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Macroeconomic implications of voucher privatization in a model with incomplete information

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  • Damien Besancenot
  • Radu Vranceanu

Abstract

Voucher privatization implies a significant wealth transfer from state to private agents who, in turn, would increase consumption. This paper investigates the consequences of this wealth effect on the macroeconomic equilibrium in a high unemployment economy. The model builds on a two-stage sequential game between the government and private agents. We verify the existence of a pooling equilibrium in which private agents cannot guess whether a policy of fast privatization will be continued in the future or not. This configuration presents an endogenous probability of privatization slowdown; as a consequence, the wealth effect is moderated and the genuine fast privatizer government bears an “undue” credibility cost in terms of employment

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  • Damien Besancenot & Radu Vranceanu, 2001. "Macroeconomic implications of voucher privatization in a model with incomplete information," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 147-164.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jpolrf:v:4:y:2001:i:2:p:147-164
    DOI: 10.1080/13841280008523417
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    Cited by:

    1. Damien Besancenot & Radu Vranceanu, 2003. "Credibility costs in the monetary integration game," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 11(4), pages 727-741, December.

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