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On Indicators of Possible Inter-Civilization Conflicts" in "Models for Security Policy in the Post-Cold War Era


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  • Varshavsky Alexander

    (Central Economics and Mathematics Institute RAS)

  • Varshavsky Leonid


The authors propose a set of five fundamental parameters that they consider to be indicative of future conflicts. They conclude that there is a high risk for inter-civilization conflicts which will become the major source of global instability in the next century. It would be in the West's self interest to strengthen Russia and the CIS states which belong to the Orient-Christian civilization that shows a high conflict potential vis-a-vis the Islamic and Confucian civilizations at its borders.

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Bibliographic Info

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This book is provided by Socionet in its series Books of Alexander Varshavsky with number e1996-3 and published in 1996.

Handle: RePEc:nos:qjvewn:e1996-3

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Keywords: Civilization Inter-civilization conflicts; Models; Indicators;

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