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Globalization and Regional Disparity: A Canadian Case Study

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  • Serge Coulombe

Abstract

Coulombe S. (2007) Globalization and regional disparity: a Canadian case study, Regional Studies 41, 1-17. In this paper international and interprovincial trade flows are modelled as time-varying controls of steady-state growth paths. The models use conditional-convergence, time-series-cross-sectional analysis of Canadian provincial data over the 1981-2000 sample period. International trade appears to have a significant and substantial positive level effect on relative per-capita gross domestic product in the long run. Analysis of the estimated steady-state growth paths indicates the convergence processes observed across Canadian provinces since 1981 could be accounted for by the convergence of international trade flows. These international trade flows might be viewed as fundamental determinants of steady-state growth paths. Coulombe S. (2007) La mondialisation et les ecarts regionaux: une etude de cas canadienne, Regional Studies 41, 1-17. Cet article cherche a modeliser des flux d'echanges internationaux et interregionaux en tant que controles des sentiers de croissance continus qui varient sur le temps. Les modeles emploient une analyse fondee sur la convergence conditionnelle et sur les donnees en serie temporelle et transversales pour les provinces canadiennes de 1981 jusqu'a l'an 2000. Il parait que les echanges internationaux aient un important effet positif non-negligeable sur le PIB par tete relatif a long terme. Une analyse des sentiers de croissance continus estimes indiquent que les processus de convergence observes a travers les provinces canadiennes depuis 1981 pourraient s'expliquer par la convergence des flux d'echanges internationaux. On pourrait considerer ces flux d'echanges internationaux comme la condition prealable des sentiers de croissance continus. Convergence regionale Convergence conditionnelle Integration economique regionale Echanges et croissance Modele de croissance neo-classique Donnees en serie temporelle-donnees transversales Coulombe S. (2007) Globalisierung und regionale Disparitat: eine kanadische Fallstudie, Regional Studies 41, 1-17. In diesem Beitrag werden die Handelsstrome zwischen verschiedenen Landern und Provinzen als zeitlich variierende Regler von stationaren Wachstumspfaden modelliert. In den Modellen werden konditionale Konvergenzanalysen sowie Zeitreihen-Querschnittsanalysen von Daten aus kanadischen Provinzen im Zeitraum von 1981 bis 2000 durchgefuhrt. Der internationale Handel scheint langfristig eine signifikante und wesentliche positive Ausgleichswirkung auf das relative Pro-Kopf-BIP auszuuben. Aus einer Analyse der geschatzten stationaren Wachstumspfade geht hervor, dass sich die in den kanadischen Provinzen seit 1981 beobachteten Konvergenzprozesse u. U. durch die Konvergenz der internationalen Handelsstrome erklaren lassen. Man konnte diese internationalen Handelsstrome als fundamentale Determinanten stationarer Wachstumspfade betrachten. Regionale Konvergenz Konditionale Konvergenz Regionale Wirtschaftsintegration Handel und Wachstum Neoklassisches Wachstumsmodell Zeitreihen-Querschnittsdaten Coulombe S. (2007) Globalizacion y desigualdades regionales: un ejemplo practico de Canada, Regional Studies 41, 1-17. En este ensayo, los flujos del comercio internacional e interprovincial se modelan en funcion de los controles de tiempo variable de las vias de crecimiento en estado estable. Los modelos utilizados son la convergencia condicional y los analisis transversales y temporales de los datos provinciales de Canada durante el periodo de muestra de 1981-2000. El comercio internacional parece tener un significativo e importante efecto positivo en nivelar a largo plazo el PIB per capita relativo. Los analisis llevados a cabo con respecto a las vias estimadas de crecimiento en estado estable indican que los procesos de convergencia observados en las provincias canadienses desde 1981 podrian haber sido causadas por la convergencia de los flujos de comercio internacional. Estos flujos de comercio internacional podrian considerarse determinantes fundamentales de las vias de crecimiento en estado estable. Convergencia regional Convergencia condicional Integracion economica regional Comercio y crecimiento Modelo de crecimiento neoclasico Datos temporales con diseno transversal

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Regional Studies.

Volume (Year): 41 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 1-17

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Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:41:y:2007:i:1:p:1-17

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Related research

Keywords: Regional convergence; Conditional convergence; Regional economic integration; Trade and growth; Neo-classical growth model; Time-series-cross-sectional data;

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Cited by:
  1. Michel Beine & Charles S. Bos & Serge Coulombe, 2009. "Does the Canadian Economy suffer from Dutch Disease?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 09-096/4, Tinbergen Institute.

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