Design flaws in the construction of monetary conditions indices? A cautionary note
AbstractMonetary conditions indices featured prominently as instrument variables or operating targets, particularly in the inflation-targeting countries during the 1990s. In this paper, we show that conventional monetary conditions indices are potentially mis-specified. Under a regime of strict inflation targeting, conventional MCIs are unreliable indicator variables or operating targets if there is a direct exchange rate effect on the rate of inflation in the Phillips Curve. We also point to the limitations of a standard MCI under strict inflation targeting. The policymaker can circumvent these limitations by redefining the inflation target. Nevertheless, from a general perspective the usefulness of MCIs in the conduct of monetary policy is doubtful in view of their model-specific nature.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal New Zealand Economic Papers.
Volume (Year): 36 (2002)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
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Web page: http://www.tandfonline.com/RNZP20
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- Buckle, Robert A. & Kim, Kunhong & Kirkham, Heather & McLellan, Nathan & Sharma, Jarad, 2007. "A structural VAR business cycle model for a volatile small open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(6), pages 990-1017, November.
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