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Predicting Real Economic Growth In France, Germany, New Zealand, And The United Kingdom

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Author Info

  • Ivan O. KITOV

Abstract

The growth rate of real GDP per capita is modeled and predicted at various time horizons for France, Germany, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom. The rate of growth is represented by a sum of two components – a gradually decreasing trend and fluctuations related to the change in country-specific age population. The trend is an inverse function of real GDP per capita with constant numerator. Previously, similar models were developed and validated for the USA and Japan.

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File URL: http://www.jaes.reprograph.ro/articles/spring2010/KitovI.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova in its journal Journal of Applied Economic Sciences.

Volume (Year): 5 (2010)
Issue (Month): 1(11)_Spring2010 ()
Pages: 48-54

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Handle: RePEc:ush:jaessh:v:5:y:2010:i:5(1)_spring2010:p:92

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Web page: http://www2.spiruharet.ro/facultati/facultate.php?id=14
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Related research

Keywords: real GDP per capita; modeling; prediction; population;

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Cited by:
  1. Ivan O. Kitov & Oleg I. Kitov, 2010. "S&P 500 returns revisited," Papers 1004.0213, arXiv.org.

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