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Deutsche Konjunktur bleibt aufwärts gerichtet

Author

Listed:
  • Döhrn, Roland
  • Barabas, György
  • Gebhardt, Heinz
  • Kitlinski, Tobias
  • Micheli, Martin
  • Vosen, Simeon
  • Zwick, Lina

Abstract

Die deutsche Konjunktur ist seit Beginn dieses Jahres wieder aufwärts gerichtet. Getragen wird sie insbesondere von den privaten Konsumausgaben, während die Investitionen weiter rückläufig waren und die Außenwirtschaft kaum zur Expansion beitrug. Mit der Verbesserung der internationalen Konjunktur ist Für den Prognosezeitraum eine lebhaftere Investitionstätigkeit zu erwarten, auch weil die Finanzierungsbedingungen gut bleiben dürften. In diesem Jahr dürfte das BIP um 0,4% gegenüber dem Vorjahr zunehmen, im kommenden Jahr um 1,9%. Dabei wird sich die Lage am Arbeitsmarkt wohl weiter leicht verbessern. Die Inflation dürfte mit wachsender Kapazitätsauslastung von 1,5% im Jahresdurchschnitt 2013 auf 1,7% im kommenden Jahr anziehen.

Suggested Citation

  • Döhrn, Roland & Barabas, György & Gebhardt, Heinz & Kitlinski, Tobias & Micheli, Martin & Vosen, Simeon & Zwick, Lina, 2013. "Deutsche Konjunktur bleibt aufwärts gerichtet," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 64(2), pages 5-14.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:rwikon:13_02_i
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    1. Vosen, Simeon, 2013. "Anstieg des privaten Konsums zu Jahresbeginn vermutlich geringer als derzeit ausgewiesen," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 64(2), pages 15-18.
    2. Michael Berlemann & Gerit Vogt, 2007. "Kurzfristige Wachstumseffekte von Naturkatastrophen," ifo Working Paper Series 52, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
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    1. Döhrn, Roland, 2013. "Die Lage am Stahlmarkt: Hoffnung auf Besserung im kommenden Jahr," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 64(2), pages 19-27.
    2. Roland Döhrn, 2013. "Die Lage am Stahlmarkt – Hoffnung auf Besserung im kommenden Jahr," RWI Konjunkturbericht, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, pages 9, 06.

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