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Willingness-to-Pay Estimates Using the Double-Bounded Dichotomous-Choice Contingent Valuation Format: A Test for Validity and Precision in a Bayesian Framework

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Author Info
Donald M. McLeod
Olvar Bergland
Abstract

The Double-Bounded Dichotomous- Choice (DB-DC) Contingent Valuation format is thought to yield more precise welfare estimates. Questions remain about its validity. The initial bid may represent information with which respondents update their willingness to pay. A Bayesian model of respondent decision making is estimated for two data sets. The results indicate updating or shifts in respondent willingness to pay between iterated valuations. Nonparametric testing of the welfare estimates reveals that the model incorporating updating yields different values from the standard model. The expected increases in the precision of the DB-DC welfare estimates are lost when updating occurs.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Wisconsin Press in its journal Land Economics.

Volume (Year): 75 (1999)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 115-125
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Handle: RePEc:uwp:landec:v:75:y:1999:i:1:p:115-125

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  1. David Aadland & Arthur Caplan & Owen Phillips, 2007. "A Bayesian examination of information and uncertainty in contingent valuation," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 149-178, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Jeffrey Czajkowski, 2006. "Identifying the True Willingness-To-Pay of Bayesian Respondents in a Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation Methodology," Working Papers 0606, Florida International University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Aadland, David & Caplan, Arthur, 2005. "A Bayesian Examination of Anchoring Bias and Cheap Talks in Constructed Markets," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19568, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association). [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-22.


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