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Mis-invoicing and Trade Policy

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  • Amit Biswas
  • Sugata Marjit

Abstract

Trade statistics reported through official sources may not provide the right information because a regulated system does not induce truthful revelation. Hence, policy prescriptions or evaluations based on official statistics can be misleading. For example, the impact of a devaluation on exports and a decline in tariffs on imports will be overestimated under such circumstances. We adopt the well-known methodology of utilizing partner country statistics to reflect the consequences of devaluations of the Indian Rupee on exports and imports from 1960 to 1998. First statistical evidence is presented, then tractable analytical results are developed.

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File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13841280500181684
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Journal of Economic Policy Reform.

Volume (Year): 8 (2005)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 189-205

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Handle: RePEc:taf:jpolrf:v:8:y:2005:i:3:p:189-205

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Related research

Keywords: Black market premium; mis-invoicing of trade data;

References

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  1. Phylaktis, Kate, 1991. "The black market for dollars in Chile," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(1-2), pages 155-172, November.
  2. Kamin, Steven B., 1993. "Devaluation, exchange controls, and black markets for foreign exchange in developing countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 151-169, February.
  3. Marjit, Sugata & Shi, Heling, 1998. "On controlling crime with corrupt officials," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 163-172, January.
  4. Lucas, Robert Jr, 1976. "Econometric policy evaluation: A critique," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 19-46, January.
  5. Sheikh, Munir A., 1976. "Black market for foreign exchange, capital flows and smuggling," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 9-26, March.
  6. Kemp, Murray C., 1976. "Smuggling and optimal commercial policy," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(3-4), pages 381-384.
  7. Falvey, Rodney E, 1978. "A Note on Preferential and Illegal Trade under Quantitative Restrictions," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 92(1), pages 175-78, February.
  8. Jagdish N. Bhagwati & T. N. Srinivasan, 1975. "Foreign Trade Regimes and Economic Development: India," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number bhag75-1, October.
  9. Martin, Lawrence & Panagariya, Arvind, 1984. "Smuggling, trade, and price disparity: A crime-theoretic approach," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(3-4), pages 201-217, November.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Biswas, Amit K. & Sengupta, Sarbajit, 2010. "Tariffs and imports mis-invoicing under oligopoly," Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics 06/10, Dresden University of Technology, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics.
  2. Yalta, A. Yasemin & Demir, Ishak, 2010. "The Extent of Trade Mis-Invoicing in Turkey: Did Post-1990 Policies Matter?," MPRA Paper 30186, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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