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Mis-invoicing and Trade Policy

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Author Info
Amit Biswas
Sugata Marjit

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Abstract

Trade statistics reported through official sources may not provide the right information because a regulated system does not induce truthful revelation. Hence, policy prescriptions or evaluations based on official statistics can be misleading. For example, the impact of a devaluation on exports and a decline in tariffs on imports will be overestimated under such circumstances. We adopt the well-known methodology of utilizing partner country statistics to reflect the consequences of devaluations of the Indian Rupee on exports and imports from 1960 to 1998. First statistical evidence is presented, then tractable analytical results are developed.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal The Journal of Policy Reform.

Volume (Year): 8 (2005)
Issue (Month): 3 (September)
Pages: 189-205
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Handle: RePEc:taf:jpolrf:v:8:y:2005:i:3:p:189-205

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Related research
Keywords: Black market premium; mis-invoicing of trade data;

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Martin, Lawrence & Panagariya, Arvind, 1984. "Smuggling, trade, and price disparity: A crime-theoretic approach," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(3-4), pages 201-217, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Phylaktis, Kate, 1991. "The black market for dollars in Chile," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(1-2), pages 155-172, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Lucas, Robert Jr, 1976. "Econometric policy evaluation: A critique," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 19-46, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Kemp, Murray C., 1976. "Smuggling and optimal commercial policy," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(3-4), pages 381-384. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-27.


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