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The Real Thing: A Dynamic Profile of the Term Structure of Real Interest Rates and Inflation Expectations in the United Kingdom, 1982-89

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  • Woodward, G Thomas

Abstract

This article estimates real interest rates and inflation expectations from market-observable data without assuming anything about the form of agents' expectation-formation mechanism. By examining prices of index-linked and conventional gilt-edged securities form the U.K. bond market, real interest rates and inflation expectations are computed quarterly beginning 1982:2 for up to fourteen maturities ranging from 1988 to 2024. Copyright 1990 by the University of Chicago.

Suggested Citation

  • Woodward, G Thomas, 1990. "The Real Thing: A Dynamic Profile of the Term Structure of Real Interest Rates and Inflation Expectations in the United Kingdom, 1982-89," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 63(3), pages 373-398, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:63:y:1990:i:3:p:373-98
    DOI: 10.1086/296512
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Robertson, Donald & Symons, James, 1997. "Real Interest Rates and Index-Linked Gilts," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, University of Manchester, vol. 65(1), pages 25-43, January.
    2. Flávio de Freitas Val & Claudio Henrique da Silveira Barbedo & Marcelo Verdini Maia, 2011. "Inflation expectation and implicit inflation: does market research provide accurate measures?," Brazilian Business Review, Fucape Business School, vol. 8(3), pages 83-100, July.
    3. Thomas Mayer, 1998. "Indexed Bonds And Heterogeneous Agents," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 16(1), pages 77-84, January.
    4. Madureira, Leonardo, 2007. "The ex ante real rate and inflation premium under a habit consumption model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 355-382, June.
    5. Shang-Wu Yu, 1999. "Approximating the term structure of interest rates in Japan," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(7), pages 403-407.
    6. Kanas, Angelos, 2014. "Bond futures, inflation-indexed bonds, and inflation risk premium," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 82-99.
    7. Aziz, Andrew R. & Prisman, Eliezer Z., 2000. "After-tax term structures of real interest rates: Inferences from the UK linked and non-linked gilt markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(9), pages 1433-1455, September.
    8. Robert L. Hetzel, 1992. "Indexed bonds as an aid to monetary policy," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 78(Jan), pages 13-23.
    9. Robertson, D. & Symons, J., 1993. "Five weeks in the life of the pound: interest rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 20983, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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