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Auswirkungen des demographischen Wandels auf die staatlichen Alterssicherungssysteme : Modellrechnungen bis 2050

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Author Info

  • Martin Werding
  • Harald Blau

Abstract

Gegenstand der vorliegenden Studie sind auf internationale Vergleichbarkeit angelegte Modellrechnungen zu den langfristigen Auswirkungen des demographischen Wandels auf die Alterssicherungssysteme und auf die öffentlichen Finanzen in Deutschland. Das wichtigste Ergebnis aller Varianten der Modellrechnungen ist, daß sich die Perspektiven für die Finanzierung der staatlichen Alterssicherungssysteme nach 2030 - dem Zeithorizont aller jüngeren Reformen - weiter verschlechtern. Um dieser Entwicklung Rechnung zu tragen, muß die Rentenreform weiter vorangetrieben werden und im Anschluß daran müssen die in ihrer Bedeutung zurücktretenden staatlichen Alterssicherungssysteme vermehrt durch private, kapitalgedeckte Formen der Altersvorsorge ergänzt werden.

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Bibliographic Info

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This book is provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its series ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung with number 8 and published in 2002.

Handle: RePEc:ces:ifobei:8

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Related research

Keywords: Bevölkerungsentwicklung; Alternde Bevölkerung; Alterssicherung; Gesetzliche Rentenversicherung; Ruhegehalt; Öffentliche Finanzwirtschaft; Öffentliche Schulden; Deutschland;

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Cited by:
  1. Robert Fenge & Martin Werding, 2003. "Ageing and the Tax Implied in Public Pension Schemes: Simulations for Selected OECD Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 841, CESifo Group Munich.
  2. Robert Fenge & Martin Werding, 2003. "Ageing and Fiscal Imbalances Across Generations: Concepts of Measurement," CESifo Working Paper Series 842, CESifo Group Munich.

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