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Financial fragility, effective demand and the business cycle

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  • Mark Setterfield

Abstract

A shifting equilibrium model of effective demand is constructed, in which the state of long run expectations is non-constant, and is affected by the disappointment of short-run expectations. It is shown that this model gives rise to cumulative expansions/contractions in nominal income. Changes in the financial fragility of households and firms in the course of these expansions/contractions are then allowed for, together with commercial bank reactions to changing financial fragility. It is shown that turning points in the expansions/contractions of nominal income can arise, resulting in a model of aggregate fluctuations in which the business cycle is aperiodic and of no fixed amplitude.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark Setterfield, 2004. "Financial fragility, effective demand and the business cycle," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 207-223.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:revpoe:v:16:y:2004:i:2:p:207-223
    DOI: 10.1080/0953825042000183190
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Paul Davidson, 1978. "Money and the Real World," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, edition 0, number 978-1-349-15865-2.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ryoo, Soon, 2010. "Long waves and short cycles in a model of endogenous financial fragility," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 74(3), pages 163-186, June.
    2. Gabriel Porcile & Alexandre C.Gomes de Souza & Ricardo Viana, 2008. "Developing Countries in Times of Globalization: A Kaleckian-Minskyan Macro-Model," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807180125330, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    3. Maria Nikolaidi, 2017. "Three decades of modelling Minsky: what we have learned and the way forward," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 14(2), pages 222-237, September.
    4. Soumya Datta, 2016. "Macrodynamics of debt-financed investment-led growth with interest rate rules," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 593-624, October.
    5. Datta, Soumya, 2012. "Cycles and Crises in a Model of Debt-financed Investment-led Growth," MPRA Paper 50200, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Dec 2012.
    6. Juan Laborda & Vicente Salas & Cristina Suárez, 2021. "Financial constraints on R&D projects and minsky moments: containing the credit cycle," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 1089-1111, September.
    7. Antonio Meirelles & Gilberto Lima, 2006. "Debt, financial fragility, and economic growth: a Post Keynesian macromodel," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 93-115.
    8. Michalis Nikiforos, 2017. "Uncertainty and Contradiction: An Essay on the Business Cycle," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 49(2), pages 247-264, June.
    9. Michalis Nikiforos, 2015. "Uncertainty and Contradiction: An Essay on the Business Cycle," Working Papers 1514, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.

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