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An Aggregate Model of Technical Change

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Author Info
Conlisk, John
Abstract

A simple aggregate growth model is presented in which technology is described by a probability distribution from which new plants are drawn. Especially good draws are viewed as technological innovations that shift the mean of the following period's plant distribution function. The resulting technical change is endogenous, random, and cumulative. In contrast to conventional growth models, the model's growth path displays nonstationary drift rather than deterministic trend, and the long-run per capita growth rate has positive rather than zero sensitivity to the model's saving parameter. Copyright 1989, the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Quarterly Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 104 (1989)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 787-821
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:qjecon:v:104:y:1989:i:4:p:787-821

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  1. Theo S Eicher & Klaas vant Veld, 2000. "Search in Research: An Evolutionary Approach to Technical Change and Growth"," Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington 0005, Department of Economics at the University of Washington. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Ricardo Lagos, 2006. "A model of TFP," Staff Report 345, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Jeroen Bergh, 2007. "Evolutionary thinking in environmental economics," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 17(5), pages 521-549, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Vaitsos, Constantine V., 2003. "Growth Theories Revisited: Enduring Questions with Changing Answers," Discussion Papers 9, United Nations University, Institute for New Technologies. [Downloadable!]
  5. Jeroen C.J.M. van den Bergh, 2004. "Evolutionary Analysis of the Relationship between Economic Growth, Environmental Quality and Resource Scarcity," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 04-048/3, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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