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Eighty years of urban development in New Zealand: impacts of economic and natural factors

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Listed:
  • Arthur Grimes
  • Eyal Apatov
  • Larissa Lutchman
  • Anna Robinson

Abstract

We analyse impacts of economic and other factors on long-run urban growth in New Zealand. Growing cities must have preferred attributes (such as natural characteristics, social amenities and transport infrastructures) relative to other cities. We outline a theoretical model that includes distance-related effects on individual utility and thence population location. We test the model over 1926 to 2006 across 56 New Zealand towns using instruments dating from 1880 to deal with potential endogeneity. Three factors – land-use capability, sunshine hours and proximity to Auckland – are found to influence settlements’ long-run population growth. In addition, the proportion of population that is Māori is negatively correlated with population growth over the second half of the sample period. Supplementary evidence suggests that this variable relates to the importance of human capital for the growth of settlements over recent decades.

Suggested Citation

  • Arthur Grimes & Eyal Apatov & Larissa Lutchman & Anna Robinson, 2016. "Eighty years of urban development in New Zealand: impacts of economic and natural factors," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(3), pages 303-322, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:nzecpp:v:50:y:2016:i:3:p:303-322
    DOI: 10.1080/00779954.2016.1193554
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Grimes, Arthur & Tarrant, Nicholas, 2013. "A New Zealand Urban Population Database," Working Papers 13_07, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    2. Javier Garcia & Marti Parellada & Nèstor Duch, 2011. "How do universities affect the regional economic growth? Evidence from Spain," ERSA conference papers ersa10p911, European Regional Science Association.
    3. Maurice J.G. Bun & Sarafidis, V., 2013. "Dynamic Panel Data Models," UvA-Econometrics Working Papers 13-01, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Dept. of Econometrics.
    4. Néstor Duch-Brown & Javier García-Estévez & Martí Parellada-Sabata, 2011. "Universities and regional economic growth in Spanish regions," Working Papers 2011/6, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
    5. Néstor Duch-Brown & Javier García-Estévez & Martí Parellada-Sabata, 2011. "Universities and regional economic growth in Spanish regions," Working Papers 2011/6, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
    6. Coleman, Andrew, 2012. "The Effect of Transport Infrastructure on Home Production Activity: Evidence from Rural New York, 1825–1845," Working Papers 12_01, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    7. Arthur Grimes & Robert MacCulloch & Fraser McKay, 2015. "Indigenous Belief in a Just World: New Zealand M?ori and other Ethnicities Compared," Working Papers 15_14, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kate Preston & David C Maré & Arthur Grimes & Stuart Donovan, 2018. "Amenities and the attractiveness of New Zealand cities," Working Papers 18_14, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    2. Fleming, David & Grimes, Arthur & Lebreton, Laurent & Maré, David & Nunns, Peter, 2018. "Valuing sunshine," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 268-276.
      • David Fleming & Arthur Grimes & Laurent Lebreton & David C Maré & Peter Nunns, 2017. "Valuing Sunshine," Working Papers 17_13, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    3. Andrew Coleman & Özer Karagedikli, 2018. "Residential construction and population growth in New Zealand: 1996-2016," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2018/02, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    4. Stuart Donovan & Arthur Grimes & David C. Maré, 2020. "Modelling urban development in New Zealand," Working Papers 20_07, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    5. Andrew Coleman & David C Maré & Guanyu Zheng, 2019. "New jobs, old jobs: The evolution of work in New Zealand's cities and towns," Working Papers 2019/01, New Zealand Productivity Commission.

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