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Estimating the structural budget balance of the Australian Government

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Author Info

  • Tony McDonald

    (Treasury, Government of Australia)

  • Yong Hong Yan

    (Treasury, Government of Australia)

  • Blake Ford

    (Treasury, Government of Australia)

  • David Stephan

    (Treasury, Government of Australia)

Abstract

This paper develops estimates of the structural budget balance of the Australian Government. It describes the methodology and assumptions used in developing these estimates, includes sensitivity analysis, and explains why these estimates differ from those produced by the IMF and OECD.

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File URL: http://archive.treasury.gov.au/documents/1881/PDF/04_Structural_Budget_Balance.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Treasury, Australian Government in its journal Economic Roundup.

Volume (Year): (2010)
Issue (Month): 3 (October)
Pages: 51-79

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Handle: RePEc:tsy:journl:journl_tsy_er_2010_3_1

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Related research

Keywords: balanced budget; fiscal policy;

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References

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  1. David Gruen & Tim Robinson & Andrew Stone, 2005. "Output Gaps In Real Time: How Reliable Are They?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 81(252), pages 6-18, 03.
  2. Paul van den Noord, 2000. "The Size and Role of Automatic Fiscal Stabilizers in the 1990s and Beyond," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 230, OECD Publishing.
  3. Robert W.R. Price & Isabelle Joumard & Christophe André & Makoto Minegishi, 2008. "Strategies for Countries with Favourable Fiscal Positions," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 655, OECD Publishing.
  4. Junsoo Lee & Mark C. Strazicich, 2003. "Minimum Lagrange Multiplier Unit Root Test with Two Structural Breaks," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(4), pages 1082-1089, November.
  5. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
  6. Nathalie Girouard & Christophe André, 2005. "Measuring Cyclically-adjusted Budget Balances for OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 434, OECD Publishing.
  7. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 2003. "Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(1), pages 1-22.
  8. Jin Liu & Tony McDonald, 2010. "China: growth, urbanisation and mineral resource demand," Economic Roundup, Treasury, Australian Government, issue 2, pages 57-71, July.
  9. Isabell Koske & Nigel Pain, 2008. "The Usefulness of Output Gaps for Policy Analysis," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 621, OECD Publishing.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Nu Nu Win & Simon Duggan & Phil Garton & Spiro Premetis & Bonnie Li, 2013. "Estimating the structural budget balance of the Australian Government: An update," Treasury Working Papers 2013-01, Treasury, Australian Government, revised May 2013.

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