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Human Capital Risk And Economic Growth

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Author Info
Tom Krebs

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Abstract

This paper develops a tractable incomplete-markets model of economic growth in which households invest in risk-free physical capital and risky human capital. The paper shows that a reduction in uninsurable idiosyncratic labor income risk decreases physical capital investment, but increases human capital investment, growth, and welfare. A quantitative analysis based on a calibrated version of the model reveals that these effects are substantial and of the same order of magnitude as the effects of distortionary income taxation. The analysis further suggests that government-sponsored severance payments to displaced workers increase growth and welfare even if these payments have to be financed through distortionary income taxation. © 2001 the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology

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Publisher Info
Article provided by MIT Press in its journal The Quarterly Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 118 (2003)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
Pages: 709-744
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:qjecon:v:118:y:2003:i:2:p:709-744

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  1. Tom Krebs, 2004. "Welfare Cost of Business Cycles When Markets Are Incomplete," Working Papers 2004-08, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Krebs, tom & Krishna, Pravin & Maloney, William, 2005. "Trade policy, income risk, and welfare," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3622, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Tom Krebs, 2002. "Recursive Equilibrium in Endigenous Growth Models with Incomplete Markets," Working Papers 2002-30, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Ahmet Akyol & Kartik Artheya, 2003. "Risky higher education and subsidies," Working Paper 03-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Tom Krebs, 2003. "Growth and Welfare Effects of Business Cycles in Economies with Idiosyncratic Human Capital Risk," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 6(4), pages 846-868, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Tom Krebs, 2006. "Multi-Dimensional Risk and the Cost of Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 9(4), pages 640-658, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Miguel-Ángel Galindo Martín & Francisco Sotos & María Picazo, 2007. "Value at Risk and Economic Growth," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 214-221, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Tom Krebs, 2002. "Growth & Welfare Effects of Business Cycles In Economies with Idiosyncratic Human Capital Risk," Working Papers 2002-31, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  9. Volker Grossmann, 2004. "Risky Human Capital Investment, Income Distribution, and Macroeconomic Dynamics," DEGIT Conference Papers c009_028, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Philippe Aghion & Peter Howitt & David Mayer-Foulkes, 2004. "The Effect of Financial Development on Convergence: Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 10358, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Manjira Datta & Leonard J. Mirman & Olivier F. Morand & Kevin L. Reffett, 2005. "Markovian Equilibrium in Infinite Horizon Economies with Incomplete Markets and Public Policy," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-013/2, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Mark Huggett & Gustavo Ventura & Amir Yaron, 2007. "Sources of Lifetime Inequality," NBER Working Papers 13224, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. George-Marios Angeletos & Laurent Calvet, 2003. "Idiosyncratic Production Risk, Growth, and the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 9764, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. George-Marios Angeletos & Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet, 2004. "Incomplete Market Dynamics in a Neoclassical Production Economy," NBER Working Papers 11016, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  15. George-Marios Angeletos, 2005. "Uninsured Idiosyncratic Investment Risk and Aggregate Saving," NBER Working Papers 11180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. Alexander Whalley, 2004. "Black-White Differences in the Insurance Value of Human Capital," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 575, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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