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Measuring the trade effects of the euro in Central and Eastern Europe

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Author Info

  • Andrzej Cieślik
  • Jan Jakub Michałek
  • Jerzy Mycielski

Abstract

We study trade effects of the euro adoption in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). We employ a gravity model that controls for an extended set of trade theory and policy variables. The gravity model is estimated using the panel data approach on a sample of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and CEE countries trading with the rest of the world during the period 1993--2008. We find that the adoption of the euro results in trade expansion for the CEE countries. This result is driven by elimination of exchange rate volatility and accession to the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). However, our forecasts show that this effect is short-lived.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/09638199.2012.642527
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development.

Volume (Year): 21 (2012)
Issue (Month): 1 (November)
Pages: 25-49

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Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:21:y:2012:i:1:p:25-49

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Cited by:
  1. Andrzej Cieslik, Jan Michalek, Anna Michalek, 2013. "The Impact of the Common Currency on Exports of New EMU Members: Firm-level Evidence for Slovenia and Slovakia," Equilibrium, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 8, pages 7-23.

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