haldrup & Svend Hylleberg & Viggo Hoest & Peter Jensen & Allan Wurtz, . "Udviklingslinier i Oekonometrien," Economics Working Papers 1998-15, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
18. Torben M. Andersen & Niels Haldrup & Jan Rose S›rensen, . "Product Market Integration and European Labour Markets," Economics Working Papers 1999-26, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
19. Niels Haldrup & Peter Lildholdt, . "Local Power Functions of Tests for Double Unit Roots," Economics Working Papers 2000-2, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
20. Morten Oerregaard Nielsen, . "Efficient Inference in Multivariate Fractionally Integrated Time Series Models," Economics Working Papers 2002-6, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
21. Morten Oerregaard Nielsen, . "Local Whittle Analysis of Stationary Fractional Cointegration," Economics Working Papers 2002-8, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
22. Morten Oerregaard Nielsen, . "Optimal Residual Based Tests for Fractional Cointegration and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Economics Working Papers 2002-7, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
23. Nielsen, Morten Oe., . "Local Empirical Spectral Measure of Multivariate Processes with Long Range Dependence," Economics Working Papers 2002-16, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
24. Nielsen, Morten Oe., . "Semiparametric Estimation in Time Series Regression with Long Range Dependence," Economics Working Papers 2002-17, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
25. Nielsen, Morten Oe., . "Spectral Analysis of Fractionally Cointegrated Systems," Economics Working Papers 2002-12, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
26. Nielsen, Morten Oe., . "Multivariate Lagrange Multiplier Tests for Fractional Integration," Economics Working Papers 2002-18, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
27. Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ø. Nielsen, . "Semiparametric Analysis of Stationary Fractional Cointegration and the Implied-Realized Volatility Relation in High-Frequency Options Data," Economics Working Papers 2001-4, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
28. Morten Oe. Nielsen, . "Efficient Likelihold Inference in Nonstationary Univariate Models," Economics Working Papers 2001-8, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
29. Haldrup, Niels & Nielsen, Morten Oe., . "Estimation of Fractional Integration in the Presence of Data Noise," Economics Working Papers 2003-10, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
30. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, . "Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss," CARESS Working Papres 97-20, University of Pennsylvania Center for Analytic Research and Economics in the Social Sciences. [Downloadable!]
31. Peter F. Christoffersen, . "Dating the Turning Points of Nordic Business Cycles," EPRU Working Paper Series 00-13, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
32. Peter Christoffersen & Eric Ghysels & Norman R. Swanson, . "Let's Get "Real" about Using Economic Data," EPRU Working Paper Series 01-15, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
33. Christoffersen & Diebold, . "Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss," Home Pages 167, 1996., University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]

Journal articles

2008

1. Peter Hansen & Jeremy Large & Asger Lunde, 2008. "Moving Average-Based Estimators of Integrated Variance," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 27(1-3), pages 79-111. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
2. Allan Zebedee & Eric Bentzen & Peter Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2008. "The Greenspan years: an analysis of the magnitude and speed of the equity market response to FOMC announcements," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 3-20, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
3. Asaf Zussman & Noam Zussman & Morten Orregaard Nielsen, 2008. "Asset Market Perspectives on the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 75(297), pages 84-115, 02. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

2007

1. Eklund, Bruno & Terasvirta, Timo, 2007. "Testing constancy of the error covariance matrix in vector models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(2), pages 753-780, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
2. Chernozhukov, Victor & Hansen, Christian & Jansson, Michael, 2007. "Inference approaches for instrumental variable quantile regression," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 95(2), pages 272-277, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
3. Richard Blundell & Xiaohong Chen & Dennis Kristensen, 2007. "Semi-Nonparametric IV Estimation of Shape-Invariant Engel Curves," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(6), pages 1613-1669, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
4. Christiansen, Charlotte & Joensen, Juanna Schroter & Nielsen, Helena Skyt, 2007. "The risk-return trade-off in human capital investment," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(6), pages 971-986, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
5. Haldrup, Niels & Hylleberg, Svend & Pons, Gabriel & Sanso, Andreu, 2007. "Common Periodic Correlation Features and the Interaction of Stocks and Flows in Daily Airport Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 21-32, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
6. Haldrup, Niels & Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2007. "Estimation of fractional integration in the presence of data noise," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(6), pages 3100-3114, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
7. Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007. "The Effect of Long Memory in Volatility on Stock Market Fluctuations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 89(4), pages 684-700, 05. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
8. Nielsen, Morten Orregaard & Shimotsu, Katsumi, 2007. "Determining the cointegrating rank in nonstationary fractional systems by the exact local Whittle approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(2), pages 574-596, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
9. Valeri Voev & Asger Lunde, 2007. "Integrated Covariance Estimation using High-frequency Data in the Presence of Noise," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 5(1), pages 68-104. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

2006

1. Timo Teräsvirta & Marcelo C. Medeiros & Gianluigi Rech, 2006. "Building neural network models for time series: a statistical approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 49-75. [Downloadable!]
2. Andrés González & Timo Teräsvirta, 2006. "Simulation-based Finite Sample Linearity Test against Smooth Transition Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 68(s1), pages 797-812, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
3. Meitz, Mika & Terasvirta, Timo, 2006. "Evaluating Models of Autoregressive Conditional Duration," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 104-124, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
4. Granger, Clive W.J. & Terasvirta, Timo & Patton, Andrew J., 2006. "Common factors in conditional distributions for bivariate time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 43-57, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
5. Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo, 2006. "A time series model for an exchange rate in a target zone with applications," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1-2), pages 579-609. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
6. Hansen, Peter Reinhard & Lunde, Asger, 2006. "Consistent ranking of volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1-2), pages 97-121. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
7. Hansen, Peter R. & Lunde, Asger, 2006. "Rejoinder," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 208-218, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
8. Hansen, Peter R. & Lunde, Asger, 2006. "Realized Variance and Market Microstructure Noise," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 127-161, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
9. Michael Jansson & Marcelo J. Moreira, 2006. "Optimal Inference in Regression Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(3), pages 681-714, 05. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
10. Bunzel, Helle, 2006. "Habit persistence, money, and overlapping generations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 2425-2445, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
11. Bunzel, Helle, 2006. "FIXED-b ASYMPTOTICS IN SINGLE-EQUATION COINTEGRATION MODELS WITH ENDOGENOUS REGRESSORS," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(04), pages 743-755, May. [Downloadable!]
12. Kristensen, Dennis & Linton, Oliver, 2006. "A Closed-Form Estimator For The Garch(1,1) Model," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(02), pages 323-337, February. [Downloadable!]
13. Niels Haldrup & Morten Nielsen, 2006. "Directional Congestion and Regime Switching in a Long Memory Model for Electricity Prices," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 10(3), pages 1367-1367. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
14. Haldrup, Niels & Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2006. "A regime switching long memory model for electricity prices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1-2), pages 349-376. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
15. Christensen, Bent Jesper & Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2006. "Asymptotic normality of narrow-band least squares in the stationary fractional cointegration model and volatility forecasting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 343-371, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
16. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Frederiksen, Per Houmann & Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2006. "Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 173-179, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
17. Christoffersen, Peter & Heston, Steve & Jacobs, Kris, 2006. "Option valuation with conditional skewness," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1-2), pages 253-284. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
18. Christoffersen, Peter & Chung, Hyunchul & Errunza, Vihang, 2006. "Size matters: The impact of financial liberalization on individual firms," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(8), pages 1296-1318, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

2005

1. Terasvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2005. "Reply," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 781-783. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
2. Terasvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2005. "Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 755-774. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
3. Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2005. "Granger's representation theorem: A closed-form expression for I(1) processes," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 8(1), pages 23-38, 03. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
4. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2005. "A Realized Variance for the Whole Day Based on Intermittent High-Frequency Data," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 525-554. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
5. Asger Lunde & Peter R. Hansen, 2005. "A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(7), pages 873-889. [Downloadable!]
6. Hansen, Peter Reinhard, 2005. "A Test for Superior Predictive Ability," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 365-380, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
7. Jansson, Michael, 2005. "Point optimal tests of the null hypothesis of cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 187-201, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
8. Graham Elliott & Michael Jansson & Elena Pesavento, 2005. "Optimal Power for Testing Potential Cointegrating Vectors With Known Parameters for Nonstationarity," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 34-48, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
9. Joydeep Bhattacharya & Helle Bunzel & Joseph Haslag, 2005. "The non-monotonic relationship between seigniorage and inequality," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 38(2), pages 500-519, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
10. Helle Bunzel & Xue Qiao, 2005. "Endogenous lifetime and economic growth revisited," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 15(8), pages 1-8. [Downloadable!]
11. Bunzel, Helle & Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2005. "Powerful Trend Function Tests That Are Robust to Strong Serial Correlation, With an Application to the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 381-394, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
12. Kristensen, Dennis & Rahbek, Anders, 2005. "ASYMPTOTICS OF THE QMLE FOR A CLASS OF ARCH(q) MODELS," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(05), pages 946-961, August. [Downloadable!]
13. Christiansen, Charlotte, 2005. "Multivariate term structure models with level and heteroskedasticity effects," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1037-1057, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
14. Charlotte Christiansen, 2005. "Variance-in-mean effects of the long forward-rate slope," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(11), pages 753-755, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
15. Niels Haldrup & Peter Lildholdt, 2005. "Local power functions of tests for double unit roots," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 59(2), pages 159-179. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
16. Haldrup, Niels & Montanes, Antonio & Sanso, Andreu, 2005. "Measurement errors and outliers in seasonal unit root testing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 103-128, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
17. Morten Orregaard Nielsen, 2005. "Semiparametric Estimation in Time-Series Regression with Long-Range Dependence," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 26(2), pages 279-304, 03. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
18. Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2005. "Noncontemporaneous cointegration and the importance of timing," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 113-119, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
19. Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2005. "Multivariate Lagrange Multiplier Tests for Fractional Integration," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 3(3), pages 372-398. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
20. Peter Christoffersen & Stefano Mazzotta, 2005. "The Accuracy of Density Forecasts from Foreign Exchange Options," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 578-605. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

2004

1. Michael Jansson, 2004. "The Error in Rejection Probability of Simple Autocorrelation Robust Tests," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(3), pages 937-946, 05. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
2. Jansson, Michael, 2004. "Stationarity Testing With Covariates," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(01), pages 56-94, March. [Downloadable!]
3. Jansson, Michael, 2004. "03.6.2. Unbiasedness of the OLS Estimator with Random Regressors Solution," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(06), pages 1263-1264, December. [Downloadable!]
4. Kristensen, Dennis & Linton, Oliver, 2004. "03.5.2. Consistent Standard Errors for Target Variance Approach to GARCH Estimation Solution," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(05), pages 990-993, October. [Downloadable!]
5. Andrew Jeffrey, 2004. "Nonparametric Estimation of a Multifactor Heath-Jarrow-Morton Model: An Integrated Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2(2), pages 251-289. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
6. Tom Engsted & Niels Haldrup & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2004. "Long-run forecasting in multicointegrated systems," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 315-335. [Downloadable!]
7. Morten Orregaard Nielsen, 2004. "Efficient inference in multivariate fractionally integrated time series models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 7(1), pages 63-97, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
8. Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2004. "Spectral analysis of fractionally cointegrated systems," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 225-231, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
9. Brendstrup, Bjarne & Hylleberg, Svend & Nielsen, Morten Rregaard & Skipper, Lars & Stentoft, Lars, 2004. "Seasonality In Economic Models," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(03), pages 362-394, June. [Downloadable!]
10. Nielsen, Morten rregaard, 2004. "Efficient Likelihood Inference In Nonstationary Univariate Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(01), pages 116-146, March. [Downloadable!]
11. Nielsen M.O., 2004. "Optimal Residual-Based Tests for Fractional Cointegration and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 331-345, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
12. Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris, 2004. "The importance of the loss function in option valuation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 291-318, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
13. Peter Christoffersen, 2004. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Duration-Based Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 84-108. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

2003

1. Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick, 2003. "Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 21(1), pages 104-21, January.
2. Dick van Dijk ¹ & Birgit Strikholm & Timo Teräsvirta, 2003. "The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctuations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 6(1), pages 79-98, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
3. Anna Persson & Timo Teräsvirta, 2003. "The net barter terms of trade: A smooth transition approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(1), pages 81-97. [Downloadable!]
4. Hansen, Peter Reinhard, 2003. "Structural changes in the cointegrated vector autoregressive model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 261-295, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
5. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2003. "Choosing the Best Volatility Models: The Model Confidence Set Approach," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 65(s1), pages 839-861, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
6. Elliott, Graham & Jansson, Michael, 2003. "Testing for unit roots with stationary covariates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 75-89, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
7. Joydeep Bhattacharya & Helle Bunzel, 2003. "Dynamics of the planning solution in the discrete-time textbook model of labor market search and matching," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 5(19), pages 1-10. [Downloadable!]
8. Kristensen, Dennis & Linton, Oliver, 2003. "03.5.2. Consistent Standard Errors for Target Variance Approach to GARCH Estimation," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(05), pages 879-880, October. [Downloadable!]
9. Christiansen, Charlotte, 2003. "Testing the expectations hypothesis using long-maturity forward rates," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(2), pages 175-180, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
10. Niels Haldrup & David F. Hendry & Herman K. Dijk, 2003. "Guest Editors' Introduction: Model Selection and Evaluation in Econometrics," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 65(s1), pages 681-688, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

2002

1. Dick van Dijk & Timo Teräsvirta & Philip Hans Franses, 2002. "Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models - A Survey Of Recent Developments," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 1-47. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
2. Davidson, James & Terasvirta, Timo, 2002. "Long memory and nonlinear time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 105-112, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
3. Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo, 2002. "Evaluating GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 417-435, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
4. Jansson, Michael & Haldrup, Niels, 2002. "Regression Theory For Nearly Cointegrated Time Series," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(06), pages 1309-1335, September. [Downloadable!]
5. Jansson, Michael, 2002. "Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation For Linear Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(06), pages 1449-1459, September. [Downloadable!]
6. Christiansen, Charlotte, 2002. "Credit spreads and the term structure of interest rates," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 279-295. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
7. Christoffersen, Peter & Ghysels, Eric & Swanson, Norman R., 2002. "Let's get "real" about using economic data," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 343-360, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

2001

1. Timo Teräsvirta & Ann-Charlotte Eliasson, 2001. "Non-linear error correction and the UK demand for broad money, 1878-1993," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 277-288. [Downloadable!]
2. Bunzel H. & Kiefer N. M. & Vogelsang T. J., 2001. "Simple Robust Testing of Hypotheses in Nonlinear Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 1088-1096, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
3. Christoffersen, Peter & Hahn, Jinyong & Inoue, Atsushi, 2001. "Testing and comparing Value-at-Risk measures," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 325-342, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
4. Peter Christoffersen & Torsten Sløk & Robert Wescott, 2001. "Is inflation targeting feasible in Poland?," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 9(1), pages 153-174, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

2000

1. Nicholas M. Kiefer & Timothy J. Vogelsang & Helle Bunzel, 2000. "Simple Robust Testing of Regression Hypotheses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(3), pages 695-714, May.
2. Torben M. Andersen & Niels Haldrup & Jan Rose Sørensen, 2000. "Labour market implications of EU product market integration," Economic Policy, CEPR, CES, MSH, vol. 15(30), pages 105-134, 04. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
3. Christoffersen, Peter F & Giorgianni, Lorenzo, 2000. "Interest-Rate Arbitrage in Currency Baskets: Forecasting Weights and Measuring Risk," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 18(2), pages 242-53, April.
4. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2000. "How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(1), pages 12-22, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
5. Christoffersen, Peter & Errunza, Vihang, 2000. "Towards a global financial architecture: capital mobility and risk management issues," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 3-20, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
6. Peter Christoffersen & Peter Doyle, 2000. "From Inflation to Growth," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 8(2), pages 421-451, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

1999

1. Skalin, Joakim & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999. "Another Look at Swedish Business Cycles, 1861-1988," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(4), pages 359-78, July-Aug.. [Downloadable!]
2. Lutkepohl, Helmut & Terasvirta, Timo & Wolters, Jurgen, 1999. "Investigating Stability and Linearity of a German M1 Money Demand Function," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(5), pages 511-25, Sept.-Oct. [Downloadable!]
3. Lin, Chien-Fu Jeff & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999. "Testing parameter constancy in linear models against stochastic stationary parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 193-213, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
4. He, Changli & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999. "Properties of moments of a family of GARCH processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 173-192, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
5. Granger, Clive W. J. & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999. "A simple nonlinear time series model with misleading linear properties," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 161-165, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
6. Engsted, Tom & Haldrup, Niels, 1999. "Estimating the LQAC Model with I(2) Variables," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(2), pages 155-70, March-Apr. [Downloadable!]
7. Engsted, Tom & Haldrup, Niels, 1999. " Multicointegration in Stock-Flow Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 61(2), pages 237-54, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

1998

1. Terasvirta, Timo, 1998. " Comment on N. R. Ericsson, D. F. Hendry and K. M. Prestwich, "The Demand for Broad Money in the United Kingdom, 1878-1993."," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 100(1), pages 325-38, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
2. Tobias Rydén & Timo Teräsvirta & Stefan Åsbrink, 1998. "Stylized facts of daily return series and the hidden Markov model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(3), pages 217-244. [Downloadable!]
3. Jürgen Wolters & Timo Teräsvirta & Helmut Lütkepohl, 1998. "Modeling The Demand For M3 In The Unified Germany," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 80(3), pages 399-409, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
4. Haldrup, Niels & Salmon, Mark, 1998. "Representations of I(2) cointegrated systems using the Smith-McMillan form," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 84(2), pages 303-325, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
5. Haldrup, Neils, 1998. " An Econometric Analysis of I(2) Variables," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 12(5), pages 595-650, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
6. Christoffersen, Peter F, 1998. "Evaluating Interval Forecasts," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 841-62, November.
7. Christoffersen, Peter F & Diebold, Francis X, 1998. "Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(4), pages 450-58, October.
8. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold & Til Schuermann, 1998. "Horizon problems and extreme events in financial risk management," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Oct, pages 109-118. [Downloadable!]

1997

1. Terasvirta, Timo, 1997. "The International Institute of Forecasters Award for the Best Forecasting Paper," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 591-592, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
2. Granger, Clive W J & Haldrup