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Why Are Long-run Parameter Estimates So Disparate?

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Author Info
Bewley, Ronald
Fiebig, Denzil G

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Abstract

The specification of dynamic models typically leads to the estimation of impact responses. A transformation that allows for the direct estimation of the implied long-run parameters is discussed and the problem of choosing an appropriate estimator is addressed. Because the standard estimators of long-run responses involve ratios of regression coefficients, they typically do not possess finite sample moments. We argue that this existence of moments problem is fundamental to the observed disparity of long-run estimates. Simulation experiments are used to evaluate the properties of the standard implied estimator and a minimum expected loss estimator. Copyright 1990 by MIT Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Review of Economics & Statistics.

Volume (Year): 72 (1990)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
Pages: 345-49
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:72:y:1990:i:2:p:345-49

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  8. Jacinto F. Fabiosa, 1999. "Institutional Impact of GATT: An Examination of Market Integration and Efficiency in the World Beef and Wheat Market under the GATT Regime," Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) Publications 99-wp218, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) at Iowa State University. [Downloadable!]
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