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Foresight as a Special Characteristic of Complex Social Systems

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  • Éva Hideg

    ()
    (Futures Studies Centre, Budapest University of Economic Sciences and Public Administration)

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    Abstract

    There is a great difference between ordinary and emergent complex systems [Funtowitz, S.O. and Ravetz, J.R.: Emergent Complex Systems. Futures 26(6), 568-582, 1994]. One of main differences is the foresight ability of emergent systems. This paper shows some methodological approaches to forecast the possible future behaviours of complex social systems. Classification-ACM-1998: J.4; Social and behavioral sciences - Sociology

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    File URL: http://indecs.eu/2004/indecs2004-pp79-87.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu in its journal Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems.

    Volume (Year): 2 (2004)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages: 79-87

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    Handle: RePEc:zna:indecs:v:2:y:2004:i:1:p:79-87

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    Related research

    Keywords: futures studies; emergent; foresight; future orientation; evolutionary modelling;

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    1. Robert U. Ayres & Katalin Martina, s, 1996. "Wealth accumulation and economic progress," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 6(4), pages 347-359.
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