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Economic Liberalization and Contemporary Determinants of Mexico's Internal Migration: An Application of Spatial Gravity Models

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  • Miguel Flores
  • Mary Zey
  • Nazrul Hoque

Abstract

This paper examines the determinants of interstate migration flows in Mexico for the period between 1985 and 2005. The aim is to explore internal changes in the Mexican economy as a result of the impact of trade and financial liberalization to identify factors contributing to or deterring migration flows. Internal migration is modelled using extended spatial gravity models that are then properly estimated using Poisson estimation techniques. The findings suggest a structural break in terms of a reduction of interstate migration flows in the post-NAFTA period. The evidence suggests that much of this effect could be attributed to higher levels in the indicators of trade liberalization, which appear to also offset the expected effects of wage differentials.

Suggested Citation

  • Miguel Flores & Mary Zey & Nazrul Hoque, 2013. "Economic Liberalization and Contemporary Determinants of Mexico's Internal Migration: An Application of Spatial Gravity Models," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 195-214, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:specan:v:8:y:2013:i:2:p:195-214
    DOI: 10.1080/17421772.2013.774092
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jim Airola & Chinhui Juhn, 2008. "Wage Inequality in Post-Reform Mexico," Journal of Income Distribution, Ad libros publications inc., vol. 17(1), pages 110-134, March.
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    4. Pia M. Orrenius, 2001. "Illegal immigration and enforcement along the southwest border," Monograph, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2001iiaeats.
    5. Jim Airola & Chinhui Juhn, 2008. "Wage Inequality in Post-Reform Mexico," Journal of Income Distribution, Ad libros publications inc., vol. 17(1), pages 110-134, March.
    6. Aguayo-Téllez, Ernesto & Muendler, Marc-Andreas & Poole, Jennifer P., 2010. "Globalization and Formal Sector Migration in Brazil," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 840-856, June.
    7. Joakim Westerlund & Fredrik Wilhelmsson, 2009. "Estimating the gravity model without gravity using panel data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(6), pages 641-649.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lara, Jaime Lara & Gómez, Bernardo Garza & Barrón, Dania Monárrez & Zambrano , Emilio Mátar & García, Gustavo Vázquez, 2023. "Selective Migration and Economic Growth in México," Journal of Economic Development, The Economic Research Institute, Chung-Ang University, vol. 48(1), pages 129-144, March.
    2. Fernandez-Dominguez Amilcar Orlian, 2020. "Effect of Actual and Perceived Violence on Internal Migration: Evidence from Mexico’s Drug War," IZA Journal of Development and Migration, Sciendo & Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 11(1), pages 1-27, January.
    3. María Gutiérrez-Portilla & Adolfo Maza & María Hierro, 2018. "Foreigners versus natives in Spain: different migration patterns? Any changes in the aftermath of the crisis?," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 61(1), pages 139-159, July.
    4. Pantelis Kazakis, 2019. "On the nexus between innovation, productivity and migration of US university graduates," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 465-485, October.

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