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Publications by members of Center for Research in Econometric Analysis of Time Series (CREATES) Aarhus Universitet Aarhus, Denmark
These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service . Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institutions, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members . Register yourself . This page is updated in the first days of each month. | Working papers | Journal articles | Chapters |Working papers Undated material is listed at the end 2009 Søren Johansen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2009.
"Likelihood inference for a nonstationary fractional autoregressive model ,"
Working Papers
1172, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Roman Frydman & Michael D. Goldberg & Søren Johansen & Katarina Juselius, 2009.
"A Resolution of the Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle: Imperfect Knowledge and Long Swings ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-01, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Søren Johansen & Anders Rygh Swensen, 2009.
"On a numerical and graphical technique for evaluating some models involving rational expectations ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-19, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Søren Johansen & Anders Rygh Swensen, 2009.
"On a Numerical and Graphical Technique for Evaluating some Models Involving Rational Expectations ,"
Discussion Papers
09-10, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Andrés González & Kirstin Hubrich & Timo Teräsvirta, 2009.
"Forecasting inflation with gradual regime shifts and exogenous information ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-03, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Tim Bollerslev & Natalia Sizova & George Tauchen, 2009.
"Volatility in Equilibrium: Asymmetries and Dynamic Dependencies ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-05, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Tim Bollerslev & Viktor Todorov, 2009.
"Tails, Fears and Risk Premia ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-26, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Peter Reinhard Hansen & Guillaume Horel, 2009.
"Quadratic Variation by Markov Chains ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-13, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2009.
"Multivariate Realised Kernels: Consistent Positive Semi-Definite Estimators of the Covariation of Equity Prices with Noise and Non-Synchronous Trading ,"
Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series
gd08-037, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
[Downloadable!] Michael Jansson & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2009.
"Nearly Efficient Likelihood Ratio Tests of the Unit Root Hypothesis ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-37, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Michael Jansson & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2009.
"Nearly Efficient Likelihood Ratio Tests of the Unit Root Hypothesis ,"
Working Papers
1213, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Dennis Kristensen & Andrew Ang, 2009.
"Testing Conditional Factor Models ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-09, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Dennis Kristensen & Antonio Mele, 2009.
"Adding and Subtracting Black-Scholes: A New Approach to Approximating Derivative Prices in Continuous Time Models ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-14, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Dennis Kristensen, 2009.
"Semiparametric Modelling and Estimation: A Selective Overview ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-44, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Kim Christensen & Silja Kinnebrock & Mark Podolskij, 2009.
"Pre-averaging estimators of the ex-post covariance matrix in noisy diffusion models with non-synchronous data ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-45, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Kim Christensen & Roel Oomen & Mark Podolskij, 2009.
"Realised Quantile-Based Estimation of the Integrated Variance ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-27, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] B. Jungbacker & S.J. Koopman & M. van der Wel, 2009.
"Dynamic Factor Analysis in The Presence of Missing Data ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
09-010/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!] Michel van der Wel & Albert Menkveld & Asani Sarkar, 2009.
"Are Market Makers Uninformed and Passive? Signing Trades in The Absence of Quotes ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
09-046/3, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!] Borus Jungbacker & Siem Jan Koopman & Michel van der Wel, 2009.
"Dynamic Factor Models with Smooth Loadings for Analyzing the Term Structure of Interest Rates ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-39, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Paul Soderlind & Angelo Ranaldo & Charlotte Christiansen, 2009.
"The Time-Varying Systematic Risk of Carry Trade Strategies ,"
University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2009
2009-06, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
[Downloadable!] Charlotte Christiansen & Angelo Ranaldo & Paul Söderllind, 2009.
"The Time-Varying Systematic Risk of Carry Trade Strategies ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-15, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte & Ranaldo, Angelo & Söderlind, Paul, 2009.
"The Time-Varying Systematic Risk of Carry Trade Strategies ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7345, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Niels Haldrup & Frank S. Nielsen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2009.
"A vector autoregressive model for electricity prices subject to long memory and regime switching ,"
Working Papers
1211, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2009.
"Nonparametric Cointegration Analysis of Fractional Systems With Unknown Integration Orders ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-02, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Jie Zhu & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2009.
"Long memory in stock market volatility and the volatility-in-mean effect: the FIEGARCH-M model ,"
Working Papers
1207, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Per Frederiksen & Frank S. Nielsen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2009.
"Local polynomial Whittle estimation of perturbed fractional processes ,"
Working Papers
1218, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Lars Stentoft, 2009.
"Bayesian Option Pricing Using Mixed Normal Heteroskedasticity Models ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-07, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Jeroen Rombouts & Lars Peter Stentoft, 2009.
"Bayesian Option Pricing Using Mixed Normal Heteroskedasticity Models ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2009s-19, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Olaf Posch, 2009.
"Explaining Output Volatility: The Case of Taxation ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!] Olaf Posch & Klaus Wälde, 2009.
"On the non-causal link between volatility and growth ,"
Economics Working Papers
2009-10, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Olaf POSCH & Klaus W€LDE, 2009.
"On the non-causal link between volatility and growth ,"
Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales)
2009025, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
[Downloadable!] Ingmar Nolte & Valeri Voev, 2009.
"Least Squares Inference on Integrated Volatility and the Relationship between Efficient Prices and Noise ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-16, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Tsiaras, Leonidas, 2009.
"The Forecast Performance of Competing Implied Volatility Measures: The Case of Individual Stocks ,"
Finance Research Group Working Papers
F-2009-02, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Almut E. D. Veraart & Luitgard A. M. Veraart, 2009.
"Stochastic volatility and stochastic leverage ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-20, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Almut E. D. Veraart, 2009.
"Stochastic volatility of volatility in continuous time ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-25, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Anders Bredahl Kock, 2009.
"Forecasting with Universal Approximators and a Learning Algorithm ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-18, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Dobrislav Dobrev & Ernst Schaumburg, 2009.
"Duration-Based Volatility Estimation ,"
Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series
gd08-034, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Luca Benzoni, 2009.
"Stochastic volatility ,"
Working Paper Series
WP-09-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
[Downloadable!] Tom Engsted, 2009.
"Statistical vs. Economic Significance in Economics and Econometrics: Further comments on McCloskey & Ziliak ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-17, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Tom Engsted & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2009.
"The dividend-price ratio does predict dividend growth: International evidence ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-36, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Michael Frömmel & Robinson Kruse, 2009.
"Interest rate convergence in the EMS prior to European Monetary Union ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-23, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Frank S. Nielsen, 2009.
"Local Whittle estimation of multivariate fractionally integrated processes ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-38, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Alessandro Palandri, 2009.
"The Effects of Interest Rate Movements on Assets’ Conditional Second Moments ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-32, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Menkhoff, Lukas & Sarno, Lucio & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2009.
"Carry Trades and Global FX Volatility ,"
MPRA Paper
14728, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!] Rangvid, Jesper & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2009.
"Higher-order beliefs among professional stock market forecasters: some first empirical tests ,"
ZEW Discussion Papers
09-042, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
[Downloadable!] 2008 Søren Johansen & Bent Nielsen, 2008.
"An analysis of the indicator saturation estimator as a robust regression estimator ,"
Economics Papers
2008-W03, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Søren Johansen & Bent Nielsen, 2008.
"An analysis of the indicator saturation estimator as a robust regression ,"
Discussion Papers
08-03, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Søren Johansen & Katarina Juselius & Roman Frydberg & Michael Goldberg, 2008.
"Testing hypotheses in an I(2) model with applications to the persistent long swings in the Dmk/$ rate ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-03, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Søren Johansen & Bent Nielsen, 2008.
"An analysis of the indicator saturation estimator as a robust regression estimator ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-09, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Roman Frydman & Michael D. Goldberg & Søren Johansen & Katarina Juselius, 2008.
"A Resolution of the Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle: Imperfect Knowledge and Long Swings ,"
Discussion Papers
08-31, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Cristina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008.
"Modelling Conditional and Unconditional Heteroskedasticity with Smoothly Time-Varying Structure ,"
NIPE Working Papers
03/2008, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
[Downloadable!] Amado, Cristina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2008.
"Modelling Conditional and Unconditional Heteroskedasticity with Smoothly Time-Varying Structure ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
691, Stockholm School of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Christina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008.
"Modelling Conditional and Unconditional Heteroskedasticity with Smoothly Time-Varying Structure ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-08, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Changli He & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008.
"Parameterizing unconditional skewness in models for financial time series ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-07, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Anne Péguin-Feissolle & Birgit Strikholm & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008.
"Testing the Granger noncausality hypothesis in stationary nonlinear models of unknown functional form ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-19, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008.
"Multivariate GARCH models ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-06, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008.
"Modelling Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with the Double Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation GARCH Model ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-05, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Per Frederiksen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008.
"Continuous-Time Models, Realized Volatilities, and Testable Distributional Implications for Daily Stock Returns ,"
Working Papers
1173, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Tim Bollerslev, 2008.
"Glossary to ARCH (GARCH) ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-49, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Tim Bollerslev & Tzuo Hao & George Tauchen, 2008.
"Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-48, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2008.
"Reduced-Rank Regression: A Useful Determinant Identity ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-02, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008.
"Multivariate realised kernels: consistent positive semin-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading ,"
Economics Series Working Papers
397, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008.
"Multivariate realised kernels: consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2008fe29, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008.
"Multivariate realised kernels: consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading ,"
Economics Papers
2008-W10, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008.
"Multivariate realised kernels: consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-63, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Christian M. Dahl & Emma M. Iglesias, 2008.
"Semiparametric Inference in a GARCH-in-Mean Model ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-46, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Christian M. Dahl & Yu Qin, 2008.
"The limiting behavior of the estimated parameters in a misspecified random field regression model ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-45, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Christian M. Dahl & Emma M. Iglesias, 2008.
"The limiting properties of the QMLE in a general class of asymmetric volatility models ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-38, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Stefan Holst Bache & Christian M. Dahl & Johannes Tang, 2008.
"Determinants of Birthweight Outcomes: Quantile Regressions Based on Panel Data ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-20, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] John A Carlson & Christian M. Dahl & Carol L. Osler, 2008.
"Short-run Exchange-Rate Dynamics: Theory and Evidence ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-01, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Christian M. Dahl & Henrik Hansen & John Smidt, 2008.
"The cyclical component factor model ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-44, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Michael Jansson, 2008.
"Small Bandwidth Asymptotics for Density-Weighted Average Derivatives ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-24, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Dennis Kristensen, 2008.
"Uniform Convergence Rates of Kernel Estimators with Heterogenous, Dependent Data ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-37, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Dennis Kristensen & Yongseok Shin, 2008.
"Estimation of Dynamic Models with Nonparametric Simulated Maximum Likelihood ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-58, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Mark Podolskij & Daniel Ziggel, 2008.
"A Range-Based Test for the Parametric Form of the Volatility in Diffusion Models ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-22, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Mark Podolskij & Mathias Vetter, 2008.
"Bipower-type estimation in a noisy diffusion setting ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-25, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & José Manuel Corcuera & Mark Podolskij & Jeannette H.C. Woerner, 2008.
"Bipower variation for Gaussian processes with stationary increments ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-21, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Mark Podolskij & Daniel Ziggel, 2008.
"New tests for jumps: a threshold-based approach ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-34, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Silja Kinnebrock & Mark Podolskij, 2008.
"An Econometric Analysis of Modulated Realised Covariance, Regression and Correlation in Noisy Diffusion Models ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2008fe25, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Silja Kinnebrock & Mark Podolskij, 2008.
"An Econometric Analysis of Modulated Realised Covariance, Regression and Correlation in Noisy Diffusion Models ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-23, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Katarzyna Lasak, 2008.
"Maximum likelihood estimation of fractionally cointegrated systems ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-53, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Katarzyna Lasak, 2008.
"Likelihood based testing for no fractional cointegration ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-52, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte & Ranaldo, Angelo, 2008.
"Extreme Coexceedances in New EU Member States' Stock Markets ,"
Working Papers
2008-10, Swiss National Bank.
[Downloadable!] Charlotte Christiansen, 2008.
"Mean Reversion in US and International Short Rates ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-47, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Per Frederiksen & Frank S. Nielsen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008.
"Local polynomial Whittle estimation of perturbed fractional processes ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-29, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Per Frederiksen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008.
"Bias-reduced estimation of long memory stochastic volatility ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-35, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008.
"A Powerful Test of the Autoregressive Unit Root Hypothesis Based on a Tuning Parameter Free Statistic ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-36, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Morten Ørregaard Nielsen & Per Frederiksen, 2008.
"Fully Modified Narrow-Band Least Squares Estimation of Stationary Fractional Cointegration ,"
Working Papers
1171, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008.
"Nonparametric Cointegration Analysis of Fractional Systems With Unknown Integration Orders ,"
Working Papers
1174, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Thomas Busch & Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008.
"The Role of Implied Volatility in Forecasting Future Realized Volatility and Jumps in Foreign Exchange, Stock, and Bond Markets ,"
Working Papers
1181, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008.
"A Powerful Test of the Autoregressive Unit Root Hypothesis Based on a Tuning Parameter Free Statistic ,"
Working Papers
1185, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008.
"A Powerful Tuning Parameter Free Test of the Autoregressive Unit Root Hypothesis ,"
Working Papers
1175, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Nielsen, Morten, 2008.
"A Powerful Tuning Parameter Free Test of the Autoregressive Unit Root Hypothesis ,"
Working Papers
08-05, Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics.
[Downloadable!] Lars Stentoft, 2008.
"Option Pricing using Realized Volatility ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-13, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Lars Stentoft, 2008.
"American Option Pricing using GARCH models and the Normal Inverse Gaussian distribution ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-41, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs & Chayawat Ornthanalai & Yintian Wang, 2008.
"Option Valuation with Long-run and Short-run Volatility Components ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-11, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Kris Dorion & Yintian Wang, 2008.
"Volatility Components, Affine Restrictions and Non-Normal Innovations ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-10, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Olaf Posch, 2008.
"Explaining output volatility: The case of taxation ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-04, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Jie Zhu, 2008.
"FIEGARCH-M and and International Crises: A Cross-Country Analysis ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-16, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Jie Zhu, 2008.
"Pricing Volatility of Stock Returns with Volatile and Persistent Components ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-14, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Jie Zhu, 2008.
"Testing for Expected Return and Market Price of Risk in Chinese A-B Share Market: A Geometric Brownian Motion and Multivariate GARCH Model Approach ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-15, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Ingmar Nolte & Valeri Voev, 2008.
"Estimating High-Frequency Based (Co-) Variances: A Unified Approach ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-31, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Roxana Chiriac & Valeri Voev, 2008.
"Modelling and Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-39, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Roxana Chiriac & Valeri Voev, 2008.
"Modelling and Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility ,"
CoFE Discussion Paper
08-06, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz.
[Downloadable!] Almut Veraart, 2008.
"Inference for the jump part of quadratic variation of Itô semimartingales ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-17, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Almut E. D. Veraart, 2008.
"Impact of time–inhomogeneous jumps and leverage type effects on returns and realised variances ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-57, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Neil Shephard & Torben G. Andersen, 2008.
"Stochastic Volatility: Origins and Overview ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2008fe23, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Neil Shephard & Torben G. Andersen, 2008.
"Stochastic Volatility: Origins and Overview ,"
Economics Series Working Papers
389, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Luca Benzoni, 2008.
"Realized volatility ,"
Working Paper Series
WP-08-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
[Downloadable!] Neil Shephard & Torben Andersen, 2008.
"Stochastic Volatility: Origins and Overview ,"
Economics Papers
2008-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Tom Engsted & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2008.
"Return predictability and intertemporal asset allocation: Evidence from a bias-adjusted VAR model ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-27, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Tom Engsted & Stig V. Møller, 2008.
"An iterated GMM procedure for estimating the Campbell-Cochrane habit formation model, with an application to Danish stock and bond returns ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-12, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Silja Kinnebrock & Neil Shephard, 2008.
"Measuring downside risk — realised semivariance ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-42, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Silja Kinnebrock & Neil Shephard, 2008.
"Measuring downside risk - realised semivariance ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2008fe01, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Silja Kinnebrock & Neil Shephard, 2008.
"Measuring downside risk-realised semivariance ,"
Economics Papers
2008-W02, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Silja Kinnebrock & Neil Shephard, 2008.
"Measuring downside risk - realised semivariance ,"
Economics Series Working Papers
382, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Kruse, Robinson, 2008.
"Rational bubbles and fractional integration ,"
Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover
dp-394, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
[Downloadable!] Kruse, Robinson, 2008.
"A new unit root test against ESTAR based on a class of modified statistics ,"
Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover
dp-398, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
[Downloadable!] Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2008.
"Intertemporal Asset Allocation with Habit Formation in Preferences: An Approximate Analytical Solution ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-60, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Frank S. Nielsen, 2008.
"Local polynomial Whittle estimation covering non-stationary fractional processes ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-28, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Michael Sørensen, 2008.
"Parametric inference for discretely sampled stochastic differential equations ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-18, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Michael Sørensen, 2008.
"Optimal inference in dynamic models with conditional moment restrictions ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-51, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Michael Sørensen, 2008.
"Efficient estimation for ergodic diffusions sampled at high frequency ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-46, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Schrimpf, Andreas, 2008.
"International Stock Return Predictability Under Model Uncertainty ,"
ZEW Discussion Papers
08-048, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
[Downloadable!] Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2008.
"Expected Inflation, Expected Stock Returns, and Money Illusion: What can we learn from Survey Expectations? ,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
SFB649DP2008-036, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
[Downloadable!] 2007 Søren Johansen, 2007.
"Some Identification Problems in the Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Model ,"
Discussion Papers
07-24, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Søren Johansen, 2007.
"Correlation, Regression, and Cointegration of Nonstationary Economic Time Series ,"
Discussion Papers
07-25, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] David F. Hendry & Søren Johansen & Carlos Santos, 2007.
"Selecting a Regression Saturated by Indicators ,"
Discussion Papers
07-26, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Søren Johansen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007.
"Likelihood Inference for a Nonstationary Fractional Autoregressive Model ,"
Discussion Papers
07-27, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Søren Johansen & Katarina Juselius & Roman Frydman & Michael Goldberg, 2007.
"Testing Hypotheses in an I(2) Model with Applications to the Persistent Long Swings in the Dmk/$ Rate ,"
Discussion Papers
07-34, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Soren Johansen & Anders Rygh Swensen, 2007.
"Exact Rational Expectations, Cointegration, and Reduced Rank Regression ,"
Discussion Papers
07-29, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Kevin D. Hoover & Katarina Juselius & Søren Johansen, 2007.
"Allowing the Data to Speak Freely: The Macroeconometrics of the Cointegrated Vector Autoregression ,"
Discussion Papers
07-35, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Søren Johansen & David F. Hendry & Carlos Santos, 2007.
"Selecting a Regression Saturated by Indicators ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-36, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Søren Johansen & Anders Rygh Swensen, 2007.
"Exact rational expectations, cointegration, and reduced rank regression ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-41, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Søren Johansen, 2007.
"Correlation, regression, and cointegration of nonstationary economic time series ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-35, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Søren Johansen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007.
"Likelihood inference for a nonstationary fractional autoregressive model ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-33, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Søren Johansen, 2007.
"Some identification problems in the cointegrated vector autoregressive model ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-32, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Nakatani, Tomoaki & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007.
"Testing for Volatility Interactions in the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH Model ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
649, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 24 Jan 2007.
[Downloadable!] Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007.
"Modelling Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with the Double Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation GARCH model ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
0652, Stockholm School of Economics.
Teräsvirta, Timo & Zhao, Zhenfang, 2007.
"Stylized Facts of Return Series, Robust Estimates, and Three Popular Models of Volatility ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
662, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 05 Jun 2007.
[Downloadable!] Péguin-Feissolle, Anne & Strikholm, Birgit & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007.
"Testing the Granger noncausality hypothesis in stationary nonlinear models of unknown functional form ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
672, Stockholm School of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007.
"Multivariate GARCH models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
669, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 18 Jan 2008.
[Downloadable!] Nakatani, Tomoaki & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007.
"Positivity Constraints on the Conditional Variances in the Family of Conditional Correlation GARCH Models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
675, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 15 Nov 1007.
Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Dobrislav Dobrev, 2007.
"No-Arbitrage Semi-Martingale Restrictions for Continuous-Time Volatility Models subject to Leverage Effects, Jumps and i.i.d. Noise: Theory and Testable Distributional Implications ,"
NBER Working Papers
12963, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Tim Bollerslev & Uta Kretschmer & Christian Pigorsch & George Tauchen, 2007.
"A Discrete-Time Model for Daily S&P500 Returns and Realized Variations: Jumps and Leverage Effects ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-22, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Xin Huang, 2007.
"A Reduced Form Framework for Modeling Volatility of Speculative Prices based on Realized Variation Measures ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-14, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Clara Vega, 2007.
"Real-Time Price Discovery in Global Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-20, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Viktor Todorov & Tim Bollerslev, 2007.
"Jumps and Betas: A New Framework for Disentangling and Estimating Systematic Risks ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-15, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2007.
"Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling and Forecasting of Return Volatility ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-18, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Tim Bollerslev & Michael Gibson & Hao Zhou, 2007.
"Dynamic Estimation of Volatility Risk Premia and Investor Risk Aversion from Option-Implied and Realized Volatilities ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-16, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Per Houmann Frederiksen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007.
"Continuous-Time Models, Realized Volatilities, and Testable Distributional Implications for Daily Stock Returns ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-21, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Tim Bollerslev & Hao Zhou, 2007.
"Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-17, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Tim Bollerslev & Tzuo Hann Law & George Tauchen, 2007.
"Risk, Jumps, and Diversification ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-19, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Mathias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Michael Jansson, 2007.
"Optimal Inference for Instrumental Variables Regression with non-Gaussian Errors ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-11, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Michael Jansson, 2007.
"Semiparametric Power Envelopes for Tests of the Unit Root Hypothesis ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-12, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Barnett, Richard & Bhattacharya, Joydeep & Bunzel, Helle, 2007.
"Resurrecting Equilibria Through Cycles ,"
Staff General Research Papers
12834, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Bhattacharya, Joydeep & Bunzel, Helle & Qiao, Xue, 2007.
"UNSAFE SEX, AIDS, and DEVELOPMENT ,"
Staff General Research Papers
12832, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Dennis Kristensen, 2007.
"Nonparametric Estimation and Misspecification Testing of Diffusion Models ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-01, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Dennis Kristensen & Anders Rahbek, 2007.
"Likelihood-Based Inference in Nonlinear Error-Correction Models ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-38, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Dennis Kristensen, 2007.
"Nonparametric Filtering of the Realised Spot Volatility: A Kernel-based Approach ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-02, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & José Manuel Corcuera & Mark Podolskij, 2007.
"Power variation for Gaussian processes with stationary increments ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-42, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Jean Jacod & Yingying Li & Per A. Mykland & Mark Podolskij & Mathias Vetter, 2007.
"Microstructure Noise in the Continuous Case: The Pre-Averaging Approach - JLMPV-9 ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-43, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Mark Podolskij & Mathias Vetter, 2007.
"Estimation of Volatility Functionals in the Simultaneous Presence of Microstructure Noise and Jumps ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-27, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Silja Kinnebrock & Mark Podolskij, 2007.
"A Note on the Central Limit Theorem for Bipower Variation of General Functions ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2007fe03, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Mark Podolskij & Daniel Ziggel, 2007.
"A Range-Based Test for the Parametric Form of the Volatility in Diffusion Models ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-26, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Siem Jan Koopman & Max I.P. Mallee & Michel van der Wel, 2007.
"Analyzing the Term Structure of Interest Rates using the Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Model with Time-Varying Parameters ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
07-095/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!] Albert J. Menkveld & Asani Sarkar & Michel van der Wel, 2007.
"Macro News, Riskfree Rates, and the Intermediary ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
07-086/2, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!] Albert J. Menkveld & Asani Sarkar & Michel van der Wel, 2007.
"Macro news, risk-free rates, and the intermediary: customer orders for thirty-year Treasury futures ,"
Staff Reports
307, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!] Charlotte Christiansen & Angelo Ranaldo, 2007.
"Extreme Coexceedances in New EU Member States’ Stock Markets ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-34, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Charlotte Christiansen, 2007.
"Decomposing European Bond and Equity Volatility ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-06, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Charlotte Christiansen & Juanna Schröter Joensen & Jesper Rangvid, 2007.
"Are Economists More Likely to Hold Stocks? ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-08, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Charlotte Christiansen, 2007.
"Level-ARCH Short Rate Models with Regime Switching: Bivariate Modeling of US and European Short Rates ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-05, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Frank S. Nielsen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007.
"A Vector Autoregressive Model for Electricity Prices Subject to Long Memory and Regime Switching ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-29, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007.
"The Effect of Long Memory in Volatility on Stock Market Fluctuations ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-03, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen & Jie Zhu, 2007.
"Long Memory in Stock Market Volatility and the Volatility-in-Mean Effect: The FIEGARCH-M Model ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-10, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Thomas Busch & Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007.
"The Role of Implied Volatility in Forecasting Future Realized Volatility and Jumps in Foreign Exchange, Stock, and Bond Markets ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-09, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs & Gregory Vainberg, 2007.
"Forward-Looking Betas ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-39, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs & Karim Mimouni, 2007.
"Models for S&P500 Dynamics: Evidence from Realized Volatility, Daily Returns, and Option Prices ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-37, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Olaf Posch, 2007.
"Structural estimation of jump-diffusion processes in macroeconomics ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-23, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Ingmar Nolte & Valeri Voev, 2007.
"Panel Intensity Models with Latent Factors: An Application to the Trading Dynamics on the Foreign Exchange Market¤ ,"
CoFE Discussion Paper
07-02, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz.
[Downloadable!] Valeri Voev, 2007.
"Dynamic Modeling of Large Dimensional Covariance Matrices ,"
CoFE Discussion Paper
07-01, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz.
[Downloadable!] Ingmar Nolte & Valeri Voev, 2007.
"Estimating High-Frequency Based (Co-) Variances: A Unified Approach ,"
CoFE Discussion Paper
07-07, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz.
[Downloadable!] Almut Elisabeth Dorothea Veraart, 2007.
"Feasible inference for realised variance in the presence of jumps ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2007fe02, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Luca Benzoni, 2007.
"Do Bonds Span Volatility Risk in the U.S. Treasury Market? A Specification test for Affine Term Structure Models ,"
NBER Working Papers
12962, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Luca Benzoni, 2007.
"Do Bonds Span Volatility Risk in the U.S. Treasury Market? A Specification Test for Affine Term Structure Models ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-25, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Oleg Bondarenko, 2007.
"Construction and Interpretation of Model-Free Implied Volatility ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-24, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Oleg Bondarenko, 2007.
"Construction and Interpretation of Model-Free Implied Volatility ,"
NBER Working Papers
13449, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Tom Engsted & Stuart Hyde & Stig V. Møller, 2007.
"Habit Formation, Surplus Consumption and Return Predictability: International Evidence ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-31, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Sibbertsen, Philipp & Kruse, Robinson, 2007.
"Testing for a break in persistence under long-range dependencies ,"
Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover
dp-381, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Thomas Elgaard Jensen & Rune Mølgaard, 2007.
"Market Power in Power Markets: Evidence from Forward Prices of Electricity ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-30, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Schrimpf, Andreas & Grammig, Joachim, 2007.
"Asset Pricing with a Reference Level of Consumption: New Evidence from the Cross-Section of Stock Returns ,"
ZEW Discussion Papers
06-032 [rev.], ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
[Downloadable!] 2006 González, Andrés & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2006.
"Modelling autoregressive processes with a shifting mean ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
637, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 22 May 2007.
Teräsvirta, Timo, 2006.
"An introduction to univariate GARCH models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
646, Stockholm School of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Timo Terasvirta & Andrés González, 2006.
"Modelling autoregressive processes with a shifting mean ,"
BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA
003230, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
[Downloadable!] Svend Hylleberg, 2006.
"Seasonal Adjustment ,"
Economics Working Papers
2006-04, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Clara Vega, 2006.
"Real-time price discovery in global stock, bond and foreign exchange markets ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
871, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!] Tim Bollerslev & Hao Zhou, 2006.
"Expected stock returns and variance risk premia ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2007-11, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!] Marco Aiolfi & Allan Timmermann & Luis Catão, 2006.
"Common Factors in Latin America's Business Cycles ,"
IMF Working Papers
06/49, International Monetary Fund.
[Downloadable!] Allan Timmermann, 2006.
"An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts ,"
IMF Working Papers
06/59, International Monetary Fund.
[Downloadable!] M. Hashem Pesaran & Davide Pettenuzzo & Allan Timmermann, 2006.
"Learning, structural instability and present value calculations ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
529, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!] Pesaran, M.H. & Timmermann, A., 2006.
"Testing Dependence Among Serially Correlated Multi-category Variables ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0648, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!] Pesaran, Hashem & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Timmermann, Allan, 2006.
"Learning, structural instability and present value calculations ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2006,27, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Pesaran, M.H. & Pettenuzzo, D. & Timmermann, A., 2006.
"Learning, Structural Instability and Present Value Calculations ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0602, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!] M. Hashem Pesaran & Allan Timmermann, 2006.
"Testing Dependence among Serially Correlated Multi-category Variables ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!] M. Hashem Pesaran & Davide Pettenuzzo & Allan Timmermann, 2006.
"Learning, Structural Instability and Present Value Calculations ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!] Hashem Pesaran & Davide Pettenuzzo & Allan Timmermann, 2006.
"Learning, Structural Instability and Present Value Calculations ,"
IEPR Working Papers
06.42, Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR).
[Downloadable!] Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2006.
"Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
3, Society for Computational Economics.
M. Hashem Pesaran & Allan Timmermann, 2006.
"Testing Dependence among Serially Correlated Multi-Category Variables ,"
IZA Discussion Papers
2196, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
[Downloadable!] Neil Shephard & Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2006.
"Designing realised kernels to measure the ex-post variation of equity prices in the presence of noise ,"
Economics Series Working Papers
264, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2006.
"Designing realised kernels to measure the ex-post variation of equity prices in the presence of noise ,"
Economics Papers
2006-W03, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2006.
"Designing realised kernels to measure the ex-post variation of equity prices in the presence of noise ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2006fe05, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter R. Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2006.
"Subsampling realised kernels ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2006fe06, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2006.
"Subsampling realised kernels ,"
Economics Papers
2006-W10, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Neil Shephard & Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Asger Lunde, 2006.
"Subsampling realised kernels ,"
Economics Series Working Papers
278, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Bunzel, Helle & Iglesias, Emma M., 2006.
"Testing for Breaks Using Alternating Observations ,"
Staff General Research Papers
12694, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Gao, jiti & Casas, isabel, 2006.
"Specification testing in discretized diffusion models: Theory and practice ,"
MPRA Paper
11980, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Aug 2007.
[Downloadable!] Casas, Isabel & Gao, Jiti, 2006.
"Econometric estimation in long-range dependent volatility models: Theory and practice ,"
MPRA Paper
11981, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Aug 2007.
[Downloadable!] Charlotte Christiansen & Juanna Schröter Joensen, 2006.
"The Risk-Return Trade-Off in Human Capital Investment ,"
Economics Working Papers
2006-02, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Charlotte Christiansen & Juanna Schröter Joensen & Helena Skyt Nielsen, 2006.
"The Risk-Return Trade-Off in Human Capital Investment ,"
IZA Discussion Papers
1962, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte & Ranaldo, Angelo, 2006.
"Realized Bond-Stock Correlation: Macroeconomic Announcement Effects ,"
Working Papers
2006-2, Swiss National Bank.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Andreu Sansó, 2006.
"A Note on the Vogelsang Test for Additive Outliers ,"
Economics Working Papers
2006-01, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Gunnar Bårdsen & Niels Haldrup, 2006.
"A Gaussian IV estimator of cointegrating relations ,"
Economics Working Papers
2006-03, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Katsumi Shimotsu & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2006.
"Determining the Cointegrating Rank in Nonstationary Fractional Systems by the Exact Local Whittle Approach ,"
Working Papers
1029, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Thomas Busch & Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2006.
"The Information Content of Treasury Bond Options Concerning Future Volatility and Price Jumps ,"
Working Papers
1188, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold & Roberto S. Mariano & Anthony S. Tay & Yiu Kuen Tse, 2006.
"Direction-of-Change Forecasts Based on Conditional Variance, Skewness and Kurtosis Dynamics: International Evidence ,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
06-016, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Peter Sandholt Jensen & Allan H. Würtz, 2006.
"On determining the importance of a regressor with small and undersized samples ,"
Economics Working Papers
2006-08, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Olaf Posch & Klaus Wälde, 2006.
"Natural Volatility, Welfare and Taxation ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!] Olaf Posch & Klaus Wälde, 2006.
"Natural volatility, welfare and taxation ,"
Working Papers
2007_33, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow.
[Downloadable!] Olaf Posch, 2006.
"Explaining Output Volatility: the Case of Taxation ,"
Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers
20608, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Valeri Voev, 2006.
"A Trade-by-Trade Surprise Measure and Its Relation to Observed Spreadson the NYSE ,"
CoFE Discussion Paper
06-03, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Luca Benzoni, 2006.
"Do bonds span volatility risk in the U.S. Treasury market? a specification test for affine term structure models ,"
Working Paper Series
WP-06-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
[Downloadable!] Lykke E. Andersen & Bent Jesper Christensen, 2006.
"Labor Mobility in Bolivia: On-the-job Search Behavior of Private and Public Sector Employees ,"
Development Research Working Paper Series
01/2006, Institute for Advanced Development Studies.
[Downloadable!] Schrimpf, Andreas & Schröder, Michael & Stehle, Richard, 2006.
"Evaluating conditional asset pricing models for the German stock market ,"
ZEW Discussion Papers
06-43, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
[Downloadable!] Grammig, Joachim & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2006.
"Consumption-Based Asset Pricing with a Reference Level: New Evidence from the Cross-Section of Stock Returns ,"
ZEW Discussion Papers
06-32, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
[Downloadable!] 2005 Katarina Juselius & Søren Johansen, 2005.
"Extracting Information from the Data: A Popperian View on Empirical Macro ,"
Discussion Papers
05-05, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005.
"Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Smooth Transitions in Conditional Correlations ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
577, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 01 Oct 2005.
[Downloadable!] Strikholm, Birgit & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005.
"Determining the Number of Regimes in a Threshold Autoregressive Model Using Smooth Transition Autoregressions ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
578, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 11 Feb 2005.
[Downloadable!] Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005.
"Forecasting economic variables with nonlinear models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
598, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 29 Dec 2005.
[Downloadable!] Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005.
"Univariate nonlinear time series models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
593, Stockholm School of Economics.
González, Andrés & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2005.
"Simulation-based finite-sample linearity test against smooth transition models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
603, Stockholm School of Economics.
González, Andrés & Teräsvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick, 2005.
"Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
604, Stockholm School of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2005.
"Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Smooth Transitions in Conditional Correlations ,"
Research Paper Series
168, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
[Downloadable!] Changli He & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2005.
"Parameterizing Unconditional Skewness in Models for Financial Time Series ,"
Research Paper Series
169, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
[Downloadable!] Andres Gonzalez & Timo Terasvirta & Dick van Dijk, 2005.
"Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models ,"
Research Paper Series
165, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Svend Hylleberg & Gabriel Pons & Jaume Rosselló & Andreu Sansó, 2005.
"Common Periodic Correlation Features and the Interaction of Stocks and Flows in Daily Airport Data ,"
Economics Working Papers
2005-3, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005.
"Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management ,"
NBER Working Papers
11069, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005.
"Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management ,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
05-007, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005.
"Volatility Forecasting ,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
05-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005.
"Volatility Forecasting ,"
NBER Working Papers
11188, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Jin (Ginger) Wu, 2005.
"A Framework for Exploring the Macroeconomic Determinants of Systematic Risk ,"
NBER Working Papers
11134, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Jin (Ginger) Wu, 2005.
"A Framework for Exploring the Macroeconomic Determinants of Systematic Risk ,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
05-009, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Clara Vega, 2005.
"Real-Time Price Discovery in Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets ,"
NBER Working Papers
11312, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Jin (Ginger) Wu, 2005.
"A Framework for Exploring the Macroeconomic Determinants of Systematic Risk ,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2005/04, Center for Financial Studies.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005.
"Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management ,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2005/02, Center for Financial Studies.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005.
"Volatility Forecasting ,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2005/08, Center for Financial Studies.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2005.
"Roughing it Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling and Forecasting of Return Volatility ,"
NBER Working Papers
11775, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Sandeep Kapur & Allan Timmermann, 2005.
"Relative Performance Evaluation Contracts and Asset Market Equilibrium ,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
0503, Birkbeck, School of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
[Downloadable!] Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer & Allan Timmermann, 2005.
"Biases In Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality Or Asymmetric Loss? ,"
CAMA Working Papers
2005-14, Australian National University, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis.
[Downloadable!] Profoessor Hashem Pesaran & Allan Timmermann & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2005.
"The Forecasing time series subject to multiple structure breaks ,"
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005
33, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
Andrew J. Patton & Allan Timmermann, 2005.
"Testable Implications of Forecast Optimality ,"
STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series
/2005/485, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
[Downloadable!] Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2005.
"Model confidence sets for forecasting models ,"
Working Paper
2005-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
[Downloadable!] Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2005.
"Testing the significance of calendar effects ,"
Working Paper
2005-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Michael Jansson, 2005.
"Improving Size and Power in Unit Root Testing ,"
Economics Working Papers
2005-2, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Bunzel, Helle & Marcoul, Philippe, 2005.
"On the Use of Racial Profiling as a Law Enforcement Tool ,"
Staff General Research Papers
12397, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Bunzel, Helle & Enders, Walter, 2005.
"Is the Taylor Rule Missing? A Statistical Investigation ,"
Staff General Research Papers
12301, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Bunzel, Helle, 2005.
"Habit Persistence, Money, and Overlapping Generations ,"
Staff General Research Papers
12405, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
Charlotte Christiansen & Juanna Shröter Joensen & Jesper Rangvid, 2005.
"Do More Economists HOld Stocks? ,"
Economics Working Papers
2005-6, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte, 2005.
"Level-ARCH Short Rate Models with Regime Switching: Bivariate Modeling of US and European Short Rates ,"
Finance Research Group Working Papers
F-2005-03, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte & Ranaldo, Angelo, 2005.
"Realized Bond-Stock Correlation: Macroeconomic Announcement Effects ,"
Finance Research Group Working Papers
F-2005-05, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte & Joensen, Juanna Schröter & Rangvid, Jesper, 2005.
"Do More Economists Hold Stocks? ,"
Finance Research Group Working Papers
F-2005-02, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte, 2005.
"Decomposing European bond and equity volatility ,"
Finance Research Group Working Papers
F-2004-01, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Peter Mollgaard & Claus Kastberg Nielsen, 2005.
"Sequential Versus Simultaneous Market Delineation: The Relevant Antitrust Market for Salmon ,"
Working Papers
05-2, Centre for Competition Policy, University of East Anglia.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Peter Møllgaard & Claus Kastberg Nielslen, 2005.
"Sequential versus simultaneous market delineation: The relevant antitrust market for salmon ,"
Economics Working Papers
2005-5, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Antonio Montañés & Andreu Sansó, 2005.
"Testing for Additive Outliers in Seasonally Integrated Time Series ,"
DEA Working Papers
15, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada.
[Downloadable!] Haldrup, Niels & Møllgaard, Peter & Nielsen, Claus Kastberg, 2005.
"Sequential versus simultaneous market ,"
Working Papers
02-2005, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Haldrup; Niels & Morten Oerregaard Nielsen, 2005.
"Directional Congestion and Regime Switching in a Long Memory Model for Electricity Prices ,"
Economics Working Papers
2005-18, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2005.
"The Implied-Realized Volatility Relation with Jumps in Underlying Asset Prices ,"
Working Papers
1186, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Thomas Busch & Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2005.
"Forecasting Exchange Rate Volatility in the Presence of Jumps ,"
Working Papers
1187, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Morten Ørregaard Nielsen & Per Frederiksen, 2005.
"Finite Sample Comparison of Parametric, Semiparametric, and Wavelet Estimators of Fractional Integration ,"
Working Papers
1189, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Jeremy Berkowitz & Peter Christoffersen & Denis Pelletier, 2005.
"Evaluating Value-at-Risk models with desk-level data ,"
Working Paper Series
010, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2006.
[Downloadable!] Tue Gørgens & Martin Paldam & Allan H. Würtz, 2005.
"Growth, Income and Regulation: a Non-Linear Approach ,"
CAM Working Papers
2005-12, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Centre for Applied Microeconometrics.
[Downloadable!] Olaf, POSCH & Klaus, WAELDE, 2005.
"Natural volatility, welfare and taxation ,"
Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques)
2005009, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2005.
"Variation, jumps, market frictions and high frequency data in financial econometrics ,"
Economics Papers
2005-W16, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard & Matthias Winkel, 2005.
"Limit theorems for multipower variation in the presence of jumps ,"
Economics Papers
2005-W07, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Sven Erik Graversen & Jean Jacod & Neil Shephard, 2005.
"Limit theorems for bipower variation in financial econometrics ,"
Economics Papers
2005-W06, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Sven Erik Graversen & Jean Jacod & Neil Shephard, 2005.
"Limit theorems for bipower variation in financial econometrics ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2005fe09, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Neil Shephard & Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2005.
"Variation, jumps, market frictions and high frequency data in financial econometrics ,"
Economics Series Working Papers
240, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard & Matthias Winkel, 2005.
"Limit theorems for multipower variation in the presence of jumps ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2005fe06, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2005.
"Variation, jumps, market frictions and high frequency data in financial econometrics ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2005fe08, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Lykke E. Andersen & Bent Jesper Christensen & Claudia Delgadillo, 2005.
"Movilidad Laboral en Bolivia: Una Comparación entre Empleados del Sector Público y Privado ,"
Development Research Working Paper Series
01/2005, Institute for Advanced Development Studies.
[Downloadable!] Lykke E. Andersen & Bent Jesper Christensen & Oscar Molina, 2005.
"The Impact of Aid on Recipient Behavior: A Micro-Level Dynamic Analysis of Remittances, Schooling, Work, Consumption, Investment and Social Mobility in Nicaragua ,"
Development Research Working Paper Series
02/2005, Institute for Advanced Development Studies.
[Downloadable!] 2004 Meitz, Mika & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004.
"Evaluating models of autoregressive conditional duration ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
557, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 13 Dec 2004.
[Downloadable!] Timo Teräsvirta & Dick van Dijk & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2004.
"Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A reexamination ,"
Textos para discussão
485, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
[Downloadable!] Teräsvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick & Medeiros, Marcelo, 2004.
"Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
561, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 04 Nov 2004.
Malmsten, Hans & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004.
"Stylized Facts of Financial Time Series and Three Popular Models of Volatility ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
563, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 03 Sep 2004.
[Downloadable!] Timo Terasvirta, 2004.
"A Time Series Model for an Exchange Rate in a Target Zone with Applications ,"
Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings
340, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!] Svend Hylleberg, 2004.
"On the Exploitation of Market Power in the Nordic Electricity Markets. The Case of Elsam ,"
Economics Working Papers
2004-5, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Tim Bollerslev & Michael Gibson & Hao Zhou, 2004.
"Dynamic estimation of volatility risk premia and investor risk aversion from option-implied and realized volatilities ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2004-56, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Jin Wu, 2004.
"Realized Beta: Persistence and Predictability ,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2004/16, Center for Financial Studies.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Clara Vega, 2004.
"Real-Time Price Discovery in Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets ,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2004/19, Center for Financial Studies.
[Downloadable!] Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2004.
"Real Time Econometrics ,"
IZA Discussion Papers
1108, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
[Downloadable!] Pesaran, M. Hashem & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Timmermann, Allan, 2004.
"Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks ,"
IZA Discussion Papers
1196, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
[Downloadable!] M. Hashem Pesaran & Allan Timmermann, 2004.
"Real Time Econometrics ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!] M. Hashem Pesaran & Davide Pettenuzzo & Allan Timmermann, 2004.
"Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!] Allan Timmermann & Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer, 2004.
"Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss? ,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings
601, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!] Pesaran, M.H. & Pettenuzzo, D. & Timmermann, A., 2004.
"‘Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks’ ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0433, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!] Pesaran, M.H. & Timmermann, A., 2004.
"‘Real Time Econometrics’ ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0432, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!] Allan Timmermann & Andrew J. Patton, 2004.
"Properties of Optimal Forecasts ,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings
234, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!] Catão, Luis A. V. & Timmermann, Allan G, 2004.
"Country and Industry Dynamics in Stock Returns ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4368, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Massimo Guidolin, University of Virginia & Allan Timmermann, 2004.
"Strategic Asset Allocation and Consumption Decisions under Multivariate Regime Switching ,"
Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings
349, Econometric Society.
Sandeep Kapur & Allan Timmermann, 2004.
"Relative Performance Evaluation Contracts and Asset Market Equilibrium ,"
Finance
0408001, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Pesaran, M Hashem & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Timmermann, Allan G, 2004.
"Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4636, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Sandeep Kapur & Allan Timmermann, 2004.
"Relative Performance Evaluation Contracts and Asset Market Equilibrium ,"
Finance
0408005, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Elliott, Graham & Timmermann, Allan G, 2004.
"Optimal Forecast Combination Under Regime Switching ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4649, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Guidolin, Massimo & Timmermann, Allan G, 2004.
"Term Structure of Risk Under Alternative Econometric Specifications ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4645, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M Hashem & Timmermann, Allan G, 2004.
"Real Time Econometrics ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4402, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M Hashem & Timmermann, Allan G, 2004.
"Small Sample Properties of Forecasts From Autoregressive Models Under Structural Breaks ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4401, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Asger Lunde & Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2004.
"Realized Variance and IID Market Microstructure Noise ,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings
526, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2004.
"Regular and Modified Kernel-Based Estimators of Integrated Variance: The Case with Independent Noise ,"
Economics Papers
2004-W28, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2004.
"Regular and Modified Kernel-Based Estimators of Integrated Variance: The Case with Independent Noise ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2004fe20, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Michael Jansson & Marcelo J. Moreira, 2004.
"Optimal Inference in Regression Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0303, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Michael Jansson & Marcelo J. Moreira, 2004.
"Optimal Inference in Regression Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors ,"
Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers
2047, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
[Downloadable!] Graham Elliott & Michael Jansson & Elena Pesavento, 2004.
"Optimal Power for Testing Potential Cointegrating Vectors with Known ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
2004-08, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Bunzel, Helle & Qiao, Xue, 2004.
"Endogenous lifetime and economic growth revisited ,"
Staff General Research Papers
12197, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
Helle Bunzel, 2004.
"Fixed Bandwidth Asymptotics in Single Equation Models of Cointegration with an Application to Money Demand ,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings
219, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!] Dennis Kristensen, 2004.
"Estimation in Two Classes of Semiparametric Diffusion Models ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp500, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Dennis Kristensen, 2004.
"A Semiparametric Single-Factor Model of the Term Structure ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp501, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Christos Ntantamis & Theologos Pantelidis & Nikitas Pittis, 2004.
"The Bds Test As A Test For The Adequacy Of A Garch(1,1) Specification: A Monte Carlo Study ,"
Public Policy Discussion Papers
04-14, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!] Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Ntantamis, Christos & Pantelidis, Theologos & Pittis, Nikitas, 2004.
"The BDS Test as a Test for the Adequacy of a GARCH(1,1) Specification. A Monte Carlo Study ,"
Economics Series
156, Institute for Advanced Studies.
[Downloadable!] Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Christos Ntantamis & Theologos Pantelidis & Nikitas Pittis, 2004.
"The Bds Test As A Test For The Adequacy Of A Garch(1,1) Specification: A Monte Carlo Study ,"
Economics and Finance Discussion Papers
04-14, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!] Ole Barndorff-Nielsen & Svend Erik Graversen & Jean Jacod & Mark Podolskij & Neil Shephard, 2004.
"A Central Limit Theorem for Realised Power and Bipower Variations of Continuous Semimartingales ,"
Economics Papers
2004-W29, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole BARNDORFF-NIELSEN & Svend Erik GRAVERSEN & Jean JACOD & Mark PODOLSKIJ & Neil SHEPHARD, 2004.
"A Central Limit Theorem for Realised Power and Bipower Variations of Continuous Semimartingales ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2004fe21, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Morten O. Nielsen, 2004.
"A Regime Switching Long Memory Model for Electricity Prices ,"
Economics Working Papers
2004-2, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Antonio Montañés & Andreu Sansó, 2004.
"Testing for Additive Outliers in Seasonally Integrated Time Series ,"
Economics Working Papers
2004-14, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Jeremy Berkowitz, 2004.
"Martingale Tests of Value-at-Risk ,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings
236, Econometric Society.
Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs & Yintian Wang, 2004.
"Option Valuation with Long-run and Short-run Volatility Components ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2004s-56, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Sílvia Gonçalves, 2004.
"Estimation Risk in Financial Risk Management ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2004s-15, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Stefano Mazzotta, 2004.
"The Informational Content of Over-the-Counter Currency Options ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2004s-16, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2004.
"Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics ,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2004/08, Center for Financial Studies.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Stefano Mazzotta, 2004.
"The information content of over-the-counter currency options ,"
Working Paper Series
366, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!] Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold & Roberto S. Mariano & Anthony S. Tay & Yiu Kuen Tse, 2004.
"Direction-of-Change Forecasts for Asian Equity Markets Based on Conditional Variance, Skewness and Kurtosis Dynamics: Evidence from Hong Kong and Singapore ,"
Working Papers
02-2005, Singapore Management University, School of Economics, revised Jan 2005.
[Downloadable!] Jesper Lund & Torben G. Andersen & Luca Benzoni, 2004.
"Stochastic Volatility, Mean Drift, and Jumps in the Short Rate Diffusion: Sources of Steepness, Level and Curvature ,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings
432, Econometric Society.
Engsted, Tom & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2004.
"Speculative bubbles in stock prices? Tests based on the price-dividend ratio ,"
Finance Working Papers
04-1, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Ole Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2004.
"Multipower Variation and Stochastic Volatility ,"
Economics Papers
2004-W30, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2004.
"Multipower Variation and Stochastic Volatility ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2004fe22, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2004.
"Econometrics of testing for jumps in financial economics using bipower variation ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2004fe01, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2004.
"A feasible central limit theory for realised volatility under leverage ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2004fe03, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2004.
"A Feasible Central Limit Theory for Realised Volatility Under Leverage ,"
Economics Papers
2004-W03, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Christensen, Bent Jesper & Raahauge, Peter, 2004.
"Latent Utility Shocks in a Structural Empirical Asset Pricing Model ,"
Working Papers
2004-7, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Finance.
[Downloadable!] 2003 Søren Johansen and Anders Rygh Swensen, 2003.
"More on Testing Exact Rational Expectations in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models: Restricted Drift Terms ,"
Discussion Papers
348, Research Department of Statistics Norway.
[Downloadable!] Timo Terasvirta & Clive W.J Granger & Andrew Patton, 2003.
"Common factors in conditional distributions for Bivariate time series ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp455, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2003.
"A time series model for an exchange rate in a target zone with applications ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
533, Stockholm School of Economics.
Eklund, Bruno & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2003.
"Testing constancy of the error covariance matrix in vector models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
549, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 18 Jan 2006.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold,, 2003.
"Some Like it Smooth, and Some Like it Rough: Untangling Continuous and Jump Components in Measuring, Modeling, and Forecasting Asset Return Volatility ,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2003/35, Center for Financial Studies.
[Downloadable!] Tim Bollerslev & Hao Zhou, 2003.
"Volatility puzzles: a unified framework for gauging return-volatility regressions ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2003-40, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Jin Wu, 2003.
"Realized Beta: Persistence and Predictability ,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
04-018, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 01 Mar 2004.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Clara Vega, 2003.
"Real-Time Price Discovery in Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets ,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
04-028, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 28 Jun 2004.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2003.
"Some Like it Smooth, and Some Like it Rough: Untangling Continuous and Jump Components in Measuring, Modeling, and Forecasting Asset Return Volatility ,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
03-025, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 01 Sep 2003.
[Downloadable!] Pesaran, H.M. & Timmermann, A., 2003.
"How Costly is it to Ignore Breaks when Forecasting the Direction of a Time Series? ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0306, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!] Allan Timmermann & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2003.
"How Costly is it to Ignore Breaks when Forecasting the Direction of a Time Series? ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!] Guidolin, Massimo & Allan Timmermann, 2003.
"Economic Implications of Bull and Bear Regimes in UK Stock Returns ,"
Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003
95, Royal Economic Society.
[Downloadable!] Patton, Andrew J & Timmermann, Allan G, 2003.
"Properties of Optimal Forecasts ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4037, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Lunde, Asger & Timmermann, Allan G, 2003.
"Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4104, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Timmermann & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2003.
"Small Sample Properties of Forecasts from Autoregressive Models under Structural Breaks ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!] Elliott, Graham & Komunjer, Ivana & Timmermann, Allan G, 2003.
"Estimating Loss Function Parameters ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3821, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M.H. & Timmermann, A., 2003.
"Small Sample Properties of Forecasts from Autoregressive Models under Structural Breaks ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0331, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!] Kapur, Sandeep & Timmermann, Allan G, 2003.
"Relative Performance Evaluation Contracts and Asset Market Equilibrium ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4038, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2003.
"Consistent Preordering with an Estimated Criterion Function, with an Application to the Evaluation and Comparison of Volatility Models ,"
Working Papers
2003-01, Brown University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Peter Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2003.
"Testing the Significance of Calendar Effects ,"
Working Papers
2003-03, Brown University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Peter Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2003.
"Choosing the Best Volatility Models:The Model Confidence Set Approach ,"
Working Papers
2003-05, Brown University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Peter Hansen, 2003.
"Asymptotic Tests of Composite Hypotheses ,"
Working Papers
2003-09, Brown University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2003.
"Choosing the best volatility models: the model confidence set approach ,"
Working Paper
2003-28, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
[Downloadable!] Asger Lunde & Esben Hoeg, 2003.
"Wavelet Estimation of Integrated Volatility ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2003
274, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!] Graham Elliott & Michael Jansson & Elena Pesavento, 2003.
"Optimal Power For Testing Potential Cointegrating Vectors with Known Parameters for Nonstationarity ,"
Emory Economics
0303, Department of Economics, Emory University (Atlanta).
[Downloadable!] Bhattacharya, Joydeep & Bunzel, Helle, 2003.
"Dynamics of the planning solution in the discrete−time textbook model of labor market search and matching ,"
Staff General Research Papers
10253, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
Bunzel, Helle & Marcoul, Philippe, 2003.
"Can Racially Unbiased Police Perpetuate Long-Run Discrimination? ,"
Staff General Research Papers
10200, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Bunzel, Helle, 2003.
"Fixed-b Asymptotics in Single Equation Cointegration Models with Endogenous Regressors ,"
Staff General Research Papers
10685, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
Bunzel, Helle & Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2003.
"Powerful Trend Function Tests That are Robust to Strong Serial Correlation with an Application to the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis ,"
Staff General Research Papers
10353, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
Bhattacharya, Joydeep & Bunzel, Helle & Haslag, J., 2003.
"The Non-Monotonic Relationship Between Seigniorage and Inequality ,"
Staff General Research Papers
10252, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Bunzel, H & Marcoul, P., 2003.
"Can racially unbiased police perpetuate long-run discrimination? ,"
Discussion Paper
16, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
[Downloadable!] Helle Bunzel & Timothy Vogelsang, 2003.
"Powerful Trend Function Tests That are Robust to Strong Serial Correlation with an Application to the Prebisch Singer Hypothesis ,"
Econometrics
0304002, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Richard Blundell & Xiaohong Chen & Dennis Kristensen, 2003.
"Nonparametric IV estimation of shape-invariant Engel curves ,"
CeMMAP working papers
CWP15/03, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte, 2003.
"Multivariate Term Structure Models with Level and Heteroskedasticity Effects ,"
Finance Working Papers
02-19, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte, 2003.
"Volatility-Spillover E ffects in European Bond Markets ,"
Finance Working Papers
03-8, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte & Engsted, Tom & Jakobsen, Svend & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2003.
"Denmark - A chapter on the Danish Bond Market ,"
Finance Working Papers
03-3, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte & Nielsen, Helena Skyt, 2003.
"The Educational Asset Market: A Finance Perspective on Human Capital Investment ,"
Finance Working Papers
02-9, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte & Engsted, Tom & Jakobsen, Svend & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2003.
"An Empirical Study of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Denmark, 1993 – 2002 ,"
Finance Working Papers
03-2, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Boriss Siliverstovs & Tom Engsted & Niels Haldrup, 2003.
"Long-Run Forecasting in Multicointegrated Systems ,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
381, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
[Downloadable!] Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2003.
"Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics ,"
NBER Working Papers
10009, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X.Diebold, 2003.
"Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics ,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
04-009, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Hyunchul Chung & Vihang Errunza, 2003.
"Size Matters: The Impact of Capital Market Liberalization on Individual Firms ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2003s-13, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Marcel Boyer & Peter Christoffersen & Pierre Lasserre & Andrey Pavlov, 2003.
"Value creation, risk management, and real options ,"
CIRANO Burgundy Reports
2003rb-02, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Steve Heston & Kris Jacobs, 2003.
"Option Valuation with Conditional Skewness ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2003s-50, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs, 2003.
"The Importance of the Loss Function in Option Valuation ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2003s-52, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Denis Pelletier, 2003.
"Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Duration-Based Approach ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2003s-05, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Andrey Pavlov, 2003.
"Company Flexibility, the Value of Management and Managerial Compensation ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2003s-06, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Marcel Boyer & Peter Christoffersen & Pierre Lasserre & Andrey Pavlov, 2003.
"Création de valeur, gestion de risque et options réelles ,"
CIRANO Burgundy Reports
2003rb-01, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Kræn Blume Jensen & Mette Ejrnæs & Helena Skyt Nielsen & Allan Würtz, 2003.
"Self-Employment among Immigrants: A Last Resort? ,"
CAM Working Papers
2003-08, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Centre for Applied Microeconometrics.
[Downloadable!] Engsted, Tom, 2003.
"Aktiemarkedet ,"
Finance Working Papers
02-8, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
Belter, Klaus & Engsted, Tom & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2003.
"A New Daily Dividend-adjusted Index for the Danish Stock Market, 1985-2002: Construction, Statistical Properties, and Return Predictability ,"
Finance Working Papers
03-1, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2003.
"Power and bipower variation with stochastic volatility and jumps ,"
Economics Papers
2003-W17, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Svend Erik Graversen & Neil Shephard, 2003.
"Power variation & stochastic volatility: a review and some new results ,"
Economics Papers
2003-W19, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2003.
"Impact of jumps on returns and realised variances: econometric analysis of time-deformed Levy processes ,"
Economics Papers
2003-W12, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2003.
"Econometrics of testing for jumps in financial economics using bipower variation ,"
Economics Papers
2003-W21, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Rasmus Lentz & Dale T. Mortensen & George R. Neumann & Axel Werwatz, 2003.
"On the Job Search and the Wage Distribution ,"
CAM Working Papers
2004-09, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Centre for Applied Microeconometrics.
[Downloadable!] 2002 He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo & González, Andres, 2002.
"Testing parameter constancy in stationary vector autoregressive models against continuous change ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
507, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 06 May 2004.
Medeiros, Marcelo C. & Teräsvirta, Timo & Rech, Gianluigi, 2002.
"Building neural network models for time series: A statistical approach ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
508, Stockholm School of Economics.
[Downloadable!] He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2002.
"An Extended Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH Model and Its Fourth-Moment Structure ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
509, Stockholm School of Economics.
Granger, Clive W.J. & Teräsvirta, Timo & Patton, Andrew J., 2002.
"Common factors in conditional distributions ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
515, Stockholm School of Economics.
He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2002.
"An application of the analogy between vector ARCH and vector random coefficient autoregressive models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
516, Stockholm School of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Eliasson, Ann-Charlotte & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2002.
"Error correction in DHSY ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
517, Stockholm School of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Marcelo C. Medeiros & Timo Terasvirta & Gianluigi Rech, 2002.
"Building Neural Network Models for Time Series: A Statistical Approach ,"
Textos para discussão
461, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
[Downloadable!] Clive Granger & Timo Teräsvirta & Andrew Patton, 2002.
"Common Factors in Conditional Distributions ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
2002-19, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Nour Meddahi, 2002.
"Analytic Evaluation of Volatility Forecasts ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2002s-90, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Nour Meddahi, 2002.
"Correcting the Errors: A Note on Volatility Forecast Evaluation Based on High-Frequency Data and Realized Volatilities ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2002s-91, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Diebold, Francis X. & Vega, Clara, 2002.
"Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange ,"
Working Papers
02-16, Duke University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2002.
"Parametric and Nonparametric Volatility Measurement ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0279, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Clara Vega, 2002.
"Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange ,"
NBER Working Papers
8959, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Clara Vega, 2002.
"Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange? ,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
02-23, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2002.
"Parametric and Nonparametric Volatility Measurement ,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
02-27, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Anderson, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Diebold, Francis X. & Labys, Paul, 2002.
"Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility ,"
Working Papers
02-12, Duke University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] ANDERSEN, Torben G. & BOLLERSLEV, Tim & MEDDAHI, Nour, 2002.
"Correcting the Errors : A Note on Volatility Forecast Evaluation Based on High-Frequency Data and Realized Volatilities ,"
Cahiers de recherche
2002-21, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
[Downloadable!] Andersen, T.G. & Bollerslev, T. & Meddahi, N., 2002.
"Correcting the Errors : A Note on Volatility Forecast Evaluation Based on High-Frequency Data and Realized Volatilities ,"
Cahiers de recherche
21-2002, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
[Downloadable!] Anderson, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Diebold, Francis X. & Vega, Clara, 2002.
"Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange ,"
Working Papers
02-1, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
[Downloadable!] Blake, David & Timmermann, Allan G, 2002.
"International Asset Allocation with Time-Varying Investment Opportunities ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3464, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Granger, Clive & Timmermann, Allan G, 2002.
"Efficient Market Hypothesis and Forecasting ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3593, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bruce N. Lehmann & Allan Timmermann, 2002.
"(UBS Pensions Series 3) Performance Clustering and Incentives in the UK Pension Fund Industry ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp425, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Timmermann & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2002.
"Market Timing and Return Prediction under Model Instability ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp412, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Timmermann, 2002.
"(UBS Pensions Series 4) Returns from Active Management in International Equity Markets; Evidence from a Panel of UK Pension Funds ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp426, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Timmermann, 2002.
"(UBS Pensions Series 2) International Asset Allocation with Time-Varying Investment Opportunities ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp424, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Hansen, 2002.
"Generalized Reduced Rank Regression ,"
Working Papers
2002-02, Brown University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Peter Hansen, 2002.
"On the Estimation of Reduced Rank Regressions ,"
Working Papers
2002-08, Brown University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Graham Elliott & Michael Jansson, 2002.
"Testing for Unit Roots with Stationary Covariates ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
2000-06r, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte & Lund, Jesper, 2002.
"Revisiting the shape of the yield curve: the effect of interest rate volatility ,"
Finance Working Papers
02-3, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte & Nielsen, Helena Skyt, 2002.
"The Educational Asset Market: A Finance Perspective on Human Capital Investment ,"
Working Papers
02-10, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte, 2002.
"Regime Switching in the Yield Curve ,"
Finance Working Papers
02-13, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Siliverstovs, Boriss & Engsted, Tom & Haldrup, Niels, 2002.
"Long-Run Forecasting in Multicointegrated Systems ,"
Finance Working Papers
02-14, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs, 2002.
"Which Volatility Model for Option Valuation? ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2002s-33, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2002.
"Financial Asset Returns, Market Timing, and Volatility Dynamics ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2002s-02, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] N.E. Savin & Allan H. Würtz, 2002.
"Testing the Semiparametric Box-Cox Model with Bootstrap ,"
CAM Working Papers
2002-08, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Centre for Applied Microeconometrics.
[Downloadable!] Engsted, Tom, 2002.
"Misspecification versus bubbles in hyperinflation data: Comment ,"
Finance Working Papers
02-2, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Engsted, Tom & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2002.
"The comovement of US and UK stock markets ,"
Finance Working Papers
02-1, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Bent Nielsen & Neil Shephard & Carla Ysusi, 2002.
"Measuring and forecasting financial variability using realised variance with and without a model ,"
Economics Papers
2002-W21, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2002.
"Power Variation and Time Change ,"
Economics Papers
2002-W24, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2002.
"Econometric analysis of realised covariation: high frequency covariance, regression and correlation in financial economics ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2002fe03, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] 2001 Soren JOHANSEN, 2001.
"The Asymptotic Variance of the Estimated Roots in a Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Model ,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2001/01, European University Institute.
[Downloadable!] Soren Johansen & Katarina Juselius, 2001.
"Controlling Inflation in a Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Model with an Application to US Data ,"
Discussion Papers
01-03, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Soren JOHANSEN & Katarina JUSELIUS, 2001.
"Controlling Inflation in a Cointergrated Vector Autoregressive Model with an Application to US Data ,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2001/02, European University Institute.
[Downloadable!] D. Van Dijk & D. Strikholm & T. Terasvirta, 2001.
"The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctiations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series ,"
Econometric Institute Report
220, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!] van Dijk, Dick & Strikholm, Birgit & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2001.
"The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctuations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
0429, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 16 May 2002.
[Downloadable!] Marcelo C. Medeiros & Timo Terasvirta, 2001.
"Statistical methods for modelling neural networks ,"
Textos para discussão
445, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
[Downloadable!] Dijk, D.J.C. van & Strikholm, B. & Terasvirta, T., 2001.
"The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctiations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series ,"
Econometric Institute Report
EI 2001-12 Revision_Date:, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!] Tim Bollerslev & Hao Zhou, 2001.
"Estimating stochastic volatility diffusion using conditional moments of integrated volatility ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2001-49, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2001.
"Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility ,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
01-01, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2001.
"Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility ,"
NBER Working Papers
8160, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Timmerman & Massimo Guidolin, 2001.
"Option prices and implied volatility dynamics under Bayesian learning ,"
CeNDEF Workshop Papers, January 2001
P3, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
Guidolin, Massimo & Timmermann, Allan G, 2001.
"Option Prices under Bayesian Learning: Implied Volatility Dynamics and Predictive Densities ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3005, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Sullivan, Ryan & Timmermann, Allan G & White, Halbert, 2001.
"Forecast Evaluation with Shared Data Sets ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3060, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Perez-Quiros, G. & Timmermann, A., 2001.
"Business Cycle Asymmetries in Stock Returns: Evidence from Higher Order Moments and Conditional Densities ,"
Papers
58, Quebec a Montreal - Recherche en gestion.
Gabriel Perez-Quiros & Allan G. Timmermann, 2001.
"Business cycle asymmetries in stock returns: evidence from higher order moments and conditional densities ,"
Working Paper Series
058, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!] Allan Timmermann & Massimo Guidolin, 2001.
"Option Prices under Bayesian Learning: Implied Volatility Dynamics and Predictive Densities ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp397, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Asger Lunde & Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2001.
"A Forecast Comparison of Volatility Models: Does Anything Beat a GARCH(1,1)? ,"
Working Papers
2001-04, Brown University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2001.
"An Unbiased and Powerful Test for Superior Predictive Ability ,"
Working Papers
2001-06, Brown University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Dahl, Christian M. & Nielsen, Steen, 2001.
"The Random Walk Of Stock Prices: Implications Of Recent Nonpara-Metric Tests ,"
Working Papers
07-2001, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte, 2001.
"Long Maturity Forward Rates ,"
Finance Working Papers
01-12, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Marcel Boyer & Peter Christoffersen & Pierre Lasserre & Andrey Pavlov, 2001.
"Value Creation through Real Options Management ,"
CIRANO Project Reports
2001rp-04, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Jinyong Hahn & Atsushi Inoue, 2001.
"Testing and Comparing Value-at-Risk Measures ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2001s-03, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Eric Ghysels & Norman R. Swanson, 2001.
"Let's Get "Real" about Using Economic Data ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2001s-44, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs, 2001.
"The Importance of the Loss Function in Option Pricing ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2001s-45, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Savin, N.E. & Wurtz, Allan H., 2001.
"Semiparametric Estimation of the Box-Cox Model Preliminary and Incomplete ,"
Working Papers
2001-01, University of Iowa, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Luca Benzoni & Jesper Lund, 2001.
"An Empirical Investigation of Continuous-Time Equity Return Models ,"
NBER Working Papers
8510, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2001.
"A New Test for Speculative Bubbles Based on Return Variance Decompositions ,"
Finance Working Papers
01-9, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Neil Shephard & Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2001.
"Normal Modified Stable Processes ,"
Economics Series Working Papers
072, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001.
"Normal modified stable processes ,"
Economics Papers
2001-W6, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001.
"How accurate is the asymptotic approximation to the distribution of realised volatility? ,"
Economics Papers
2001-W16, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001.
"Integrated OU Processes ,"
Economics Papers
2001-W1, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001.
"Estimating quadratic variation using realised volatility ,"
Economics Papers
2001-W20, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, revised 01 Nov 2001.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001.
"Higher order variation and stochastic volatility models ,"
Economics Papers
2001-W8, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001.
"Realised power variation and stochastic volatility models ,"
Economics Papers
2001-W18, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] Neil Shephard & Ole Barndorff-Nielsen, 2001.
"Econometric Analysis of Realised Volatility and Its Use in Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models ,"
Economics Series Working Papers
071, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001.
"Econometric Analysis of Realised Covariation: High Frequency Covariance, Regression and Correlation in Financial Economics ,"
Economics Papers
2002-W13, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, revised 18 Mar 2002.
[Downloadable!] Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Elisa Nicolato & Neil Shephard, 2001.
"Some recent developments in stochastic volatility modelling ,"
Economics Papers
2001-W25, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!] 2000 Johansen, S., 2000.
"A Small Sample Correction of the Test for Cointegrating Rank in the Vector Autoregressive Model ,"
Economics Working Papers
eco2000/15, European University Institute.
D. van Dijk & T. Terasvirta & P.H. Franses, 2000.
"Smooth transition autoregressive models - A survey of recent developments ,"
Econometric Institute Report
200, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!] Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick, 2000.
"Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
376, Stockholm School of Economics.
van Dijk, Dick & Teräsvirta, Timo & Franses, Philip Hans, 2000.
"Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models - A Survey of Recent Developments ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
380, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 17 Jan 2001.
[Downloadable!] Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2000.
"Forecasting with smooth transition autoregressive models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
390, Stockholm School of Economics.
Dijk, D.J.C. van & Terasvirta, T. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2000.
"Smooth transition autoregressive models - A survey of recent developments ,"
Econometric Institute Report
EI 2000-23/A Revision_Dat, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2000.
"Exchange Rate Returns Standardized by Realized Volatility are (Nearly) Gaussian ,"
NBER Working Papers
7488, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Heiko Ebens, 2000.
"The Distribution of Stock Return Volatility ,"
NBER Working Papers
7933, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Heiko Ebens, 2000.
"The Distribution of Stock Return Volatility ,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
00-27, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Massimo Guidolin & Allan Timmermann, 2000.
"Implied Learning Paths from Option Prices ,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
0447, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!] Asger Lunde & Allan Timmermann, 2000.
"Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets ,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
1216, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!] Allan Timmermann & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2000.
"Business Cycle Asymmetries in Stock Returns: Evidence from Higher Order Moments and Conditional Densities ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp360, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2000.
"Structural Changes in the Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Model ,"
Working Papers
2000-20, Brown University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2000.
"Structural Breaks in the Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Model ,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
1240, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!] Peter Hansen, 2000.
"The Johansen-Granger Representation Theorem: An Explicit Expression for I(1) Processes ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
2000-17, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Michael Jansson & Niels Haldrup, 2000.
"Spurious Regression, Cointegration, and Near Cointegration: A Unifying Approach ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
2000-14, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Graham Elliott & Michael Jansson, 2000.
"Testing for Unit Roots with Stationary Covariances ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
2000-06, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte & Strunk Hansen, Charlotte, 2000.
"Implied Volatility of Interest Rate Options: An Empirical Investigation of the Market Model ,"
Finance Working Papers
00-1, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
Christiansen, Charlotte, 2000.
"Credit Spreads and the Term Structure of Interest Rates ,"
Finance Working Papers
00-14, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Peter Lildholdt, 2000.
"Local Power Functions of Tests for Double Unit Roots ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
2000-12, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Niel Haldrup & Antonio MontanŽs & Andreu Sanso, 2000.
"Measurement Errors and Outliers in Seasonal Unit Root Testing ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
2000-15, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Peter Lildholdt, 2000.
"On the Robustness of Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Double Unit Roots ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
2000-13, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Eric Ghysels & Norman Swanson, 2000.
"Let's Get "Real" About Using Economic Data ,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
1004, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!] Torsten Sløk & Peter F. Christoffersen, 2000.
"Do Asset Prices in Transition Countries Contain Information About Future Economic Activity? ,"
IMF Working Papers
00/103, International Monetary Fund.
Engsted, Tom, 2000.
"Measuring Noise in the Permanent Income Hypothesis ,"
Finance Working Papers
00-8, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Engsted, Tom & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2000.
"The Relation Between Asset Returns and Inflation at Short and Long Horizons ,"
Finance Working Papers
00-9, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Engsted, Tom & Mammen, Enno & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2000.
"Evaluating the C-CAPM and the Equity Premium Puzzle at Short and Long Horizons: A Markovian Bootstrap Approach ,"
Finance Working Papers
00-10, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!] Ole Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2000.
"Non-Gaussian OU based models and some of their uses in financial economics ,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2000mf01, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E. & Shepard, N., 2000.
"Non-Gaussian OU Based Models and Some of their Uses in Financial Economics and Modelling by Levy Processes for Financial Econometrics ,"
Economics Papers
1999-w9/2000-w3, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2000.
"Econometric analysis of realised volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models ,"
Economics Papers
2001-W4, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, revised 05 Jul 2001.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Nicholas Kiefer, 2000.
"Panel Data, Local Cuts, and Orthogeodesic Models ,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
1108, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!] 1999 Johansen, S., 1999.
"A Small Sample Correction for Tests of Hypotheses on the Cointegrating Vectors ,"
Economics Working Papers
eco99/9, European University Institute.
Johansen, S., 1999.
"A Bartlett Correction Factor for Tests on the Cointegrating Relations ,"
Economics Working Papers
eco99/10, European University Institute.
Stefan Lundbergh & Timo Teräsvirta, 1999.
"Evaluating GARCH Models ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
99-008/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!] Stefan Lundbergh & Timo Teräsvirta, 1999.
"Modelling Economic High-Frequency Time Series ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
99-009/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!] Peguin-Feissolle, A. & Terasvirta, T., 1999.
"A General Framework for Testing the Granger Noncausality Hypothesis ,"
G.R.E.Q.A.M.
99a42, Universite Aix-Marseille III.
Rech, Gianluigi & Teräsvirta, Timo & Tschernig, Rolf, 1999.
"A simple variable selection technique for nonlinear models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
296, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 06 Apr 2000.
He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1999.
"Higher-order dependence in the general Power ARCH process and a special case ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
315, Stockholm School of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Persson, Anna & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1999.
"The Net Barter Terms Of Trade : A Smooth Transition Approach ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
335, Stockholm School of Economics.
Péguin-Feissolle, Anne & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1999.
"A general framework for testing the Granger noncausality hypothesis ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
343, Stockholm School of Economics.
[Downloadable!] He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo & Malmsten, Hans, 1999.
"Fourth Moment Structure of a Family of First-Order Exponential GARCH Models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
345, Stockholm School of Economics.
C. He & Timo Terasvirta & H. Malmsten, 1999.
"Fourth Moment Structure of a Family of First-Order Exponential GARCH Models ,"
Research Paper Series
29, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
Jonathan H. Wright & Tim Bollerslev, 1999.
"High frequency data, frequency domain inference and volatility forecasting ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
649, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 1999.
"The Distribution of Exchange Rate Volatility ,"
New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires
99-059, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 1999.
"Exchange Rate Returns Standardized by Realized Volatility are (Nearly) Gaussian ,"
New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires
99-060, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 1999.
"(Understanding, Optimizing, Using and Forecasting) Realized Volatility and Correlation ,"
New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires
99-061, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
[Downloadable!] Torben Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 1999.
"The Distribution of Exchange Rate Volatility ,"
NBER Working Papers
6961, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 1999.
"The Distribution of Exchange Rate Volatility ,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
99-08, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 1999.
"Exchange Rate Returns Standardized by Realized Volatility Are (Nearly) Gaussian ,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
00-29, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] M. Hashem Pesaran & Allan Timmermann, 1999.
"Model Instability and Choice of Observation Window ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
99-19, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Allan Timmermann & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 1999.
"Firm Size and Cyclical Variations in Stock Returns ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp335, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Timmermann & M. Hashem Pesaran, 1999.
"A Recursive Modelling Approach to Predicting UK Stock Returns ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp322, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Timmermann, 1999.
"Moments of Markov Switching Models ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp323, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Niels Haldrup & Michael Jansson, 1999.
"Spurious Regression, Cointegration, and Near Cointegration: A Unifying Approach ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
99-005/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!] Hell Bunzel & Nicholas M. Kiefer & Timothy J. Vogelsang, 1999.
"Simple Robust Testing of Hypotheses in Non-Linear Models ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
99-017/4, Tinbergen Institute.
Peter Christoffersen & Jinyong Hahn & Atsushi Inoue, 1999.
"Testing, Comparing, and Combining Value at Risk Measures ,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
99-44, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Robert F. Westcott & Peter F. Christoffersen, 1999.
"Is Poland Ready for Inflation Targeting? ,"
IMF Working Papers
99/41, International Monetary Fund.
Lorenzo Giorgiani & Peter F. Christoffersen, 1999.
"Interest Rate Arbitrage in Currency Baskets--Forecasting Weights and Measuring Risk ,"
IMF Working Papers
99/16, International Monetary Fund.
Bentzen, J. & Engsted, T., 1999.
"A Revival of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model in Estimating Energy Demand Relationships ,"
Papers
99-7, Aarhus School of Business - Department of Economics.
An, M.Y. & Christensen, B.J. & Gupta, N.D., 1999.
"A Bivariate Duration Model of the Joint Retirement Decisions of Married Couples ,"
Papers
99-10, Centre for Labour Market and Social Research, Danmark-.
Christensen, B.J. & Jensen, P. & Nielsen, M.S. & Poulsen, K. & Rosholm, M., 1999.
"The Equilibrium Search Model with Productivity Dispersion and Structural Unemployment: an Application to Danish Data ,"
Papers
99-12, Centre for Labour Market and Social Research, Danmark-.
Bunzel, H. & Christensen, B.J. & Kiefer, N.M. & Korsholm, L., 1999.
"Equilibrium Search with Human Capital Accumulation ,"
Papers
99-11, Centre for Labour Market and Social Research, Danmark-.
Christensen, B.J. & Gupta, N.D., 1999.
"The Effects of Pension System on Retirement and Government Finances: Predictions Using Danish Data on Married Couples ,"
Papers
99-1, Aarhus School of Business - Department of Economics.
1998 Granger, Clive W.J. & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998.
"A simple nonlinear time series model with misleading linear properties ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
237, Stockholm School of Economics.
Skalin, Joakim & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998.
"Modelling asymmetries and moving equilibria in unemployment rates ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
262, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 05 Oct 1998.
Hall, Anthony D. & Skalin, Joakim & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998.
"A nonlinear time series model of El Niño ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
263, Stockholm School of Economics.
Teräsvirta, Timo & Eliasson, Ann-Charlotte, 1998.
"Nonlinear error-correction and the UK demand for broad money, 1878-1993 ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
265, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 30 Nov 1998.
Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998.
"Modelling economic high-frequency time series with STAR-STGARCH models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
291, Stockholm School of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998.
"Evaluating GARCH models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
292, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 03 May 1999.
Torben G. Anderson & Tim Bollerslev & Ashish Das, 1998.
"Testing for Market Microstructure Effects in Intraday Volatility: A Reassessment of the Tokyo FX Experiment ,"
NBER Working Papers
6666, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Asger Lunde & Allan Timmermann & David Blake, 1998.
"The Hazards of Mutual Fund Underperformance: A Cox Regression Analysis ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
98-11, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Ryan Sullivan & Allan Timmermann & Halbert White, 1998.
"Dangers of Data-Driven Inference: The Case of Calendar Effects in Stock Returns ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
98-16, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Sullivan, Ryan & Timmermann, Allan G & White, Halbert, 1998.
"Data-Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance and the Bootstrap ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
1976, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Timmermann & Halbert White & Ryan Sullivan, 1998.
"The Dangers of Data-Driven Inference: The Case of Calendar Effects in Stock Returns ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp304, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Timmermann & Halbert White & Ryan Sullivan, 1998.
"Data-Snooping, Technical Trading, Rule Performance and the Bootstrap ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp303, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Timmermann & Asger Lunde, 1998.
"The Hazards of Mutual Fund Underperformance: A Cox Regression Analysis ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp302, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Timmermann, 1998.
"Structural Breaks, Incomplete Information and Stock Prices ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp311, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Robert F. Engle & Asger Lunde, 1998.
"Trades and Quotes: A Bivariate Point Process ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
98-07, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1998.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management? ,"
NBER Working Papers
6844, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1998.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management? ,"
New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires
98-080, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
[Downloadable!] Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold & Til Schuermann, 1998.
"Horizon Problems and Extreme Events in Financial Risk Management ,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
98-16, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Peter Doyle & Peter F. Christoffersen, 1998.
"From Inflation to Growth - Eight Years of Transition ,"
IMF Working Papers
98/100, International Monetary Fund.
An, M.Y. & Christensen, B.J. & Kiefer, N.M., 1998.
"Approximate Distributions in Essentially Linear Models ,"
Papers
98-08, Centre for Labour Market and Social Research, Danmark-.
An, Mark Y. & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Kiefer, Nicholas M., 1998.
"Approximate Distributions in Essentially Linear Models ,"
Working Papers
98-10, Duke University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] 1997 Johansen, S. & Schaumburg, E., 1997.
"Likelihood Analysis of Seasonal Cointegration ,"
Economics Working Papers
eco97/16, European University Institute.
Johansen, S., 1997.
"Mathematical and Statistical Modelling of Cointegration ,"
Economics Working Papers
eco97/14, European University Institute.
Engsted, T. & Johansen, S., 1997.
"Granger's Representation Theorem and Multicointegration ,"
Economics Working Papers
eco97/15, European University Institute.
He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997.
"Fourth Moment Structure of the GARCH (p, q) Process ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
168, Stockholm School of Economics.
He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997.
"Properties of the Autocorrelation Function of Squared Observations for Second Order GARCH Processes under Two Sets of Parameter Constraints ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
169, Stockholm School of Economics.
He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997.
"Properties of Moments of a Family of GARCH Processes ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
198, Stockholm School of Economics.
He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997.
"Statistical Properties of the Asymmetric Power ARCH Process ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
199, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 30 Sep 1997.
Brännäs, Kurt & de Gooijer, Jan G. & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1997.
"Testing Linearity against Nonlinear Moving Average Models ,"
Umeå Economic Studies
405, Umeå University, Department of Economics.
Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev, 1997.
"Answering the Critics: Yes, ARCH Models Do Provide Good Volatility Forecasts ,"
NBER Working Papers
6023, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ryan Sullivan & Allan Timmermann & Halbert White, 1997.
"Data-Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
97-31, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Blake, David & Lehmann, Bruce N & Timmermann, Allan G, 1997.
"Performance Measurement using Multiple Asset Class Portfolio Data ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
1618, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0217, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management? ,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
97-45, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"Optimal prediction under asymmetric loss ,"
Working Papers
97-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!] Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"Cointegration and long-horizon forecasting ,"
Working Papers
97-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!] Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting ,"
IMF Working Papers
97/61, International Monetary Fund.
Engsted, T & Bentzen, J, 1997.
"Dynamic Modelling of Energy Demand : A Guided Tour Through the Jungle of Unit Roots and Cointegration ,"
Papers
97-6, Aarhus School of Business - Department of Economics.
Björk, Tomas & Christensen, Bent Jesper, 1997.
"Interest Rate Dynamics and Consistent Forward Rate Curves ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
209, Stockholm School of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Christensen, B.J. & Kiefer, N.M., 1997.
"Panel Data, Local Cuts, and Orthogeodesic Models ,"
Papers
97-13, Centre for Labour Market and Social Research, Danmark-.
1996 Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996.
"Power Properties of Linearity Tests for Time Series ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
94, Stockholm School of Economics.
Brännäs, Kurt & Gooijer, Jan G. de & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996.
"Testing Linearity against Nonlinear Moving Average Models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
95, Stockholm School of Economics.
Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996.
"Two Stylized Facts and the Garch (1,1) Model ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
96, Stockholm School of Economics.
Wolters, Jürgen & Teräsvirta, Timo & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 1996.
"Modelling the Demand for M3 in the unified Germany ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
113, Stockholm School of Economics.
Rydén, Tobias & Teräsvirta, Timo & Åsbrink, Stefan, 1996.
"Stylized Facts of Daily Return Series and the Hidden Markov Model ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
117, Stockholm School of Economics.
Skalin, Joakim & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996.
"Another Look at Swedish Business Cycles, 1861-1988 ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
130, Stockholm School of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996.
"Modelling Economic Relationships with Smooth Transition Regressions ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
131, Stockholm School of Economics.
Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996.
"Smooth Transition Models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
132, Stockholm School of Economics.
Robert F. Engle & Svend Hylleberg, 1996.
"Common Seasonal Features: Global Unemployment ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
96-32, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Hylleberg, S. & Pagan, A.R., 1996.
"Seasonal Integration and the Evolving Seasonals Models ,"
Economics Working Papers
1996-14, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev, 1996.
"Heterogeneous Information Arrivals and Return Volatility Dynamics: Uncovering the Long-Run in High Frequency Returns ,"
NBER Working Papers
5752, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev, 1996.
"DM-Dollar Volatility: Intraday Activity Patterns, Macroeconomic Announcements, and Longer Run Dependencies ,"
NBER Working Papers
5783, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M. H. & Timmermann, A., 1996.
"A Recursive Modelling Approach to Predicting UK Stock Returns' ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
9625, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
Gabriel Perez-Quiros & Allan Timmermann, 1996.
"On Business Cycle Variation in the Mean, Volatility and Conditional Distribution of Stock Returns ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
96-13, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Allan Timmermann, 1996.
"Excess Volatility and Predictability of Stock Prices in Autoregressive Dividend Models with Learning ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
96-14, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Boswijk,P. & Franses,P.H. & Haldrup,N., 1996.
"Multiple Unit Roots in Periodic Autoregression ,"
Economics Working Papers
1996-2, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Granger,C.W.J. & Haldrup,N., 1996.
"Separation in Cointegrated Systems,Long Memory Components and Common Stochastic Trends ,"
Economics Working Papers
1996-3, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Engsted,T. & Haldrup,N., 1996.
"Estimating the LQAC model with I(2) Variables ,"
Economics Working Papers
1996-1, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
N.E. Savin & Allan Wurtz, 1996.
"The Effect of Nuisance Parameters on the Power of LM Tests in Logit and Probit Models ,"
Econometrics
9606002, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Savin, N.E. & Wurtz, A., 1996.
"The Effect of Nuisance Parameters on the Power of LM Tests in Logit and Probit Models ,"
Working Papers
96-05, University of Iowa, Department of Economics.
N.E. Savin & Allan Wurtz, 1996.
"Power of Tests in Binary Response Models ,"
Econometrics
9606001, EconWPA, revised 05 Jul 1996.
[Downloadable!] Savin, N.E. & Wurtz, A., 1996.
"Power of tests in Binary Response Models ,"
Working Papers
96-06, University of Iowa, Department of Economics.
1995 Jansen, Eilev S. & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1995.
"Testing Parameter Constancy and super Exogeneity in Econometric Equations ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
53, Stockholm School of Economics.
Lin, Chien-Fu & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1995.
"Testing Parameter Constancy in Linear Models against Stochastic Stationary Parameters ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
54, Stockholm School of Economics.
Eitrheim, Øyvind & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1995.
"Testing the Adequacy of Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
56, Stockholm School of Economics.
Lütkepohl, Helmut & Teräsvirta, Timo & Wolters, Jürgen, 1995.
"Investigating Stability and Linearity of a German M1 Money Demand Function ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
64, Stockholm School of Economics.
Hylleberg, S. & Pagan, A.R., 1995.
"Seasonal Integration and the Evolving Seasonals Model ,"
Papers
281, Australian National University - Department of Economics.
Pesaran, H. & Timmermann, A., 1995.
"The Use of Recursive Model Selection Strategies in Forecasting Stock Returns ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
9406, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
David Miles & Allan Timmermann, 1995.
"Variation in Expected Stock Returns: Evidence on the Pricing of Equities from a Cross-Section of UK Companies ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
95-06, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Steve Satchell & Allan Timmermann, 1995.
"An Assessment of the Economic Value of Nonlinear Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
95-16, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
M. Hashem Pesaran & Allan Timmermann, 1995.
"Predictability of Stock Returns: Robustness and Economic Significance ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
95-19, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Allan Timmermann, 1995.
"Volatility Clustering and Mean Reversion of Stock Returns in an Asset Pricing Model with Incomplete Learning ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
95-23, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Clive W.J. Granger & Niels Haldrup, 1995.
"Separation in Cointegrated Systems, Long Memory Components and Common Stochastic Trends ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
95-43, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Peter Boswijk & Philip Hans Franses & Niels Haldrup, 1995.
"Multiple Unit Roots in Periodic Autoregression ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
95-44, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Tom Engsted & Niels Haldrup, 1995.
"Estimating the LQAC Model with I(2) Variables ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
95-45, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Torben G. Andersen & Bent E. Sorensen, 1995.
"GMM Estimation of a Stochastic Volatility Model: A Monte Carlo Study ,"
Discussion Papers
95-19, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
1994 Søren Johansen and Anders Rygh Swensen, 1994.
"Testing Rational Expectations in Vector Autoregressive Models ,"
Discussion Papers
129, Research Department of Statistics Norway.
Tim Bollerslev & Eric Ghysels, 1994.
"On Periodic Autogressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
94s-03, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Bollerslev, T. & Ghysels, E., 1994.
"Periodic Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity ,"
Cahiers de recherche
9408, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
Bollerslev, T. & Ghysels, E., 1994.
"Periodic Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity ,"
Cahiers de recherche
9408, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
[Downloadable!] Steve Satchell & Allan Timmermann, 1994.
"On the Optimality of Adaptive Expectations: Muth Revisited ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
94-26, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Engest, T. & Gonzalo, J. & Haldrup, N., 1994.
"Multicointegration and Present Value Relations ,"
Economics Working Papers
1995-13, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1994.
"Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1993 Anderson, T.M. & Hylleberg, S., 1993.
"Testing for Insider-Outsider Effects ,"
Economics Working Papers
1993-18, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Hylleberg, S., 1993.
"Tests for Seasonal Unit Roots General to Specific or Specific to General? ,"
Economics Working Papers
1993-14, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Tim Bollerslev & Robert F. Engle & Daniel B. Nelson, 1993.
"ARCH Models ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
93-49, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Baillie, R.T. & Bollerslev, T., 1993.
"Cointegration, Fractional Cointegration, and Exchange RAte Dynamics ,"
Papers
9103, Michigan State - Econometrics and Economic Theory.
Baillie, R.T. & Bollerslev, T., 1993.
"The Long Memory of the Foreward Premium ,"
Papers
9203, Michigan State - Econometrics and Economic Theory.
Haldrup, N. & Salmon, M., 1993.
"Polynomially Cointegrated Systems and their Representation; A Synthesis ,"
Economics Working Papers
1993-22, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Engsted, T. & Haldrup, N., 1993.
"Money Demand, Expectations and the Foreward Looking Model: A Comment ,"
Economics Working Papers
1993-23, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
1992 Henrik Hansen & Søren Johansen, 1992.
"Recursive Estimation in Cointegrated VAR-Models ,"
Discussion Papers
92-13, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
Søren Johansen & Katarina Juselius, 1992.
"Identification of the Long-Run and the Short-Run Structure: An Application to the ISLM Model ,"
Discussion Papers
92-04, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
Tim Bollerslev & Robert J. Hodrick, 1992.
"Financial Market Efficiency Tests ,"
NBER Working Papers
4108, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M.H. & Timmermann, A., 1992.
"Forecasting Stock Returns ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
9216, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
Pesaran, M.H. & Timmermann, A.G., 1992.
"A Generalisation of the Non-Parametric Henriksson-Merton Test of Market Timing ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
9218, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
Engested, T. & Haldrup, N., 1992.
"Testing Quadriatic Adjustment Cost Models within a Cointegrated VAR ,"
Economics Working Papers
1992-9, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Haldrup, N., 1992.
"Heteroscedasticity in Non-Stationary Time Series, Some Monte Carlo Evidence ,"
Economics Working Papers
1992-8, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Franses, P.H. & Haldrup, N., 1992.
"The Effects of Additive Outliers on Tests for Unit Roots and Cointegration ,"
Economics Working Papers
1993-12, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
1991 Johansen, S., 1991.
"Testing Weak Exogeneity and the Order of Cointegration in UK Money Demand Data ,"
Papers
78, Helsinki - Department of Economics.
Johansen, S., 1991.
"An I(2) Cointegration Analysis of the Purchasing Power Parity between Australia and the United States ,"
Papers
231, Australian National University - Department of Economics.
Johansen, S., 1991.
"A Statistical Analsysis of Cointegration for I(2) Variables ,"
Papers
77, Helsinki - Department of Economics.
Johansen, S., 1991.
"Determination of Cointegration Rank in the Presence of a Linear Trend ,"
Papers
76a, Helsinki - Department of Economics.
Timo TerŠsvirta & Chien-Fu Lin & Clive W.J. Granger, 1991.
"Power of the Neural Network Linearity Test ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
91-01, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Timo TerŠsvirta & Heather M. Anderson, 1991.
"Modelling Nonlinearities in Business Cycles Using Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
91-24, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Chien-Fu Jeff Lin & Timo Terasvirta, 1991.
"Testing the Constancy of Regression Parameters Against Continuous Structural Change ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
91-26, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Baillie, R.T. & Bollerslev, T. & Redfearn, M., 1991.
"Bear Sequeese, Volatility Spillovers and Speculative Attacks inthe Hyperinflation 1920s Foreign Exchange ,"
Papers
9152, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research.
Baillie, R.T. & Bollerslev, T. & Redfearn, M.R., 1991.
"Bear Squeezes in the Hyperinflation 1920s Foreign Exchange ,"
Papers
9006, Michigan State - Econometrics and Economic Theory.
Haldrup, N., 1991.
"Testing for Double Unit Roots ,"
Economics Working Papers
1991-20, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
1990 Søren Johansen & Katarina Juselius, 1990.
"Some Structural Hypotheses in a Multivariate Cointegration Analysis of the Purchasing Power Parity and the Uncovered Interest Parity for UK ,"
Discussion Papers
90-05, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
Timo TerŠsvirta, 1990.
"Power Properties of Linearity Tests for Time Series ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
90-15, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Timo TerŠsvirta, 1990.
"Specification, Estimation, and Evaluation of Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
90-39, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Timo TerŠsvirta, 1990.
"Generalizing Threshold Autoregressive Models ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
90-44, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
Engle, R.F. & Granger, C.W.J. & Hylleberg, S. & Lee, H.S., 1990.
"Seasonal Cointegration: The Japanese Consumption Function ,"
Economics Working Papers
1990-10, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Baillie, R.T. & Bollerslev, R.T., 1990.
"Prediction In Dynamic Models With Time Dependent Conditional Variances ,"
Papers
8815, Michigan State - Econometrics and Economic Theory.
Pesaran, M.H. & Timmermann, A., 1990.
"A Simple, Non-Parametric Test Of Predictive Performance ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
9021, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
Pesaran, M.H. & Timmermann, G., 1990.
"The Statistical And Economic Significance Of The Predictability Of Exess Returns On Common Stocks ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
9022, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
Pesaran, M.H. & Timmermann, A.G., 1990.
"The Statistical And Economic Significance Of The Predictability Of Excess Returns On Common Stocks ,"
Papers
26, California Los Angeles - Applied Econometrics.
Pesaran, M.H. & Timmermann, A., 1990.
"A Simple Non-Parametric Test Of Predictive Performance ,"
Papers
29, California Los Angeles - Applied Econometrics.
Haldrup, N., 1990.
"Tests For Unit Roots With A Maintained Trend When The True Data Generating Process In A Random Walk With Drift ,"
Economics Working Papers
1990-22, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Christensen, B.J. & Kiefer, N.M., 1990.
"The Exact Likelihood Function For An Empirical Job Search Model ,"
Papers
9017, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research.
1989 Søren Johansen & Katarina Juselius, 1989.
"The Full Information Maximum Likelihood Procedure for Inference on Cointegration - with Applications ,"
Discussion Papers
89-11, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
Hylleberg, S., 1989.
"Unit Roots And Deterministic Trends, Yet Another Comment On The Existence And Interpretation Of A Unit Root In U.S. Gnp ,"
Economics Working Papers
1989-1, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Haldrup, N. & Hylleberg, S., 1989.
"Unit Roots And Deterministic Trends, With Yet Another Comment On The Existence And Interpretation Of A Unit Root In U.S. Gnp ,"
Economics Working Papers
1989-3, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Baillie, R.T. & Bollerslev, T., 1989.
"Intra Day And Inter Market Volatility In Foreign Exchange Rates ,"
Papers
8811, Michigan State - Econometrics and Economic Theory.
1988 Søren Johansen & Katarina Juselius, 1988.
"Hypothesis Testing for Cointegration Vectors: with Application to the Demand for Money in Denmark and Finland ,"
Discussion Papers
88-05, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R.F. & Granger, C.W.J. & Yoo, B.S., 1988.
"Seasonal, Integration And Cointegration ,"
Papers
6-88-2, Pennsylvania State - Department of Economics.
Hylleberg, S. & Mizon, G.E., 1988.
"Cointegration And Error Correction Mechanisms ,"
Economics Working Papers
1988-7, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
Tim Bollerslev & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 1988.
"Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Models with Time-Varying Covariances ,"
Working papers
505, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
Baillie, R.T. & Bollerslev, T., 1988.
"Further Results On Unit Roots And The Cointegrability Of Daily Spot And Forward Exchange Rates ,"
Papers
8715, Michigan State - Econometrics and Economic Theory.
Undated H. L"Utkepohl & T. Ter"Asvirta & J. Wolters, .
"Investigating Stability and Linearity of a German M1 Money Demand Function ,"
Sonderforschungsbereich 373
1995-57, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
J. Wolters & T. Ter"Asvirta & H. L"Utkepohl, .
"Modelling the Demand for M3 in the Unified Germany ,"
Sonderforschungsbereich 373
1996-24, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
J. Skalin & T. Ter"Asvirta, .
"Another Look at Swedish Business Cycles, 1861-1988 ,"
Sonderforschungsbereich 373
1996-96, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
G. Rech & T. Teräsvirta & R. Tschernig, .
"A Simple variable selection technique for nonlinear models ,"
Sonderforschungsbereich 373
1999-26, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
Timo Terasvirta & Andrés González, .
"Modelling autoregressive processes with a shifting mean ,"
Borradores de Economia
420, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
[Downloadable!] Robert F. Engle & Svend Hylleberg, .
"Common Seasonal Features: Global Unemployment ,"
Economics Working Papers
1996-13, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Henning Bunzel & Bent Jesper Christensen & Niels Haldrup & Svend Hylleberg & Viggo Hoest & Peter Jensen & Allan Wurtz, .
"Udviklingslinier i Oekonometrien ,"
Economics Working Papers
1998-15, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Svend Hylleberg & Per Baltzer Overgaard, .
"Competition Policy with a Coasian Prior? ,"
Economics Working Papers
1998-17, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Torben M.Andersen & Svend Hylleberg, .
"Sources of Persistence in Employment Adjustment - Denmark 1974-1993 ,"
Economics Working Papers
1998-19, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Rikke Willemoes Joergensen & Svend Hylleberg, .
"A Note on the Estimation of Markup Pricing in Manufacturing ,"
Economics Working Papers
1998-6, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Christian M. Dahl & Svend Hylleberg, .
"Specifying Nonlinear Econometric Models by Flexible Regression Models and Relative Forecast Performance ,"
Economics Working Papers
1999-4, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Peter Reinhard Hansen, .
"The Johansen-Granger Representation Theorem: A Closed Form Expression for I(1)Processes Creation-Date: 2000 ,"
Working Papers
2000-19, Brown University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Niels Kleis Frederiksen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Henrik Jacobsen & Peter Birch Soerensen, .
"Consumer Services, Employment and the Informal Economy ,"
EPRU Working Paper Series
94-13, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
Christian M. Dahl, .
"An Investigation of Tests for Linearity and the Accuracy of Flexible Nonlinear Inference ,"
Economics Working Papers
1999-8, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Christian M. Dahl & Niels L. Hansen, .
"The Formation of Inflation Expectations under Changing Inflation Regimes ,"
Economics Working Papers
1999-15, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Michael Jansson, .
"Spurious Regression, Cointegration, and Near Cointegration: A Unifying Approach ,"
Economics Working Papers
1999-3, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Graham Elliott & Michael Jansson, .
"Testing for Unit Roots with Stationary Covariates ,"
Economics Working Papers
2000-6, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Borus Jungbacker & Siem Jan Koopman & Michel van der Wel, .
"Dynamic Factor Models with Smooth Loadings for Analyzing the Term Structure of Interest Rates ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
09-041/4, Tinbergen Institute.
[Downloadable!] Boris Siliverstovs & Tom Engsted & Niels Haldrup, .
"Long-run forecasting in multicointegrated systems ,"
Economics Working Papers
2002-15, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Haldrup, Niels, .
"Empirical analysis of price data in the delineation of the relevant geographical market in competition analysis ,"
Economics Working Papers
2003-9, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Tom Engsted & Niels Haldrup, .
"Multicointegration in Stock-Flow Models ,"
Economics Working Papers
1997-18, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Haldrup, N., .
"A Review of the Econometric Analysis of I(2) Variables ,"
Economics Working Papers
1997-12, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Tom Engsted & Jesus Gonzalo & Niels Haldrup, .
"Testing for Multicointegration ,"
Economics Working Papers
1997-1, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Peter Lildholdt, .
"On the Robustness of Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Double Unit Roots ,"
Economics Working Papers
2000-1, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Antonio Montanés & Andreu Sanso, .
"Measurement Errors and Outliers in Seasonal Unit Root Testing ,"
Economics Working Papers
2000-8, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Torben M. Andersen & Niels Haldrup & Jan Rose S›rensen, .
"Product Market Integration and European Labour Markets ,"
Economics Working Papers
1999-26, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Niels Haldrup & Peter Lildholdt, .
"Local Power Functions of Tests for Double Unit Roots ,"
Economics Working Papers
2000-2, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Haldrup, Niels & Nielsen, Morten Oe., .
"Estimation of Fractional Integration in the Presence of Data Noise ,"
Economics Working Papers
2003-10, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Morten Oerregaard Nielsen, .
"Efficient Inference in Multivariate Fractionally Integrated Time Series Models ,"
Economics Working Papers
2002-6, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Morten Oerregaard Nielsen, .
"Local Whittle Analysis of Stationary Fractional Cointegration ,"
Economics Working Papers
2002-8, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Morten Oerregaard Nielsen, .
"Optimal Residual Based Tests for Fractional Cointegration and Exchange Rate Dynamics ,"
Economics Working Papers
2002-7, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Nielsen, Morten Oe., .
"Local Empirical Spectral Measure of Multivariate Processes with Long Range Dependence ,"
Economics Working Papers
2002-16, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Nielsen, Morten Oe., .
"Semiparametric Estimation in Time Series Regression with Long Range Dependence ,"
Economics Working Papers
2002-17, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Nielsen, Morten Oe., .
"Spectral Analysis of Fractionally Cointegrated Systems ,"
Economics Working Papers
2002-12, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Nielsen, Morten Oe., .
"Multivariate Lagrange Multiplier Tests for Fractional Integration ,"
Economics Working Papers
2002-18, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ø. Nielsen, .
"Semiparametric Analysis of Stationary Fractional Cointegration and the Implied-Realized Volatility Relation in High-Frequency Options Data ,"
Economics Working Papers
2001-4, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Morten Oe. Nielsen, .
"Efficient Likelihold Inference in Nonstationary Univariate Models ,"
Economics Working Papers
2001-8, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, .
"Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss ,"
CARESS Working Papres
97-20, University of Pennsylvania Center for Analytic Research and Economics in the Social Sciences.
[Downloadable!] Peter F. Christoffersen, .
"Dating the Turning Points of Nordic Business Cycles ,"
EPRU Working Paper Series
00-13, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Peter Christoffersen & Eric Ghysels & Norman R. Swanson, .
"Let's Get "Real" about Using Economic Data ,"
EPRU Working Paper Series
01-15, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Christoffersen & Diebold, .
"Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss ,"
Home Pages
167, 1996., University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Henrik Christoffersen & Martin Paldam & Allan Würtz, .
"Public Versus Private Production. A Study of the Cost of School Cleaning in Denmark ,"
Economics Working Papers
1999-22, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] N.E. Savin & Allan H. Würtz, .
"Empirically Relevant Power Comparisons for Limited Dependent Variable Models ,"
Economics Working Papers
1999-20, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] N.E. Savin & Allan H. Wuertz, .
"The Effect of Nuisance Parameters on Size and Power; LM Tests in Logit Models ,"
Economics Working Papers
1997-17, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Torben G. Andersen & Hyung-Jin Chung & Bent E. Sorensen, .
"EMM Estimation of a Stochastic Volatility Model: A Monte Carlo Study ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 1997
6, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!] M. Sörensen, .
"On Comparision of Stopping Times in Sequential Procedures for Exponential Families of Stochastic Processes ,"
Sonderforschungsbereich 373
1994-38, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
M. Sörensen, .
"On the moments of some first passage times for exponential families of processes ,"
Sonderforschungsbereich 373
1994-48, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
U. Küchler & M. Sorensen, .
"A Note on Limit Theorems for Multivariate Martingales ,"
Sonderforschungsbereich 373
1998-45, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
Bent Jesper Christensen & Peter Jensen & Michael Svarer & Kim Poulsen & Michael Rosholm, .
"Public Finance Effects in an Equilibrium Search Model with Differences in Company Productivity Levels: An Application to Danish Data ,"
Management Working Papers
1999-12, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Nicholas M. Kiefer, .
"Financial Panel Data, Local Cuts, and Orthogeodesic Models ,"
Management Working Papers
1999-9, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Tomas Björk, .
"Interest Rate Dynamics and Consistent Forward Rate Curves ,"
Management Working Papers
1999-4, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Nicholas M. Kiefer, .
"Simulated Moment Methods for Empirical Equivalent Martingale Measures ,"
Management Working Papers
1999-5, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] B.J. Christensen & D.T. Mortensen & G. Neumann & A. Werwatz, .
"On the Job Search and the Wage Distribution ,"
Sonderforschungsbereich 373
2000-108, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
H. Bunzel & B.J. Christensen & P. Jensen & N.M. Kiefer & L. Korsholm & L. Muus & G.R. Neumann & Michael Rosholm, .
"Investment in Human Capital versus Differences in Company Productivity Levels: Specification and Estimation of Equilibrium Search Models for Denmark ,"
Management Working Papers
1999-15, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Henning Bunzel & Bent J. Christensen & Nicholas M. Kiefer & Lars Korsholm, .
"The Asset Pricing Approach to the Rate of Return to Human Capital: An Equilibrium Search Framework for Denmark ,"
Management Working Papers
1999-17, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!] Journal articles 2009 Søren Johansen, 2009.
"Representation of Cointegrated Autoregressive Processes with Application to Fractional Processes ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 28(1-3), pages 121-145.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Tomoaki Nakatani & Timo Terasvirta, 2009.
"Testing for volatility interactions in the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH model ,"
Econometrics Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 12(1), pages 147-163, 03.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Changli He & Timo Terasvirta & Andres Gonzalez, 2009.
"Testing Parameter Constancy in Stationary Vector Autoregressive Models Against Continuous Change ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 28(1-3), pages 225-245.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Kretschmer, Uta & Pigorsch, Christian & Tauchen, George, 2009.
"A discrete-time model for daily S & P500 returns and realized variations: Jumps and leverage effects ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 151-166, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Dahl, Christian M. & Iglesias, Emma M., 2009.
"Volatility spill-overs in commodity spot prices: New empirical results ,"
Economic Modelling ,
Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 601-607, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Dahl, Christian M. & Hansen, Henrik & Smidt, John, 2009.
"The cyclical component factor model ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 119-127.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Chernozhukov, Victor & Hansen, Christian & Jansson, Michael, 2009.
"Admissible Invariant Similar Tests For Instrumental Variables Regression ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(03), pages 806-818, June.
[Downloadable!] Chioda, Laura & Jansson, Michael, 2009.
"Optimal Invariant Inference When The Number Of Instruments Is Large ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(03), pages 793-805, June.
[Downloadable!] Chernozhukov, Victor & Hansen, Christian & Jansson, Michael, 2009.
"Finite sample inference for quantile regression models ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 152(2), pages 93-103, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Dennis Kristensen, 2009.
"On stationarity and ergodicity of the bilinear model with applications to GARCH models ,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 30(1), pages 125-144, 01.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Dennis Kristensen & Anders Rahbek, 2009.
"Asymptotics of the QMLE for Non-Linear ARCH Models ,"
Journal of Time Series Econometrics ,
Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 1(1), pages 2.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Kristensen, Dennis, 2009.
"Uniform Convergence Rates Of Kernel Estimators With Heterogeneous Dependent Data ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(05), pages 1433-1445, October.
[Downloadable!] Dennis Kristensen, 2009.
"Semiparametric modelling and estimation (in Russian) ,"
Quantile ,
Quantile, issue 7, pages 53-83, September.
[Downloadable!] Kim Christensen & Mark Podolskij & Mathias Vetter, 2009.
"Bias-correcting the realized range-based variance in the presence of market microstructure noise ,"
Finance and Stochastics ,
Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 239-268, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christiansen, Charlotte & Ranaldo, Angelo, 2009.
"Extreme coexceedances in new EU member states' stock markets ,"
Journal of Banking & Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1048-1057, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Nielsen, Morten ?rregaard, 2009.
"A Powerful Test Of The Autoregressive Unit Root Hypothesis Based On A Tuning Parameter Free Statistic ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(06), pages 1515-1544, December.
[Downloadable!] Philipp Sibbertsen & Robinson Kruse, 2009.
"Testing for a break in persistence under long-range dependencies ,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 30(3), pages 263-285, 05.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Joachim Grammig & Andreas Schrimpf & Michael Schuppli, 2009.
"Long-horizon consumption risk and the cross-section of returns: new tests and international evidence ,"
European Journal of Finance ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(5-6), pages 511-532.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Grammig, Joachim & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2009.
"Asset pricing with a reference level of consumption: New evidence from the cross-section of stock returns ,"
Review of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 113-123, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 2008 David Hendry & Søren Johansen & Carlos Santos, 2008.
"Automatic selection of indicators in a fully saturated regression ,"
Computational Statistics ,
Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 337-339, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Carlos Santos & David Hendry & Soren Johansen, 2008.
"Automatic selection of indicators in a fully saturated regression ,"
Computational Statistics ,
Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 317-335, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Kevin D. Hoover & Soren Johansen & Katarina Juselius, 2008.
"Allowing the Data to Speak Freely: The Macroeconometrics of the Cointegrated Vector Autoregression ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 251-55, May.
[Downloadable!] Johansen, S?ren, 2008.
"A Representation Theory For A Class Of Vector Autoregressive Models For Fractional Processes ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(03), pages 651-676, June.
[Downloadable!] Nakatani, Tomoaki & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2008.
"Positivity constraints on the conditional variances in the family of conditional correlation GARCH models ,"
Finance Research Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 88-95, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andrés González & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008.
"Modelling Autoregressive Processes with a Shifting Mean ,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics ,
Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 12(1), pages 1459-1459.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Changli He & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008.
"Parameterizing Unconditional Skewness in Models for Financial Time Series ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 6(2), pages 208-230, Spring.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Law, Tzuo Hann & Tauchen, George, 2008.
"Risk, jumps, and diversification ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 144(1), pages 234-256, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Hansen & Jeremy Large & Asger Lunde, 2008.
"Moving Average-Based Estimators of Integrated Variance ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 27(1-3), pages 79-111.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Zebedee & Eric Bentzen & Peter Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2008.
"The Greenspan years: an analysis of the magnitude and speed of the equity market response to FOMC announcements ,"
Financial Markets and Portfolio Management ,
Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 3-20, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008.
"Designing Realized Kernels to Measure the ex post Variation of Equity Prices in the Presence of Noise ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 76(6), pages 1481-1536, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Abrevaya, Jason & Dahl, Christian M, 2008.
"The Effects of Birth Inputs on Birthweight ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 26, pages 379-397.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Michael Jansson, 2008.
"Semiparametric Power Envelopes for Tests of the Unit Root Hypothesis ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 76(5), pages 1103-1142, 09.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Gao, Jiti & Casas, Isabel, 2008.
"Specification testing in discretized diffusion models: Theory and practice ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 131-140, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Casas, Isabel & Gao, Jiti, 2008.
"Econometric estimation in long-range dependent volatility models: Theory and practice ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 72-83, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Kristensen, Dennis, 2008.
"Estimation of partial differential equations with applications in finance ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 392-408, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Dette, Holger & Podolskij, Mark, 2008.
"Testing the parametric form of the volatility in continuous time diffusion models--a stochastic process approach ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 56-73, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christiansen, Charlotte, 2008.
"Level-ARCH short rate models with regime switching: Bivariate modeling of US and European short rates ,"
International Review of Financial Analysis ,
Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 925-948, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Haldrup, Niels & Sansó, Andreu, 2008.
"A note on the Vogelsang test for additive outliers ,"
Statistics & Probability Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 78(3), pages 296-300, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Asaf Zussman & Noam Zussman & Morten Orregaard Nielsen, 2008.
"Asset Market Perspectives on the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict ,"
Economica ,
London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 75(297), pages 84-115, 02.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard & Frederiksen, Per, 2008.
"Finite sample accuracy and choice of sampling frequency in integrated volatility estimation ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 265-286, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Per Frederiksen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008.
"Bias-Reduced Estimation of Long-Memory Stochastic Volatility ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 6(4), pages 496-512, Fall.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Lars Stentoft, 2008.
"American Option Pricing Using GARCH Models and the Normal Inverse Gaussian Distribution ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 6(4), pages 540-582, Fall.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Ornthanalai, Chayawat & Wang, Yintian, 2008.
"Option valuation with long-run and short-run volatility components ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 90(3), pages 272-297, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Julie Lyng Forman & Michael Sørensen, 2008.
"The Pearson Diffusions: A Class of Statistically Tractable Diffusion Processes ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Statistics ,
Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics, Finnish Statistical Society, Norwegian Statistical Association and Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 35(3), pages 438-465.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 2007 Eklund, Bruno & Terasvirta, Timo, 2007.
"Testing constancy of the error covariance matrix in vector models ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 753-780, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Haldrup, Niels & Hylleberg, Svend & Pons, Gabriel & Sanso, Andreu, 2007.
"Common Periodic Correlation Features and the Interaction of Stocks and Flows in Daily Airport Data ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 21-32, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Dobrev, Dobrislav, 2007.
"No-arbitrage semi-martingale restrictions for continuous-time volatility models subject to leverage effects, jumps and i.i.d. noise: Theory and testable distributional implications ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 125-180, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2007.
"Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling, and Forecasting of Return Volatility ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 89(4), pages 701-720, 04.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Diebold, Francis X. & Vega, Clara, 2007.
"Real-time price discovery in global stock, bond and foreign exchange markets ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 251-277, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Lin Peng & Wei Xiong & Tim Bollerslev, 2007.
"Investor Attention and Time-varying Comovements ,"
European Financial Management ,
Blackwell Publishing Ltd, vol. 13(3), pages 394-422.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Guidolin, Massimo & Timmermann, Allan, 2007.
"Properties of equilibrium asset prices under alternative learning schemes ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 161-217, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2007.
"Selection of estimation window in the presence of breaks ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 137(1), pages 134-161, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Valeri Voev & Asger Lunde, 2007.
"Integrated Covariance Estimation using High-frequency Data in the Presence of Noise ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 5(1), pages 68-104.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Chernozhukov, Victor & Hansen, Christian & Jansson, Michael, 2007.
"Inference approaches for instrumental variable quantile regression ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 95(2), pages 272-277, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Isabel Casas & Jiti Gao, 2007.
"Nonparametric Methods in Continuous Time Model Specification ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 26(1), pages 91-106.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Richard Blundell & Xiaohong Chen & Dennis Kristensen, 2007.
"Semi-Nonparametric IV Estimation of Shape-Invariant Engel Curves ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 75(6), pages 1613-1669, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christensen, Kim & Podolskij, Mark, 2007.
"Realized range-based estimation of integrated variance ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 323-349, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christiansen, Charlotte & Joensen, Juanna Schroter & Nielsen, Helena Skyt, 2007.
"The risk-return trade-off in human capital investment ,"
Labour Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 14(6), pages 971-986, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Charlotte Christiansen, 2007.
"Volatility-Spillover Effects in European Bond Markets ,"
European Financial Management ,
Blackwell Publishing Ltd, vol. 13(5), pages 923-948.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Charlotte Christiansen & Juanna Schröter Joensen & Jesper Rangvid, 2007.
"Are Economists More Likely to Hold Stocks? ,"
Review of Finance ,
Oxford University Press for European Finance Association, vol. 12(3), pages 465-496.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Haldrup, Niels & Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2007.
"Estimation of fractional integration in the presence of data noise ,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis ,
Elsevier, vol. 51(6), pages 3100-3114, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2007.
"The comovement of US and German bond markets ,"
International Review of Financial Analysis ,
Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 172-182.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007.
"The Effect of Long Memory in Volatility on Stock Market Fluctuations ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 89(4), pages 684-700, 05.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Nielsen, Morten Orregaard & Shimotsu, Katsumi, 2007.
"Determining the cointegrating rank in nonstationary fractional systems by the exact local Whittle approach ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 574-596, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2007.
"Local Whittle Analysis of Stationary Fractional Cointegration and the ImpliedRealized Volatility Relation ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 427-446, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Henrik Christoffersen & Martin Paldam & Allan Würtz, 2007.
"Public versus private production and economies of scale ,"
Public Choice ,
Springer, vol. 130(3), pages 311-328, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G., 2007.
"Editorial Announcement ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 1-1, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G. & Lewbel, Arthur & Ng, Serena, 2007.
"Editors' Report 2006 ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 503-503, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Alexander M. Lindner, 2007.
"Lévy Copulas: Dynamics and Transforms of Upsilon Type ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Statistics ,
Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics, Finnish Statistical Society, Norwegian Statistical Association and Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 34(2), pages 298-316.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2007.
"Random Graph Dynamics by Rick Durrett ,"
International Statistical Review ,
International Statistical Institute, vol. 75(3), pages 428-428, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Kristian Stegenborg Larsen & Michael Sørensen, 2007.
"Diffusion Models For Exchange Rates In A Target Zone ,"
Mathematical Finance ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(2), pages 285-306.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andreas Schrimpf & Michael Schröder & Richard Stehle, 2007.
"Cross-sectional Tests of Conditional Asset Pricing Models: Evidence from the German Stock Market ,"
European Financial Management ,
Blackwell Publishing Ltd, vol. 13(5), pages 880-907.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 2006 Johansen, Soren, 2006.
"Statistical analysis of hypotheses on the cointegrating relations in the I(2) model ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 81-115, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Timo Teräsvirta & Marcelo C. Medeiros & Gianluigi Rech, 2006.
"Building neural network models for time series: a statistical approach ,"
Journal of Forecasting ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 49-75.
[Downloadable!] Andrés González & Timo Teräsvirta, 2006.
"Simulation-based Finite Sample Linearity Test against Smooth Transition Models ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 68(s1), pages 797-812, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Meitz, Mika & Terasvirta, Timo, 2006.
"Evaluating Models of Autoregressive Conditional Duration ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 104-124, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Granger, Clive W.J. & Terasvirta, Timo & Patton, Andrew J., 2006.
"Common factors in conditional distributions for bivariate time series ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 43-57, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo, 2006.
"A time series model for an exchange rate in a target zone with applications ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 579-609.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Tim Bollerslev & Julia Litvinova & George Tauchen, 2006.
"Leverage and Volatility Feedback Effects in High-Frequency Data ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 4(3), pages 353-384.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Zhou, Hao, 2006.
"Volatility puzzles: a simple framework for gauging return-volatility regressions ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 123-150.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Frederiksen, Per Houmann & Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2006.
"Comment ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 173-179, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Aiolfi, Marco & Timmermann, Allan, 2006.
"Persistence in forecasting performance and conditional combination strategies ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 31-53.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Robert Kosowski & Allan Timmermann & Russ Wermers & Hal White, 2006.
"Can Mutual Fund "Stars" Really Pick Stocks? New Evidence from a Bootstrap Analysis ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 61(6), pages 2551-2595, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Paye, Bradley S. & Timmermann, Allan, 2006.
"Instability of return prediction models ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 274-315, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Timmermann & Massimo Guidolin, 2006.
"An econometric model of nonlinear dynamics in the joint distribution of stock and bond returns ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 1-22.
[Downloadable!] Guidolin, Massimo & Timmermann, Allan, 2006.
"Term structure of risk under alternative econometric specifications ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 285-308.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hashem Pesaran & Davide Pettenuzzo & Allan Timmermann, 2006.
"Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks ,"
Review of Economic Studies ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 73(4), pages 1057-1084, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hansen, Peter Reinhard & Lunde, Asger, 2006.
"Consistent ranking of volatility models ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 97-121.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hansen, Peter R. & Lunde, Asger, 2006.
"Rejoinder ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 208-218, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hansen, Peter R. & Lunde, Asger, 2006.
"Realized Variance and Market Microstructure Noise ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 127-161, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Dahl, Christian M. & Levine, Michael, 2006.
"Nonparametric estimation of volatility models with serially dependent innovations ,"
Statistics & Probability Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 76(18), pages 2007-2016, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Michael Jansson & Marcelo J. Moreira, 2006.
"Optimal Inference in Regression Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 74(3), pages 681-714, 05.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bunzel, Helle, 2006.
"Habit persistence, money, and overlapping generations ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 2425-2445, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Kristensen, Dennis & Linton, Oliver, 2006.
"A Closed-Form Estimator For The Garch(1,1) Model ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(02), pages 323-337, April.
[Downloadable!] Holger Dette & Mark Podolskij & Mathias Vetter, 2006.
"Estimation of Integrated Volatility in Continuous-Time Financial Models with Applications to Goodness-of-Fit Testing ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Statistics ,
Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics, Finnish Statistical Society, Norwegian Statistical Association and Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 33(2), pages 259-278.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Niels Haldrup & Morten Nielsen, 2006.
"Directional Congestion and Regime Switching in a Long Memory Model for Electricity Prices ,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics ,
Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 10(3), pages 1367-1367.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Haldrup, Niels & Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2006.
"A regime switching long memory model for electricity prices ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 349-376.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christensen, Bent Jesper & Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2006.
"Asymptotic normality of narrow-band least squares in the stationary fractional cointegration model and volatility forecasting ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 343-371, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Niels Haldrup & Morten Ø. Nielsen, 2006.
"Directional Congestion and Regime Switching in a Long Memory Model for Electricity Prices ,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics ,
Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 10(3).
[Downloadable!] Christoffersen, Peter & Heston, Steve & Jacobs, Kris, 2006.
"Option valuation with conditional skewness ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 253-284.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christoffersen, Peter & Chung, Hyunchul & Errunza, Vihang, 2006.
"Size matters: The impact of financial liberalization on individual firms ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 25(8), pages 1296-1318, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G., 2006.
"Editor Report 2005 ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 505-505, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom, 2006.
"Explosive bubbles in the cointegrated VAR model ,"
Finance Research Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 154-162, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. & Shephard, Neil, 2006.
"Impact of jumps on returns and realised variances: econometric analysis of time-deformed Levy processes ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 217-252.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2006.
"Econometrics of Testing for Jumps in Financial Economics Using Bipower Variation ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 4(1), pages 1-30.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. & Shephard, Neil, 2006.
"Comment ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 179-181, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 2005 Søren Johansen, 2005.
"Interpretation of Cointegrating Coefficients in the Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Model ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(1), pages 93-104, 02.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Johansen, S ren & L tkepohl, Helmut, 2005.
"A Note On Testing Restrictions For The Cointegration Parameters Of A Var With I(2) Variables ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(03), pages 653-658, June.
[Downloadable!] Terasvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2005.
"Reply ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 781-783.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Terasvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2005.
"Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 755-774.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Nour Meddahi, 2005.
"Correcting the Errors: Volatility Forecast Evaluation Using High-Frequency Data and Realized Volatilities ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 73(1), pages 279-296, 01.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Jin Wu, 2005.
"A Framework for Exploring the Macroeconomic Determinants of Systematic Risk ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 95(2), pages 398-404, May.
[Downloadable!] Hao Zhou & Tim Bollerslev & Michael Gibson, 2005.
"Dynamic estimation of volatility risk premia and investor risk aversion from option-implied and realized volatilities ,"
Proceedings ,
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!] Massimo Guidolin & Allan Timmermann, 2005.
"Economic Implications of Bull and Bear Regimes in UK Stock and Bond Returns ,"
Economic Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 115(500), pages 111-143, 01.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2005.
"Small sample properties of forecasts from autoregressive models under structural breaks ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 129(1-2), pages 183-217.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Allan Timmermann & David Blake, 2005.
"International Asset Allocation with Time-Varying Investment Opportunities ,"
Journal of Business ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(1), pages 71-98, January.
[Downloadable!] Sandeep Kapur & Allan Timmermann, 2005.
"Relative Performance Evaluation Contracts and Asset Market Equilibrium ,"
Economic Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 115(506), pages 1077-1102, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Asger Lunde & Allan Timmermann, 2005.
"Completion time structures of stock price movements ,"
Annals of Finance ,
Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 293-326, 08.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Graham Elliott & Allan Timmermann, 2005.
"Optimal Forecast Combination Under Regime Switching ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 46(4), pages 1081-1102, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2005.
"Granger's representation theorem: A closed-form expression for I(1) processes ,"
Econometrics Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 8(1), pages 23-38, 03.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2005.
"A Realized Variance for the Whole Day Based on Intermittent High-Frequency Data ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 525-554.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Asger Lunde & Peter R. Hansen, 2005.
"A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)? ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(7), pages 873-889.
[Downloadable!] Hansen, Peter Reinhard, 2005.
"A Test for Superior Predictive Ability ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 365-380, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Jansson, Michael, 2005.
"Point optimal tests of the null hypothesis of cointegration ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 187-201, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Graham Elliott & Michael Jansson & Elena Pesavento, 2005.
"Optimal Power for Testing Potential Cointegrating Vectors With Known Parameters for Nonstationarity ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 34-48, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Joydeep Bhattacharya & Helle Bunzel & Joseph Haslag, 2005.
"The non-monotonic relationship between seigniorage and inequality ,"
Canadian Journal of Economics ,
Canadian Economics Association, vol. 38(2), pages 500-519, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Helle Bunzel & Xue Qiao, 2005.
"Endogenous lifetime and economic growth revisited ,"
Economics Bulletin ,
Economics Bulletin, vol. 15(8), pages 1-8.
[Downloadable!] Bunzel, Helle & Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2005.
"Powerful Trend Function Tests That Are Robust to Strong Serial Correlation, With an Application to the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 381-394, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Kristensen, Dennis & Rahbek, Anders, 2005.
"ASYMPTOTICS OF THE QMLE FOR A CLASS OF ARCH(q) MODELS ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(05), pages 946-961, October.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte, 2005.
"Multivariate term structure models with level and heteroskedasticity effects ,"
Journal of Banking & Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1037-1057, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Charlotte Christiansen, 2005.
"Variance-in-mean effects of the long forward-rate slope ,"
Applied Financial Economics ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(11), pages 753-755, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Niels Haldrup & Peter Lildholdt, 2005.
"Local power functions of tests for double unit roots ,"
Statistica Neerlandica ,
Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 59(2), pages 159-179.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Haldrup, Niels & Montanes, Antonio & Sanso, Andreu, 2005.
"Measurement errors and outliers in seasonal unit root testing ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 103-128, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Belter, Klaus & Engsted, Tom & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2005.
"A new daily dividend-adjusted index for the Danish stock market, 1985-2002: construction, statistical properties, and return predictability ,"
Research in International Business and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 53-70, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Morten Orregaard Nielsen, 2005.
"Semiparametric Estimation in Time-Series Regression with Long-Range Dependence ,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 26(2), pages 279-304, 03.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2005.
"Noncontemporaneous cointegration and the importance of timing ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 113-119, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2005.
"Multivariate Lagrange Multiplier Tests for Fractional Integration ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 3(3), pages 372-398.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Stentoft, Lars, 2005.
"Pricing American options when the underlying asset follows GARCH processes ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 576-611, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Christoffersen & Stefano Mazzotta, 2005.
"The Accuracy of Density Forecasts from Foreign Exchange Options ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 578-605.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G., 2005.
"Editor's Report 2004 ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 495-495, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole Eiler Barndorff-Nielsen & Robert Stelzer, 2005.
"Absolute Moments of Generalized Hyperbolic Distributions and Approximate Scaling of Normal Inverse Gaussian Lévy Processes ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Statistics ,
Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics, Finnish Statistical Society, Norwegian Statistical Association and Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 32(4), pages 617-637.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Mogens Bladt & Michael Sørensen, 2005.
"Statistical inference for discretely observed Markov jump processes ,"
Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series B ,
Royal Statistical Society, vol. 67(3), pages 395-410.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Mathieu Kessler & Michael Sørensen, 2005.
"On Time-Reversibility and Estimating Functions for Markov Processes ,"
Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes ,
Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 95-107, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bent Jesper Christensen & Rasmus Lentz & Dale T. Mortensen & George R. Neumann & Axel Werwatz, 2005.
"On-the-Job Search and the Wage Distribution ,"
Journal of Labor Economics ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 23(1), pages 31-58, January.
[Downloadable!] 2004 Søren Johansen & Anders Rygh Swensen, 2004.
"More on testing exact rational expectations in cointegrated vector autoregressive models: Restricted constant and linear term ,"
Econometrics Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 7(2), pages 389-397, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Johansen S., 2004.
"Comment ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 169-172, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Dahl, Christian M. & Hylleberg, Svend, 2004.
"Flexible regression models and relative forecast performance ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 201-217.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Brendstrup, Bjarne & Hylleberg, Svend & Nielsen, Morten Rregaard & Skipper, Lars & Stentoft, Lars, 2004.
"Seasonality In Economic Models ,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(03), pages 362-394, June.
[Downloadable!] Bollerslev, Tim & Zhou, Hao, 2004.
"Corrigendum to "Estimating stochastic volatility diffusion using conditional moments of integrated volatility" [J. Econom. 109 (2002) 33-65] ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 221-222, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Nour Meddahi, 2004.
"Analytical Evaluation Of Volatility Forecasts ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 45(4), pages 1079-1110, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Timmermann, Allan & Granger, Clive W. J., 2004.
"Efficient market hypothesis and forecasting ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 15-27.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Elliott, Graham & Timmermann, Allan, 2004.
"Optimal forecast combinations under general loss functions and forecast error distributions ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 47-79, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2004.
"How costly is it to ignore breaks when forecasting the direction of a time series? ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 411-425.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Lunde A. & Timmermann A., 2004.
"Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 253-273, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Michael Jansson, 2004.
"The Error in Rejection Probability of Simple Autocorrelation Robust Tests ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 72(3), pages 937-946, 05.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Jansson, Michael, 2004.
"Stationarity Testing With Covariates ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(01), pages 56-94, February.
[Downloadable!] Jansson, Michael, 2004.
"03.6.2. Unbiasedness of the OLS Estimator with Random Regressors Solution ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(06), pages 1263-1264, December.
[Downloadable!] Andrew Jeffrey, 2004.
"Nonparametric Estimation of a Multifactor Heath-Jarrow-Morton Model: An Integrated Approach ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 2(2), pages 251-289.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Kristensen, Dennis & Linton, Oliver, 2004.
"03.5.2. Consistent Standard Errors for Target Variance Approach to GARCH Estimation Solution ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(05), pages 990-993, October.
[Downloadable!] Tom Engsted & Niels Haldrup & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2004.
"Long-run forecasting in multicointegrated systems ,"
Journal of Forecasting ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 315-335.
[Downloadable!] Morten Orregaard Nielsen, 2004.
"Efficient inference in multivariate fractionally integrated time series models ,"
Econometrics Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 7(1), pages 63-97, 06.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2004.
"Spectral analysis of fractionally cointegrated systems ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 225-231, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Nielsen M.O., 2004.
"Optimal Residual-Based Tests for Fractional Cointegration and Exchange Rate Dynamics ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 331-345, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Nielsen, Morten rregaard, 2004.
"Efficient Likelihood Inference In Nonstationary Univariate Models ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(01), pages 116-146, February.
[Downloadable!] Lars Stentoft, 2004.
"Assessing the Least Squares Monte-Carlo Approach to American Option Valuation ,"
Review of Derivatives Research ,
Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 129-168, 08.
[Downloadable!] Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris, 2004.
"The importance of the loss function in option valuation ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 291-318, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Christoffersen, 2004.
"Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Duration-Based Approach ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 84-108.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen, 2004.
"Discussion ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 37-48.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Tom Engsted & Carsten Tanggaard, 2004.
"The Comovement of US and UK Stock Markets ,"
European Financial Management ,
Blackwell Publishing Ltd, vol. 10(4), pages 593-607.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2004.
"Power and Bipower Variation with Stochastic Volatility and Jumps ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 1-37.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2004.
"Econometric Analysis of Realized Covariation: High Frequency Based Covariance, Regression, and Correlation in Financial Economics ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 72(3), pages 885-925, 05.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Susanne Ditlevsen & Michael Sørensen, 2004.
"Inference for Observations of Integrated Diffusion Processes ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Statistics ,
Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics, Finnish Statistical Society, Norwegian Statistical Association and Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 31(3), pages 417-429.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Mark Y. An & Bent Jesper Christensen & Nabanita Datta Gupta, 2004.
"Multivariate mixed proportional hazard modelling of the joint retirement of married couples ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(6), pages 687-704.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Nabanita Datta Gupta & John Rust, 2004.
"Special issue on the econometrics of social insurance ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(6), pages 647-648.
[Downloadable!] 2003 Søren Johansen, 2003.
"The asymptotic variance of the estimated roots in a cointegrated vector autoregressive model ,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 24(6), pages 663-678, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick, 2003.
"Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 21(1), pages 104-21, January.
Dick van Dijk 1 & Birgit Strikholm & Timo Teräsvirta, 2003.
"The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctuations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series ,"
Econometrics Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 6(1), pages 79-98, 06.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Anna Persson & Timo Teräsvirta, 2003.
"The net barter terms of trade: A smooth transition approach ,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(1), pages 81-97.
[Downloadable!] Oller, Lars-Erik, 2003.
"Nonlinear Econometric Modeling in Time Series: Proceedings of the Eleventh International Symposium in Economic Theory,: Edited by W.A. Barnett, D.F. Hendry, S. Hylleberg, T. Terasvirta, D. Tjostheim, ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 756-758.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2003.
"Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 579-625, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Zhang, Benjamin Y. B., 2003.
"Measuring and modeling systematic risk in factor pricing models using high-frequency data ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 10(5), pages 533-558, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Clara Vega, 2003.
"Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 38-62, March.
[Downloadable!] Guidolin, Massimo & Timmermann, Allan, 2003.
"Option prices under Bayesian learning: implied volatility dynamics and predictive densities ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 717-769, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Sullivan, Ryan & Timmermann, Allan & White, Halbert, 2003.
"Forecast evaluation with shared data sets ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 217-227.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Massimo Guidolin & Allan Timmermann, 2003.
"Recursive Modeling of Nonlinear Dynamics in UK Stock Returns ,"
Manchester School ,
University of Manchester, vol. 71(4), pages 381-395, 07.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hansen, Peter Reinhard, 2003.
"Structural changes in the cointegrated vector autoregressive model ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 261-295, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2003.
"Choosing the Best Volatility Models: The Model Confidence Set Approach ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 65(s1), pages 839-861, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christian Dahl & Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera, 2003.
"Identifying Nonlinear Components by Random Fields in the US GNP Growth. Implications for the Shape of the Business Cycle ,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics ,
Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 7(1), pages 1123-1123.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Dahl, Christian M. & Gonzalez-Rivera, Gloria, 2003.
"Testing for neglected nonlinearity in regression models based on the theory of random fields ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 114(1), pages 141-164, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Robert F. Engle & Asger Lunde, 2003.
"Trades and Quotes: A Bivariate Point Process ,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 1(2), pages 159-188.
Elliott, Graham & Jansson, Michael, 2003.
"Testing for unit roots with stationary covariates ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 75-89, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Jansson, Michael, 2003.
"03.6.2. Unbiasedness of the OLS Estimator with Random Regressors ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(06), pages 1195-1195, December.
[Downloadable!] Joydeep Bhattacharya & Helle Bunzel, 2003.
"Dynamics of the planning solution in the discrete-time textbook model of labor market search and matching ,"
Economics Bulletin ,
Economics Bulletin, vol. 5(19), pages 1-10.
[Downloadable!] Kristensen, Dennis & Linton, Oliver, 2003.
"03.5.2. Consistent Standard Errors for Target Variance Approach to GARCH Estimation ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(05), pages 879-880, October.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte, 2003.
"Testing the expectations hypothesis using long-maturity forward rates ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 78(2), pages 175-180, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Niels Haldrup & David F. Hendry & Herman K. Dijk, 2003.
"Guest Editors' Introduction: Model Selection and Evaluation in Econometrics ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 65(s1), pages 681-688, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom, 2003.
"Misspecification versus bubbles in hyperinflation data: comment ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 441-451, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Richard D. Gill & Peter E. Jupp, 2003.
"On quantum statistical inference ,"
Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series B ,
Royal Statistical Society, vol. 65(4), pages 775-804.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2003.
"Integrated OU Processes and Non-Gaussian OU-based Stochastic Volatility Models ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Statistics ,
Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics, Finnish Statistical Society, Norwegian Statistical Association and Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 30(2), pages 277-295.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 2002 Johansen, Soren, 2002.
"A small sample correction for tests of hypotheses on the cointegrating vectors ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 111(2), pages 195-221, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Soren Johansen, 2002.
"A Small Sample Correction for the Test of Cointegrating Rank in the Vector Autoregressive Model ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 70(5), pages 1929-1961, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Søren Johansen, 2002.
"Discussion ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Statistics ,
Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics, Finnish Statistical Society, Norwegian Statistical Association and Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 29(2), pages 213-216.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Dick van Dijk & Timo Teräsvirta & Philip Hans Franses, 2002.
"Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models - A Survey Of Recent Developments ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 1-47.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Davidson, James & Terasvirta, Timo, 2002.
"Long memory and nonlinear time series ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 105-112, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo, 2002.
"Evaluating GARCH models ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 417-435, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Baillie, Richard T & Bollerslev, Tim, 2002.
"The Message in Daily Exchange Rates: A Conditional-Variance Tale ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 60-68, January.
Lars Forsberg & Tim Bollerslev, 2002.
"Bridging the gap between the distribution of realized (ECU) volatility and ARCH modelling (of the Euro): the GARCH-NIG model ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 535-548.
[Downloadable!] Bollerslev, Tim & Zhou, Hao, 2002.
"Estimating stochastic volatility diffusion using conditional moments of integrated volatility ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 33-65, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2002.
"Market timing and return prediction under model instability ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 9(5), pages 495-510, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christian M. Dahl, 2002.
"An investigation of tests for linearity and the accuracy of likelihood based inference using random fields ,"
Econometrics Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 5(2), pages 263-284, 06.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Jansson, Michael, 2002.
"Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation For Linear Processes ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(06), pages 1449-1459, December.
[Downloadable!] Jansson, Michael & Haldrup, Niels, 2002.
"Regression Theory For Nearly Cointegrated Time Series ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(06), pages 1309-1335, December.
[Downloadable!] Christiansen, Charlotte, 2002.
"Credit spreads and the term structure of interest rates ,"
International Review of Financial Analysis ,
Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 279-295.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2002.
"The relation between asset returns and inflation at short and long horizons ,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money ,
Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 101-118, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christoffersen, Peter & Ghysels, Eric & Swanson, Norman R., 2002.
"Let's get "real" about using economic data ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 343-360, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen & Luca Benzoni & Jesper Lund, 2002.
"An Empirical Investigation of Continuous-Time Equity Return Models ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 57(3), pages 1239-1284, 06.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom, 2002.
" Measures of Fit for Rational Expectations Models ,"
Journal of Economic Surveys ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 16(3), pages 301-55, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom, 2002.
"Measuring noise in the Permanent Income Hypothesis ,"
Journal of Macroeconomics ,
Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 353-370, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Shephard, 2002.
"Econometric analysis of realized volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models ,"
Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series B ,
Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(2), pages 253-280.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2002.
"Estimating quadratic variation using realized variance ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 457-477.
[Downloadable!] Bent Jesper Christensen & Charlotte Strunk Hansen, 2002.
"New evidence on the implied-realized volatility relation ,"
European Journal of Finance ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 187-205, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 2001 Timo Teräsvirta & Ann-Charlotte Eliasson, 2001.
"Non-linear error correction and the UK demand for broad money, 1878-1993 ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 277-288.
[Downloadable!] Tim Bollerslev & Jonathan H. Wright, 2001.
"High-Frequency Data, Frequency Domain Inference, And Volatility Forecasting ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 83(4), pages 596-602, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Diebold, Francis X. & Ebens, Heiko, 2001.
"The distribution of realized stock return volatility ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 43-76, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim, 2001.
"Financial econometrics: Past developments and future challenges ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 41-51, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen T. G & Bollerslev T. & Diebold F. X & Labys P., 2001.
"The Distribution of Realized Exchange Rate Volatility ,"
Journal of the American Statistical Association ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 42-55, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Timmermann, Allan, 2001.
"Structural Breaks, Incomplete Information, and Stock Prices ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 19(3), pages 299-314, July.
Sullivan, Ryan & Timmermann, Allan & White, Halbert, 2001.
"Dangers of data mining: The case of calendar effects in stock returns ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 249-286, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Perez-Quiros, Gabriel & Timmermann, Allan, 2001.
"Business cycle asymmetries in stock returns: Evidence from higher order moments and conditional densities ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 103(1-2), pages 259-306, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christian Dahl & Niels Hansen, 2001.
"The Formation of Inflation Expectations under Changing Inflation Regimes ,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics ,
Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 4(4), pages 183-212.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Morten B. Jensen & Asger Lunde, 2001.
"The NIG-S&ARCH model: a fat-tailed, stochastic, and autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic volatility model ,"
Econometrics Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 4(2), pages 10.
Bunzel H. & Kiefer N. M. & Vogelsang T. J., 2001.
"Simple Robust Testing of Hypotheses in Nonlinear Models ,"
Journal of the American Statistical Association ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 1088-1096, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2001.
"The Danish stock and bond markets: comovement, return predictability and variance decomposition ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 243-271, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Linton, Oliver & Mammen, Enno & Nielsen, Jans Perch & Tanggaard, Carsten, 2001.
"Yield curve estimation by kernel smoothing methods ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 185-223, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christoffersen, Peter & Hahn, Jinyong & Inoue, Atsushi, 2001.
"Testing and comparing Value-at-Risk measures ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 325-342, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Christoffersen & Torsten Sløk & Robert Wescott, 2001.
"Is inflation targeting feasible in Poland? ,"
The Economics of Transition ,
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 9(1), pages 153-174, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Torben G. Andersen, 2001.
"Variance-ratio Statistics and High-frequency Data: Testing for Changes in Intraday Volatility Patterns ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 56(1), pages 305-327, 02.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001.
"Non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck-based models and some of their uses in financial economics ,"
Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series B ,
Royal Statistical Society, vol. 63(2), pages 167-241.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Karsten Prause, 2001.
"Apparent scaling ,"
Finance and Stochastics ,
Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 103-113.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) H. Bunzel & B. J. Christensen & P. Jensen & N. M. Kiefer & L. Korsholm & L. Muus & G. R. Neumann & M. Rosholm, 2001.
"Specification and Estimation of Equilibrium Search Models ,"
Review of Economic Dynamics ,
Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 4(1), pages 90-126, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 2000 Johansen, Soren, 2000.
"Modelling of cointegration in the vector autoregressive model ,"
Economic Modelling ,
Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 359-373, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Søren Johansen & Rocco Mosconi & Bent Nielsen, 2000.
"Cointegration analysis in the presence of structural breaks in the deterministic trend ,"
Econometrics Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 3(2), pages 216-249.
[Downloadable!] Johansen, S ren, 2000.
"A Bartlett Correction Factor For Tests On The Cointegrating Relations ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(05), pages 740-778, October.
[Downloadable!] Andersen, Torben M & Hylleberg, Svend, 2000.
"Sources of Persistence in Employment Adjustment--Denmark 1974-93 ,"
Oxford Economic Papers ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 52(1), pages 72-95, January.
Baillie, Richard T. & Bollerslev, Tim, 2000.
"The forward premium anomaly is not as bad as you think ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 471-488, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Cai, Jun, 2000.
"Intraday and interday volatility in the Japanese stock market ,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money ,
Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 107-130, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Wright, Jonathan H., 2000.
"Semiparametric estimation of long-memory volatility dependencies: The role of high-frequency data ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 81-106, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2000.
"A Recursive Modelling Approach to Predicting UK Stock Returns ,"
Economic Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 110(460), pages 159-91, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Timmermann, Allan, 2000.
"Moments of Markov switching models ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 96(1), pages 75-111, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Gabriel Perez-Quiros & Allan Timmermann, 2000.
"Firm Size and Cyclical Variations in Stock Returns ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 55(3), pages 1229-1262, 06.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Nicholas M. Kiefer & Timothy J. Vogelsang & Helle Bunzel, 2000.
"Simple Robust Testing of Regression Hypotheses ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 68(3), pages 695-714, May.
Torben M. Andersen & Niels Haldrup & Jan Rose Sørensen, 2000.
"Labour market implications of EU product market integration ,"
Economic Policy ,
CEPR, CES, MSH, vol. 15(30), pages 105-134, 04.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christoffersen, Peter F & Giorgianni, Lorenzo, 2000.
"Interest-Rate Arbitrage in Currency Baskets: Forecasting Weights and Measuring Risk ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 18(2), pages 242-53, April.
Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2000.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management? ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 82(1), pages 12-22, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christoffersen, Peter & Errunza, Vihang, 2000.
"Towards a global financial architecture: capital mobility and risk management issues ,"
Emerging Markets Review ,
Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 3-20, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter Christoffersen & Peter Doyle, 2000.
"From Inflation to Growth ,"
The Economics of Transition ,
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 8(2), pages 421-451, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G, 2000.
"Some Reflections on Analysis of High-Frequency Data ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 18(2), pages 146-53, April.
Andersen, Torben G., 2000.
"Simulation-Based Econometric Methods ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(01), pages 131-138, February.
[Downloadable!] Tom Engsted & Ken Nyholm, 2000.
"Regime shifts in the Danish term structure of interest rates ,"
Empirical Economics ,
Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 1-13.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2000.
"Exact Distributional Results for Random Resistance Trees ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Statistics ,
Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics, Finnish Statistical Society, Norwegian Statistical Association and Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 27(1), pages 129-141.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Michael Sørensen, 2000.
"Prediction-based estimating functions ,"
Econometrics Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 3(2), pages 123-147.
1999 Johansen, Soren & Swensen, Anders Rygh, 1999.
"Testing exact rational expectations in cointegrated vector autoregressive models ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 73-91, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Henrik Hansen & Søren Johansen, 1999.
"Some tests for parameter constancy in cointegrated VAR-models ,"
Econometrics Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 2(2), pages 306-333.
Skalin, Joakim & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999.
"Another Look at Swedish Business Cycles, 1861-1988 ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(4), pages 359-78, July-Aug..
[Downloadable!] Lutkepohl, Helmut & Terasvirta, Timo & Wolters, Jurgen, 1999.
"Investigating Stability and Linearity of a German M1 Money Demand Function ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(5), pages 511-25, Sept.-Oct.
[Downloadable!] Lin, Chien-Fu Jeff & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999.
"Testing parameter constancy in linear models against stochastic stationary parameters ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 193-213, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) He, Changli & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999.
"Properties of moments of a family of GARCH processes ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 173-192, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Granger, Clive W. J. & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999.
"A simple nonlinear time series model with misleading linear properties ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 161-165, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Jubinski, Dan, 1999.
"Equity Trading Volume and Volatility: Latent Information Arrivals and Common Long-Run Dependencies ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 17(1), pages 9-21, January.
Bollerslev, Tim & Ole Mikkelsen, Hans, 1999.
"Long-term equity anticipation securities and stock market volatility dynamics ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 75-99, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Lange, Steve, 1999.
"Forecasting financial market volatility: Sample frequency vis-a-vis forecast horizon ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 6(5), pages 457-477, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Clive Granger & Allan Timmermann, 1999.
"Data mining with local model specification uncertainty: a discussion of Hoover and Perez ,"
Econometrics Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 2(2), pages 220-225.
Blake, David & Lehmann, Bruce N & Timmermann, Allan, 1999.
"Asset Allocation Dynamics and Pension Fund Performance ,"
Journal of Business ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 72(4), pages 429-61, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Lunde, Asger & Timmermann, Allan & Blake, David, 1999.
"The hazards of mutual fund underperformance: A Cox regression analysis ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 121-152, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ryan Sullivan & Allan Timmermann & Halbert White, 1999.
"Data-Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 54(5), pages 1647-1691, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) David Miles & Allan Timmermann, 1999.
"Risk sharing and transition costs in the reform of pension systems in Europe ,"
Economic Policy ,
CEPR, CES, MSH, vol. 14(29), pages 251-286, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom & Haldrup, Niels, 1999.
"Estimating the LQAC Model with I(2) Variables ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(2), pages 155-70, March-Apr.
[Downloadable!] Engsted, Tom & Haldrup, Niels, 1999.
" Multicointegration in Stock-Flow Models ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 61(2), pages 237-54, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) N. E. Savin & A. H. Wurtz, 1999.
"Power of Tests in Binary Response Models ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 67(2), pages 413-422, March.
Andersen, Torben G. & Chung, Hyung-Jin & Sorensen, Bent E., 1999.
"Efficient method of moments estimation of a stochastic volatility model: A Monte Carlo study ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 61-87, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) O. E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 1999.
"Tail Exactness of Multivariate Saddlepoint Approximations ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Statistics ,
Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics, Finnish Statistical Society, Norwegian Statistical Association and Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 26(2), pages 253-264.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1998 Johansen, Soren & Schaumburg, Ernst, 1998.
"Likelihood analysis of seasonal cointegration ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 301-339, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Terasvirta, Timo, 1998.
" Comment on N. R. Ericsson, D. F. Hendry and K. M. Prestwich, "The Demand for Broad Money in the United Kingdom, 1878-1993." ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 100(1), pages 325-38, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Tobias Rydén & Timo Teräsvirta & Stefan Åsbrink, 1998.
"Stylized facts of daily return series and the hidden Markov model ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(3), pages 217-244.
[Downloadable!] Jürgen Wolters & Timo Teräsvirta & Helmut Lütkepohl, 1998.
"Modeling The Demand For M3 In The Unified Germany ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 80(3), pages 399-409, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hylleberg, Svend, 1998.
"New Capabilities and Methods of the X-12-ARIMA Seasonal-Adjustment Program: Comment ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 16(2), pages 167-68, April.
Hylleberg, Svend, 1998.
" Comment on N. R. Ericsson, D. F. Hendry and K. M. Prestwich, "The Demand for Broad Money in the United Kingdom, 1878-1993." ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 100(1), pages 329-34, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G & Bollerslev, Tim, 1998.
"Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models Do Provide Accurate Forecasts ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 885-905, November.
Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev, 1998.
"Deutsche Mark-Dollar Volatility: Intraday Activity Patterns, Macroeconomic Announcements, and Longer Run Dependencies ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 53(1), pages 219-265, 02.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Haldrup, Niels & Salmon, Mark, 1998.
"Representations of I(2) cointegrated systems using the Smith-McMillan form ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 84(2), pages 303-325, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Haldrup, Neils, 1998.
" An Econometric Analysis of I(2) Variables ,"
Journal of Economic Surveys ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 12(5), pages 595-650, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christoffersen, Peter F, 1998.
"Evaluating Interval Forecasts ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 841-62, November.
Christoffersen, Peter F & Diebold, Francis X, 1998.
"Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 16(4), pages 450-58, October.
Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold & Til Schuermann, 1998.
"Horizon problems and extreme events in financial risk management ,"
Economic Policy Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Oct, pages 109-118.
[Downloadable!] Andersen, Torben G., 1998.
"The Econometrics Of Financial Markets ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(05), pages 671-685, October.
[Downloadable!] Engsted, Tom, 1998.
"Money Demand During Hyperinflation: Cointegration, Rational Expectations, and the Importance of Money Demand Shocks ,"
Journal of Macroeconomics ,
Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 533-552, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom, 1998.
"Evaluating the Consumption-Capital Asset Pricing Model Using Hansen-Jagannathan Bounds: Evidence from the UK ,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(4), pages 291-302, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom, 1998.
"Do Farmland Prices Reflect Rationally Expected Future Rents? ,"
Applied Economics Letters ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 5(2), pages 75-79, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Asmussen, Soren & Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole. E., 1998.
"The interplay between insurance, finance and control ,"
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 1-1, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bjork, Tomas & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Gombani, Andrea, 1998.
"Some system theoretic aspects of interest rate theory ,"
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 17-23, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christensen, B. J. & Prabhala, N. R., 1998.
"The relation between implied and realized volatility1 ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 125-150, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1997 Terasvirta, Timo, 1997.
"The International Institute of Forecasters Award for the Best Forecasting Paper ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 591-592, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hylleberg, S. & Pagan, A. R., 1997.
"Seasonal integration and the evolving seasonals model ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 329-340, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Domowitz, Ian & Wang, Jianxin, 1997.
"Order flow and the bid-ask spread: An empirical probability model of screen-based trading ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 21(8-9), pages 1471-1491, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim, 1997.
"Intraday periodicity and volatility persistence in financial markets ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 4(2-3), pages 115-158, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G & Bollerslev, Tim, 1997.
" Heterogeneous Information Arrivals and Return Volatility Dynamics: Uncovering the Long-Run in High Frequency Returns ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 52(3), pages 975-1005, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Granger, Clive W J & Haldrup, Niels, 1997.
"Separation in Cointegrated Systems and Persistent-Transitory Decompositions ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 59(4), pages 449-63, November.
Boswijk, H. Peter & Franses, Philip Hans & Haldrup, Niels, 1997.
"Multiple unit roots in periodic autoregression ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 167-193, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom & Gonzalo, Jesus & Haldrup, Niels, 1997.
"Testing for multicointegration ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 56(3), pages 259-266, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom & Haldrup, Niels, 1997.
"Money demand, adjustment costs, and forward-looking behavior ,"
Journal of Policy Modeling ,
Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 153-173, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Tanggaard, Carsten, 1997.
" Nonparametric Smoothing of Yield Curves ,"
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting ,
Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 251-67, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 1997.
"Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(06), pages 808-817, December.
[Downloadable!] Andersen, Torben G. & Sorensen, Bent E., 1997.
"GMM and QML asymptotic standard deviations in stochastic volatility models: Comments on Ruiz (1994) ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 76(1-2), pages 397-403.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G. & Lund, Jesper, 1997.
"Estimating continuous-time stochastic volatility models of the short-term interest rate ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 343-377, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom & Lund, Jesper, 1997.
"Common Stochastic Trends in International Stock Prices and Dividends: An Example of Testing Overidentifying Restrictions on Multiple Cointegration Vectors ,"
Applied Financial Economics ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 7(6), pages 659-65, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 1997.
"Processes of normal inverse Gaussian type ,"
Finance and Stochastics ,
Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 41-68.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) G. Ronning & C. Heyde & O. Aalen & P. Huber & P. Loeb & D. Burkholder & Kh. Alam & O. Barndorff-Nielsen & P. Kloeden, 1997.
"Book reviews ,"
Metrika ,
Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 84-93, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christensen, Bent Jesper & Kiefer, Nicholas M., 1997.
"Inference in non-linear panel models with partially missing observations The case of the equilibrium search model ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 201-219, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1996 Jansen, Eilev S & Terasvirta, Timo, 1996.
"Testing Parameter Constancy and Super Exogeneity in Econometric Equations ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 58(4), pages 735-63, November.
Timo Teräsvirta, 1996.
"Power Properties of Linearity Tests for Time Series ,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics ,
Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 1(1), pages 3-10.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Eitrheim, Oyvind & Terasvirta, Timo, 1996.
"Testing the adequacy of smooth transition autoregressive models ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 59-75, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Kauppi, Eija & Lassila, Jukka & Terasvirta, Timo, 1996.
"Short-term forecasting of industrial production with business survey data: experience from Finland's great depression 1990-1993 ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 373-381, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hylleberg, Svend, 1996.
"Is Seasonal Adjustment a Linear or Nonlinear Data-Filtering Process? Comment ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 14(3), pages 388-89, July.
Engle, Robert F & Hylleberg, Svend, 1996.
"Common Seasonal Features: Global Unemployment ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 58(4), pages 615-30, November.
Bollerslev, Tim & Ghysels, Eric, 1996.
"Periodic Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 14(2), pages 139-51, April.
Bollerslev, Tim & Ole Mikkelsen, Hans, 1996.
"Modeling and pricing long memory in stock market volatility ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 151-184, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Baillie, Richard T. & Bollerslev, Tim & Mikkelsen, Hans Ole, 1996.
"Fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 3-30, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Timmermann, Allan, 1996.
"Excess Volatility and Predictability of Stock Prices in Autoregressive Dividend Models with Learning ,"
Review of Economic Studies ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 63(4), pages 523-57, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Miles, David & Timmermann, Allan, 1996.
"Variation in Expected Stock Returns: Evidence on the Pricing of Equities from a Cross-Section of UK Companies ,"
Economica ,
London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 63(251), pages 369-82, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Haldrup, Niels, 1996.
"Mirror image distributions and the Dickey-Fuller regression with a maintained trend ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 72(1-2), pages 301-312.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christoffersen, Peter F & Diebold, Francis X, 1996.
"Further Results on Forecasting and Model Selection under Asymmetric Loss ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(5), pages 561-71, Sept.-Oct.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G & Sorensen, Bent E, 1996.
"GMM Estimation of a Stochastic Volatility Model: A Monte Carlo Study ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 14(3), pages 328-52, July.
Andersen, Torben G, 1996.
" Return Volatility and Trading Volume: An Information Flow Interpretation of Stochastic Volatility ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 169-204, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom, 1996.
"The monetary model of the exchange rate under hyperinflation: New encouraging evidence ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 37-44, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom, 1996.
"Non-stationarity and Tax Effects in the Long-Term Fisher Hypothesis ,"
Applied Economics ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 28(7), pages 883-87, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Lund, Jesper & Engsted, Tom, 1996.
"GMM and present value tests of the C-CAPM: evidence from the Danish, German, Swedish and UK stock markets ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 497-521, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom, 1996.
"The predictive power of the money market term structure ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 289-295, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Uwe Küchler & Michael Sørensen, 1996.
"Curved exponential families of stochastic processes and their envelope families ,"
Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics ,
Springer, vol. 48(1), pages 61-74, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1995 Johansen, Soren, 1995.
"The Role of Ancillarity in Inference for Non-stationary Variables ,"
Economic Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 105(429), pages 302-20, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Johansen, Soren, 1995.
"Identifying restrictions of linear equations with applications to simultaneous equations and cointegration ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 111-132, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Johansen, S?ren, 1995.
"A Stastistical Analysis of Cointegration for I(2) Variables ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(01), pages 25-59, February.
[Downloadable!] Terasvirta, Timo, 1995.
"Modelling Nonlinearity in U.S. Gross National Product 1889-1987 ,"
Empirical Economics ,
Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 577-97.
Terasvirta, Timo, 1995.
"Professor Clive W.J. Granger: An interview for the International Journal of Forecasting ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 585-590, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Franses, Philip Hans & Hylleberg, Svend & Lee, Hahn S., 1995.
"Spurious deterministic seasonality ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 48(3-4), pages 249-256, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Haldrup, Niels & Hylleberg, Svend, 1995.
"A note on the distribution of the least squares estimator of a random walk with drift: Some analytical evidence ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 48(3-4), pages 221-228, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hylleberg, Svend, 1995.
"Tests for seasonal unit roots general to specific or specific to general? ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 5-25, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Rossi, Peter E, 1995.
"Dan Nelson Remembered ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 13(4), pages 361-64, October.
Timmermann, Allan, 1995.
"Cointegration Tests of Present Value Models with a Time-Varying Discount Factor ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(1), pages 17-31, Jan.-Marc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Satchell, Steve & Timmermann, Allan, 1995.
"On the optimality of adaptive expectations: Muth revisited ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 407-416, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 1995.
" Predictability of Stock Returns: Robustness and Economic Significance ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1201-28, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Niels Fredriksen & Peter Hansen & Henrik Jacobsen & Peter Sørensen, 1995.
"Subsidising consumer services: effects on employment, welfare and the informal economy ,"
Fiscal Studies ,
Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 16(2), pages 71-93, May.
[Downloadable!] Engsted, Tom & Tanggaard, Carsten, 1995.
" The Predictive Power of Yield Spreads for Future Interest Rates: Evidence from the Danish Term Structure ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 97(1), pages 145-59, March.
Engsted, Tom, 1995.
"Does the Long-Term Interest Rate Predict Future Inflation? A Multi-country Analysis ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 77(1), pages 42-54, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) O. Barndorff-Nielsen, 1995.
"Quasi profile and directed likelihoods from estimating functions ,"
Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics ,
Springer, vol. 47(3), pages 461-464, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1994 Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1994.
"Identification of the long-run and the short-run structure an application to the ISLM model ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 7-36, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Søren Johansen, 1994.
"The role of the constant and linear terms in cointegration analysis of nonstationary variables ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 205-229.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Søren Johansen, 1994.
"Estimating systems of trending variables ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 351-386.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Søren Johansen, 1994.
"Reply to somments on "estimating systems of trending variables" ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 423-428.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Lin, Chien-Fu Jeff & Terasvirta, Timo, 1994.
"Testing the constancy of regression parameters against continuous structural change ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 211-228, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Deutsch, Melinda & Granger, Clive W. J. & Terasvirta, Timo, 1994.
"The combination of forecasts using changing weights ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 47-57, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Baillie, Richard T & Bollerslev, Tim, 1994.
"The long memory of the forward premium ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 13(5), pages 565-571, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Melvin, Michael, 1994.
"Bid--ask spreads and volatility in the foreign exchange market : An empirical analysis ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 36(3-4), pages 355-372, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Baillie, Richard T & Bollerslev, Tim, 1994.
" Cointegration, Fractional Cointegration, and Exchange Rate Dynamics ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 49(2), pages 737-45, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Timmermann, Allan, 1994.
"Can Agents Learn to Form Rational Expectations? Some Results on Convergence and Stability of Learning in the UK Stock Market ,"
Economic Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 104(425), pages 777-97, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Timmermann, Allan, 1994.
"Present value models with feedback : Solutions, stability, bubbles, and some empirical evidence ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 18(6), pages 1093-1119, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Satchell, Steve & Timmermann, Allan, 1994.
"Optimal properties of exponentially weighted forecasts in the presence of different information sources ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 169-174, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Timmermann, Allan, 1994.
"Why do dividend yields forecast stock returns? ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 149-158, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan G., 1994.
"A generalization of the non-parametric Henriksson-Merton test of market timing ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 1-7.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Franses, Philip Hans & Haldrup, Niels, 1994.
"The Effects of Additive Outliers on Tests for Unit Roots and Cointegration ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 12(4), pages 471-78, October.
Haldrup, Niels, 1994.
"Semiparametric Tests for Double Unit Roots ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 12(1), pages 109-22, January.
Engsted, Tom & Haldrup, Niels, 1994.
"The Linear Quadratic Adjustment Cost Model and the Demand for Labour ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 9(S), pages S145-59, Suppl. De.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Haldrup, Niels, 1994.
"The asymptotics of single-equation cointegration regressions with I(1) and I(2) variables ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 153-181, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom & Tanggaard, Carsten, 1994.
"A Cointegration Analysis of Danish Zero-Coupon Bond Yields ,"
Applied Financial Economics ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 265-78, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom & Tanggaard, Carsten, 1994.
"Cointegration and the US term structure ,"
Journal of Banking & Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 167-181, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G, 1994.
"Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Models: Comment ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 12(4), pages 389-92, October.
Engsted, Tom, 1994.
"The Classic European Hyperinflations Revisited: Testing the Cagan Model Using a Cointegrated VAR Approach ,"
Economica ,
London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 61(243), pages 331-43, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christensen, Bent Jesper & Kiefer, Nicholas M, 1994.
"Measurement Error in the Prototypal Job-Search Model ,"
Journal of Labor Economics ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 12(4), pages 618-39, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1993 Hylleberg, Svend & Jorgensen, Clara & Sorensen, Nils Karl, 1993.
"Seasonality in Macroeconomic Time Series ,"
Empirical Economics ,
Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 321-35.
Rose, Elizabeth, 1993.
"Modelling seasonality : Svend Hylleberg, Ed., (Oxford University Press, New York), 476 pp., US$75.00 hard cover (ISBN 0-19-877317-X), US$35.00 paperback (ISBN 0-19-8773188) ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 580-582, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Hylleberg, S. & Lee, H. S., 1993.
"The Japanese consumption function ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 55(1-2), pages 275-298.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Engle, Robert F, 1993.
"Common Persistence in Conditional Variances ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 61(1), pages 167-86, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Baillie, Richard T. & Bollerslev, Tim & Redfearn, Michael R., 1993.
"Bear squeezes, volatility spillovers and speculative attacks in the hyperinflation 1920s foreign exchange ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 12(5), pages 511-521, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Domowitz, Ian, 1993.
" Trading Patterns and Prices in the Interbank Foreign Exchange Market ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 48(4), pages 1421-43, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Timmermann, Allan G, 1993.
"How Learning in Financial Markets Generates Excess Volatility and Predictability in Stock Prices ,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics ,
MIT Press, vol. 108(4), pages 1135-45, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Timmermann, Allan Gilling, 1993.
" Learning, Specification Search and Market Efficiency. With an Application to the Danish Stock Market ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 95(2), pages 157-73.
Engsted, Tom, 1993.
"The Term Structure of Interest Rates in Denmark 1982-89: Testing the Rational Expectations/Constant Liquidity Premium Theory ,"
Bulletin of Economic Research ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(1), pages 19-37, January.
Bentzen, Jan & Engsted, Tom, 1993.
"Short- and long-run elasticities in energy demand : A cointegration approach ,"
Energy Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 9-16, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom, 1993.
"Cointegration and Cagan's Model of Hyperinflation under Rational Expectations ,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 25(3), pages 350-60, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engsted, Tom, 1993.
"Testing for Rational Inflationary Bubbles: The Case of Argentina, Brazil and Israel ,"
Applied Economics ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 25(5), pages 667-74, May.
1992 Johansen, Soren, 1992.
"Testing weak exogeneity and the order of cointegration in UK money demand data ,"
Journal of Policy Modeling ,
Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 313-334, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Johansen, Soren, 1992.
"Determination of Cointegration Rank in the Presence of a Linear Trend ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 54(3), pages 383-97, August.
Johansen, Soren, 1992.
"Cointegration in partial systems and the efficiency of single-equation analysis ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 389-402, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Johansen, Søren & Juselius, Katarina, 1992.
"Testing structural hypotheses in a multivariate cointegration analysis of the PPP and the UIP for UK ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 53(1-3), pages 211-244.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Terasvirta, T & Anderson, H M, 1992.
"Characterizing Nonlinearities in Business Cycles Using Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(S), pages S119-36, Suppl. De.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Chou, Ray Y. & Kroner, Kenneth F., 1992.
"ARCH modeling in finance : A review of the theory and empirical evidence ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 5-59.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Baillie, Richard T. & Bollerslev, Tim, 1992.
"Prediction in dynamic models with time-dependent conditional variances ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 91-113.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Tim Bollerslev & Jeffrey Wooldridge, 1992.
"Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation and inference in dynamic models with time-varying covariances ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 143-172.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pesaran, M Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 1992.
"A Simple Nonparametric Test of Predictive Performance ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 10(4), pages 561-65, October.
1991 Johansen, Soren, 1991.
"Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-80, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Johansen, Soren, 1991.
" A Bayesian Perspective on Inference from Macroeconomic Data: Comment ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 93(2), pages 249-51.
Rita Luukkonen & Timo Terasvirta, 1991.
"Testing Linearity of Economic Time Series against Cyclical Asymmetry ,"
Annales d'Economie et de Statistique ,
ADRES, issue 20-21, pages 07, Octobre-m.
[Downloadable!] Hylleberg, Svend & Paldam, Martin, 1991.
" New Approaches to Empirical Macroeconomics: Editors' Introduction ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 93(2), pages 121-28.
Baillie, Richard T & Bollerslev, Tim, 1991.
"Intra-day and Inter-market Volatility in Foreign Exchange Rates ,"
Review of Economic Studies ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(3), pages 565-85, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Tim Bollerslev & Ray Y. Chou & Narayanan Jayaraman & Kenneth F. Kroner, 1991.
"Les modéles ARCH en finance : un point sur la théorie et les résultats empiriques ,"
Annales d'Economie et de Statistique ,
ADRES, issue 24, pages 01, Octobre-D.
[Downloadable!] Engsted, T, 1991.
"A Note on the Rationality of Survey Inflation Expectations in the United Kingdom ,"
Applied Economics ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 23(7), pages 1269-75, July.
Barndorff-Nielsen, O. E. & Sorensen, M., 1991.
"Information quantities in non-classical settings ,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis ,
Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 143-158, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1990 Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990.
"Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
Boucelham, Jamel & Terasvirta, Timo, 1990.
"Use of preliminary values in forecasting industrial production ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 463-468, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Yoo, B. S., 1990.
"Seasonal integration and cointegration ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 215-238.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim, 1990.
"Modelling the Coherence in Short-run Nominal Exchange Rates: A Multivariate Generalized ARCH Model ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 72(3), pages 498-505, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Baillie, Richard T. & Bollerslev, Tim, 1990.
"A multivariate generalized ARCH approach to modeling risk premia in forward foreign exchange rate markets ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 309-324, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1989 Hylleberg, Svend & Mizon, Grayham E, 1989.
"Cointegration and Error Correction Mechanisms ,"
Economic Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 99(395), pages 113-25, Supplemen.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hylleberg, Svend & Mizon, Grayham E., 1989.
"A note on the distribution of the least squares estimator of a random walk with drift ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 225-230.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Baillie, Richard T & Bollerslev, Tim, 1989.
"The Message in Daily Exchange Rates: A Conditional-Variance Tale ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 7(3), pages 297-305, July.
Baillie, Richard T & Bollerslev, Tim, 1989.
" Common Stochastic Trends in a System of Exchange Rates ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 44(1), pages 167-81, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) O. Barndorff-Nielsen & P. Jupp, 1989.
"Approximating exponential models ,"
Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics ,
Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 247-267, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1988 Johansen, Soren, 1988.
"Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Rahiala, Markku & Terasvirta, Timo, 1988.
"Formation of Firms' Production Decisions in Finnish Manufacturing Industries ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(2), pages 125-37, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Engle, Robert F & Wooldridge, Jeffrey M, 1988.
"A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time-Varying Covariances ,"
Journal of Political Economy ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(1), pages 116-31, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1987 Jensen, Søren Tolver & Johansen, Søren, 1987.
"Estimation of proportional covariances ,"
Statistics & Probability Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 83-85, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Judge, George & Yi, Gang & Yancey, Thomas & Terasvirta, Timo, 1987.
"The extended Stein procedure for simultaneous model selection and parameter estimation ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 35(2-3), pages 375-391, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Terasvirta, Timo, 1987.
"Usefulness of proxy variables in linear models with stochastic regressors ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 377-382, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim, 1987.
"A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time Series Model for Speculative Prices and Rates of Return ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 69(3), pages 542-47, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1986 Bollerslev, Tim, 1986.
"Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Robert Engle & Tim Bollerslev, 1986.
"Modelling the persistence of conditional variances ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1-50.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Robert Engle & Tim Bollerslev, 1986.
"Reply ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 81-87.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1985 Saikkonen, Pentti & Terasvirta, Timo, 1985.
" Modelling the Dynamic Relationship between Wages and Prices in Finland ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 87(1), pages 102-19.
Bollerslev, Tim & Hylleberg, Svend, 1985.
"A Note on the Relation between Consumers' Expenditure and Income in the United Kingdom ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 47(2), pages 153-70, May.
1982 Terasvirta, Timo, 1982.
"Underestimation of mean square error matrix in misspecified linear models ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 281-284, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bunzel, Henning & Hylleberg, Svend, 1982.
"Seasonality in dynamic regression models : A comparative study of finite sample properties of various regression estimators including band spectrum regression ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 19(2-3), pages 345-366, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1980 Terasvirta, T, 1980.
"The Polynomial Distributed Lag Revisited ,"
Empirical Economics ,
Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 69-81.
1977 Hylleberg, Svend, 1977.
"A comparative study of finite sample properties of band spectrum regression estimators ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 167-182, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1976 Terasvirta, Timo, 1976.
"A Note on Bias in the Almon Distributed Lag Estimator ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 44(6), pages 1317-21, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Leskinen, Esko & Terasvirta, Timo, 1976.
"Forecasting the consumption of alcoholic beverages in Finland : A box-Jenkins approach ,"
European Economic Review ,
Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 349-369, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hylleberg, Svend, 1976.
" An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth in 12 Countries, 1950-1969: A Comment ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 78(1), pages 111-13.
Chapters 2007 Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2007.
"Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management ,"
NBER Chapters ,
in: The Risks of Financial Institutions, pages 513-548
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] 2006 Terasvirta, Timo, 2006.
"Forecasting economic variables with nonlinear models ,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting ,
Elsevier.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2006.
"Volatility and Correlation Forecasting ,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting ,
Elsevier.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) 1986 Terasvirta, Timo & Tjostheim, Dag & W.J. Granger, Clive, 1986.
"Aspects of modelling nonlinear time series ,"
Handbook of Econometrics ,
in: R. F. Engle & D. McFadden (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 48, pages 2917-2957
Elsevier.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bollerslev, Tim & Engle, Robert F. & Nelson, Daniel B., 1986.
"Arch models ,"
Handbook of Econometrics ,
in: R. F. Engle & D. McFadden (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 49, pages 2959-3038
Elsevier.
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