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Se busca una raíz unitaria: evidencia para Chile

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  • Rómulo Chumacero Escudero

    ()

Abstract

Este documento presenta evidencia contundente en contra de la hipótesis nula de que series tales como el IMACEC, el consumo o el PIB chilenos presentan una raíz unitaria. Esta evidencia se apoya en resultados derivados en Chumacero (2000) que muestran que en caso que alguna de estas variables de escala sea estacionaria en diferencia, los retornos de activos disponibles para los agentes deben presentar un comportamiento que se encuentra reñido con el observado en Chile. Por ello, debe tenerse gran cautela en no utilizar modelos econométricos en los que se impongan raíces unitarias sobre la base de tests tradicionales.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by University of Chile, Department of Economics in its journal Estudios de Economia.

Volume (Year): 27 (2000)
Issue (Month): 1 Year 2000 (June)
Pages: 55-68

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Handle: RePEc:udc:esteco:v:27:y:2000:i:1:p:55-68

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Web page: http://www.econ.uchile.cl/
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Related research

Keywords: Unit Root; Asset Pricing.;

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References

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  1. Denis Kwiatkowski & Peter C.B. Phillips & Peter Schmidt, 1991. "Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity Against the Alternative of a Unit Root: How Sure Are We That Economic Time Series Have a Unit Root?," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 979, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  2. Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum, 1989. "Unit Roots in Real GNP: Do We Know, and Do We Care?," NBER Working Papers 3130, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Nelson, Charles R. & Plosser, Charles I., 1982. "Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series : Some evidence and implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 139-162.
  4. Rómulo Chumacero & Jorge Quiroz, 1996. "La Tasa Natural de Crecimiento de la Economía Chilena: 1985-1996," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 33(100), pages 453-472.
  5. Bierens, Herman J., 1997. "Testing the unit root with drift hypothesis against nonlinear trend stationarity, with an application to the US price level and interest rate," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 29-64, November.
  6. Rómulo Chumacero, 2001. "Testing for unit roots using economics," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 102, Central Bank of Chile.
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Cited by:
  1. Pablo S. García & Luis Oscar Herrera & Rodrigo Valdés, 2001. "New Frontiers for Monetary Policy in Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 125, Central Bank of Chile.
  2. Miranda, Jorge, 2012. "Tipo de Cambio Real en Chile: Dinámica, Tendencia y Equilibrio
    [Real Exchange Rate in Chile: Dynamics, Trend and Equilibrium]
    ," MPRA Paper 43076, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Chumacero, Romulo A. & Fuentes, J. Rodrigo, 2006. "Chilean growth dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 197-214, March.
  4. Juan Rodrigo Fuentes S. & Gonzalo García, 2014. "A Disaggregate Look at Deteriorating Productivity in Chile: Has There Been Structural Change?," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 12(1), pages 04-36, April.
  5. Dutt, Amitava K. & Ros, Jaime, 2007. "Aggregate demand shocks and economic growth," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 75-99, March.
  6. Pablo García & Luis Óscar Herrera & Rodrigo O. Valdés, 2002. "New Frontiers for Monetary Policy in Chile," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Norman Loayza & Raimundo Soto & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series Editor) (ed.), Inflation Targeting: Desing, Performance, Challenges, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 15, pages 627-649 Central Bank of Chile.
  7. Rómulo A. Chumacero & J. Rodrigo Fuentes, 2002. "On the determinants of the Chilean Economic Growth," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 134, Central Bank of Chile.

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