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National economic trends, market size and city growth effects on European office rents

Author

Listed:
  • Eamonn D'Arcy
  • Tony McGough
  • Sotiris Tsolacos

Abstract

This paper extends existing research on European office markets. Using a time-series cross-sectional methodology it examines the influence on office rents in 22 European cities of national economic conditions, market size and measures of economic growth and change in the city economy over the period 1982-94. The results demonstrate the significance of national real GDP changes and real interest rates in explaining European real office rental movements. In contrast, market size and city growth effects appear to have an insignificant impact on office rents.

Suggested Citation

  • Eamonn D'Arcy & Tony McGough & Sotiris Tsolacos, 1997. "National economic trends, market size and city growth effects on European office rents," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 297-308, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jpropr:v:14:y:1997:i:4:p:297-308
    DOI: 10.1080/095999197368546
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Eamonn D'Arcy & Geoffrey Keogh, 1998. "Territorial Competition and Property Market Process: An Exploratory Analysis," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 35(8), pages 1215-1230, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Eddie Chi Man Hui & Ka Hung Yu, 2006. "Simulating Hong Kong’s Office Leasing Market via System Dynamics Modeling," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 9(1), pages 23-43.
    2. John Henneberry & Tony McGough & Fotis Mouzakis, 2005. "The Impact of Planning on Local Business Rents," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 42(3), pages 471-502, March.
    3. Dirk Brounen & Maarten Jennen, 2009. "Local Office Rent Dynamics," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 39(4), pages 385-402, November.
    4. Michael White & Qiulin Ke, 2014. "Investigating the dynamics of, and interactions between, Shanghai office submarkets," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 26-44, March.
    5. Richard Malle, 2010. "Un modèle à équations simultanées du cycle des bureaux en région parisienne," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 194(3), pages 93-108.
    6. V. Öven & Dilek Pekdemir, 2006. "Office Rent Determinants Utilising Factor Analysis—A Case Study for İstanbul," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 51-73, August.
    7. V. Atilla Oven & Dilek Pekdemir, 2006. "Perceptions of office rent determinants by real estate brokerage firms in Istanbul," European Planning Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 557-576, May.
    8. V.Atilla Oven & Dilek Pekdemir, 2004. "A comparison between office rent determinants of Istanbul and other major metropolitan areas," ERSA conference papers ersa04p166, European Regional Science Association.
    9. Jaroslaw Morawski, 2022. "Impact of working from home on European office rents and vacancy rates," Zeitschrift für Immobilienökonomie (German Journal of Real Estate Research), Springer;Gesellschaft für Immobilienwirtschaftliche Forschung e. V., vol. 8(2), pages 173-188, October.
    10. Kieran Farrelly & Ben Sanderson, 2005. "Modelling Regime Shifts in the City of London Office Rental Cycle," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 325-344, December.
    11. Nikodem Szumilo & Franz Fuerst, 2015. "Who captures the "green value" in the US office market?," Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1-2), pages 65-84, April.
    12. Dimitrios Papastamos & George Matysiak & Simon Stevenson, 2014. "A Comparative Analysis of the Accuracy and Uncertainty in Real Estate and Macroeconomic Forecasts," Real Estate & Planning Working Papers rep-wp2014-06, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    13. Sotiris Tsolacos & Tony McGough, 1999. "Rational Expectations, Uncertainty and Cyclical Activity in the British Office Market," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 36(7), pages 1137-1149, June.
    14. Charles-Olivier Amédée-Manesme & Francois Des Rosiers & Philippe Grégoire, 2017. "Commercial leases, terms and options in the light of game theory," ERES eres2017_175, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    15. Dirk Brounen & Maarten Jennen, 2009. "Asymmetric Properties of Office Rent Adjustment," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 336-358, October.

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