Money, Output, and the Expected Real Interest Rate
AbstractThis paper tests the exclusion of lagged growth rates of money and output from regression equations, with serially correlated disturbances, for the expected real interest rate. The authors empirical approach is an extension of the empirical strategies of Eugene F. Fama (1975) and Frederic S. Mishkin (1981)--which invoke the orthogonality of the inflation forecast error to predetermined regressors under the maintained hypothesis of rational expectations. They discuss the implications of their tests for simple real-business-cycle models. Copyright 1991 by MIT Press.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by MIT Press in its journal Review of Economics & Statistics.
Volume (Year): 73 (1991)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
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- Fletcher, Donna J. & Gulley, O. David, 1996. "Forecasting the real interest rate," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 55-76.
- Behzad T. Diba & Seonghwan Oh, 1988.
"Have money-stock fluctuations had a liquidity effect on expected real interest rates?,"
88-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Behzad T. Diba & Seonghwan Oh, 1988. "Have Money-Stock Fluctuations Had a Liquidity Effect on Expected Real Interest Rates," UCLA Economics Working Papers 534, UCLA Department of Economics.
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