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'Peak Car' - Themes and Issues

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  • Phil Goodwin
  • Kurt Van Dender

Abstract

This editorial overview of the Special Issue on 'Peak Car' previews the seven papers, drawing out common themes and differences. It starts with a brief overview of the emergence and characteristics of the 'peak car' idea, including recent research and discussions. It draws out the key themes from each of the seven papers in turn and discusses implications for research and policy. It concludes that there is now little doubt that young peoples' car use has reduced, but there is still doubt about how younger people will travel as they age, or how the next generation will travel; that location and settlement density effects are very important, meaning that future population distributions will be significant; and that while 'economic' factors are still seen to be important, elasticities with respect to price and income are falling, with signs of differential responses by population categories and location. In policy terms, it concludes that with the current level of uncertainty about future car use levels, rather than developing policy based on one forecast, we should be developing policy for a range of plausible scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Phil Goodwin & Kurt Van Dender, 2013. "'Peak Car' - Themes and Issues," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 243-254, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:transr:v:33:y:2013:i:3:p:243-254
    DOI: 10.1080/01441647.2013.804133
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    1. Adam Millard‐Ball & Lee Schipper, 2011. "Are We Reaching Peak Travel? Trends in Passenger Transport in Eight Industrialized Countries," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 357-378.
    2. Tobias Kuhnimhof & Jimmy Armoogum & Ralph Buehler & Joyce Dargay & Jon Martin Denstadli & Toshiyuki Yamamoto, 2012. "Men Shape a Downward Trend in Car Use among Young Adults—Evidence from Six Industrialized Countries," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(6), pages 761-779, September.
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    Cited by:

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    4. Caroline Bayart & N. Havet & Patrick Bonnel & Louafi Bouzouina, 2019. "Young people and the private car: a love-hate relationship," Post-Print hal-02163268, HAL.
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    7. Meng Zhou & Donggen Wang, 2019. "Investigating inter-generational changes in activity-travel behavior: a disaggregate approach," Transportation, Springer, vol. 46(5), pages 1643-1687, October.
    8. Fanchao Liao & Eric Molin & Harry Timmermans & Bert van Wee, 2020. "Carsharing: the impact of system characteristics on its potential to replace private car trips and reduce car ownership," Transportation, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 935-970, April.
    9. Focas Caralampo & Panayotis Christidis, 2017. "What drives car use in Europe?," JRC Research Reports JRC105792, Joint Research Centre.
    10. Özlem Şimşekoğlu & Trond Nordfjærn & Torbjørn Rundmo, 2017. "Predictors of car use habit strength in an urban Norwegian public," Transportation, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 575-588, May.
    11. Nihan Akyelken & David Banister & Moshe Givoni, 2018. "The Sustainability of Shared Mobility in London: The Dilemma for Governance," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-13, February.
    12. Koen Frenken, 2017. "Political Economies and Environmental Futures for the Sharing Economy," Innovation Studies Utrecht (ISU) working paper series 17-01, Utrecht University, Department of Innovation Studies, revised Feb 2017.
    13. Giulio Mattioli & Jean-Pierre Nicolas & Carsten Gertz, 2018. "Editorial - Household transport costs, economic stress and energy vulnerability," Post-Print halshs-01672810, HAL.
    14. Sonja E. Forward, 2019. "Views on Public Transport and How Personal Experiences Can Contribute to a More Positive Attitude and Behavioural Change," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-23, February.
    15. Lyons, Glenn & Hammond, Paul & Mackay, Kate, 2019. "The importance of user perspective in the evolution of MaaS," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 22-36.
    16. Barla, Philippe & Herrmann, Markus & Ordas-Criado, Carlos & Miranda-Moreno, Luis F., 2015. "Are Gasoline Demand Elasticities Different across Cities?," Working Papers 208360, University of Laval, Center for Research on the Economics of the Environment, Agri-food, Transports and Energy (CREATE).
    17. Alemi, Farzad & Circella, Giovanni & Mokhtarian, Patricia & Handy, Susan, 2018. "Exploring the latent constructs behind the use of ridehailing in California," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 47-62.
    18. Sioshansi, Fereidoon & Webb, Jeremy, 2019. "Transitioning from conventional to electric vehicles: The effect of cost and environmental drivers on peak oil demand," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 7-15.
    19. Garry Glazebrook & Peter Newman, 2018. "The City of the Future," Urban Planning, Cogitatio Press, vol. 3(2), pages 1-20.
    20. Webb, Jeremy & Wilson, Clevo & Kularatne, Thamarasi, 2019. "Will people accept shared autonomous electric vehicles? A survey before and after receipt of the costs and benefits," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 118-135.
    21. Lyons, Glenn & Hammond, Paul & Mackay, Kate, 2020. "Reprint of: The importance of user perspective in the evolution of MaaS," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 20-34.
    22. Johnson, Rebecca & Shaw, Jon & Berding, Jörn & Gather, Matthias & Rebstock, Markus, 2017. "European national government approaches to older people's transport system needs," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 17-27.

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