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The short-run dynamics of inter-state migration: A space-time economic adjustment model of in-migration to fast growing States

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Author Info
Kenneth Ballard
Gordon Clark
Abstract

Ballard K. P. and Clark G. L. (1981) The short-run dynamics of inter-state migration: a space-time economic adjustment model of in-migration to fast growing States, Reg. Studies 15, 213--228. Interregional migration is analyzed with respect to its short-run responsiveness to economic fluctuations and its efficiency as a spatial labour market allocation mechanism. Using a space-time analytical framework, in-migration to four fast growing States of the United States is analyzed over the period 1958--1975. It is shown via a time-series model, employing a Koyck-distributed lag methodology, that short-run in-migration is in fact responsive to economic fluctuations. Both employment and turnover variables figure prominently in this regard. By a cross-sectional analysis it is also shown that in-migrants to fast growing States do not necessarily come from depressed or low-growth regions. Thus, interregional migration may not be an efficient allocator of labour across the aggregate spatial system in the short or long run.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Regional Studies.

Volume (Year): 15 (1981)
Issue (Month): 3 (June)
Pages: 213-228
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Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:15:y:1981:i:3:p:213-228

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Related research
Keywords: Space-time dynamics; Short-run migration; Turnover; Economic adjustment; Origins; Destinations;

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Fields, Gary S, 1979. "Place-to-Place Migration: Some New Evidence," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 61(1), pages 21-32, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Bartel, Ann P, 1979. "The Migration Decision: What Role Does Job Mobility Play?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(5), pages 775-86, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. J R Miron, 1978. "Job-search perspectives on migration behaviour," Environment and Planning A, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 10(5), pages 519-535, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Liu, Ben-chieh, 1975. "Differential Net Migration Rates and the Quality of Life," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 57(3), pages 329-37, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Graves, Philip E., 1979. "A life-cycle empirical analysis of migration and climate, by race," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 135-147, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Brechling, Frank, 1973. "Wage Inflation and the Structure of Regional Unemployment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 5(1), pages 355-79, Part II F. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Martin S. Feldstein, 1975. "The Importance of Temporary Layoffs: An Empirical Analysis," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 6(1975-3), pages 725-745. [Downloadable!]
  8. M J Greenwood, 1973. "Urban economic growth and migration: their interaction," Environment and Planning A, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 5(1), pages 91-112, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Fields, Gary S, 1976. "Labor Force Migration, Unemployment and Job Turnover," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 58(4), pages 407-15, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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