The Consequences of China's WTO Accession for Its Neighbors
AbstractOur simulations of a global macroeconomic model suggest that China's WTO accession could create significant welfare losses in the ASEAN-4 if foreign direct investment (FDI) is significantly redirected away from these countries toward China, and if the ASEAN-4 countries are unable to implement policies to make up for the slower rate of technological diffusion from the reduced FDI inflow. If the ASEAN-4 do not fall behind technologically, then they will be able to find lucrative niches within the lengthened international manufacturing production chains. The ASEAN-4 must therefore strengthen their abilities to absorb new foreign technologies quickly and to engage in indigenous technical innovations. Copyright (c) 2003 Center for International Development and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by MIT Press in its journal Asian Economic Papers.
Volume (Year): 2 (2003)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
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Other versions of this item:
- Warwick J. McKibbin & Wing Thye Woo, 2003. "The Consequences of China's WTO Accession on its Neighbors," Departmental Working Papers 2003-17, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
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