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How individual characteristics affect university students drop-out: a semiparametric mixed-effects model for an Italian case study

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  • F. Belloc
  • A. Maruotti
  • L. Petrella

Abstract

University drop-out is a topic of increasing concern in Italy as well as in other countries. In empirical analysis, university drop-out is generally measured by means of a binary variable indicating the drop-out versus retention. In this paper, we argue that the withdrawal decision is one of the possible outcomes of a set of four alternatives: retention in the same faculty, drop out, change of faculty within the same university, and change of institution. We examine individual-level data collected by the administrative offices of “Sapienza” University of Rome, which cover 117 072 students enrolling full-time for a 3-year degree in the academic years from 2001/2002 to 2006/2007. Relying on a non-parametric maximum likelihood approach in a finite mixture context, we introduce a multinomial latent effects model with endogeneity that accounts for both heterogeneity and omitted covariates. Our estimation results show that the decisions to change faculty or university have their own peculiarities, thus we suggest that caution should be used in interpreting results obtained without modeling all the relevant alternatives that students face.

Suggested Citation

  • F. Belloc & A. Maruotti & L. Petrella, 2011. "How individual characteristics affect university students drop-out: a semiparametric mixed-effects model for an Italian case study," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 2225-2239.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:38:y:2011:i:10:p:2225-2239
    DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2010.545373
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Laureti, Tiziana & Secondi, Luca & Biggeri, Luigi, 2014. "Measuring the efficiency of teaching activities in Italian universities: An information theoretic approach," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 147-164.
    2. Elton G. Aráujo & Julio C. S. Vasconcelos & Denize P. Santos & Edwin M. M. Ortega & Dalton Souza & João P. F. Zanetoni, 2023. "The Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Semiparametric Regression Model: Application to Number of Failing Grades Data," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 10(4), pages 991-1006, August.
    3. Paola Perchinunno & Massimo Bilancia & Domenico Vitale, 2021. "A Statistical Analysis of Factors Affecting Higher Education Dropouts," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 156(2), pages 341-362, August.
    4. Marco Centoni & Vieri Del Panta & Antonello Maruotti & Valentina Raponi, 2019. "Concomitant-Variable Latent-Class Beta Inflated Models to Assess Students’ Performance: An Italian Case Study," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 146(1), pages 7-18, November.
    5. Rita Takács & Szabolcs Takács & Judit T. Kárász & Attila Oláh & Zoltán Horváth, 2023. "The impact of the first wave of COVID-19 on students’ attainment, analysed by IRT modelling method," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-10, December.
    6. Sandra De Iaco & Sabrina Maggio & Donato Posa, 2019. "A Multilevel Multinomial Model for the Dynamics of Graduates Employment in Italy," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 146(1), pages 149-168, November.
    7. Contini, Dalit & Salza, Guido, 2020. "Too few university graduates. Inclusiveness and effectiveness of the Italian higher education system," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    8. Jasmin Meyer & Kathrin Leuze & Susanne Strauss, 2022. "Individual Achievement, Person-Major Fit, or Social Expectations: Why Do Students Switch Majors in German Higher Education?," Research in Higher Education, Springer;Association for Institutional Research, vol. 63(2), pages 222-247, March.
    9. Joana R. Casanova & Adrián Castro-López & Ana B. Bernardo & Leandro S. Almeida, 2023. "The Dropout of First-Year STEM Students: Is It Worth Looking beyond Academic Achievement?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-12, January.

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