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Testing Wagner's law for Turkey, 1960-2000

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Author Info
Ferda Halicioğlu

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Abstract

This paper presents an empirical analysis of Wagner's law in the case of Turkey over the period 1960-2000. The paper uses modern time-series econometric techniques to test the law's proposition that in the course of economic development, government expenditures increase. The results of this study do not support the empirical validity of Wagner's law for Turkey for the period 1960-2000. However, the paper finds statistical evidence for an augmented version of Wagner's law.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Review of Middle East Economics and Finance.

Volume (Year): 1 (2003)
Issue (Month): 2 (August)
Pages: 129-140
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Handle: RePEc:taf:rmdest:v:1:y:2003:i:2:p:129-140

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Related research
Keywords: Wagner's Law Co-integration Causality Jel Classifications: E6 H5 Q4

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-72, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
  4. Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987. "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-76, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Hsieh, Edward & Lai, Kon S, 1994. "Government Spending and Economic Growth: The G-7 Experience," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 26(5), pages 535-42, May.
  6. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-38, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Asseery, A A & Law, D & Perdikis, N, 1999. "Wagner's Law and Public Expenditure in Iraq: A Test Using Disaggregated Data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 39-44, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Courakis, Anthony S & Moura-Roque, Fatima & Tridimas, George, 1993. "Public Expenditure Growth in Greece and Portugal: Wagner's Law and Beyond," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 125-34, January.
  9. Gonzalo, Jesus, 1994. "Five alternative methods of estimating long-run equilibrium relationships," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1-2), pages 203-233. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Thornton, John, 1999. "Cointegration, Causality and Wagner's Law in 19th Century Europe," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 6(7), pages 413-16, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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