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The efficacy of financial futures as a hedging tool in electricity markets

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  • Jim Hanly
  • Lucia Morales
  • Damien Cassells

Abstract

This paper estimates and applies a risk management strategy for electricity spot exposures using futures hedging. We apply our approach to 3 of the most actively traded European electricity markets, Nordpool, APXUK, and Phelix. We compare both optimal hedging strategies and the hedging effectiveness of these markets for 2 hedging horizons, weekly and monthly using both Variance and Value at Risk. Our key finding is that electricity futures can effectively manage risk only for specific time periods when using hedging strategies that have been very successful in financial and other commodity markets. More generally, they are ineffective as a risk management tool when compared with other energy assets. This is especially true at the weekly frequency. We also find significant differences in both the optimal hedge ratios and the hedging effectiveness of the different electricity markets. Better performance is found for the Nordpool market, whereas the poorest performer in hedging terms is the Phelix market.

Suggested Citation

  • Jim Hanly & Lucia Morales & Damien Cassells, 2018. "The efficacy of financial futures as a hedging tool in electricity markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 29-40, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:23:y:2018:i:1:p:29-40
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.1600
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    Cited by:

    1. Jiaqi Jiang & Yun Feng, 2023. "Optimal hedging in the presence of internal flexibility," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4557-4571, October.
    2. Md. Samsul Alam & Sajid Ali & Naceur Khraief & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2021. "Time‐varying causal nexuses between economic growth and CO2 emissions in G‐7 countries: A bootstrap rolling window approach over 1820–2015," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 6128-6148, October.
    3. Michael L. Polemis & Mike G. Tsionas, 2023. "The environmental consequences of blockchain technology: A Bayesian quantile cointegration analysis for Bitcoin," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1602-1621, April.

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