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Regional Growth and Convergence: Evidence from the United States

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  • Efthymios Tsionas

Abstract

TSIONAS E. G. (2000) Regional growth and convergence: evidence from the United States, Reg. Studies 34 , 231-238. The paper considers regional convergence in the US. Both g - and † -convergence tests indicate that in the period 1977-96 regional incomes do not converge, yet kernel density estimates of the distribution show some variation in the tail characteristics of the distribution. Using finite normal mixtures to examine time invariance of the distribution in a more formal way, the paper concludes that the distribution of the logarithms of regional income has indeed shown very little time variation. The distribution of income percentages shows some mobility, there is a structural break in mixing probabilities, mixing means and variances, but the mobility is not strong enough to imply a radical change in the co-movement patterns of regional means. TSIONAS E. G. (2000) La croissance et la convergence regionales: des preuves provenant des Etats-Unis, Reg. Studies 34 , 231-238. Cet article cherche a etudier la convergence aux Etats-Unis. Et le test de convergence g - et le test de convergence † - laissent voir que les revenus regionaux ne convergent pas entre 1977 et 1996. Toujours est-il que les estimations fondamentales de densite de la distribution laisse voir une certaine variation des caracteristiques de queue de la distribution. Employant des melanges normaux finis pour examiner de facon plus formelle l'invariance temps de la distribution, l'article conclut que la distribution des logarithmes du revenu regional a en effet varie tres peu sur le temps. La distribution des pourcentages de revenu montre une certaine mobilite. Il y a une rupture structurelle des probabilites de melange des moyennes de melanges et des variances. Cependant, la mobilite ne s'avere pas suffisamment forte pour laisser supposer un changement radical des distributions de mouvement simultane des moyennes regionales. TSIONAS E. G. (2000) Regionales Wachstum und Konvergenz: Beweise aus den Vereinigten Staaten, Reg. Studies 34 , 231-238. Dieser Aufsatz beschaftigt sich mit regionaler Konvergenz in den Vereinigten Staaten. Sowohl g als auch † Konvergenzprufungen zeigen, dass regionale Einkommen sich im Zeitraum 1977-1996 nicht aneinander annahern, doch Kerndichteschatzungen der Verteilung weisen bei den zuletzt aufgefuhrten Merkmalen einige Abweichungen in der Verteilung auf. Der Aufsatz benutzt begrenzte Normalmischungen zur Untersuchung der Zeitinvarianz der Verteilung auf formalere Art, und folgert, dass die Verteilung der Logarithmen eines regionalen einkommens tatsachlich nur sehr geringe zeitliche Abweichungen aufgewiesen hat. Die Verteilung der Einkommensprozentsatze erweist sich als etwas beweglicher, es gibt eine strukturelle Unterbrechung bei der Mischung von Wahrscheinlichkeiten, der Mischung von Mitteln und Abweichungen, doch ist die Beweglichkeit nicht stark genug, eine radikale Wende in den simultanen Bewegungsmustern regionaler Mittel anzuzeigen.

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  • Efthymios Tsionas, 2000. "Regional Growth and Convergence: Evidence from the United States," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 231-238.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:34:y:2000:i:3:p:231-238
    DOI: 10.1080/00343400050015078
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