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Individual Forecasting and Aggregate Outcomes

Editor

Listed:
  • Frydman,Roman
  • Phelps,Edmund S.

Abstract

Growing out of a conference on Expectations Formation and Economic Disequilibrium held in New York City in 1981, the papers in this volume provide a complex view of market processes in which individual rationality is no guarantee of convergence to the 'correct' model and the equilibrium coordination of agents' plans. They reject the 'optimality' argument for the rational expectations hypothesis, opening the door to other hypotheses of optimal expectations of agents in the decentralized market economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Frydman,Roman & Phelps,Edmund S. (ed.), 1986. "Individual Forecasting and Aggregate Outcomes," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521310956.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:cbooks:9780521310956
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    Cited by:

    1. Roger Guesnerie & Pedro Jara-Moroni, 2011. "Expectational coordination in simple economic contexts," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 47(2), pages 205-246, June.
    2. Roger Guesnerie & Pedro Jara-Moroni, 2009. "Expectational coordination in simple economic contexts: concepts and analysis with emphasis on strategic substitutabilities," PSE Working Papers halshs-00574957, HAL.
    3. Leland B. Yeger, 1986. "The Significance of Monetary Disequilibrium," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 6(2), pages 369-420, Fall.
    4. Giamattei, Marcus, 2015. "Cold Turkey vs. Gradualism - Evidence on Disinflation Strategies from a Laboratory Experiment," Passauer Diskussionspapiere, Volkswirtschaftliche Reihe V-67-15, University of Passau, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    5. Holmes, James M. & Manning, Richard, 1988. "Memory and market stability : The case of the cobweb," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 1-7.
    6. Lall Ramrattan & Michael Szenberg, 2012. "The impact of The General Theory on Economic Theory and the Development of Public Policies: A Nested Vision of Keynes’s Ideas with the Classical Vision through a Panoramic View of his Works," Chapters, in: Thomas Cate (ed.), Keynes’s General Theory, chapter 8, Edward Elgar Publishing.

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