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Do Supply Curves Slope Up?

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Author Info
Shea, John
Abstract

This paper examines the short-run responses of price and quantity to exogenous demand shocks for disaggregated U.S. manufacturing industries, using prior information on input-output linkages to identify industries whose fluctuations are likely to function as approximately exogenous demand shocks for other industri es. I find that demand shocks induce positive covariation between price and quantity for 16 out of 26 sample industries, controlling for observa ble cost shift variables. When sample industries are pooled, I estimate that a demand shock which initially raises industry output by 1 perc ent generates a price increase of 0.182 percent within one year. I find that input-output instruments detect upward sloping supply curves mo re readily than least squares or other commonly used demand-shift instruments. Copyright 1993, the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Quarterly Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 108 (1993)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 1-32
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:qjecon:v:108:y:1993:i:1:p:1-32

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  2. Karl Whelan, 1999. "Tax incentives, material inputs, and the supply curve for capital equipment," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1999-21, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  4. Austan Goolsbee, 1997. "Investment Tax Incentives, Prices, and the Supply of Capital Goods," NBER Working Papers 6192, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Marcela Eslava & John Haltiwanger & Adriana Kugler & Maurice Kugler, 2005. "Factor Adjustments after Deregulation: Panel Evidence from Colombian Plants," IZA Discussion Papers 1751, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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  8. Plutarchos Sakellaris & Dan Wilson, 2000. "The Production-Side Approach to Estimating Embodied Technological Change," Electronic Working Papers 00-002, University of Maryland, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Magda Kandil, 2006. "Asymmetric Effects Of Aggregate Demand Shocks Across U.S. Industries: Evidence And Implications," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 32(2), pages 259-283, Spring. [Downloadable!]
  10. Martin Neil Baily & Eric J. Bartelsman & John Haltiwanger, 1996. "Labor Productivity: Structural Change and Cyclical Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 5503, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Min Ouyang, 2007. "On the cyclicality of R&D: disaggregated evidence," Working Paper 0707, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. [Downloadable!]
  12. Timothy Dunne & Kenneth R Troske & John Haltiwanger, 1996. "Technology and Jobs: Secular Changes and Cyclical Dynamics," Working Papers 96-7, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Marcela Eslava & John Haltiwanger & Adriana Kugler & Maurice Kugler, 2004. "The Effect of Structural Reforms on Productivity and Profitability Enhancing Reallocation: Evidence from Colombia," NBER Working Papers 10367, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Plutarchos Sakellaris & Daniel J. Wilson, 2001. "Quantifying embodied technological change," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory 2001-16, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Pryce, Gwilym & White, Michael, 1999. "Contiguous land use as a driver for land allocation," ERSA conference papers ersa99pa041, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
  16. Craig Burnside & Martin Eichenbaum & Sergio Rebelo, 1995. "Capital Utilization and Returns to Scale," NBER Working Papers 5125, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  17. John Shea, 1996. "Instrument Relevance in Multivariate Linear Models: A Simple Measure," NBER Technical Working Papers 0193, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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