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Economic growth in Latin America: structural breaks or fundamentals

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  • Rómulo A.Chumacero
  • J.Rodrigo Fuentes

Abstract

Despite having accumulated physical and human capital at significant rates, Latin America´s growth has been generally disappointing. Successful growth episodes have been accompanied by surges in TFP, sound and stable macroeconomic policies, and fewer distortions and government interventions. Structural breaks are often cited as sources of the disappointing and heterogeneous growth performance of countries in Latin America. We find that, once controlled for external shocks and a measure of distortions, the behavior of per capita GDP in a sample of Latin American countries is remarkably stable.

Suggested Citation

  • Rómulo A.Chumacero & J.Rodrigo Fuentes, 2006. "Economic growth in Latin America: structural breaks or fundamentals," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 33(2 Year 20), pages 141-154, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:udc:esteco:v:33:y:2006:i:2:p:141-154
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    9. Eduardo Fernández-Arias & Juan S. Blyde & Indermit S. Gill & Alexander Monge Naranjo & Pablo A. Neumeyer & Carlos G. Fernández Valdovinos & Armando Castelar Pinheiro & J. Rodrigo Fuentes & Hugo A. Hop, 2005. "Sources of Growth in Latin America: What Is Missing?," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 33798 edited by Eduardo Fernández-Arias & Juan S. Blyde & Rodolfo E. Manuelli, February.
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    2. Juan Carlos Vergara Schmalbach & Víctor Manuel Quesada Ibargüen & Melissa Manga Altamar & Vanessa Restrepo Torres, 2009. "La planeación agregada analizada desde el enfoque de la dinámica de sistemas," Revista Panorama Económico 7088, Universidad de Cartagena.
    3. Martha Yánez Contreras & Alberto Ordóñez Flórez & Luis Suarez Ávila, 2009. "Cultura de uso y explotación económica de las playas en cartagena de indias," Revista Panorama Económico 7082, Universidad de Cartagena.
    4. Efraín Cuadro Guzmán & Antonio Orozco Gallo, 2009. "Descripción metodológica y aproximación al cálculo de demanda de agua en la ciudad de Cartagena de indias para el ano 2009," Revista Panorama Económico 7081, Universidad de Cartagena.
    5. Fatma M. Utku-İsmihan, 2019. "Knowledge, technological convergence and economic growth: a dynamic panel data analysis of Middle East and North Africa and Latin America," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 713-733, March.
    6. Rómulo A. Chumacero, 2019. "Skills versus Luck: Bolivia and its recent Bonanza," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 28(1), pages 1-27, December.
    7. repec:udc:esteco:v:44:y:2017:i:2:p:97-124 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Esther Barros-Campello & Carlos Pateiro-Rodríguez & J. Venancio Salcines-Cristal & Carlos Pateiro-López, 2017. "El esquema de objetivos de inflación: Evidencia para América Latina (1999-2015)," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 44(2 Year 20), pages 223-250, December.
    9. Aiolfi, Marco & Catão, Luis A.V. & Timmermann, Allan, 2011. "Common factors in Latin America's business cycles," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(2), pages 212-228, July.
    10. Andres Escobar Espinosa, 2009. "The awakening of an andean tiger: can Colombia´s recent growth create enough employment?," Revista Panorama Económico 7085, Universidad de Cartagena.
    11. Nelson Alvis Guzmán & Luis Alvis Estrada & Aura Medina Fuentes & María Murillo Ibáñez, 2009. "Condiciones Del Acceso A Los Servicios De Salud En La Población De Cartagena De Indias," Revista Panorama Económico 7079, Universidad de Cartagena.
    12. Miranda, Jorge, 2012. "Tipo de Cambio Real en Chile: Dinámica, Tendencia y Equilibrio [Real Exchange Rate in Chile: Dynamics, Trend and Equilibrium]," MPRA Paper 43076, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Fredy Goyeneche González, 2009. "Cartagena De Indias: Globalizada Desde Su Origen, Fragmentada En Su Presente," Revista Panorama Económico 7080, Universidad de Cartagena.
    14. Tomás Fontalvo Herrera, 2009. "Diseno de un sistema de gestión de la calidad modelo para los programas académicos de educación superior," Revista Panorama Económico 7089, Universidad de Cartagena.
    15. Humberto Consuegra De La Ossa, 2009. "Turismo y desarrollo económico: ¿hace el patrimonio la diferencia en el caribe?," Revista Panorama Económico 7087, Universidad de Cartagena.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Growth; Latin America; structural breaks.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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