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The Comovement of Stock Prices

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Author Info
Pindyck, Robert S
Rotemberg, Julio J

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Abstract

The authors test whether comovements of individual stock prices can be justified by economic fundamentals. This is a test of the present value model of security valuation with the constraint that changes in discount rates depend only on changes in macroeconomic variables. Then, stock prices of companies in unrelated lines of business should move together only in response to changes in current or expected future macroeconomic conditions. Using a latent variable model to capture unobserved expectations, the authors find excess comovement of returns. They show that this excess comovement can be explained in part by company size and degree of institutional ownership, suggesting market segmentation. Copyright 1993, the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Quarterly Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 108 (1993)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 1073-1104
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:qjecon:v:108:y:1993:i:4:p:1073-1104

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  3. Karolyi, G. Andrew & Lee, Kuan Hui & van Dijk, Mathijs A., 2007. "Common Patterns in Commonality in Returns, Liquidity, and Turnover around the World," Working Paper Series 2007-16, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
  4. Aureo de Paula, 2008. "Conditional Moments and Independence," PIER Working Paper Archive 08-010, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
  5. Roberto Dell’Anno & Miguel Gómez-Antonio & Angel Pardo, 2007. "The shadow economy in three Mediterranean countries: France, Spain and Greece. A MIMIC approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 51-84, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Roberto Rigobon, 1999. "On the Measurement of the International Propagation of Shocks," NBER Working Papers 7354, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Lin Peng & Wei Xiong, 2005. "Investor Attention: Overconfidence and Category Learning," NBER Working Papers 11400, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Laura Veldkamp, 2004. "Information Markets and the Comovement of Asset Prices," Working Papers 04-18, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Michael D. Bordo & Bruce Mizrach & Anna J. Schwartz, 1995. "Real Versus Pseudo-International Systemic Risk: Some Lessons from History," NBER Working Papers 5371, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Eugene N. White & Peter Rappoport, 1994. "The New York Stock Market in the 1920s and 1930s: Did Stock Prices Move Together Too Much?," NBER Working Papers 4627, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Robert S. Pindyck, 1993. "The Present Value Model of Rational Commodity Pricing," NBER Working Papers 4083, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Nicholas Barberis & Andrei Shleifer & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2002. "Comovement," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1953, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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