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The Duration of Employment Opportunities in U.S. Manufacturing

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Author Info
Dunne, Timothy
Roberts, Mark J

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Abstract

Long-duration employment opportunities are a necessary condition for workers to hold lifetime jobs. This paper uses longitudinal data on individual U.S. manufacturing plants from 1963-1982 to estimate the age and completed spell distributions for employment positions. The results indicate that, of the employment opportunities in progress in the U.S. manufacturing sector in 1982, 30.0% were at least 19 years old and 59.6% would have a completed length of at least 20 years. High rates of turnover in employment positions coexist with a large number of long-duration employment opportunities because the turnover tends to be concentrated within a subset of the producers. Copyright 1991 by MIT Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Review of Economics & Statistics.

Volume (Year): 73 (1991)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
Pages: 216-27
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:73:y:1991:i:2:p:216-27

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  1. Krause, M., 2002. "Inter-industry wage differentials and job flows," Discussion Paper 3, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  2. Robert H Mcguckin, 1990. "Longitudinal Economic Data At The Census Bureau: A New Database Yields Fresh Insight On Some Old Issues," Working Papers 90-1, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau. [Downloadable!]
  3. Louis N. Christofides & C. J. McKenna, 1993. "Employment Flows and Job Tenure in Canada," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 19(2), pages 145-161, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Timothy Dunne & Mark J Roberts, 1993. "The Long-Run Demand for Labor: Estimates From Census Establishment Data," Working Papers 93-13, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Steve J. Davis & John Haltiwanger, 1991. "Gross Job Creation, Gross Job Destruction and Employment Reallocation," NBER Working Papers 3728, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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