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Epidemics and Fertility in a Malthusian Economy

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  • JEAN-PIERRE LAFFARGUE

Abstract

A Malthusian model clarifies the effects of an epidemic on fertility and on the age structure. An HIV/AIDS epidemic leads to a decrease in fertility, a result consistent with the case of sub-Saharan Africa but sensitive to national conditions. The fall of fertility might be limited to one generation.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Pierre Laffargue, 2012. "Epidemics and Fertility in a Malthusian Economy," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 4-26, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:mpopst:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:4-26
    DOI: 10.1080/08898480.2012.640863
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Chinhui Juhn & Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan & Belgi Turan, 2013. "HIV and fertility in Africa: first evidence from population-based surveys," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 26(3), pages 835-853, July.
    2. Dalton Conley & Gordon C. McCord & Jeffrey D. Sachs, 2007. "Africa's Lagging Demographic Transition: Evidence from Exogenous Impacts of Malaria Ecology and Agricultural Technology," NBER Working Papers 12892, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Gregory Clark, 2007. "Introduction to A Farewell to Alms: A Brief Economic History of the World," Introductory Chapters, in: A Farewell to Alms: A Brief Economic History of the World, Princeton University Press.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chan, Kenneth S. & Laffargue, Jean-Pierre, 2016. "Plunder and tribute in a Malthusian world," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 138-150.
    2. Ilan Noy & Nguyen Doan & Benno Ferrarini & Donghyun Park, 2019. "Measuring the Economic Risk of Epidemics," CESifo Working Paper Series 8016, CESifo.

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